Handicappers' Racing Form

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Monmouth Park
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MTH-1   Win (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-2   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MTH-3   Win (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-4   Win (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-5   Win (6/3/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MTH-6   Win (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-7   Win (9/4/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MTH-8   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MTH-1   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELCOMETOMYWORLD Jul07 Jun17 May18 Apr20 Apr02 (david carl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
GINETTES ON FIRE Jun02 Apr12 Mar03 Feb08 Dec16 (cruz jesus)VARGAS A 117 3.50    
SANTAFE EXPRESS Jul09 Jun30 Jun02 May05 Mar29 (lucas bonnie)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUV U MARY JANE Jun18 Nov25 Nov06 Oct13 Sep18 (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 112 3.50 41% 1.40    
ACCEL ROSE Jun17 May18 Apr20 Mar31 Mar04 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 110 4.00    
RAINOUT Jul08 Jun30 Jun02 Apr26 Apr01 (torres r)COTTO L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MO TOWN ANNIE Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 May28 May03 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
MTH-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE CARATS Sep17         (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 7% 13.80    
CONSEILLANTE May27 Mar16 Aug14     (brown chad)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50    
SCR  NOTABLE QUEEN Jul15 Jun04 May27     (camejo)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
PEP RALLY Oct08         (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 13% 6.70    
CAST YOUR NET         (king clarenc)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00    
FEARLESS KRISTIE May04 Apr13 Mar05     (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
VIVID DREAMS Nov04         (pletcher a)FERRER C 118 2.50    
 
MTH-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCH THE SMOKE Jun25 Jun03 May13 Jul16 Jul01 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00    
JET WINGS May21 Apr30 Mar24 Dec23 Nov26 (maragh s)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
NEWBOMB Apr22 Mar04 Jan21 Jun17   (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50    
FEAST May29 Apr26 Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
RIVER DOG Jun17 Apr28 Sep23 Jul16 Jun04 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
POLAR WIND May20 May02 Jan27 Dec21 Dec03 (moore)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
BUFF HELLO Aug26 Jul30 Jun27 Jun04 May14 (gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.50 12% 7.00    
 
MTH-4   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BINGO'S BIRKIN Jun30         (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.00 26% 2.90    
DEE DEE SIX         (cipriano robert)MARTIN MATTIE 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
MY TWO SOPHIA'S         (sacco gregory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50    
VIVID ARTISTE Jun30 Jun03       (spina charle)RIVERA R 112 6.00    
SUMMER'S COMIN Jun30         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 110 6.00    
MOLLY'S A BULLET Jun30         (margotta an)VARGAS A 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
RED HEAD ITALIAN Jun30         (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 46% 1.20    
J WILLARD Jun30         (simon linda)COTTO L 117 20.00    
 
MTH-5   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY AND RAIN Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 May20 Jun24 (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 111 30.00    
ME SO LUCKY Jun24 May29 Jan11 Nov09   (carango )GONZALEZ JR 123 20.00    
DUCHESS OF DESTIN Jun24 May20       (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
FIRST REIGN Jun24 May29 May20     (sweezey kent)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 7% 14.20    
ROCKY SEAS Jun09 May20 Aug12     (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00    
JOY AND PROSPERITY Jun24 May29 Oct07     (sweezey k)VARGAS A 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
BABY CAKES Jul07 Jun23 Sep11 Aug28 Aug21 (ortega l)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
DESERT PASSION Sep10 Aug28       (milne jo)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKINGFORTREASURE Jun01         (owens eddie )RIVERA R 113 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO THERE Jan16 Dec29 Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00    
SCR  DUBROVNIK Jun09 May20 May13 Apr17 Apr03 (avila ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00    
KABOD Mar26 Feb27       (gonzalez m)OLIVERO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Jul02 Jun09 May29 May20 May03 (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 112 4.00    
ANTONOV Jul08 Jun02 May20 Apr16 Mar10 (ryan derek )VARGAS A 117 6.00 10% 9.50    
COCO SHELL Jul02 Jun09 May14 Apr30 Apr08 (gonzalez cla)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  SALTIN' THE RIM Jun18 Jun04 Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
DREAMING OF SMARTY Jul08 May11 Mar27 Mar06 Jan03 (servis c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 16% 5.20    
VERBIER (IRE) Jul02 Jun17 May29 May20 Mar15 (martin f)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00    
 
MTH-7   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL MARRIAGE Jul07 May29 Mar19 Sep24 Sep11 (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
RHUMJAR Jun24 Jun02 Mar31 Mar04 Jan14 (gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
JIMMY DAN Jun18 May29 Mar31 Mar15 Feb25 (schultz lindsay)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00    
HOKU Jun04 May22 Apr20 Mar26 Feb25 (pino micha)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
READY TO FLY Jun25 May29 May14 Apr05 Sep24 (mcburney patrick)LUZZI J 120 4.50    
JAMIE DREAMS Jun26 Jun07 May09 Apr11 Jul18 (linder j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
ANTHRACITE Jun23 May27 Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 (orseno jose)VARGAS A 120 8.00 7% 13.60    
COMEDIC TIMING Jun25 May29 Oct15 Sep24 Aug29 (gomez pompey)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
IT CAN BE DONE Nov19 Oct27 Aug19 Jun26 May29 (sacco gregory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
MTH-8   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACE IN MOTION Jul08 Jun17 May06 Apr16 Sep03 (skelton )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 3.00    
DERWIN'S PAYNTER May28 May12 Apr14 Feb18 Jan28 (huston rory)VARGAS A 118 3.50    
ELIKA Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 Oct16 Sep17 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 67% 0.50    
DUSTED Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 Sep23 Sep10 (ortega l)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN May13 Oct08 Aug18     (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 5.00    
VIRTUAL BEAUTY Jul09 Jun11 Apr22 Mar24 Feb26 (bailey ricar)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 20.00    
HURRY UP DEAR Jun25 Jun17 May27 Apr15 Apr01 (wilson tony)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 4.00 8% 12.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.