Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/7)-(1/4/6)-(2/4/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/4/5/7)-(1/2/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(3/4/6/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(3/4/6/8/9)-(3/5/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/3/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8)-(6/3/4/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/8/9)-(3/5/6/8)-(2/4/7/8/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
MTH-6   WIN (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/8)-(2/4/7/8/9)-(3/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-7   WIN (9/4/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/7/8)-(9/4/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/7/8)-(9/4/2/7/8)-(9/4/2/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Jul07 Jun17 May18 Apr20 Apr02 (david ca)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
2  GINETTES ON FIRE Jun02 Apr12 Mar03 Feb08 Dec16 (cruz jesu)VARGAS A 117 3.50    
3  SANTAFE EXPRESS Jul09 Jun30 Jun02 May05 Mar29 (lucas bonnie)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUV U MARY JANE Jun18 Nov25 Nov06 Oct13 Sep18 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  ACCEL ROSE Jun17 May18 Apr20 Mar31 Mar04 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 110 4.00    
6  RAINOUT Jul08 Jun30 Jun02 Apr26 Apr01 (torres r)COTTO L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MO TOWN ANNIE Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 May28 May03 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
MTH-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE CARATS Sep17         (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 7% 13.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JENNIFER'S JEWEL by LITE THE FUSE)
2  CONSEILLANTE May27 Mar16 Aug14     (brown ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WILD FOREST by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  NOTABLE QUEEN Jul15 Jun04 May27     (came)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SLICED BREAD by NOONMARK)
4  PEP RALLY Oct08         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 13% 6.70    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NORTHERN SMILE by OUTFLANKER)
5  CAST YOUR NET         (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAUR NET by STRONG HOPE)
6  FEARLESS KRISTIE May04 Apr13 Mar05     (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of FEARLESS LEADER by SUAVE PROSPECT)
7  VIVID DREAMS Nov04         (pletcher a)FERRER C 118 2.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of SISTER SUPERIOR by PULPIT)
 
MTH-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCH THE SMOKE Jun25 Jun03 May13 Jul16 Jul01 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00    
2  JET WINGS May21 Apr30 Mar24 Dec23 Nov26 (maragh)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NEWBOMB Apr22 Mar04 Jan21 Jun17   (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50    
4  FEAST May29 Apr26 Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  RIVER DOG Jun17 Apr28 Sep23 Jul16 Jun04 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  POLAR WIND May20 May02 Jan27 Dec21 Dec03 (moo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
7  BUFF HELLO Aug26 Jul30 Jun27 Jun04 May14 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.50 12% 7.00    
 
MTH-4   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINGO'S BIRKIN Jun30         (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of FUTURE STORY by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  DEE DEE SIX         (cipriano robe)MARTIN MATTIE 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DON SIX out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
3  MY TWO SOPHIA'S         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MUTUAL FUND by NOTEBOOK)
4  VIVID ARTISTE Jun30 Jun03       (spina char)RIVERA R 112 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MELODRAMA by ORB)
5  SUMMER'S COMIN Jun30         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 110 6.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of EMIRATES GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  MOLLY'S A BULLET Jun30         (margotta )VARGAS A 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
7  RED HEAD ITALIAN Jun30         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DANGEROUS DAWN by FOREST DANGER)
8  J WILLARD Jun30         (simon linda)COTTO L 117 20.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
 
MTH-5   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY AND RAIN Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 May20 Jun24 (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 111 30.00    
  (by DON SIX out of QUINCY LEE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
2  ME SO LUCKY Jun24 May29 Jan11 Nov09   (carang)GONZALEZ JR 123 20.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of CANDIDE by BERNSTEIN)
3  DUCHESS OF DESTIN Jun24 May20       (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by DESTIN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
4  FIRST REIGN Jun24 May29 May20     (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 7% 14.20    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BY THE LEE by MIZZEN MAST)
5  ROCKY SEAS Jun09 May20 Aug12     (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
6  JOY AND PROSPERITY Jun24 May29 Oct07     (sweezey j)VARGAS A 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PROSPERITY AVENUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  BABY CAKES Jul07 Jun23 Sep11 Aug28 Aug21 (ortega)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HIGH FLYING FLAG by OUR EMBLEM)
8  DESERT PASSION Sep10 Aug28       (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESERT PARTY out of GABY Q by FORESTRY)
9  LOOKINGFORTREASURE Jun01         (owens eddi)RIVERA R 113 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TREASURE AT SEA by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
MTH-6   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO THERE Jan16 Dec29 Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00    
SCR  DUBROVNIK Jun09 May20 May13 Apr17 Apr03 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00    
3  KABOD Mar26 Feb27       (gonzalez oscar )OLIVERO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Jul02 Jun09 May29 May20 May03 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 4.00    
5  ANTONOV Jul08 Jun02 May20 Apr16 Mar10 (ryan dere)VARGAS A 117 6.00 10% 9.50    
6  COCO SHELL Jul02 Jun09 May14 Apr30 Apr08 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  SALTIN' THE RIM Jun18 Jun04 Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
8  DREAMING OF SMARTY Jul08 May11 Mar27 Mar06 Jan03 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 16% 5.20    
9  VERBIER (IRE) Jul02 Jun17 May29 May20 Mar15 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00    
 
MTH-7   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Jul07 May29 Mar19 Sep24 Sep11 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
2  RHUMJAR Jun24 Jun02 Mar31 Mar04 Jan14 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
3  JIMMY DAN Jun18 May29 Mar31 Mar15 Feb25 (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00    
4  HOKU Jun04 May22 Apr20 Mar26 Feb25 (pino mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
5  READY TO FLY Jun25 May29 May14 Apr05 Sep24 (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 120 4.50    
6  JAMIE DREAMS Jun26 Jun07 May09 Apr11 Jul18 (linder louis)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
7  ANTHRACITE Jun23 May27 Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 (orseno jo)VARGAS A 120 8.00 7% 13.60    
8  COMEDIC TIMING Jun25 May29 Oct15 Sep24 Aug29 (gomez pomp)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  IT CAN BE DONE Nov19 Oct27 Aug19 Jun26 May29 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
MTH-8   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE IN MOTION Jul08 Jun17 May06 Apr16 Sep03 (skelto)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 3.00    
2  DERWIN'S PAYNTER May28 May12 Apr14 Feb18 Jan28 (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 3.50    
3  ELIKA Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 Oct16 Sep17 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 67% 0.50    
4  DUSTED Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 Sep23 Sep10 (ortega)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN May13 Oct08 Aug18     (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 5.00    
6  VIRTUAL BEAUTY Jul09 Jun11 Apr22 Mar24 Feb26 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 20.00    
7  HURRY UP DEAR Jun25 Jun17 May27 Apr15 Apr01 (wilson ton)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 4.00 8% 12.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.