Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (4/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-2   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 4.40
TDN-3   Win (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
TDN-4   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.80  
TDN-6   Win (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TDN-7   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-8   Win (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $26.40  
TDN-9   Win (4/10/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
    Win (4/10/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CUTLER 2 5 31 1nk   14½ 110 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 43% 1.30 0.80 W
7  VALIANT THOR 4 2 2nk 3.2   35½ 210 (cady khalil)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 11.70  
3  UNCAPTURED PULSE 1 3 1nk 2nk   24½ 310¼ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 14% 6.10 7.40 S
9  T MONEY 6 1 52¾ 44¼   49 413¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 20% 3.90 1.80  
8  CUGINE 5 4 42½ 54¼   511½ 518 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00 15.80  
5  CANDY CRUSHEM 3 6 69¾ 610¼   613½ 619¾ (londono j)BRACHO A 119 15.00 13.40  
SCR  EL CARDINAL               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 10.00    
SCR  MR LIGHTNING BOY               (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-2   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:14     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VICTORY DIVISION 3 2 21½ 2½ 1nk 1½ 12¼ (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 2.50 22% 3.60 4.20 W
2  HENRY THE CAT 2 1 11½ 1½ 2nk 2½ 22¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.00 23% 3.30 1.00 P
1  SAMMY DA BULL 1 3 42½ 42 44 45 34¾ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 15.40  
5  MANGA MAN 4 5 53½ 52½ 55 55 45¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 2.00 3.10  
6  TIZ A RUSH 5 4 32 31½ 31 33½ 56¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 30% 2.40 3.00  
SCR  DEER CREEK ROAD               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RECKLESS L J 3 4 31 31   1½ 15¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 14% 5.90 3.20 W
2  POWERFUL PHIL 2 3 1nk 11   2½ 25¾ (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 2.50 49% 1.00 2.20 P
7  STONE COLD CAT 7 2 77¼ 76¼   45 36 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 8.00 2.50  
1  SHOW SLIDING HOME 1 5 41¼ 21   33 46¼ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 11.60  
6  SWEET LEMON DROP 6 1 51¾ 41½   55 510¼ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 7% 12.40 9.60  
5  OHIO PLAYER 5 7 62¼ 62¼   66½ 613½ (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
4  OHIO MUNNY 4 6 2nk 52   79½ 723 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 8.40  
 
TDN-4   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MORE LOVE 5 1 11 12   15 13¾ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.50 55% 0.80 0.60 W
7  ATILANO 6 2 31 22   25 23¾ (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 10.90  
3  O ROMEO 3 4 21 34½   310 313¾ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 4.20  
2  AURA OF GOLD 2 3 42 46   411 414¼ (madrigal rodrigo)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 8% 11.40 17.10  
4  FALK 4 6 56 56½   511 516 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 3.40  
1  HEART OF AN ANGEL 1 5 66¼ 614½   625 637¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 16% 5.40 13.50  
SCR  ALTAIR               (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VISUAL MISSION 6 2 55 54 51¾ 1nk 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 4.00 3.40  
3  SEND ME ON 3 3 43½ 42½ 31½ 3½ 2½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 12% 7.00 0.70 P
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 5 33 32 21 41 31¾ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 13.70  
2  SPEEDY MOBILE 2 1 11½ 11 11 2nk 43¼ (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 14.10  
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 4 4 21½ 21 41½ 53 57½ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 12% 7.20 9.90  
1  DOUGS MORNING PICK 1 6 66½ 64½ 65¾ 67 67½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 35% 1.80 3.90  
SCR  UNBRIDLED CAUSE               (morales m)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SILENCING 5 3 42¾ 31   1nk 14½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 36% 1.80 2.50 W
7  BANK BUSTER 4 1 2nk 1nk   3.2 24½ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 2.90  
3  ROWDY DAISY 1 5 1nk 2nk   2nk 35½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 26% 2.90 1.10 S
5  LADY GIULIANA 3 2 3.2 45½   46¼ 49¾ (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 15.00 4.00  
4  LITTLE EMPIRE 2 4 52¾ 58   59¾ 513¾ (reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 10% 8.70 32.10  
SCR  CONTESSINA               (johnson l)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
SCR  MISS MARY JEAN               (urieta joha)BRICENO M 112 15.00    
SCR  SURPRISED GEM               (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
 
TDN-7   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BACK TO OHIO 6 2 22 2½   2nk 12 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 115 1.80 25% 3.00 1.10 W
5  WINE ME UP BABY 5 1 12 1½   1nk 22 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 8% 11.00 19.90 P
4  CANDLELIGHT HOURS 4 5 43½ 32½   32 33 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 121 3.00 3.20  
3  AMADEVIL 3 3 33 45½   43½ 44¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.60 36% 1.80 1.40  
1  AUJARA 1 6 613 613   69¼ 510 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 22.00  
2  LIONISTIC 2 4 54 57½   59 617½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00 52.50  
 
TDN-8   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIBERTY BELLE 5 4 11½ 11½ 11 11½ 1¾ (londono j)BRACHO A 119 12.00 12.20  
1  BLUSHING BETTY 1 1 63¼ 42½ 21 21½ 2¾ (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 45% 1.20 2.30 P
2  PRINCESS HALIME 2 6 53 63 51¾ 44 34½ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 14% 6.10 3.70 S
7  RENO TOUCH 7 2 21½ 21½ 31 32½ 45 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 20% 3.90 1.50  
4  KINGSTON TIME 4 3 31½ 32 41¼ 54 57¼ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 114 3.50 6.50  
6  BLAZING ZENNA 6 5 42½ 52½ 62¾ 64½ 610 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
3  RIPLEY EFFECT 3 7 73¾ 73½ 75¾ 79½ 719 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 25.00  
 
TDN-9   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THE EQUINEST 8 1 41¾ 3.2   11 14½ (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 22% 3.60 2.80 W
9  SILVER MATT 7 2 31½ 41¼   21 14½ (romero oscar)DIAZ I 119 15.00 21% 3.90 1.90 W
4  BON DEUX 3 3 1nk 1nk   41½ 34½ (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 121 3.50 22% 3.50 3.40 S
8  FAST CALL 6 6 63¼ 63¾   54 45¼ (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 8.40  
3  UNCAPTURED LYON 2 5 2nk 2nk   31 56¾ (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 9.50  
7  DOMI 5 8 86¾ 86¾   86¾ 68¼ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 10.00 11.10  
1  DRINKSONTHEBEACH 1 7 75¾ 75¾   76½ 79¼ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 18.90 9.80  
6  KRAZY HAWK 4 4 51¾ 53¼   64½ 89½ (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00 42.90  
SCR  DOMINAR               (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00    
SCR  GETTIN DOWN               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 114 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.