Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(2/4/5)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(2/5/3)-(5/1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRODUCTION CREDIT Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 May17 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
2  NUTSIE Aug01 Jul18 Jun19 May15 Dec08 (loaiza ilma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00    
3  DR. LLOYD Aug08 Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 May17 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 124 6.00    
4  MIAMI CHROME Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 Jun14 Jan12 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
5  CANDY ZIP Jul26 Jul03 Jun05 May09 Mar08 (smith troy)HARKIE K 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
6  SMOKIN' ALONE Jul24 Jul03 Jun05 May09 Apr25 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING WITH RICO Dec11 Nov13 Oct26 May16 Apr28 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50    
2  RUN DIEM Z Aug04 Jun15       (handal r)DAVIS A 120 2.00 13% 6.60    
3  UNCLE MILTIE Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 Nov23 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 113 3.50 55% 0.80    
4  GREEK EASTER Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 May23 Nov09 (lecesse michael)VIVES SOFIA 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOAH'S DESTINY Aug02 Jul19 Jun12 May15 Apr24 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
6  IRON HORIZON Aug02 Jul17 Jun19 May14 Apr20 (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 6.00    
 
FL-3   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN CASANOVA Jul10 Jun19 May15 Apr05 Mar17 (ferraro )DAVIS A 124 3.00    
SCR  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Jun26 May17 Apr22 Mar10 Feb15 (ferraro antho)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.00    
2  BETA Jul28 Jul12 Jun26 Jun13 Nov16 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
3  WRITER'S REGRET Jul23 Jun20 May29 May15 Apr24 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
4  FLYING EMPEROR Jul12 Jun13 May29 May15 Sep20 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 121 1.60 29% 2.40    
5  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Jul12 Jun26 May29 Apr24 Nov07 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
FL-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  N Y ANTHEM Jul31 Jul12 Jun05 May15 Nov21 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  SAMAY (PER) Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May29 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 10.00    
3  ALPHA CHI RHO Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 Apr20 Mar11 (magee kieron)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  BREAKING STONES Jul31 Jul12 Jun20 May17 Apr07 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50    
5  THE INSTITUTE Jul31 Jul12 Jun19 Dec11 Nov23 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  FATHER WALSH Jul17 Jun21 Jun05 May22 Apr24 (barrow paul)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00    
 
FL-5   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE'S WALDO Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 Apr20 Mar22 (lucas bonnie)DAVILA R 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
2  CO CONSPIRATOR Aug01 Jul03 Jun15 May20 May03 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
3  HIGH TONE Jul14 Jul03 May19 May04 Apr19 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 122 1.80 20% 4.10    
4  ACH DU LIEBER Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 May31 May15 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 5.00    
5  INTERSTATE Jul17 Jun28 Jun12 May29 May08 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
6  DOUBLE VISION Aug07 Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun05 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
 
FL-6   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANNY'S A COWBOY Jul10 Jun12 May30 Jan05   (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 12.00    
2  SARATOGA RED Jul31 Jun26 Jun12 May15 Feb18 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  INTERCHANGER Jul31 Jul02       (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 2.00    
4  SHE SPEAKS WELL Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun05 May23 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
5  MICHAEL LEIS Aug02 Jul10 May13 Dec10 Oct16 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00    
6  FOOT TRAFFIC Aug02 Jul05 Jun12 May24 May15 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  WESWORLD Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun12 May23 (ficarella br)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 15.00    
 
FL-7   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBIE Jun13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar10 Feb25 (ferraro antho)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 ★    
2  DON'T POKE THE CAT Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun11 May29 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 2.50 69% 0.40    
3  LABAN M MO Jul18 Jun13 May22 May09 Dec09 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEACHSIDE Aug07 Jul05 Jun19 May30 May15 (schudlick mic)DAVILA A 120 8.00    
5  MATTY'S EXPRESS Aug01 Jun14 May30 Nov14 Oct31 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  O K GAME ON Jul31 Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 Feb02 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 4.00    
7  JACOBA Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 May30 (pettine jam)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
8  MISTER LARRY Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 May31 May16 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
 
FL-8   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S PRIDE Jul19 Apr06 Mar12 Jan26 Jan20 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 6% 14.70    
1A  GIANT BOTTLE Jul11 Apr03 Mar25     (henry ortis)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 8.00    
SCR  SLY SLOANE Jul11 Jun13 May31 May02 Dec18 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00    
3  ICE'S IRONICDANCER Jun27 May17 Apr25 Nov07 Oct25 (macnamara br)HARKIE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS Jul25 May28 Apr23     (buckley)NAVARRO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BETTING ON A STONE Aug02 Jul19 Jun13 Jan20 Jan06 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
6  MY LITTLE ONE Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (babcock edwa)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 5.00    
7  PRINCESS RILEY Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 May30 Mar11 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 10.00    
8  STRIKING MELODY Aug04 Jun15 Dec18 Nov26 Oct23 (chichakl)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
SCR  BARBARA'S SPIRIT Jun14 May16       (ferraro antho)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.