Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-2   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-3   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-4   Win (5/2/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-5   Win (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-6   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.60  
TDN-7   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
TDN-8   Win (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :463 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMMACULATE HEART 1 2 4 4   1 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 17% 5.10 1.20 W
CASCABRIA 7 1 6 5   3 2 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 8.00 10.20  
SABELLE 4 3 3½ 2nk   2 3 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 14% 6.00 9.10 S
BLACK BUTTE 5 6 7 7   56 45 (patton luke)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 45% 1.20 2.50  
SWEET BELEN 6 5 2½ 3.2   4 5 (murillo-)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
FLYING BUSINESS 3 7 5 6   77 6 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 15.50  
LA MUNECA 2 4 1½ 1nk   66 713½ (zielinski richar)TORREALBA JG 116 4.00 5.30  
 
TDN-2   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEGAS PLAYER 5 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 1 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 1.80 30% 2.30 0.80 W
STRIKING AGAIN 4 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 2 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 8.20 DQ↓3
SOMETHING ON TAP 2 4 4 31   31 3 (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 23% 3.40 2.20 P
AGNELLO CITY 1 5 31 43   5 47 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.50 26% 2.80 8.60  
NIKAO 3 6 6 5   4 5 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 8.00 22.50  
TRANSPIRED 6 1 5 6   610½ 618¼ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 6.80  
 
TDN-3   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MON CAMO 6 1 33 3   1 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 28% 2.60 0.80 W
DAD'S YANKEES 2 3 2nk 2nk   2 2 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 6.60  
ICONIC 3 6 6 6   56 3 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 4.00 26% 2.80 3.10 S
KOSCIUSZKO 5 5 4 44   45 4 (brown glenroy)GUERERE ANGEL 123 6.00 7.20  
WIZARD WILLIE 1 2 1nk 1nk   3 5 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 5.00 15.70  
NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) 4 4 5 56   6 6 (cannon steve)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 15% 5.50 6.20  
 
TDN-4   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:01     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMA K'S BOY 2 7 31 3   2 1½ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.70 W
RED CHILI PEPPER 4 5 1nk 11   1 2½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 40% 1.50 1.50 P
ROLL ON BIG O 6 2 2nk 21   34 35 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 4.50 3.90  
TAHLEQUAH JOE 3 6 5 53   46 46 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 20.00 43.70  
VECCHI 5 4 7 74   5 5 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 51.50  
10  RADIO SILENT 8 1 4 42   6 6 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 12.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 7 3 6 63   7 713 (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 30.00 68.00  
JAC'S MUSIC 1 8 8 810   813½ 816¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 15.00 32.50  
SCR  AFTER SUNRISE               (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 118 4.00    
SCR  LUST FOR LIFE               (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 6.00    
SCR  MOONSHINE JOE               (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 118 30.00    
 
TDN-5   07/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZTEC 6 2 3 3 12 12 1 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 14% 6.10 1.60 W
CITY OF CLOUDS 7 1 65 7 22 22 2 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 5.00 2.70  
LAST COOKIE 1 6 76 4 45 4 3 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 7% 13.00 8.30 S
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 3 4 43 5 7 5 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 42% 1.40 5.70  
BLUNDER 5 7 54 6 32 3 515¼ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 25.00  
PERMAFROST 4 3 1nk 22 6 6 615½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 10% 9.00 4.00  
FLAWLESS CAT 2 5 2nk 12 5 712½ 730¼ (rini anthony)RIVERA R 115 10.00 11.20  
 
TDN-6   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSTUME JEWELRY 3 5 4 3   2nk 1nk (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 1.80  
HOSANNA 1 3 12 1   1nk 2nk (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 2.00 68% 0.50 0.50 P
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 4 2 5 44   32 33 (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.30 S
CEE CEE'S GOT THIS 5 1 3 5   5 413¼ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 5.20  
LOLA LOUISE 2 4 22 2   46 519½ (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 39.50  
SCR  DISCREET ENERGY               (syed riaz)BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HITCH CITY               (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTIS OTIS OTIS 4 1 21 2nk   1 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 22% 3.60 3.50 W
FAT DADDY 2 5 3 32   2 2 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.00 39% 1.60 1.00 P
SHADOW TRACER 1 4 11 1nk   3 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 19% 4.30 2.00 S
TONY SMALL 3 6 4 43   4 4 (puhl kim)FELICIANO R 121 8.00 16.60  
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 5 3 56 5   56 5 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.50 9.10  
LEXATOGA 6 2 69 610¼   6 6 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 10.00 26.40  
 
TDN-8   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:22 :461 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 3 5 4 32   1 1 (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 115 3.50 32% 2.10 0.50 W
FLASH OF CHEROKEE 4 8 813¾ 815¾   7 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 17.90  
GRACIE DANCE 7 2 5 5   5 3 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00 11.10  
BANK BUSTER 8 1 3 4   4 4 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 115 10.00 15.50  
PASSINGTHEMISTERY 2 6 2nk 22   2 59 (tumblin andrew)HALDAR J 115 15.00 80.90  
MY D'VALENTINE 5 4 6 6   6 69 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 58.60  
CHARLOTTES WAY 6 3 1nk 12   3 715½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 6% 16.10 6.30  
A NITE IN CAIRO 1 7 7 710¾   811¼ 815¾ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 42% 1.40 3.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.