Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $13.00  
TDN-2   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-3   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $24.40  
TDN-4   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-5   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-6   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-7   Win (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
TDN-8   Win (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELL FIRE 3 1 47 33 2nk 2½ 1 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.50 5.50  
LUCKY ANDY 5 4 24 22 1nk 1½ 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 29% 2.50 2.60 P
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 4 2 14 12 3.2 32 3 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
RAMIRIN 2 5 612½ 59 5 59 413¼ (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00 49.30  
OWN THE TOWN 1 3 37 43 4 48 513¾ (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.00 44% 1.30 0.60  
RIDING IN THE WIND 6 6 512 6 611¼ 612 616½ (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 16.70  
SCR  GOLDEN TONE               (rivera a)TOLEDO S 123 3.50    
 
TDN-2   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOYI 2 6 4 3   2nk 1 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 1.80 66% 0.50 0.70 W
MARSICO 6 1 2 21   3.2 2 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
LOCKDOWN LOVER 4 3 1 11   1nk 3 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50 5.80  
NAPA DUDE 1 7 6 5   4 4 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 2.50 3.10  
FEVER DREAM 5 5 53 6   6 512 (rotunno s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 10% 9.30 15.90  
1A  EL BANDIDO 3 4 3 44   5 612½ (tumblin an)FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80 0.70  
ALTAIR 7 2 75 76   7 714½ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 8.30  
 
TDN-3   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTACK ANGLE 1 3 12 12   12 1nk (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00 11.20  
OAKEN 2 4 3 33   32 2nk (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00 44% 1.30 0.30 P
WEST LEONARD 4 5 44 43   22 3¾ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60 S
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 5 1 54 5   5 47 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 123 3.50 3.80  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 3 2 22 22   43 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 22% 3.60 6.10  
SCR  OFTEN ENOUGH               (shanyfelt valeri)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
 
TDN-4   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO GOLD 6 2 32 3½   11 1 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.50 37% 1.70 1.60 W
TURNING PAGES 1 4 1½ 1½   21 2 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00 20% 3.90 1.00 P
RAISE THE PURSES 3 3 42 5   5 3 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 3.50 3.90  
TEAM LEYENDECKER 4 5 53 4   4 4 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 11% 8.30 15.00  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 2 6 2½ 2½   3 5 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 19.30  
KEEPING SCORE 5 1 6 6   6 6 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 22.00  
 
TDN-5   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:121     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRU THE VINE 2 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.00 57% 0.70 2.10 W
LATIN SPICE 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.00 20% 3.90 0.50 P
CUMBER 3 2 3 3 34 3 3 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 12.80  
DISCLOSURE 5 5 5 59 48 47 48 (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 6.40  
YOUVESAIDITALL 4 4 48 4 59 59 514½ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 123 2.50    
 
TDN-6   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIV'EM THE BIZ 2 4 1½ 1   1 1 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 53% 0.90 1.40 W
WILDCAT BILL 1 5 42 3   2 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 22% 3.60 1.20 P
IMA BELIEVER 6 2 52 4   44 3 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 5% 19.00 45.30 S
TWINSPIREDJOEY 3 3 2½ 2   3 45 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50 2.70  
THANKSDAD 4 1 31 5   58 510 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 5.00 13.40  
SEASONS END 5 6 614 613¼   613 613 (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 114 15.00 68.40  
 
TDN-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGER 8 1 31 3.2   11 1 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 14% 6.00 5.20 W
FLIPPING FISH 3 4 4 4¼   3 2 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 51% 1.00 0.80 P
FIRST CITIZEN 6 3 1nk 1nk   21 3 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 12% 7.70 3.00 S
ICON 5 6 6 5¾   4 4 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 5.00 7.90  
LAUDA SPEED 7 2 2nk 2nk   53 5 (trevino s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 33.00  
ZELIG 2 8 7 6   6 610¼ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00 11.50  
MAS CHIKILIN 4 5 5 7   711 718½ (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
LOST IN MANHATTAN 1 7 811¼ 812¼   815 820 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 35.20  
 
TDN-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH OF CHEROKEE 6 1 21 22   22 1 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 10% 9.00 3.10 W
FULL TIME STRUTIN 2 4 34 34   33 2 (gonzal)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 2.50 1.30  
IMA SURE BET 5 2 4 45   46 32 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 11.60  
TEAM FEISTY 1 3 11 12   12 4 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 3.00 62% 0.60 1.50  
BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 3 5 5 512   516 525 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
SWAMP WITCH HADDY 4 6 6 615½   620 628¾ (syed riaz)GONZALES J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 68.30  
SCR  HONORABLE WOMAN               (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
SCR  SOLDAT TEMPTATION               (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.