Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/2)-(6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(6/3/4)-(5/2/6/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(5/2/6/10)-(3/6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/2/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/10)-(5/2/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/10)-(5/2/6/10)-(5/2/6/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/10)-(3/6/4/1)-(1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(1/6)-(2/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/4/1)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMACULATE HEART Jul04 Jun12 May29 May02 Dec20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 17% 5.10    
2  LA MUNECA Jun26 Jun14 May29 Mar29 Feb22 (zielinski rich)TORREALBA JG 116 4.00    
3  FLYING BUSINESS Jun14 May29 May02 Mar13 Feb27 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
4  SABELLE Jun26 May22 May02 Apr15 Feb27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
5  BLACK BUTTE Jun26 Jun05 May24 May02 Mar07 (patton luke)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  SWEET BELEN Jun20 Jun04 May23 Apr30 Mar07 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CASCABRIA Jun12 May29 Apr26 Apr15 Feb21 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGNELLO CITY Jun12 May25       (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  SOMETHING ON TAP Jul05 Jun12 Apr12 Mar21 Mar06 (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
3  NIKAO Jul05 Jun12 May25     (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 8.00    
4  STRIKING AGAIN Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 Apr24 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00    
5  VEGAS PLAYER Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 Apr12 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
6  TRANSPIRED Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 May25 May10 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIZARD WILLIE May29 Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 May26 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
2  DAD'S YANKEES Jul06 Dec08 Nov09 Oct04 Aug30 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
3  ICONIC Jul06 Jun15 May17 Oct22 Sep12 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Jul06 Jun06 May22 May05 Mar30 (cannon ste)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 15% 5.50    
5  KOSCIUSZKO Sep21 Sep12 Aug15 Aug03 Jul21 (brown glenroy)GUERERE ANGEL 123 6.00    
6  MON CAMO Jun19 May17 Apr25 Sep21 Sep01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-4   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAC'S MUSIC Jun20         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 15.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of MARIE'S MUSIC by STRAIGHT MAN)
2  MOMMA K'S BOY Jul06         (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
SCR  LUST FOR LIFE         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 6.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
4  TAHLEQUAH JOE Jun20         (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
5  RED CHILI PEPPER Jun30 Jun20 Jun03     (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOSSY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
6  VECCHI Jun20         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
SCR  MOONSHINE JOE Jun20         (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 118 30.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
8  ROLL ON BIG O         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 4.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
9  RIVERS OF DENIRO Jul06         (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 30.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
10  RADIO SILENT Jun30         (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
SCR  AFTER SUNRISE Jun20         (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 118 4.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
 
TDN-5   07/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST COOKIE Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 May17 Jan23 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 7% 13.00    
2  FLAWLESS CAT Jun24 May29 May09 Mar12 Feb17 (rini anthony)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
3  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jul05 Jun05 Apr26 Apr08 Mar12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
4  PERMAFROST Jul05 Jun24 May29 May11 Apr30 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 10% 9.00    
5  BLUNDER Jul05 May29 May06 Mar06 Feb16 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
6  AZTEC Jul05 Jun24 Jun05 May09 Dec28 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
7  CITY OF CLOUDS Jun21 Jun06 May17 Apr21   (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 5.00    
 
TDN-6   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOSANNA Jun26 Jun13 Apr27 Dec03 Nov16 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 2.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  HITCH CITY Jun26 Apr27 Sep28 Sep12 Aug25 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
SCR  DISCREET ENERGY May25 Jan03 Nov19 Sep12 Aug25 (syed riaz)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOLA LOUISE Oct13 Oct06 Sep22 Sep06 Aug15 (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
5  COSTUME JEWELRY May25 May16 May06 Dec27 Dec12 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
6  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jun26 Feb07 Jan18 Dec22 Dec07 (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS Jul04 Jun13 May25 May11 Apr26 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 4.00    
 
TDN-7   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW TRACER Jun21 Jun07 May08 Apr25 Sep01 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
2  FAT DADDY Jul05 Jun21 May31 May16 May02 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  TONY SMALL Jul13 Jun13 May24 Apr22 Mar05 (puhl kim)FELICIANO R 121 8.00    
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS Jul04 Jun05 May23 May08 Apr14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jun27 Jun07 May17 Feb20 Feb08 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.50    
6  LEXATOGA Jun21 Jan18 Dec27 Dec15 Nov23 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
 
TDN-8   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A NITE IN CAIRO Jan18 Dec17 Oct03 Aug20 Jul26 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  PASSINGTHEMISTERY Nov27 Nov07 Aug03 Jul17 Jun26 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 115 15.00    
3  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Jul04 Jun20 May10 Apr25 Apr06 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 115 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  FLASH OF CHEROKEE Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May11 Apr14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50    
5  MY D'VALENTINE Jul13 Nov09 Oct31 Oct16 Oct05 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHARLOTTES WAY May23 Apr15 Mar24 Mar12 Feb13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 6% 16.10    
7  GRACIE DANCE Jul03 Jun10 May25 Dec07 Nov21 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00    
8  BANK BUSTER Jul11 Jun26 Jun07 May25 Apr22 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 115 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.