Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/3)-(4/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/3)-(4/9/3)-(4/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/9/3)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/9/3)-(6/2/3)-(2/3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/3/6/5)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/5)-(5/1/2)-(1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/3/4)-(8/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(8/3/4)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4)-(3/6/5)-(1/7/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(1/7/2/6)-(4/10/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(4/10/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-9   WIN (4/10/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/9/1)-(4/10/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/9/1)-(4/10/9/1)-(4/10/9/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR LIGHTNING BOY Jun10 Mar29 Feb08 Jan25 Jan04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN Jun15 May15 May03 Jan31 Jan18 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
3  UNCAPTURED PULSE Mar28 Mar14 Jan02 Dec20 Dec03 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
4  CUTLER Jun24 Jun05 May08 Sep22 Sep05 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  CANDY CRUSHEM Nov28 Nov08 Oct25 Oct14 Sep05 (londono odin )BRACHO A 119 15.00    
SCR  EL CARDINAL Jun27 May23 May07 Apr27 Oct27 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 10.00    
7  VALIANT THOR Nov27 Nov07 Oct24 Oct16 Oct06 (cady khalil)TOLEDO S 119 4.00    
8  CUGINE Jun13 Feb07 Jan12 Nov21 Nov08 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00    
9  T MONEY Jun07 Dec27 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
TDN-2   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMMY DA BULL Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr27 Mar27 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
2  HENRY THE CAT May08 Mar23 Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  VICTORY DIVISION Jun24 Jun01 May23 May03 Apr06 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  DEER CREEK ROAD Jun10 May15 Apr27 Mar27 Feb20 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
5  MANGA MAN May23 May08 Jan11 Dec03 Nov12 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 2.00    
6  TIZ A RUSH May20 Sep20 Sep07 Jul25 Jun30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
TDN-3   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW SLIDING HOME Jun06 Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 Feb21 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
2  POWERFUL PHIL Jun20 Jun07 May23 May08 Dec21 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
3  RECKLESS L J May24 Apr26 Mar09 Feb13 Jan17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 14% 5.90    
4  OHIO MUNNY May22 Apr25 Mar22 Feb13 Jan23 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50    
5  OHIO PLAYER Jun15 Mar22 Mar09 Feb13 Jan23 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEET LEMON DROP Jun07 May31 May08 Dec06 Nov12 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 7% 12.40    
7  STONE COLD CAT May15 Apr27 Mar27 Mar09 Feb09 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 8.00    
 
TDN-4   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART OF AN ANGEL         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by BAPTISTRY out of ANGEL SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
2  AURA OF GOLD Jun21 May29 May11 Apr25 Mar22 (madrigal rodri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 8% 11.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
3  O ROMEO May29 May11 Apr23 Apr08 Mar09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.00    
  (by GARY D out of ROMANTIC JULIET by PUT IT BACK)
4  FALK May29 Apr21 Mar15 Feb01 Jan14 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
5  MORE LOVE Jun21 May29       (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TRASHI DIVA by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ALTAIR Jun27 Jun02 Feb26 Feb05 Jan18 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of STAR DANCING by GRAYDAR)
7  ATILANO May11 Apr25 Apr10 Aug23   (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
 
TDN-5   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUGS MORNING PICK Jun13 May22 May08 Mar22 Mar08 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  SPEEDY MOBILE Jun13 May08 Apr04 Feb28 Jan10 (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
3  SEND ME ON Jun02 May08 Nov15 Sep05 Aug18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 12% 7.00    
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Jun10 Apr25 Apr06 Mar22 Mar09 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD Jun27 Mar27 Mar09 Jan11 Dec12 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jun27 Jun06 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 15.00    
7  VISUAL MISSION Jun13 Jun02 May16 May08 Mar20 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
 
TDN-6   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONTESSINA Jun20 Nov21 Nov07 Oct10 Sep18 (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
SCR  SURPRISED GEM May10 Apr09 Apr02 Mar22 Mar16 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
3  ROWDY DAISY May25 May04 Apr14 Mar25 Mar02 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
4  LITTLE EMPIRE May25 Dec08 Oct05 Aug24 Aug10 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 12.00 10% 8.70    
5  LADY GIULIANA Jun20 May25 May10 Apr25 Mar23 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 15.00    
SCR  MISS MARY JEAN Jun10 May31 May11 Apr24 Mar27 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 112 15.00    
7  BANK BUSTER Jun26 Jun07 May25 Apr22 Apr12 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00    
8  SILENCING Jun13 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Oct31 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-7   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUJARA Jun21 Jun01 May20 May10 Apr26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
2  LIONISTIC Jun27 Jun02 May15 Dec07 Nov21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
3  AMADEVIL Jun02 Oct29 Oct06 Sep08 Jul27 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
4  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jun27 May30 May11 Apr25 Sep27 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 121 3.00    
5  WINE ME UP BABY Jun27 Jun02 Apr27 Apr11 Mar02 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 8% 11.00    
6  BACK TO OHIO Oct29 Oct03 Aug13 Jul08 Jun23 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 115 1.80 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-8   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUSHING BETTY Jun13 May30 May15 Apr24 Feb08 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  PRINCESS HALIME May31 May22 May06 Apr24 Mar22 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  RIPLEY EFFECT Jun14 May20 May05 Apr15 Mar19 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
4  KINGSTON TIME Jun13 May31 Apr27 Dec28 Nov21 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 3.50    
5  LIBERTY BELLE Jun13 May31 Apr13 Feb28 Feb06 (londono odin )BRACHO A 119 12.00    
6  BLAZING ZENNA Jun13 May22 May09 Apr05 Mar14 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  RENO TOUCH May30 May15 Apr24 Feb28 Jan04 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
TDN-9   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINKSONTHEBEACH May24 May17 Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  GETTIN DOWN Jun15 May25 Apr27     (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 114 2.50    
3  UNCAPTURED LYON Jun21 Jun06 May17 Mar15 Nov23 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
4  BON DEUX Jun24 Jun06 May23 May06 Apr15 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  DOMINAR May31         (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00    
6  KRAZY HAWK Nov13 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 Aug29 (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
7  DOMI Jun20 May29 May06 Apr03 Feb22 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 10.00    
8  FAST CALL Aug18 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00    
9  SILVER MATT Jun11 May24 May08 Mar06 Feb23 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 119 15.00 21% 3.90    
10  THE EQUINEST Jun13 Jun06 May17 May08 Mar20 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.