The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (3/4/9)-(3/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-7 2 0 $19.40 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/9)-(3/4/9)-(3/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-7-3 3 0 $90.20 -6.00
TDN-2   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 4.40
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2 2 1 $19.40 $19.40 13.40
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2-1 3 0 $58.90 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/4/9)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 4-3 2 1 $13.20 $13.20 4.20
TDN-3   Win (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
    Exacta (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-2 2 1 $11.40 $11.40 -0.60
    Trifecta (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-2-7 3 0 $42.40 -24.00
    Pick Three (3/4/9)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 4-3-3 3 1 $72.90 $72.90 36.90
TDN-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-7 2 0 $8.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-7-3 3 0 $31.50 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 3-3-5 3 1 $67.30 $67.30 31.30
TDN-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.80 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-3 2 0 $8.40 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-3-5 3 0 $50.70 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/3/5/6)-(1/2/5)-(1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 3-5-7 3 0 $35.00 -36.00
TDN-6   Win (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
    Exacta (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 8-7 2 0 $12.10 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 8-7-3 3 0 $28.50 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(1/3/4)-(3/4/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 5-7-8 3 0 $27.00 -27.00
TDN-7   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5 2 1 $24.70 $24.70 18.70
    Trifecta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5-4 3 0 $53.80 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(3/4/8)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 7-8-6 3 0 $28.90 -27.00
TDN-8   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $26.40 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-1 2 0 $43.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-1-2 3 0 $202.30 -24.00
    Pick Three (3/4/8)-(3/5/6)-(1/2/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 8-6-5 3 0 $230.20 -36.00
TDN-9   Win (1/4/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
    Win (1/4/9/10) 10 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 7.60
    Exacta (1/4/9/10)-(1/4/9/10) 10-9 2 1 $6.40 $6.40 6.40
    Exacta (1/4/9/10)-(1/4/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-10 2 1 $5.90 $5.90 -6.10
    Trifecta (1/4/9/10)-(1/4/9/10)-(1/4/9/10) 10-9-4 3 1 $19.70 $19.70 19.70
    Trifecta (1/4/9/10)-(1/4/9/10)-(1/4/9/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 9-10-4 3 1 $14.40 $14.40 -9.60
    Daily Double (1/2/6/7)-(1/4/9/10) 5-10 2 0 $25.30 0.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/7)-(1/4/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 5-9 2 0 $30.90 -16.00
    Pick Three (3/5/6)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/4/9/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 6-5-9/10 3 0 $125.70 -48.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
:223 :461 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTLER 2 5 31 1nk   1110 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 43% 1.30 0.80 W
VALIANT THOR 4 2 2nk 3.2   3210 (cady khalil)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 11.70  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 1 3 1nk 2nk   2310¼ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 14% 6.10 7.40 S
T MONEY 6 1 5 4   49 413¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 20% 3.90 1.80  
CUGINE 5 4 4 5   511½ 518 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00 15.80  
CANDY CRUSHEM 3 6 6 610¼   613½ 619¾ (londono j)BRACHO A 119 15.00 13.40  
SCR  EL CARDINAL               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 10.00    
SCR  MR LIGHTNING BOY               (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-2   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:244 :491 1:14     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY DIVISION 3 2 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 1(schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 2.50 22% 3.60 4.20 W
HENRY THE CAT 2 1 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 2(meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.00 23% 3.30 1.00 P
SAMMY DA BULL 1 3 4 42 44 45 3(faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 15.40  
MANGA MAN 4 5 5 5 55 55 4(guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 2.00 3.10  
TIZ A RUSH 5 4 32 3 31 35(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 30% 2.40 3.00  
SCR  DEER CREEK ROAD               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:224 :462 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS L J 3 4 31 31   1½ 1(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 14% 5.90 3.20 W
POWERFUL PHIL 2 3 1nk 11   2½ 2(morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 2.50 49% 1.00 2.20 P
STONE COLD CAT 7 2 7 7   45 36 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 8.00 2.50  
SHOW SLIDING HOME 1 5 4 21   33 4(john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 11.60  
SWEET LEMON DROP 6 1 5 4   55 510¼ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 7% 12.40 9.60  
OHIO PLAYER 5 7 6 6   6613½ (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
OHIO MUNNY 4 6 2nk 52   7723 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 8.40  
 
TDN-4   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE LOVE 5 1 11 12   15 1(jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.50 55% 0.80 0.60 W
ATILANO 6 2 31 22   25 2(lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 10.90  
O ROMEO 3 4 21 3   310 313¾ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 4.20  
AURA OF GOLD 2 3 42 46   411 414¼ (madrigal rodrigo)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 8% 11.40 17.10  
FALK 4 6 56 5   511 516 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 3.40  
HEART OF AN ANGEL 1 5 6 614½   625 637¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 16% 5.40 13.50  
SCR  ALTAIR               (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:234 :48 1:13     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISUAL MISSION 6 2 55 54 5 1nk 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 4.00 3.40  
SEND ME ON 3 3 4 4 3 3½ 2½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 12% 7.00 0.70 P
SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 5 33 32 21 41 3(urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 13.70  
SPEEDY MOBILE 2 1 1 11 11 2nk 4(zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 14.10  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 4 4 2 21 4 53 5(romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 12% 7.20 9.90  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 1 6 6 6 6 67 6(zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 35% 1.80 3.90  
SCR  UNBRIDLED CAUSE               (morales m)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
:23 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENCING 5 3 4 31   1nk 1(johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 36% 1.80 2.50 W
BANK BUSTER 4 1 2nk 1nk   3.2 2(morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 2.90  
ROWDY DAISY 1 5 1nk 2nk   2nk 3(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 26% 2.90 1.10 S
LADY GIULIANA 3 2 3.2 4   44(skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 15.00 4.00  
LITTLE EMPIRE 2 4 5 58   5513¾ (reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 10% 8.70 32.10  
SCR  CONTESSINA               (johnson l)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
SCR  MISS MARY JEAN               (urieta joha)BRICENO M 112 15.00    
SCR  SURPRISED GEM               (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
 
TDN-7   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:22 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO OHIO 6 2 22 2½   2nk 12 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 115 1.80 25% 3.00 1.10 W
WINE ME UP BABY 5 1 12 1½   1nk 22 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 8% 11.00 19.90 P
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 4 5 4 3   32 33 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 121 3.00 3.20  
AMADEVIL 3 3 33 4   44(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.60 36% 1.80 1.40  
AUJARA 1 6 613 613   6510 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 22.00  
LIONISTIC 2 4 54 5   59 617½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00 52.50  
 
TDN-8   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:242 :483 1:133     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY BELLE 5 4 1 1 11 11¾ (londono j)BRACHO A 119 12.00 12.20  
BLUSHING BETTY 1 1 6 4 21 22¾ (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 45% 1.20 2.30 P
PRINCESS HALIME 2 6 53 63 5 44 3(yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 14% 6.10 3.70 S
RENO TOUCH 7 2 2 2 31 345 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 20% 3.90 1.50  
KINGSTON TIME 4 3 3 32 4 54 5(urieta joha)BRICENO M 114 3.50 6.50  
BLAZING ZENNA 6 5 4 5 6 6610 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
RIPLEY EFFECT 3 7 7 7 7 7719 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 25.00  
 
TDN-9   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
:23 :473 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THE EQUINEST 8 1 4 3.2   11 1(bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 22% 3.60 2.80 W
SILVER MATT 7 2 3 4   21 1(romero oscar)DIAZ I 119 15.00 21% 3.90 1.90 W
BON DEUX 3 3 1nk 1nk   43(rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 121 3.50 22% 3.50 3.40 S
FAST CALL 6 6 6 6   54 4(bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 8.40  
UNCAPTURED LYON 2 5 2nk 2nk   31 5(rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 9.50  
DOMI 5 8 8 8   86(mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 10.00 11.10  
DRINKSONTHEBEACH 1 7 7 7   77(londono j)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 18.90 9.80  
KRAZY HAWK 4 4 5 5   68(cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00 42.90  
SCR  DOMINAR               (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00    
SCR  GETTIN DOWN               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 114 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.