Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $23.40 $17.40 290%
MTH-3   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $18.00 $10.00 125%
MTH-5   EXA (6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-8 $34.00 $14.00 70%
    TRI (6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-8-4 $53.40 $23.40 78%
    SFT (6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-8-4-9 $88.21 $76.21 635%
MTH-6   WIN (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $40.80 $32.80 410%
    EXA (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $109.70 $97.70 814%
    TRI (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-8-6 $171.05 $159.05 1325%

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:142 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCEL ROSE 5 4 2½ 2nk 1½ 11 11 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 110 4.00 3.20  
MO TOWN ANNIE 7 6 3 31 2½ 21 21 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 29% 2.40 3.00 P
LUV U MARY JANE 4 1 1½ 1nk 3 35 312¼ (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 3.50 41% 1.40 2.70 S
SANTAFE EXPRESS 3 2 4 5 65 48 412¾ (lucas bonnie)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
GINETTES ON FIRE 2 5 5 4 4 5 515 (cruz jesu)VARGAS A 117 3.50 4.50  
WELCOMETOMYWORLD 1 3 63 6 76 710½ 618 (david ca)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 3.90 DH
RAINOUT 6 7 75 7 5 6 618 (torres r)COTTO L 121 10.00 5% 19.00 48.70 DH
 
MTH-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:222 :45 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE CARATS 1 3 11 1½   1½ 1hd (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 7% 13.80 10.70 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JENNIFER'S JEWEL by LITE THE FUSE)
VIVID DREAMS 6 1 31 2½   2½ 2hd (pletcher a)FERRER C 118 2.50 1.20  
  (by ARROGATE out of SISTER SUPERIOR by PULPIT)
FEARLESS KRISTIE 5 4 5 5   3 35 (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50 53% 0.90 1.90 S
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of FEARLESS LEADER by SUAVE PROSPECT)
PEP RALLY 3 2 21 34   4 4 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 13% 6.70 3.80  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NORTHERN SMILE by OUTFLANKER)
CONSEILLANTE 2 6 4 4   55 58 (brown ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 9.20  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WILD FOREST by FOREST WILDCAT)
CAST YOUR NET 4 5 6 6   69 613 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00 39.40  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAUR NET by STRONG HOPE)
SCR  NOTABLE QUEEN               (came)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SLICED BREAD by NOONMARK)
 
MTH-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:213 :451 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUFF HELLO 7 1 45 1½   1 13 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.50 12% 7.00 8.00 W
CATCH THE SMOKE 1 5 57 4   2 23 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 4.20  
POLAR WIND 6 6 612 6   4 33 (moo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00 11.50  
FEAST 4 2 3½ 3   3 46 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.30  
JET WINGS 2 4 1½ 2½   5 511¼ (maragh)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
NEWBOMB 3 3 2½ 52   6 631¾ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 3.20  
RIVER DOG 5 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 25% 3.00 3.80  
 
MTH-4   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:223 :464       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TWO SOPHIA'S 3 3 53 42   2½ 12 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 3.10  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MUTUAL FUND by NOTEBOOK)
SUMMER'S COMIN 5 5 4 31   32 22 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 110 6.00 13.60  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of EMIRATES GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
VIVID ARTISTE 4 4 64 6   5 33 (spina char)RIVERA R 112 6.00 19.80  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MELODRAMA by ORB)
RED HEAD ITALIAN 7 1 11 1nk   43 4 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 46% 1.20 0.70  
  (by BUCCHERO out of DANGEROUS DAWN by FOREST DANGER)
BINGO'S BIRKIN 1 2 21 2nk   1½ 5 (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.00 26% 2.90 4.80  
  (by SEA WIZARD out of FUTURE STORY by TALE OF THE CAT)
MOLLY'S A BULLET 6 6 32 5   6 69 (margotta )VARGAS A 117 4.50 5% 19.00 11.20  
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
DEE DEE SIX 2 8 74 7   7 712½ (cipriano robe)MARTIN MATTIE 110 15.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
  (by DON SIX out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
J WILLARD 8 7 87 8   811½ 815 (simon linda)COTTO L 117 20.00 64.10  
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
 
MTH-5   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:233 :493 1:142 1:393   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY AND PROSPERITY 6 9 77 85 6 3½ 1¾ (sweezey j)VARGAS A 123 1.80 36% 1.80 1.60 W
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PROSPERITY AVENUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
DESERT PASSION 8 7 6 53 2nk 1½ 2¾ (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 20.40 P
  (by DESERT PARTY out of GABY Q by FORESTRY)
FIRST REIGN 4 4 4 4 5 2½ 3 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 7% 14.20 2.60 S
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BY THE LEE by MIZZEN MAST)
LOOKINGFORTREASURE 9 6 8 64 4¾ 4¾ 4 (owens eddi)RIVERA R 113 5.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TREASURE AT SEA by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
DUCHESS OF DESTIN 3 5 5 9 8 6 55 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.80  
  (by DESTIN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
BABY CAKES 7 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 5 6 (ortega)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 17.70  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HIGH FLYING FLAG by OUR EMBLEM)
ME SO LUCKY 2 8 9 7 7 7 7 (carang)GONZALEZ JR 123 20.00 57.30  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of CANDIDE by BERNSTEIN)
WHISKEY AND RAIN 1 3 3 3 9 9 815 (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 111 30.00 47.10  
  (by DON SIX out of QUINCY LEE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
ROCKY SEAS 5 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 8 918¼ (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 10.60  
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
MTH-6   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KABOD 2 1 11 1nk 1½ 2nk 1 (gonzalez oscar )OLIVERO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 19.40 W
DREAMING OF SMARTY 6 2 21 2nk 2½ 1nk 2 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 16% 5.20 4.00 P
COCO SHELL 5 4 5 6 4 35 3 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.50 50% 1.00 4.00 S
VERBIER (IRE) 7 7 6 31 3 4 4 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00 4.70  
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE 3 5 4 5 6 5 5 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 4.00 1.90  
SO THERE 1 3 3 4 7 716½ 622 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00 30.30  
ANTONOV 4 6 75 7 5 614½ 735¾ (ryan dere)VARGAS A 117 6.00 10% 9.50 3.70  
SCR  DUBROVNIK               (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00    
SCR  SALTIN' THE RIM               (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
 
MTH-7   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:124 1:364   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL MARRIAGE 1 5 4 41 7 3½ 1 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 9.20  
IT CAN BE DONE 9 3 3 3½ 2nk 1nk 2 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 29% 2.40 1.50 P
JIMMY DAN 3 8 8 7 8 5 32 (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00 10.70  
READY TO FLY 5 6 76 8 5 4¾ 42 (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 120 4.50 4.90  
HOKU 4 9 97 9 9 7 5 (pino mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 26% 2.80 4.10  
JAMIE DREAMS 6 4 11 1nk 1nk 2nk 6 (linder louis)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00 52.60  
COMEDIC TIMING 8 2 5 5 4¾ 6 7 (gomez pomp)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00 41.90  
RHUMJAR 2 7 6 6 6 8 8 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 11% 7.90 6.10  
ANTHRACITE 7 1 21 2nk 3.2 9 912½ (orseno jo)VARGAS A 120 8.00 7% 13.60 10.90  
 
MTH-8   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIKA 3 1 1½ 1nk 11 14 1 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 67% 0.50 1.00 W
DERWIN'S PAYNTER 2 5 5 4 4 4 2 (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 3.50 2.60  
GRACE IN MOTION 1 4 4 31 32 3 3 (skelto)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 3.00 6.50  
DUSTED 4 6 2½ 2nk 21 24 4 (ortega)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
HURRY UP DEAR 6 3 6 65 6 515½ 522¼ (wilson ton)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 4.00 8% 12.20 4.00  
VIRTUAL BEAUTY 5 2 3 54 5 615½ 626¼ (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 20.00 35.50  
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN               (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.