Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/3)-(7/6/8)-(2/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/8)-(7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8)-(2/6/3)-(10/5/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(10/5/7/8)-(5/8/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (10/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/7/8)-(10/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/7/8)-(10/5/7/8)-(10/5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/5/7/8)-(5/8/6/1)-(3/4/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/1)-(3/4/2/7)-(9/2/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(9/2/5/7)-(1/4/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-7   WIN (9/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/7)-(9/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/7)-(9/2/5/7)-(9/2/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5/7)-(1/4/2/3)-(5/2/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/3)-(5/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-9   WIN (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSAS WAY May28 May17 May06 Apr03 Mar16 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
2  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Jun13 May16 May01 Feb27 Feb01 (londono o)BRICENO M 116 5.00    
3  ADANO May17 Apr13 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AULD LANGE SYNE Jun14 May24 May16 Apr13 Mar27 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
5  GILES Jun24 May24 May06 Apr03 Mar14 (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  LAST DROP OF WINE Jun13 May17 May03 Nov08 Sep29 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 2.50 11% 7.70    
7  LEOMBRUNO Jun15 May29 May03 Sep12 Aug08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 49% 1.00    
8  PERCENTAGE Jun06 May17 Mar14 Feb09 Jan27 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BACKSPLASH Jun01 May22 May06 Mar28 Mar14 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 121 6.00    
SCR  SPECIAL BEACH Jun19 May31 May15 Mar29 Mar15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
2  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Jun01 May15 Mar29 Feb03 Jan11 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
3  COURTLY Jun21 Nov03 Oct04 Sep20 Aug16 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
SCR  GRAN MAMIBELLA Jun21 Jun01 May02 Apr10 Mar22 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
SCR  CAJUN DELIGHT Jun30 Jun14 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 (skeens jeremy)AVILES YAN 123 5.00    
6  DIVINE MARTHA Jun21 May30 May06 Apr24 Mar28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
7  RADIANTRITHYM Jun21 Jun01 May22 May06 Apr24 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
8  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Jun01 May22 Dec08 Nov03 Oct25 (johnson l)RIVERA R 119 15.00 13% 6.50    
 
TDN-3   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Jun15 May29 May16 Dec01 Nov01 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
2  GRANDE RED Mar13 Feb08 Jan09 Dec07 Sep12 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
3  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Jun06 May08 Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 12% 7.40    
4  KETTLE KING Jun20 Dec01 Oct10 Sep22 Sep05 (romero jos)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00    
5  OXBOW'S RIDE Jun20 May20 May08 Mar21 Mar01 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
6  FAST CLIP Jun20 May29 May11 Sep06 Aug18 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
TDN-4   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWELVE MINUS ONE Jun19 May25 May11 Apr25 Apr10 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  EAST BY WEST May23 Feb04 Jan12 Dec09   (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of NORMANDY'S NELL by MT. LIVERMORE)
3  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Jun19 May25 May16 May06 Apr05 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
4  ALWAYS SPRING Jun20 May29 May11 Nov09 Oct18 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 30.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of UNUSUAL SPRING by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  LEOLA Jun19 May29 May11 Apr30 Apr07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GLADIOLA by SHACKLEFORD)
SCR  O ROMEO May29 May11 Apr23 Apr08 Mar09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
  (by GARY D out of ROMANTIC JULIET by PUT IT BACK)
7  TOM'S SPIRIT Jun10 Nov03 Sep23     (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of TOMICA'S SPIRIT by OFFICER)
8  SUCCEED Jun03 May26 Apr29 Apr21 Mar24 (cash l)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 9% 10.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CULOTTE by SKY MESA)
9  POT COMMITTED Jun19 Dec21 Nov25 Nov05 Oct21 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 5.00    
  (by BAYERN out of MIDNIGHT EMBRACE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
10  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Jun14 Jun07 May25     (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by PROTONICO out of ADDIBEL LIGHTNING by COLONEL JOHN)
 
TDN-5   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISCOTTINI Jun14 May22 Apr26 Nov29 Oct03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  PROUD MAID MARIAN Jun14 Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 Dec08 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00    
3  GRAND PRIZE Jun12 May22 May09 Mar07 Jan04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50    
4  RUN KITTY Oct25 Oct10 Jun22 May10 Apr18 (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00    
5  ROMANTIC JEWEL Jun25 May22 May09 Apr26 Apr15 (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  KENNEDIE SKY Apr10 Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 Jul18 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  EASY EYES Jun12 May22 May09 Aug03 Jul20 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50    
8  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Mar14 Feb20 Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-6   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Jun15 May06 Dec03 Oct27 Sep22 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS Jun15 May15 Apr15 Feb20 Dec12 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  BRIG Jun15 May20 Sep01 Aug16 Jul25 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
4  HIP HIP HOORAY Jun02 May15 Apr04 Mar13 Jan30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 25% 3.10    
5  OL' L B Jun07 May20 Jan26 Jan09 Dec08 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
6  TEAM HUCKY Jun27 May23 Nov06 Oct27 Oct13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 8.00    
7  IT'S OFFICIAL Jun27 May03       (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   07/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAWN WEST Jun16 May20 May13 Apr13 Mar28 (skeens jeremy)BRACHO A 121 15.00    
2  R CARDINAL PRINCE Jun24 Jun06 May16 Apr27 Apr04 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  HIPPODROME Jun24 Jun06 May22 Nov09 Oct29 (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 3.00    
4  CENTSOFWANDER May30 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Feb21 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
5  BOSS BEAR Jun06 May16 Oct14 Aug31 Jul13 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AGNELLO'S DREAM Jun24 May30 May16 Apr27 Mar28 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00    
7  LAST COOKIE Jun24 Jun05 May17 Jan23 Dec30 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  REINVEST Jun11 Apr15 Mar22 Feb04   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50    
9  CYCLONE Jun24 Jun05 May16 Apr01 Mar12 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-8   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jun15 Jun02 May11 Jan02 Nov29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  IT'S YOUR CALL Jun06 May10 Apr04 Mar20 Feb28 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 6% 17.00    
3  IRISH UNITY Jun05 May16 May02 Mar27 Feb23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WOODLAND WALK Jun21 May08 Oct22 Aug23 Jul20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  OBIWAN Jun05 May10 Apr16 Mar31 Mar04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
SCR  DARK OAK Jun04 May22 May02 Feb28 Feb08 (davido)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
7  CREDIT RIVER May10 Apr15 Mar22 Feb08 Jan05 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
8  SO DIALED IN Jun26 May30 May08 Apr15 Mar22 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
 
TDN-9   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG AGAIN Jun18 Jun04 Apr07 Mar18 Feb18 (mckanas leon )BRACHO A 119 10.00    
2  AWESOME ENOUGH Jun10 May17 Apr16 Mar26 Mar11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jun13 May17 May06 Apr15 Mar23 (du)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNCLEJACKOMO Jun10 May30 May13 Apr11 Dec19 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50    
5  ONEMORANDTHECHECK May16 Apr27 Mar21 Jan23 Dec22 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  LED TASSO Jun06 May24 Apr26 Mar01 Nov25 (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 8.00 12% 7.20    
7  MASTER Jun10 May17 Mar21 Jan23 Jan03 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
8  ARMOR PIERCING Jun06 May05 Jan12 Dec07 Nov26 (diehl canda)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.