The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-4 2 1 $16.00 $16.00 4.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-4-2 3 0 $41.80 -12.00
PID-2   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
    Exacta (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $89.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6-4 3 0 $248.20 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-5 2 1 $34.60 $34.60 16.60
PID-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $12.60 -4.00
    Exacta (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4-1 2 0 $24.40 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 4-1-6 3 0 $36.40 0.00
    Daily Double (4/5/2)-(1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-4 2 0 $74.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(4/5/2)-(1/5) 18 $2.00 $36.00 6-5-4 3 0 $382.00 -36.00
PID-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
    Exacta (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5-6 2 1 $14.00 $14.00 10.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 5-6-4 3 0 $71.60 0.00
    Daily Double (1/5)-(5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4-5 2 0 $38.40 -8.00
    Pick Three (4/5/2)-(1/5)-(5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-4-1/5 3 0 $96.20 -24.00
PID-5   Win (4/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
    Exacta (4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-3 2 1 $30.00 $30.00 6.00
    Trifecta (4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-3-5 3 0 $132.40 -48.00
    Daily Double (5/6)-(4/2/8/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 5-4 2 1 $6.60 $6.60 -9.40
    Daily Double (5/6)-(4/2/8/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 5-6 2 0 $2.60 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/5)-(5/6)-(4/2/8/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-1/5-4/6 3 0 $38.60 -32.00
PID-6   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $50.40 -6.00
    Exacta (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-2 2 0 $216.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-2-3 3 0 $1058.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (4/2/8/3)-(4/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-5 2 0 $248.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (5/6)-(4/2/8/3)-(4/3/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1/5-4/6-5 3 0 $202.00 -48.00
PID-7   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $21.20 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $58.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4-5 3 0 $284.80 -12.00
    Daily Double (4/3/1)-(3/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 5-1 2 0 $222.40 -18.00
    Pick Three (4/2/8/3)-(4/3/1)-(3/4/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 4/6-5-1 3 0 $548.60 -72.00
PID-8   Win (4/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $28.20 $28.20 20.20
    Exacta (4/7/8/6)-(4/7/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-9 2 0 $891.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/7/8/6)-(4/7/8/6)-(4/7/8/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-9-5 3 0 $5000.60 -48.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6)-(4/7/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-6 2 0 $75.20 -24.00
    Pick Three (4/3/1)-(3/4/6)-(4/7/8/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 5-1-6 3 0 $1337.80 -72.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:224 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN MISSION 6 1 21 2nk   2nk 1(lucarelli )MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 18% 4.70 2.00 W
PEEP'S DAY 4 2 4 4   31 2(fennessy john)WALKER M 119 4.00 25% 3.00 1.80 P
WINDY CITY GIRL 2 6 5 5   53 3(bowersock maria)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 4.60  
UP IN ARMS 3 4 3 31   44(hamm timothy)STANLEY O 124 2.00 27% 2.70 4.80  
EMERALD CITADELLE 1 3 11 1nk   1nk 5(wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 6.00 5.50  
AMAZON LIZZIE 5 5 6 6   66(grace john)AYALA J 124 10.00 30.50  
 
PID-2   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
:22 :453 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLATINUM SKY 5 3 37 3   1nk 1(kintz matthew)ALLEN D 122 2.00 19% 4.30 3.90 W
NOT ORBINARY 6 4 69 6   52(guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 13.00  
TIDAL WATERS 4 2 2 22   31 3(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 42% 1.40 1.30 S
ODD GAL 2 6 5 57   449 (depasquale kimb)WALKER M 122 6.00 15% 5.60 3.60  
LADY MARVEL 1 1 1 12   2nk 510¾ (skawinski a)ALLEN M 122 3.00 2.70  
SUNDRENCHED 3 5 47 4   6614½ (connelly teresa)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 37.40  
 
PID-3   08/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
:231 :462 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY TRIPPER 3 2 22 2   1nk 1(barron rory)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 117 6.00 5.30  
LUCKY SMILE 1 3 12 1   2nk 2(cheeks kat)MARTINEZ A 124 1.40 45% 1.20 0.30 P
GOVERNOR ATWOOD 5 1 33 4   33(russell randal)AYALA J 124 3.00 6.50  
NICE STAR 2 5 4 3   42 4(fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 12.00 36.30  
CLOSE KNIT 4 4 54 56   58 518½ (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 16% 5.20 5.00  
SCR  DRINKSONTHEBEACH               (winters michelle)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00    
 
PID-4   08/22/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:251 :493 1:133 1:39   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIPPE 4 1 2 1½ 11 11 1(rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.60 72% 0.40 0.30 W
CHALCOLITHIC 5 5 32 3½ 21 21 2(spanabel r)WALES GARY 117 6.00 5% 19.00 10.50 P
NO SNIVELING 3 2 1 2½ 4 33 35 (winters michelle)HOUGHTON D 122 12.00 22.20  
JEFF'S ANGEL 1 4 53 5 3 43 4(kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 5.40  
SCOOP THERE IT IS 2 3 43 4 5 5511¾ (pappada m)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 5.50  
SCR  SAILOR'S SALUTE               (carr-rozantz cat)ALLEN D 122 3.00    
 
PID-5   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:23 :464 :584     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERTAIN 4 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 12 (hendriks r)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 63% 0.60 1.10 W
CHANGE THE HOUR 3 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 22 (russell ra)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50 P
JOYFUL GHOST 5 6 6 5   33(rice linda)AYALA J 119 4.00 2.90  
ON AN ISLAND 2 3 5 4   44(judd cassandra)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 7% 13.20 2.70  
GURT'S WARRIOR 1 5 32 31   5510½ (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 112 5.00 10.60  
PITON 6 1 42 6   6617¾ (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 12.00 82.60  
SHEP 7 7 7 7   7724½ (markgraf david)ALLEN D 124 6.00 5% 17.60 31.50  
SCR  DOUBLE WARRIOR               (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00    
 
PID-6   08/22/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:264 :522 1:174 1:301   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOCA MONSTER 5 1 11 1½ 11 1½ 1nk (cooper thomas)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00 24.20  
WARRIOR'S PLACE 2 4 5 3 4 2½ 2nk (west w)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 1.50  
DIAMONDHARD STONE 3 3 21 4 21 3½ 3¾ (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 119 3.00 10% 8.80 5.40 S
FREDDY'S MUSIC 4 2 42 5 5 4¾ 4(dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 2.00 63% 0.60 1.10  
EAST BY WEST 1 6 6 63 6 65(winters michelle)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
GEMINI MOON 6 5 31 2½ 31 56(depasquale kimb)WALKER M 124 4.00 7.20  
SCR  BRADY               (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 8.00    
 
PID-7   08/22/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
:231 :463 1:114 1:373   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARANAC (FR) 1 6 56 5 5 2nk 1(hodsdon da)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 9.60  
EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE 4 5 66 6 4 1nk 2(trombetta michael )MARTINEZ W 122 1.60 22% 3.60 0.80 P
RIBBONS AND MEDALS 5 1 4 4 3 536 (diodoro robertino)SPIETH S 122 6.00 6.20  
PAYNTED WARRIOR 2 4 1½ 11 11 31 4(girten tim)MARTINEZ A 117 8.00 15.80  
GROUNDED 3 3 2½ 21 21 4511 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 50% 1.00 2.00  
STRIKE APPEAL 6 2 32 32 6 6616¼ (winters michelle)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 6% 16.50 19.80  
 
PID-8   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:224 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAPITI WAY 6 5 31 42   31½ (amaya joan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00 7% 13.30 13.10 W
MARGARITA SUNRISE 9 1 1½ 11   11 2½ (tasso mark)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 58.60  
LORD OF LEGENDS 5 2 41 32   21 3½ (buhrow d)STANLEY O 124 4.50 6.00  
HE'S ON THE FLY 2 3 74 53   54(skawinski carol)MORALES PABLO 122 12.00 19.00  
ANOTHER BREEZE 1 7 8 7   65(potts g)WALKER M 122 8.00 8.80  
GREAT BLAKE 4 4 5 6   76(hoffman ma)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 46% 1.20 1.30  
SOUTH SEA 8 9 2½ 21   47(rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 8% 10.90 4.10  
EXPRESS PHAROAH 7 6 6 8   88(bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 6.00 16% 5.10 4.50  
WORBOTHOR 3 8 9 9   99(roman d)AYALA J 122 15.00 41.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.