Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-4   WIN (2/4/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $12.60 $2.60 26%
    EXA (2/4/5/7/9)-(2/4/5/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-5 $22.80 $2.80 14%
MTH-5   WIN (11/4/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $10.80 $0.80 8%
MTH-7   WIN (1/5/3/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $13.80 $3.80 38%
    TRI (1/5/3/7/4)-(1/5/3/7/4)-(1/5/3/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-1-3 $42.15 $12.15 41%

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:222 :473 :594     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUSTIAMO 4 6 6 31   13 1 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 14% 6.10 1.40 W
LADY THOR 3 8 73 6   23 2 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 2.00 35% 1.90 2.40 P
10  CHARLIZE CHUB 10 7 83 7   7 39 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 118 12.00 36.80  
BINGO STAR 9 11 11 9   6 4 (camejo jose )BATISTA A 118 5.00 19% 4.30 8.00  
CANGUA 1 4 3.2 5   3 510¾ (camejo m)COTTO L 118 15.00 7% 14.00 14.90  
JAMS TOP SHELF 6 2 4¼ 8   8 611½ (jennings j)RIVERA R 118 10.00 22.00  
YELOMA 5 3 5½ 4   4 714 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 15.00 53.40  
ESME'S ROSE 2 12 93 11   10 815¾ (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 20.00 63.90  
12  AKIVA 12 10 12 12   12 916½ (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 118 20.00 73.10  
11  AURALIA 11 9 104 10   11 1018¾ (paterno rober)IORIO MELISSA 109 20.00 59.60  
STONE IN LOVE 8 5 1nk 11   55 1121¾ (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
GET STORMIN 7 1 2nk 21   9 1224¾ (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 12.00 6.30  
SCR  ORB'S PARTY GIRL               (soto c)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 20.00    
SCR  STRIKING MELODY               (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00    
 
MTH-2   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY JIM 4 3 32 2½   11 1½ (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 2.50 31% 2.20 4.00 W
MR. HOUGHTON 1 6 7 41   31 2½ (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 12.10  
EL DE CHIREL 8 1 12 1½   21 3 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 3.00 1.20  
SHAKIN THE BELLE 2 5 4 31   43 4 (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
UNION PARK 7 4 8 5   58 513¼ (st uriah)FERRER C 118 12.00 26.30  
CIRO THE BOSS 3 8 5 75   610 617¾ (frangell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 38.60  
GRAND AGAIN 6 2 22 87   812 719½ (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
HOOEY 5 7 6 64   711 822 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 116 4.50 32% 2.10 3.20  
SCR  MASADIRO               (lake a)PENNINGTON F 118 10.00 12% 7.60    
 
MTH-3   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEALS THE SOUL 2 6 5 5   22 1 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 18% 4.50 2.00 W
FAIR CATCH 5 1 2nk 1nk   12 2 (wilson faith)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00 11.20  
11  TETRAGRAMMATON 10 8 8 7   7 3 (russo j)COTTO L 120 15.00 5% 19.00 17.90 S
ABE HONESTLY 7 3 6 6   43 44 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 122 8.00 7.60  
U KANT WHIP IT 4 4 3 3   3 54 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 9% 10.00 6.20  
KING OF CHAOS 3 9 10 98   8 6 (harris keith)ARROYO S 120 20.00 56.20  
FOREST SURVIVOR 8 7 43 4   64 78 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 7% 13.60 7.20  
SHANGHAI WARRIOR 6 2 7 8   9 8 (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 84.90  
10  MOUNT TRAVERS 9 10 9 109   10 9 (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 20.00 68.10  
BREAKTHROUGH 1 5 1nk 2nk   53 1010¼ (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 1.20 43% 1.30 2.00  
SCR  DORSODURO               (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 20.00    
 
MTH-4   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNDO MIX 9 2 3½ 1½   1 15 (bailey r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30 W
AEQUOR 5 8 911¼ 8   8 25 (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 17% 4.80 2.40 P
MARVIN 8 1 41 4   43 3 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 6.00 6.60  
INDIRECTLY 6 9 78 7   56 4 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00 50.60  
HUSHION 1 6 1nk 2½   2 5 (cole-d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 5.70  
COMMANDING GENERAL 4 4 2nk 3½   3 6 (wilson faith)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 21% 3.70 8.70  
BIG CITY BOB 3 3 5 67   6 7 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00 10.40  
LOVERBOY LOU 7 5 65 5   7 8 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 120 15.00 7% 13.20 12.90  
SUBSTANTIAL 2 7 8 913¼   914½ 923 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 28% 2.60 4.10  
 
MTH-5   07/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:132 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LULLABY LAND 4 9 910¼ 9 9 7 1nk (abrams jack)FERRER C 120 4.50 28% 2.60 4.40 W
NO VALLA 6 4 21 2½ 2nk 12 2nk (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 3.00 22% 3.60 0.90 P
FEETS OF FEATHER 1 3 8 8 8 3 3 (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 21.80  
11  SLIME QUEEN 9 10 1011¼ 10 10 95 4 (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 8.00 29% 2.50 4.90 DH
KITTEN WITH A WHIP 5 1 32 3 3 4 4 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 120 10.00 9.30 DH
GOLD RUSH KIZZIE 3 7 6 5 5 85 64 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 10.00 23.30  
12  STRIKING CHROME 10 8 7 7 74 10 7 (bennet)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00 29.90 DH
PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) 8 5 4 4 4 6 7 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.90 DH
COLLECTIVE GOLD 2 6 5 6 6 5 95 (brown ho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 17.20  
GOLDEN HAVEN 7 2 11 1½ 1nk 22 105 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
SCR  AMATERASU               (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
SCR  BABY GUNDIN               (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
SCR  PEARLS AND HEELS               (martin f)JUAREZ NIK 120 30.00    
 
MTH-6   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ANNIKA GOLD 8 5 44 44   21 1 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00 9.20  
PEACELOVENKARMA 5 6 810¼ 7   34 2 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 2.00 39% 1.60 1.30 P
JET FORCE 7 1 11 13   11 3 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 6.00 2.00  
TAKE CHARGE ERICA 3 2 21 3   45 4 (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 10.00 12.50  
BOCA ROYALTY 4 7 54 5   56 511½ (diaz jorge)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 9% 10.70 12.30  
STARSHIP REINA 6 4 6 6   7 611½ (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 18% 4.50 7.80  
SOUTHERN CENTS 1 3 32 23   66 713½ (king c)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 15.90  
UNIFIED RIDE 2 8 7 810½   810½ 817 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00 8% 11.30 30.80  
SCR  RAINBOW TROUT               (simon linda)COTTO L 120 8.00    
SCR  TWIRLING WIND               (perez flores)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00    
 
MTH-7   07/30/2023 5940ft TURF RC8 GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:24 :494 1:142 1:391   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGH SEA 5 4 7 6 5 5 1hd (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 13% 6.70 5.90 W
BODE'S MAKER 1 9 5 31 1nk 1½ 2hd (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 44% 1.30 0.90 P
SIX MINUS 3 1 2nk 2nk 4 41 3nk (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 9% 10.70 7.30 S
READY TO FLY 6 2 3.2 4 31 3½ 4.15 (mcburn)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 10.00 27.00  
ROYAL LUCK (CHI) 8 6 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 5 (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 8.00 21.10  
FATIMA'S BLESSING 7 8 94 8 84 7 6 (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 7% 12.80 10.10  
SHADY MCGEE (IRE) 9 7 4 7 6 64 74 (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 20.00 33.20  
FOOD BANK HELPER 2 5 8 9 94 8 8 (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 116 30.00 60.40  
UNCLE CURLY 4 3 6 5 7 9 910¾ (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
 
MTH-8   07/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:222 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGO MAN 3 2 3 22   2nk 1¼ (lee r)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 31% 2.20 0.80 W
OUR PRIDE N JOY 5 4 54 45   4 2¼ (martin f)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.30 P
MAGICAL WARRIOR 6 5 43 32   1nk 31 (bennet)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 5.00 2.90  
FOOLISH GHOST 7 6 6 5   5 43 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 26% 2.80 9.40  
CHATEAU 1 1 1 12   3½ 5 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 12.10  
UNPRECEDENTED 2 7 7 6   6 612¼ (russo fran)RIVERA R 115 15.00 10% 8.80 14.60  
ZELENSKYY STRONG 4 3 2 7   7100 7100 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 115 12.00 14.50  
SCR  FEAST               (bennett gerald)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
 
MTH-9   07/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC11 GOOD Tyro Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :461       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO NAY METS (IRE) 2 5 11 11   12 1 (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 29% 2.50 0.90 W
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  SHIP CADET 11 1 6 21   22 2 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 4.50 25% 3.00 3.00 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA MIA by HARBOR THE GOLD)
SHEA D WORLD 7 2 4 3   33 3 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00 8.50  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SWEET SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
PLEASE ADVISE 4 7 5 6   47 411 (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 6.00 6.00  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AMANSARA by WAR CHANT)
SHIP TO SHORE (IRE) 1 8 116 10   7 511 (owens edd)VARGAS A 117 20.00 5% 19.00 47.60  
  (by SEA WIZARD out of UPSET CITY by CITY ZIP)
TUSCAN RULER 6 6 7 8   59 611½ (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 19.50  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TUSCAN CHIANTI by ROMAN RULER)
12  FRANKIE'S EMPIRE 12 11 8 9   1010 713 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 23% 3.30 39.90  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DONNA D by DIXIE UNION)
10  HEAVY TIMBER 10 10 106 118   1111 813¾ (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 117 15.00 5% 19.00 60.00  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CULVER MISS by ORB)
MANTAKETHEBLESINGS 5 12 1210 1210½   1211 914¼ (smith everto)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 10.00 62.10  
  (by IRONICUS out of GULF COAST BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
UNCLE CAT 3 9 95 7   9 1015¾ (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 10.00 26.60  
  (by NYQUIST out of DANCE THEWAYYOUARE by MINESHAFT)
RAMMING SPEED 8 3 21 5   8 1119 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 117 12.00 57.30  
  (by FLASHBACK out of MISS FOREESTA by GRAND SLAM)
FACTOR U AND ME IN 9 4 31 4   6 1219¼ (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 117 15.00 58.10  
  (by THE FACTOR out of YOU BETCHA BABE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  GOTTS GOT IT               (potts g)WALKER M 117 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOKIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK               (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 117 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
 
MTH-10   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR SIN 4 4 31 2nk   11 1½ (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 113 2.50 28% 2.50 1.30 W
AUNT BERRA 6 1 2½ 3.2   21 2½ (ramirez silv)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.60 23% 3.30 1.00 P
ZIPPY ZINNY 3 3 4 5   5 33 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00 20.80  
LITTLE DOYLE 7 2 1½ 1nk   32 43 (rodriguez mig)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 7% 12.70 9.10  
ROWDY CACKALACKY 2 7 6 4   4 5 (berrios manuel)LUZZI J 121 12.00 31.20  
DUSTED 1 6 5 6   6 65 (ortega)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 24.30  
HOLY SKULL 5 5 7 7   7 7 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 8.00 14% 6.10 11.70  
SCR  NO SUGAR PLEASE               (smith ever)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.