Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (3/9/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/1/8)-(3/9/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/1/8)-(3/9/4/1/8)-(3/9/4/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/3/5/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/9/11)-(2/3/5/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/9/11)-(2/3/5/9/11)-(2/3/5/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/4/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/7/9)-(2/4/5/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/7/9)-(2/4/5/7/9)-(2/4/5/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-5   WIN (11/4/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/6/8/9)-(11/4/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/6/8/9)-(11/4/6/8/9)-(11/4/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (1/5/3/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7/4)-(1/5/3/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7/4)-(1/5/3/7/4)-(1/5/3/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (2/11/12/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/12/1/10)-(2/11/12/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/12/1/10)-(2/11/12/1/10)-(2/11/12/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANGUA Dec29         (camejo m)COTTO L 118 15.00 7% 14.00    
2  ESME'S ROSE Jun04         (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 20.00    
3  LADY THOR Jul07 Jun19 May27 Oct19 Sep24 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  GUSTIAMO Jul09 Nov04 Oct15 Sep01 Aug04 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
5  YELOMA Jul19 Jun18 May25 May03 Mar07 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 15.00    
6  JAMS TOP SHELF Jun18 May27 Nov17 Oct29   (jennings j)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
7  GET STORMIN Dec07         (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 12.00    
8  STONE IN LOVE Jun18 Oct11 Aug20 Aug01   (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BINGO STAR Jul09 Jun18 May27 May13 Apr15 (camejo jose )BATISTA A 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
10  CHARLIZE CHUB Jul05 Jun19 May29 Apr10 Feb08 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 118 12.00    
11  AURALIA Jul07         (paterno rober)IORIO MELISSA 109 20.00    
12  AKIVA Jun03 May18       (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  STRIKING MELODY Jun15 Dec18 Nov26 Oct23 Sep26 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00    
SCR  ORB'S PARTY GIRL Jul05 Jun05 May03 Feb07 Jan09 (soto c)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 20.00    
 
MTH-2   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. HOUGHTON Jul09 Apr14 Feb26     (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
2  SHAKIN THE BELLE Jul02 Jun04 May27     (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MASADIRO Jun21         (lake a)PENNINGTON F 118 10.00 12% 7.60    
4  CIRO THE BOSS Sep18         (frangell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
5  COWBOY JIM Jul07 Jun18 Oct18 Sep18   (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  HOOEY Jun18 May05 Apr16     (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 116 4.50 32% 2.10    
7  GRAND AGAIN Jul09 Jun18 Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNION PARK Jul11 Jun18 Mar20 Mar06 Jan25 (st uriah)FERRER C 118 12.00    
9  EL DE CHIREL Jul09 Jul02 May28 May14 Mar11 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 3.00    
 
MTH-3   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DORSODURO Jul02 Jun17 May28 Apr29 Apr16 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 20.00    
2  BREAKTHROUGH May20 Aug14 Jul23 Jul04 May22 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 1.20 43% 1.30    
3  HEALS THE SOUL Jul14 Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 Feb12 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  KING OF CHAOS Jul08 Jun16 Apr29 Apr22 Apr02 (harris keith)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
5  U KANT WHIP IT Jun09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul04   (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 9% 10.00    
6  FAIR CATCH Jul01 Sep24 Aug14 Aug07 Jun12 (wilson faith)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00    
7  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jul14 Jul01 Jun10 May21 Apr23 (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
8  ABE HONESTLY Jul01 Jun09 May28 May03 Apr22 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
9  FOREST SURVIVOR Jun23 May21 Mar12 Feb03 Dec11 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 7% 13.60    
10  MOUNT TRAVERS Jul13 Jun17 May14 Apr14 Mar25 (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 20.00    
11  TETRAGRAMMATON Jun25 Jun10 Jun04 Apr02 Feb17 (russo j)COTTO L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-4   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUSHION Jul09 Jun11 May13 Apr25 Mar28 (cole-d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00    
2  SUBSTANTIAL Jun28 Jun06 May12 Sep10 Aug20 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  BIG CITY BOB Jul14 Jun28 Jun13 May29 May16 (penaloza mig)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
4  COMMANDING GENERAL Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 Jun03 May19 (wilson faith)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  AEQUOR Jul08 Jun03 Apr21 Mar30 Mar23 (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
6  INDIRECTLY Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May24 May02 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
7  LOVERBOY LOU Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr25 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 120 15.00 7% 13.20    
8  MARVIN Jun18 Jun04 May13 Apr15 Mar30 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 6.00    
9  MUNDO MIX Jul15 Jun23 May28 Apr22 Mar22 (bailey r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   07/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEETS OF FEATHER Nov26 Oct21 Jul11 Jun16 May06 (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
2  COLLECTIVE GOLD Jun30 Jun02 Apr12 Mar05 Feb17 (brown ho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
3  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Jun07 Oct21 Sep30 Sep23 Aug22 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 10.00    
4  LULLABY LAND Jul04 Jun01 Apr21 Mar12 Feb25 (abrams jack)FERRER C 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
5  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Jan25 Dec14 Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
6  NO VALLA Jul01 Jun03 Nov13 Sep30 Sep10 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  PEARLS AND HEELS Jul16 Jun25 Jun02 May20 Apr17 (martin f)JUAREZ NIK 120 30.00    
8  GOLDEN HAVEN Jun30 Jun12 May29 Apr27 Mar05 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) Jul08 Dec04 Sep05 Aug15 Jul30 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMATERASU Jul05 Jun12 Mar15 Feb27 Jan25 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
11  SLIME QUEEN Jun03 Apr21 Mar25 Feb19 Feb05 (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 8.00 29% 2.50    
12  STRIKING CHROME May06 Apr07 Mar17 Feb18 Aug06 (bennet)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00    
SCR  BABY GUNDIN Jul03 May29 May01 Apr04 Feb27 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
 
MTH-6   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN CENTS Jun06 May16 Apr24 Apr04 Feb07 (king c)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
SCR  TWIRLING WIND Jul18 Jun20 Jun12 May23 May08 (perez flores)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00    
3  UNIFIED RIDE Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 May06 Apr12 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00 8% 11.30    
4  TAKE CHARGE ERICA Jul16 Jun17 May28 May02 Apr10 (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 10.00    
5  BOCA ROYALTY Jul17 Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 May15 (diaz jorge)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 9% 10.70    
6  PEACELOVENKARMA Jul16 Nov25 Oct04 Aug02 Jul20 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
7  STARSHIP REINA Jul01 Jun14 May27 May12 Apr24 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  RAINBOW TROUT Jul16 Jun02 Mar27 Feb28 Feb08 (simon linda)COTTO L 120 8.00    
9  JET FORCE Jul16 Jul03 May25 May04 Mar21 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 6.00    
10  ANNIKA GOLD Jul09 Jun17 May27 May20 Apr26 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
 
MTH-7   07/30/2023 5940ft TURF RC8 GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODE'S MAKER Jun25 May24 May06 Aug07 Jul03 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  FOOD BANK HELPER Jul08 May28 Apr28 Mar22 Mar03 (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 116 30.00    
3  SIX MINUS Apr27 Feb03 Jan01 Oct29 Sep05 (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
4  UNCLE CURLY May29 Dec22 Oct21 Sep04 Aug07 (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROUGH SEA Jun25 May29 May06 Apr19 Mar18 (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 13% 6.70    
6  READY TO FLY Jul21 Jun25 May29 May14 Apr05 (mcburn)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 10.00    
7  FATIMA'S BLESSING May19 Apr13 Mar25 Mar08 Feb25 (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 7% 12.80    
8  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) May24 Mar25 Feb24 Jan01 Jul17 (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 8.00    
9  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jun16 May29 Mar03 Dec22 Nov12 (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 20.00    
 
MTH-8   07/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHATEAU Jul12 Jul02 May04 Apr23 Apr13 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50    
2  UNPRECEDENTED Jul07 Mar25 Feb26 Jan30   (russo fran)RIVERA R 115 15.00 10% 8.80    
3  EGO MAN Jul09 Jun14 May30 May03 Apr05 (lee r)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
4  ZELENSKYY STRONG May29 Aug06 Jun09 Apr22   (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 115 12.00    
5  OUR PRIDE N JOY May28 Sep04 Jul30 Jun24   (martin f)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAGICAL WARRIOR Jun10 May29 Apr26 Mar26 Feb17 (bennet)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 5.00    
7  FOOLISH GHOST Jul13 Jun22 May21 Apr30 Apr01 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  FEAST Jul21 May29 Apr26 Feb18 Jan13 (bennett gerald)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
 
MTH-9   07/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC11 GOOD Tyro Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIP TO SHORE (IRE) Jun03         (owens edd)VARGAS A 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of UPSET CITY by CITY ZIP)
2  NO NAY METS (IRE) May13         (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  UNCLE CAT Jul16         (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of DANCE THEWAYYOUARE by MINESHAFT)
4  PLEASE ADVISE Jun22         (weaver george)NO RIDER 117 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AMANSARA by WAR CHANT)
5  MANTAKETHEBLESINGS Jul18 Jun19 Jun10     (smith everto)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 10.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of GULF COAST BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  TUSCAN RULER Jul02         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TUSCAN CHIANTI by ROMAN RULER)
7  SHEA D WORLD Jul02         (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SWEET SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
8  RAMMING SPEED Jul15 Jul03 Jun14     (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 117 12.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MISS FOREESTA by GRAND SLAM)
9  FACTOR U AND ME IN May01         (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 117 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of YOU BETCHA BABE by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  HEAVY TIMBER Jul07 Jun10 May23 May01   (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CULVER MISS by ORB)
11  SHIP CADET Jun11 May12       (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA MIA by HARBOR THE GOLD)
12  FRANKIE'S EMPIRE Jun17         (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DONNA D by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  GOTTS GOT IT Jun14 May26       (potts g)WALKER M 117 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOKIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Jul01         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 117 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
 
MTH-10   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUSTED Jul21 Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 Sep23 (ortega)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
2  ROWDY CACKALACKY Jun25 May28 Sep04 Aug20 Jul24 (berrios manuel)LUZZI J 121 12.00    
3  ZIPPY ZINNY Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 May27 May05 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00    
4  SUGAR SIN Jul09 Jun11 Apr30 Apr09 Mar01 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 113 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  HOLY SKULL Jul07 Jun25 Apr22     (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
6  AUNT BERRA Jul09 Jun25 May28 May14 Apr16 (ramirez silv)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.60 23% 3.30    
7  LITTLE DOYLE Jul17 Jun27 May31 May08 Oct12 (rodriguez mig)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  NO SUGAR PLEASE Jul17 Jun05 May20 May03 Nov29 (smith ever)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.