Handicappers' Race Results
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Finger Lakes
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FL-1   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.50 $8.50 2.50
FL-2   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
FL-3   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
FL-4   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
FL-5   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.60  
FL-6   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
FL-7   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
FL-8   Win (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
Simulator Race results
 
FL-1   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRODUCTION CREDIT 1 2 12½ 13   14 14½ (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 3.50 14% 6.00 3.25 W
4  MIAMI CHROME 4 6 44 33   24 24½ (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 2.50 2.55  
2  NUTSIE 2 4 33½ 44   38½ 36 (loaiza ilmar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 2.45  
5  CANDY ZIP 5 5 66 57   48½ 48 (smith troy)HARKIE K 124 2.00 61% 0.60 1.90  
3  DR. LLOYD 3 3 22½ 23   58¾ 514¼ (dominguez carlo)DAVILA A 124 6.00 22.40  
6  SMOKIN' ALONE 6 1 55 69½   618¾ 623 (sabine t)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 27.75  
 
FL-2   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUN DIEM Z 2 4 13 15   18½ 19½ (handal ray)DAVIS A 120 2.00 13% 6.60 0.75 W
6  IRON HORIZON 5 3 33½ 25   28½ 29½ (d'alessandro r)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 6.00 12.40  
3  UNCLE MILTIE 3 1 55½ 511½   415 311 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 113 3.50 55% 0.80 2.50 S
1  DANCING WITH RICO 1 5 44½ 35½   39 412½ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 2.50 3.60  
4  GREEK EASTER 4 2 23 46½   515½ 519½ (lecesse michael)VIVES SOFIA 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
SCR  NOAH'S DESTINY               (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
 
FL-3   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLYING EMPEROR 4 3 11 11   13½ 13½ (wright james)DE EMANUEL 121 1.60 29% 2.40 1.25 W
1  CAJUN CASANOVA 3 2 45½ 46½   36 23½ (ferraro m )DAVIS A 124 3.00 3.30  
5  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY 5 1 21 21   23½ 34½ (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.50 15% 5.70 2.20 S
2  BETA 1 4 56 57   47 45 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.00 30% 2.40 4.90  
3  WRITER'S REGRET 2 5 34½ 35½   57 55 (d'alessandro r)HARKIE K 124 8.00 12.50  
SCR  UNFLAPPABLE MAX               (ferraro anthony)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.00    
 
FL-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALPHA CHI RHO 3 3 32 32   3½ 12¾ (magee kieron)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.00 26% 2.90 1.35 W
5  THE INSTITUTE 4 1 22 21   1½ 22¾ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 5.00 5% 19.00 4.20 P
6  FATHER WALSH 5 2 12 11   2½ 37½ (barrow paul)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 1.80  
2  SAMAY (PER) 2 4 510 513   510½ 48½ (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 10.00 17.40  
1  N Y ANTHEM 1 5 45 45   46½ 511¼ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 2.50 47% 1.10 3.95  
SCR  BREAKING STONES               (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50    
 
FL-5   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:133 1:403   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ACH DU LIEBER 4 6 68½ 66½ 32½ 1nk 1½ (breed jr)DAVILA A 122 5.00 3.30  
3  HIGH TONE 3 5 32½ 32 1½ 2nk 2½ (gutterson katl)HARKIE K 122 1.80 20% 4.10 2.35 P
2  CO CONSPIRATOR 2 2 21½ 21 43 43¾ 37¾ (gutierrez lui)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 25% 2.90 2.40 S
6  DOUBLE VISION 6 1 11½ 11 2½ 33½ 410¼ (progno s)ROHENA JR 122 10.00 25.50  
5  INTERSTATE 5 4 54½ 44½ 54 56¾ 514¾ (cabrera joseph )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 17.40  
1  HERE'S WALDO 1 3 44½ 55½ 612 624¾ 638¾ (lucas bonnie)DAVILA R 124 3.50 33% 2.10 2.20  
 
FL-6   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:153 1:431   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHE SPEAKS WELL 3 3 44 41¼ 11½ 110 114¾ (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 6.00 13% 6.60 1.10 W
5  MICHAEL LEIS 4 5 32 31 32 310 214¾ (sells rachel)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00 7.00  
1  DANNY'S A COWBOY 1 6 614 619¼ 67 615½ 317½ (buckley b)PEREZ E 120 12.00 12.10  
6  FOOT TRAFFIC 5 2 11 1nk 21½ 210 418¼ (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 5.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
7  WESWORLD 6 4 58 55¼ 53 514½ 524½ (ficarella broo)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 15.00 13.90  
2  SARATOGA RED 2 1 21 2nk 42 414 627¼ (breed jr)DAVILA A 120 2.50 55% 0.80 2.05  
SCR  INTERCHANGER               (d'alessandro r)HARKIE K 120 2.00    
 
FL-7   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:392   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DON'T POKE THE CAT 2 1 32½ 33 12 18½ 110¼ (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 2.50 69% 0.40 1.70 W
7  JACOBA 6 5 43 43 56½ 311 210¼ (pettine james)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 6.40  
8  MISTER LARRY 7 3 12½ 12 22 28½ 312 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00 7.30  
3  LABAN M MO 3 6 68 56 46½ 414½ 414 (sells rach)DAVIS A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
5  MATTY'S EXPRESS 4 4 22½ 22 36 515½ 516½ (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
6  O K GAME ON 5 7 713 712 714 720 616¾ (huertas nirka)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 4.00 12.00  
1  ALBIE 1 2 57 69 612½ 619½ 718¼ (ferraro anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 ★ 2.75  
SCR  BEACHSIDE               (schudlick micha)DAVILA A 120 8.00    
 
FL-8   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:011     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BETTING ON A STONE 5 2 32½ 22   21½ 12 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 2.50 64% 0.60 0.85 W
7  PRINCESS RILEY 7 4 1½ 12   11½ 22 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 10.00 11.50  
6  MY LITTLE ONE 6 1 2½ 32   31½ 32¾ (babcock edward)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 5.00 4.80  
1A  GIANT BOTTLE 2 7 55 56   45½ 44 (henry n)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 8.00 5.30  
4  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS 4 8 76 77¾   67¾ 57 (buckley j)NAVARRO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
8  STRIKING MELODY 8 6 43½ 43   55¾ 68¾ (chichakly )DAVIS A 120 12.00 4.60  
3  ICE'S IRONICDANCER 3 3 66 67½   78¾ 712¾ (macnamara bria)HARKIE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
1  SARAH'S PRIDE 1 5 86½ 88¾   811¼ 815¾ (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 6% 14.70 5.30  
SCR  BARBARA'S SPIRIT               (ferraro anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00    
SCR  SLY SLOANE               (englehart jer)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.