Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/5)-(3/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/5)-(3/9/4/5)-(3/9/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/4/5)-(8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/4/5)-(8/3/9)-(1/9/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (8/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/9)-(8/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/9)-(8/3/9)-(8/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9)-(1/9/3/2)-(3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/2)-(1/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/2)-(1/9/3/2)-(1/9/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/2)-(3/2/5)-(1/3/5/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(1/3/5/8/9)-(4/2/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/3/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/8/9)-(1/3/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/8/9)-(1/3/5/8/9)-(1/3/5/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/8/9)-(4/2/7/6)-(6/3/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/6)-(6/3/7/2)-(8/7/9/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/2)-(8/7/9/5/6)-(4/1/7/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TDN-8   WIN (8/7/9/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/5/6)-(8/7/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/5/6)-(8/7/9/5/6)-(8/7/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/9/5/6)-(4/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-9   WIN (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL WEST Jun24 Jun07 May15 May03 Apr15 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
2  THE DRAKE Jun15 May24 May03 Apr12 Jan24 (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
3  ICONIC Jun15 May17 Oct22 Sep12 Aug04 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 36% 1.80    
4  REINSURE Jun07 May20 May01 Mar27 Mar08 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 10% 8.90    
5  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Jun06 May22 May05 Mar30 Oct04 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 6% 14.60    
6  DAD'S YANKEES Dec08 Nov09 Oct04 Aug30   (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
7  BULLION Jun21 Jun07 May20 Feb27 Jan02 (castillo jabd)GUERERE ANGEL 123 8.00    
SCR  HEY SACH Jun21 May20 May09 Apr11 Feb20 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00    
9  JOHNNY U Jun21 May20 May03 Nov22 Oct24 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
TDN-2   07/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MASONS FOREVER         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 4.50    
  (by DRILL out of CINDINI by BERNARDINI)
2  GUESS AGAIN Jun23         (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  JODHPUR         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 12.00 9% 9.90    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LIL EGYPT by WAR CHANT)
SCR  TAHLEQUAH JOE Jun20         (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
5  MOMMA K'S BOY         (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 6.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
SCR  AFTER SUNRISE Jun20         (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 118 5.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  JAC'S MUSIC Jun20         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 12.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of MARIE'S MUSIC by STRAIGHT MAN)
8  VILLIAN Jun05         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
9  RIVERS OF DENIRO         (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 10.00 9% 9.90    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
 
TDN-3   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKLING JEWEL Jun17 Jun02 Apr27 Mar23 Oct29 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 33% 2.10    
2  MOBIL CHIC Jun15 May30 May17 Apr15 Mar30 (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 11% 7.90    
3  EMERSON JONES Jun12 May25 Apr27 Apr15 Mar23 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  QUEENS TURN Dec03 Oct12 Sep15     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00    
5  APPEALING SENORITA Jun24 Jun12 May10 Apr10 Mar23 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
6  ANGEL WINGS Jun15 May17 Feb15 Jan17 Dec15 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
7  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Jun15 May30 May17 Apr27 Apr12 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
8  BOSSY LADY May17 Apr27 Nov16 Sep23 Aug25 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
9  THE DEVIL'S DREAM May30 Feb15 Jan19 Dec01 Nov21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-4   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINUS O'S ME Jun01 May15 Apr25 Nov15 Oct29 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 2.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
2  ROLLIN RAVEN         (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of ROLLIN FOR MERCY by MERCER MILL)
3  MAP TO MY HEART May15 Apr21 Feb20 Jan29   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ODE TO SAMI by LION HEART)
4  PENNY'S TREASURE Jun01 May15       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WHYUGOTTABESOMEAN by POLLARD'S VISION)
5  COUNTRY STYLE Jun20 Jun01       (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  ONE MORE TANGO Jun20         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
 
TDN-5   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN'S CHOICE Jun05 May11 Apr25 Apr13 Mar09 (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 117 2.50    
1A  K KID Jun24 Jun02 May08 Apr06 Dec30 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  GOOD MUSIC May29 May11 Apr25 Mar09 Nov01 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 5.00    
3  RAY'S EMPIRE Jun19 May29 May11 Apr25 Apr13 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  CONSTITUTION COAL Jun02 May08 Mar30 Mar09 Feb21 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 8.00    
5  SOL DEL NORTE Aug01 Jul19 Jun30     (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50 16% 5.10    
6  YOU'RE OUT Jun02 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 May21 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
7  FAST AS FAST CAN B Apr25 Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 Jan04 (guidry te)BRICENO M 114 10.00    
8  TIER ONE Jun09 Jun01 May11 Apr25 Mar09 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SWING STATE Jun06 May17 Mar30 Mar02 Feb16 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNERGISTIC May29 May11 Apr25     (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
2  KNOCK WOOD Jun19 May29 May11     (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
3  MOR CRAFTY         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
4  ORFANO Dec19 Nov16 Oct10     (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
5  HARSH TRUTH Jun19 May29 May11 Mar09 Feb21 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  EL SORDO Jun19         (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  BAD BOY BOOGIE Feb21 Jan19 Dec19 Dec03 Nov16 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CAROLYN M. by GRAND REWARD)
 
TDN-7   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOT LEGGER Mar14 Mar01 Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 (londono odin )BRACHO A 119 12.00    
2  REANIMATE May15 Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FU ROO Dec12 Nov22 Oct31 Oct04 Sep14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 17% 4.70    
4  TIGER TRAIL Jun13 May09 Apr13 Nov03 Oct10 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
5  JACK BE FAST Jun07 May24 May09 Mar23 Mar01 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
6  ROYAL'D Jun15 May24 Dec03 Oct04 Aug18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 50% 1.00    
7  FOREIGN Jun13 Feb02 Jan16 Dec20 Nov17 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 6.00 6% 15.70    
8  HANSENATION Jun10 May24 May16 Apr27 Apr11 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
 
TDN-8   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATE IT UP Jun26 Jun01 May24 May15 May08 (tumblin a)GONZALES J 114 20.00    
2  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Nov12 Oct14 Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
3  KARAMEL CORN Jun07 Nov12 Oct12 Aug15 Jul13 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00    
4  TIDE RISING Jun20 May23 May08 Apr26 Apr04 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
5  WEEKEND BUZZ Nov12 Aug30 Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MA MOO POWER May20 Nov22 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  BABA LOOEY Jun07 May25 May08 Nov22 Oct14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
8  TRAITOR AMONGST US May20 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
9  ACCURATE Jun13 May24 May03 Apr06 Mar22 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 6% 15.40    
 
TDN-9   07/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER CAM Jun14 May22 May02 Apr12 Mar14 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
2  ACROSS THE AISLE Jun13 Mar02 Feb07 Jan30 Jan02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
3  WHISKEY ROAN Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr15 Feb25 (sweeting cra)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00    
4  SAMMY'S SMILE Jun19 Jun01 Nov12 Oct29 Sep15 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 4.50 55% 0.80    
5  APPRAISAL Jun12 May17 Apr08 Feb26 Dec21 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
6  PATIO PARTY Jun14 May22 May02 Apr11 Mar20 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MUGSY MALONE Jun10 Jun02 May12 Mar11 Dec30 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 5% 17.20    
8  SEE SPOT RUN Jun20 May30 May16 Feb19 Feb04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.