Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OWN THE TOWN Jun13 May11 Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  RAMIRIN Jun14 May22 Dec14 Dec07 Nov29 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
3  SHELL FIRE Jun24 Jun14 May06 Nov28 Nov10 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.50    
4  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Jun07 May20 Nov22 Nov02 Oct06 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUCKY ANDY Jun27 May03 Nov29 Oct24 Oct03 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN TONE Jul11 Jun14 May27 May05 Apr16 (rivera a)TOLEDO S 123 3.50    
7  RIDING IN THE WIND Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr25 Sep30 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00    
 
TDN-2   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOYI Jun21 Jun06 May23 May03 Apr21 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 1.80 66% 0.50    
1A  EL BANDIDO Jun27         (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 1.80    
2  NAPA DUDE Jun21 Jun06 May06 Apr05 Mar22 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 2.50    
3  LOCKDOWN LOVER Jun27 Mar29 Aug03 Jul13 May26 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50    
4  FEVER DREAM Jun21         (rotunno s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 10% 9.30    
5  MARSICO Mar18 Feb18 Jul01 Jun11 May30 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALTAIR Jun27 Jun02 Feb26 Feb05 Jan18 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-3   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTACK ANGLE Jun26 Jan12       (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
2  OAKEN Jun27 Mar23 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Jun26 Jun07 May20 Apr26 Sep15 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
4  WEST LEONARD Jan17 Dec03 Oct24 Sep29 Sep15 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OFTEN ENOUGH Jun07 May31 May08 Apr27 Apr13 (shanyfelt valeri)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
6  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Jun26 Jun07 May08 Apr06 Mar14 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 123 3.50    
 
TDN-4   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNING PAGES Jun15 May16 Apr04 Mar20 Mar06 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
2  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jun27 Jun06 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
3  RAISE THE PURSES Jun10 May16 Dec29 Dec20 Nov22 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 3.50    
4  TEAM LEYENDECKER Jun24 Jan28 Jan05 Dec06 Oct24 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 11% 8.30    
5  KEEPING SCORE Jun10 May09 Apr26 Mar28 Feb13 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
6  INTO GOLD Jun27 May23 May08 Mar20 Feb15 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-5   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN SPICE Jul05 Jun15 May29 May17 May02 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  THRU THE VINE Jun21 May29 May10 May02 Apr15 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.00 57% 0.70    
3  CUMBER Jun13 May06 Mar30 Mar13 Feb08 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00    
4  YOUVESAIDITALL Jun24 Jan17 Jan03 Nov28 Nov08 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DISCLOSURE Jun13 May31 May10 Apr15 Mar22 (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00    
SCR  RAISON KARTER Jun21 Jun08 May10 Apr15 Apr03 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 123 2.50    
 
TDN-6   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT BILL Jun20 May25 Dec06 Nov12 Oct14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 22% 3.60    
2  GIV'EM THE BIZ Jun20 May23 May09 Apr24 Apr03 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  TWINSPIREDJOEY Jun07 May24 May03 Apr24 Apr03 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50    
4  THANKSDAD May24 May03 Mar22 Mar02 Jan31 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
5  SEASONS END Jun20 Oct14 Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 114 15.00    
6  IMA BELIEVER Jun20 May24 Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST IN MANHATTAN Jun05 May07 Apr22 Mar31 Mar09 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
2  ZELIG Jun05 Jan09 Nov28 Nov07 Oct22 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
3  FLIPPING FISH Jun24 Jun05 May23 May08 Apr15 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  MAS CHIKILIN Jun11 Jun01 Mar27 Mar02 Feb07 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ICON Jun24 Jun05 May20 May09 Apr27 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 5.00    
6  FIRST CITIZEN Jun15 May31 May10 May02 Apr11 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 12% 7.70    
7  LAUDA SPEED Jun24 Jun05 May08 Apr12 Mar23 (trevino s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00    
8  AUGER Jun24 Jun15 Jun01 May01 Apr12 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
TDN-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEAM FEISTY Jun18         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 3.00 62% 0.60    
2  FULL TIME STRUTIN Jun26 Jun07 May25 May11 Apr25 (gonzal)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 2.50    
SCR  HONORABLE WOMAN Jun17         (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
4  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL Jan01 Jan08       (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SWAMP WITCH HADDY Jun10 May30 Jul18 Jun25   (syed riaz)GONZALES J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Jun26 Jun10 May25 May03 Mar29 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
7  IMA SURE BET Jun26 Jun19 Jun07 May25 Mar01 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00    
8  FLASH OF CHEROKEE Jun26 Jun07 May11 Apr14 Mar16 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 10% 9.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.