Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $11.80  
TDN-2   Win (8/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.20  
TDN-3   Win (1/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-4   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-5   Win (1/3/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $49.00 $49.00 39.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DRAKE 1 7 79 6   5 1¾ (flores christ)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 4.90  
NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) 4 3 3 21   1nk 2¾ (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 6% 14.60 4.70 P
JOHNNY U 7 1 21 31   2nk 3 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 4.00 23% 3.40 2.20 S
ICONIC 2 5 4 4   4 4 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 36% 1.80 2.60  
DAD'S YANKEES 5 2 11 11   3.2 5 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5.00  
REINSURE 3 6 5 5   6 66 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 10% 8.90 9.40  
BULLION 6 4 66 7   7 713 (castillo jabdie)GUERERE ANGEL 123 8.00 24.80  
SCR  CALL WEST               (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
SCR  HEY SACH               (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00    
 
TDN-2   07/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :474       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMA K'S BOY 3 5 12 1   1 1¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 6.00 1.60  
VILLIAN 4 1 22 2   2 2¾ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.50 36% 1.80 0.80 P
JODHPUR 2 4 43 4   3 3 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 12.00 9% 9.90 20.20 S
GUESS AGAIN 1 3 33 3   4 410¼ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 4.00  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 5 2 5 517½   521½ 527½ (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 10.00 9% 9.90 13.30  
SCR  AFTER SUNRISE               (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 118 5.00    
SCR  JAC'S MUSIC               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 12.00    
SCR  MASONS FOREVER               (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 4.50    
SCR  TAHLEQUAH JOE               (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 15.00    
 
TDN-3   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING JEWEL 1 3 3 21   1½ 1 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 33% 2.10 0.90 W
EMERSON JONES 3 2 1 11   2½ 2 (skerrett jeffr)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 3.50 16% 5.30 5.60 P
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 8 6 64 4   4 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 18% 4.50 4.40 S
NICEASAKITTENSEYES 6 8 86 6   34 4 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 20.70  
BOSSY LADY 7 1 2 3   5 5 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 15.00 43.50  
APPEALING SENORITA 4 5 4 5   6 611 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 59.00  
MOBIL CHIC 2 7 75 8   78 711¾ (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 11% 7.90 18.30  
ANGEL WINGS 5 4 5 7   8 817¼ (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 3.40  
SCR  QUEENS TURN               (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAP TO MY HEART 3 2 1nk 1   110 112¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 1.80 41% 1.50 0.70 W
DOMINUS O'S ME 1 3 5 5   314 212¾ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 114 2.50 5.30  
ROLLIN RAVEN 2 5 31 2   210 319½ (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 17% 4.90 3.80 S
PENNY'S TREASURE 4 4 45 3   416 420¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00 19.90  
COUNTRY STYLE 5 1 2nk 4   517 532¼ (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 12% 7.50 3.00  
SCR  ONE MORE TANGO               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
 
TDN-5   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIER ONE 8 3 5 4   23 1nk (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00 23.50 W
1A  K KID 10 2 43 34   33 2nk (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 35% 1.90 0.40 P
FAST AS FAST CAN B 7 1 11 13   13 3 (guidry terr)BRICENO M 114 10.00 21.70  
YOU'RE OUT 6 5 6 7   510 47 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 41.20  
GOOD MUSIC 2 10 8 67   610½ 5 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 5.00 18.20  
CONSTITUTION COAL 4 6 21 23   46 6 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 115 8.00 8.10  
SWING STATE 9 8 107 1010¾   1013¼ 710 (brown glenroy)MEJIAS RICARDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
RAY'S EMPIRE 3 7 7 8   712 811½ (bernardini ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50 29% 2.50 6.50  
MAN'S CHOICE 1 9 96 9   912¾ 912 (zielinski richar)DIAZ I 117 2.50 0.40  
SOL DEL NORTE 5 4 3 57   812½ 1012½ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50 16% 5.10 10.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.