Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $18.00  
TDN-2   Win (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TDN-3   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.60  
TDN-4   Win (10/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
TDN-5   Win (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $5.00  
TDN-6   Win (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-7   Win (9/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.40  
TDN-8   Win (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-9   Win (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $30.60 $30.60 22.60

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSAS WAY 1 7 7 5 56 5 1½ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 8.00  
AULD LANGE SYNE 4 2 21 33 32 2½ 2½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 9.80  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 2 3 43 44 4 4 3 (londono odi)BRICENO M 116 5.00 15.30  
LEOMBRUNO 7 4 11 2nk 1nk 1½ 44 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 49% 1.00 5.80  
LAST DROP OF WINE 6 8 3 1nk 2nk 3 5 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 2.50 11% 7.70 1.30  
GILES 5 1 85 8 6 6 6 (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 3.00 19% 4.30 2.30  
ADANO 3 6 6 7 7 7 711½ (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
PERCENTAGE 8 5 5 6 8 812¾ 821½ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 23.00  
 
TDN-2   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE MARTHA 3 4 21 31   13 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00 17% 4.90 1.90 W
COURTLY 2 6 6 5   3 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 3.60  
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL 6 1 11 11   23 3 (johnson l)RIVERA R 119 15.00 13% 6.50 18.00 S
1A  BACKSPLASH 5 3 43 21   4 4 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 121 6.00 10.80  
RADIANTRITHYM 4 2 53 42   58 5 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 29% 2.40 1.40  
MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 1 5 3 6   610 614¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 7.30  
SCR  CAJUN DELIGHT               (skeens jeremy)AVILES YAN 123 5.00    
SCR  GRAN MAMIBELLA               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
SCR  SPECIAL BEACH               (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :46 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 1 5 4 3   31 1¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 4.30  
LUNCHATTHELIZARD 3 4 2nk 1½   1nk 2¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 12% 7.40 0.80 P
FAST CLIP 6 1 1nk 2½   2nk 3 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 17% 4.90 2.80 S
OXBOW'S RIDE 5 3 32 4   46 411¼ (patton luke)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 27.10  
GRANDE RED 2 6 58 5   5 512¼ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 1.80 42% 1.40 5.70  
KETTLE KING 4 2 6 6   6 612¾ (romero jose )SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00 24.30  
 
TDN-4   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:14     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SICILIAN STYLE TWO 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.50 32% 2.10 2.50 W
LEOLA 4 3 43 2 2 2 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 20% 3.90 3.90 P
TOM'S SPIRIT 5 2 2 6 5 4 3 (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 6.00 12% 7.10 2.40 S
POT COMMITTED 7 4 3 3 3 3 45 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 5.00 9.20  
SUCCEED 6 5 6 4 4 5 5 (cash l)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 9% 10.50 3.50  
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 2 6 5 84 6 67 610 (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 12.50  
TWELVE MINUS ONE 1 8 8 7 7 712 717¾ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 22.00  
ALWAYS SPRING 3 7 75 5 8 814 824¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 30.00 67.00  
SCR  EAST BY WEST               (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
SCR  O ROMEO               (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND PRIZE 3 2 1½ 1½   13 11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 1.50  
LITTLE BIRD FLASH 7 4 33 3   33 21 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.00 26% 2.90 2.40 P
KENNEDIE SKY 6 3 55 5   4 3 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 8.00 10% 8.70 17.40 S
ROMANTIC JEWEL 5 1 2½ 2½   23 4 (patt)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 30% 2.40 2.50  
BISCOTTINI 1 7 78 7   5 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 10% 9.40 5.80  
PROUD MAID MARIAN 2 6 6 6   7 66 (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00 25.20  
RUN KITTY 4 5 43 43   6 79 (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 41.30  
SCR  EASY EYES               (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50    
 
TDN-6   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIG 3 2 11 12   12 12 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 47% 1.10 1.10 W
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 1 5 4 44   22 22 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 4.90  
HIP HIP HOORAY 4 7 7 56   56 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 25% 3.10 1.60 S
DUKE OF DARKNESS 2 3 3 3   46 4 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 5% 19.00 10.80  
IT'S OFFICIAL 7 1 21 22   35 5 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
OL' L B 5 6 65 6   6 68 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 17.20  
TEAM HUCKY 6 4 5 7   79 710 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 8.00 28.90  
 
TDN-7   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:122     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO'S DREAM 4 3 14 1 1 12 1nk (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 3.20  
CYCLONE 7 5 48 4 2 22 2nk (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.00 44% 1.30 2.20 P
CENTSOFWANDER 2 6 510½ 5 44 33 3 (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00 9.40  
BOSS BEAR 3 2 711½ 712½ 7 6 4 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 1 34 2 33 4 5 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00 22% 3.50 5.10  
LAST COOKIE 5 7 611 610 6 59 610 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 110 20.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
REINVEST 6 4 24 34 5 711½ 716½ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 2.80  
SCR  DAWN WEST               (skeens jeremy)BRACHO A 121 15.00    
SCR  HIPPODROME               (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 3.00    
 
TDN-8   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE'S FIRE 1 6 41 3.2   11 12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 45% 1.20 0.40 W
WOODLAND WALK 4 2 2nk 1nk   21 22 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 24% 3.20 4.90 P
SO DIALED IN 7 1 3½ 4¼   44 3 (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 8.70  
IT'S YOUR CALL 2 7 52 5   55 44 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 6% 17.00 17.70  
IRISH UNITY 3 5 1nk 2nk   3 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
OBIWAN 5 4 64 6   67 6 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 8.40  
CREDIT RIVER 6 3 76 7   710 79 (castro a)BRACHO A 119 15.00 38.90  
SCR  DARK OAK               (davidovi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-9   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:22 :451 :582     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 7 7 6   4 1 (dubi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.30 W
LED TASSO 6 3 23 2   22 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 8.00 12% 7.20 4.40 P
ARMOR PIERCING 8 2 8 810   7 3 (diehl candace)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 15.00 41.50  
AWESOME ENOUGH 2 6 13 1   12 4 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 26% 2.90 1.50  
UNCLEJACKOMO 4 5 6 7   67 5 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 7.30  
MASTER 7 1 33 3   34 64 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5.00  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 5 4 4 4   5 7 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.00 38% 1.60 5.00  
STRONG AGAIN 1 8 5 5   8 8 (mckanas j)BRACHO A 119 10.00 8.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.