Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-5 $11.10 $2.10 23%
TDN-6   TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1-6 $22.00 $16.00 267%
TDN-7   WIN (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $14.00 $2.00 17%
    TRI (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  8-3-6 $35.40 $11.40 48%
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/1/6)-(3/8/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00  2-2-8 $51.00 $15.00 42%
TDN-8   DD (3/8/6/4)-(1/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-8 $24.00 $8.00 50%
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(3/8/6/4)-(1/8/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  2-8-8 $93.80 $45.80 95%
    PK4 (2/1/4)-(2/1/6)-(3/8/6/4)-(1/8/4/5) 144 $0.50 $72.00  2-2-8-8 $387.80 $315.80 439%
    PK5 (6/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/6)-(3/8/6/4)-(1/8/4/5) 432 $0.50 $216  6-2-2-8-8 $729.75 $513.75 238%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHELL FIRE 3 1 47 33 2nk 2½ 11½ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.50 5.50  
5  LUCKY ANDY 5 4 24 22 1nk 1½ 21½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 29% 2.50 2.60 P
4  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 4 2 14 12 3.2 32 35¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
2  RAMIRIN 2 5 612½ 59 58¾ 59 413¼ (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00 49.30  
1  OWN THE TOWN 1 3 37 43 44¼ 48 513¾ (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.00 44% 1.30 0.60  
7  RIDING IN THE WIND 6 6 512 69¼ 611¼ 612 616½ (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 16.70  
SCR  GOLDEN TONE               (rivera xavier)TOLEDO S 123 3.50    
 
TDN-2   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOYI 2 6 42½ 32½   2nk 11¼ (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 1.80 66% 0.50 0.70 W
5  MARSICO 6 1 21½ 21   3.2 21¼ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
3  LOCKDOWN LOVER 4 3 11½ 11   1nk 34¼ (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50 5.80  
2  NAPA DUDE 1 7 64½ 54½   44¼ 45½ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 2.50 3.10  
4  FEVER DREAM 5 5 53 64½   66¾ 512 (rotunno)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 10% 9.30 15.90  
1A  EL BANDIDO 3 4 31½ 44   56¾ 612½ (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80 0.70  
6  ALTAIR 7 2 75 76   79¼ 714½ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 ★ 8.30  
 
TDN-3   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTACK ANGLE 1 3 12 12   12 1nk (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00 11.20  
2  OAKEN 2 4 32½ 33   32 2nk (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00 44% 1.30 0.30 P
4  WEST LEONARD 4 5 44 43   22 3¾ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60 S
6  BUCKEYE RUCKUS 5 1 54 56½   57½ 47 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 123 3.50 3.80  
3  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 3 2 22 22   43 57¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 22% 3.60 6.10  
SCR  OFTEN ENOUGH               (shanyfelt vale)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
 
TDN-4   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INTO GOLD 6 2 32 3½   11 11¾ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.50 37% 1.70 1.60 W
1  TURNING PAGES 1 4 1½ 1½   21 21¾ (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00 20% 3.90 1.00 P
3  RAISE THE PURSES 3 3 42 51¾   54¾ 34¼ (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 3.50 3.90  
4  TEAM LEYENDECKER 4 5 53 41½   44½ 44¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 11% 8.30 15.00  
2  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 2 6 2½ 2½   34½ 55½ (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 19.30  
5  KEEPING SCORE 5 1 63½ 61¾   65¼ 68½ (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 22.00  
 
TDN-5   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:121     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THRU THE VINE 2 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.00 57% 0.70 2.10 W
1  LATIN SPICE 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.00 20% 3.90 0.50 P
3  CUMBER 3 2 33½ 34½ 34 34½ 35¾ (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 12.80  
5  DISCLOSURE 5 5 58½ 59 48 47 48 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 6.40  
4  YOUVESAIDITALL 4 4 48 48½ 59 59 514½ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 123 2.50    
 
TDN-6   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIV'EM THE BIZ 2 4 1½ 11½   12½ 13¾ (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 53% 0.90 1.40 W
1  WILDCAT BILL 1 5 42 32½   22½ 23¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 22% 3.60 1.20 P
6  IMA BELIEVER 6 2 52 42½   44 34¾ (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 5% 19.00 45.30 S
3  TWINSPIREDJOEY 3 3 2½ 21½   32½ 45 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50 2.70  
4  THANKSDAD 4 1 31 52¾   58 510 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 5.00 13.40  
5  SEASONS END 5 6 614 613¼   613 613 (mavec kat)GONZALES J 114 15.00 68.40  
 
TDN-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AUGER 8 1 31 3.2   11 12¾ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 14% 6.00 5.20 W
3  FLIPPING FISH 3 4 41¼ 4¼   31½ 22¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 51% 1.00 0.80 P
6  FIRST CITIZEN 6 3 1nk 1nk   21 33½ (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 12% 7.70 3.00 S
5  ICON 5 6 62¾ 5¾   42½ 45¼ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 5.00 7.90  
7  LAUDA SPEED 7 2 2nk 2nk   53 57¾ (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 33.00  
2  ZELIG 2 8 74¼ 63¼   66½ 610¼ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00 11.50  
4  MAS CHIKILIN 4 5 52¼ 75¾   711 718½ (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
1  LOST IN MANHATTAN 1 7 811¼ 812¼   815 820 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 35.20  
 
TDN-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FLASH OF CHEROKEE 6 1 21 22   22 11¼ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 10% 9.00 3.10 W
  (by FLASHBACK out of LACA by CHEROKEE RUN)
2  FULL TIME STRUTIN 2 4 34 34   33 21¼ (gonz)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 2.50 1.30  
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  IMA SURE BET 5 2 44½ 45   46 32 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 11.60  
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SURE FOOT SUE by BRAHMS)
1  TEAM FEISTY 1 3 11 12   12 42¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 3.00 62% 0.60 1.50  
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of SHADES OF INDYGO by INDYGO SHINER)
4  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 3 5 56½ 512   516 525 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
  (by UNION RAGS out of MULTIPLAYER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SWAMP WITCH HADDY 4 6 69½ 615½   620 628¾ (syed riaz)GONZALES J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 68.30  
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of PYRITE GRAND SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  HONORABLE WOMAN               (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of YOU AXED ME by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  SOLDAT TEMPTATION               (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
  (by SOLDAT out of ADELIA by FOREST DANGER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.