Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-3   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $27.00 $15.00 125%
FL-8   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $16.20 $8.20 103%
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-6 $40.40 $16.40 68%
    DD (11/5/9/2/7)-(6/2/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-2 $56.50 $16.50 41%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:412   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARADE FIELD 3 6 4 4 3.2 11 1 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 3.50 40% 1.50 0.85 W
KHOZANDO 7 3 3 3 4¼ 21 2 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.00 29% 2.40 2.50 P
FLAT BILL 5 5 6 6 5 5 3 (gutterson ka)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 5.00 7.00  
GRIT AND GLORY 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 4 4 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
MO CRAZY BLUES 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 3 5 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 4.50 11.40  
SNEADS 4 7 5 5 6 6 611 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 8% 11.00 6.60  
YOU'VE GOT MALE 6 4 7 74 710½ 714½ 722 (lopez arcad)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 12.00 69.50  
 
FL-2   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:132 1:42   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART BROAD 5 3 43 33 2 2 12 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.80 W
INOUAINTALKINTOME 2 2 11 13 1 1 22 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 124 2.50 1.50  
LA CAFETERA 3 5 55 55 3 35 3 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 6.00 7.90  
HOLMDEL PARK 1 4 33 4 510½ 411 4 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.00 26% 2.90 2.20  
BETTY RUBBLE 4 1 21 23 4 511½ 512½ (bond brent)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 19% 4.20 20.90  
SCR  WINTER SIREN               (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
 
FL-3   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATHER WALSH 1 3 12 12   14 1 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 10% 8.90 1.40 W
DEVIL OR ANGEL 5 1 3 38   3 2 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80 P
TRAPPE THE DREAM 4 6 65 610¼   4 3 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00 7.90  
GRAYWING 2 4 22 22   24 4 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 1.80 65% 0.50 0.85  
INVALUABLE WILL 6 2 4 510   5 5 (breed a)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 17.10  
INTERSTATE 3 5 55 410   611½ 612½ (cabrera a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 43.25  
 
FL-4   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR SMOKE 4 2 1 1   1 1 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 54% 0.90 0.80 W
  (by WAR DANCER out of HOLY SMOKIE by HOLY BULL)
1A  PENTANGELI 7 4 43 4   2 2 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 2.00 26% 2.80 1.05 P
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
SUPPORT THE CAT 1 6 5 5   4 3 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 4.50 11.40  
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
GO GET THE BAG 6 3 2 2   3 4 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 2.00 1.05  
  (by TOURIST out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
HONOR MR. BABY 5 7 710½ 711¾   611½ 510½ (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of THEKRAA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
THE LAST SHEEK 2 5 6 6   711½ 612¾ (progno christophe)PEREZ E 120 12.00 42.25  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SATIN SHEEKS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
IRON HORIZON 3 1 3 3   510½ 723½ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 46.75  
  (by GORMLEY out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  CENTRAL STATION               (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FLOMAR by TWO PUNCH)
 
FL-5   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATTLEME 3 4 2nk 2   21 1nk (smith troy)COA J 124 2.00 1.40  
SUBTLE GIANT 6 2 4 3   31 2nk (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 4.70  
TINA BURNER 5 1 1nk 1   11 3¼ (sells rachel)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 10.00 21.30  
WEATHER ADVISORY 1 7 5 5   4 4½ (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 2.50 68% 0.50 2.10  
ONE JOURNEY 4 5 6 6   6 56 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
SMOKIN ZIVA 7 3 7 712½   7 6 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 79.00  
EMPRESS PALPATINE 2 6 3½ 4   5 713¾ (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
 
FL-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOXED IN AND BORED 5 1 1 14   1 1 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00 33% 2.00 1.35 W
ALBANY YATES 2 6 3 24   2 2 (sells rachel)COA J 124 4.50 8% 12.20 4.50 P
SUEBEE 1 4 7 48   314½ 312 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 15.00 50.00  
FIVEALARM FREAKOUT 7 7 2 3   418½ 415¼ (rub)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 6% 15.60 2.90  
EVER GRACEFUL 3 5 4 6   620 517 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 32% 2.10 2.85  
ONE TICKED LADY 6 2 5 58   520 620½ (breed a)PEREZ E 124 12.00 29.25  
FRANKIE KNOWS BEST 4 3 6 713½   725 723 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 10.00 17.60  
SCR  ROSEBUD RYDE               (chamberlin tina)FRATES D 124 8.00    
 
FL-7   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132 1:411   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANIS JOPLIN 7 5 2 2½ 18 110 16 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 18% 4.40 0.50 W
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
10  SHOOPTHEREITIS 8 7 6 5 5 511½ 26 (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 7.50  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
MUCHO MAMA MIA 1 8 711¼ 712½ 611½ 411½ 3 (englehart jer)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00 8.70  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of STRIKE PLEASURE by TENPINS)
GOING HOME NOW 2 1 4 47 28 210 4 (turetsky e)PEREZ E 124 10.00 18% 4.50 32.00  
  (by TEXAS RED out of MISS DRAGON LADY by VICTORY GALLOP)
THE HONORABLE EYE 4 2 811¾ 813½ 814¾ 614½ 511¼ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 19% 4.40 11.40  
  (by HONOR CODE out of AINSLEY by OFFICER)
SWEET DESANTIS 5 6 3 36 3 311 613 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
  (by DESERT PARTY out of SWEET REPENT by REPENT)
11  VROOM VROOM 9 3 5 6 711¾ 715 713 (acquilan)DAVIS A 120 4.00 25% 3.10 5.10  
  (by TAPIZAR out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
HAPPY TIME 3 9 914¾ 915½ 916¾ 818 820½ (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 120 12.00 65.50  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
BABI DREAMS 6 4 1 1½ 4 919 930½ (sells rachel)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 15.00 98.50  
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  SCOUTING PARTY               (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 25.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of I AIN'T SHY by INDYGO SHINER)
SCR  TINTAGEL               (smith julie)GOMEZ O 124 15.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of OLYMPIC MEDALLIST by MEDALLIST)
 
FL-8   07/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Derby Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:134 1:40   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURE OF MONEY 2 2 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 1¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 4.00 31% 2.20 7.10 W
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ALANA'S ALLURE by SHACKLEFORD)
MAKER'S CANDY 6 7 3 31 2½ 2nk 2¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 1.00 38% 1.60 0.15 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PURPLE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
MO TRUMP 3 3 43 4 31 38 313¼ (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 12.00 40.75  
  (by MO TOWN out of OBJECTIVE COMPLETE by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
FREUDMEIN 4 6 53 6 6 411 416¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 118 3.00 9% 10.10 5.30  
  (by FREUD out of COLORMEIN by MR. GREELEY)
WYNN GIANT 7 5 75 7 7 616¼ 516¾ (englehart je)HARKIE K 120 10.00 29.50  
  (by FREUD out of ELROSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
TACONY ROAD 1 1 1 2nk 46 511¼ 618¾ (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 118 15.00 41.75  
  (by KLIMT out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
TIZ LUCKY 5 4 64 5 57 717¼ 720¾ (miller-saul be)COA J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 37.25  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TIZ MARIAND by TIZNOW)
 
FL-9   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:142 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLISH LAUGHTER 3 4 42 6 5 4¼ 1¾ (ferraro )DAVIS A 124 8.00 7.20  
EASY SHOT 9 6 32 4¼ 4 2nk 2¾ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 59% 0.70 4.90 P
KINGFISH 8 8 10 97 65 5 3 (grabowski john)COA J 124 4.00 14% 6.40 2.55 S
KODIAK BROWN 1 9 9 86 77 6 44 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
DUCK POND ROAD 6 2 2 2nk 2½ 3.2 5 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 124 15.00 24.75  
STARINTHEMAKING 7 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 6 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 53.75  
MANDATORY PAYOUT 2 10 8 5 9 84 7 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 2.40  
BELLAGIO 4 3 6 1011 1011½ 96 87 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 5.00 5.30  
NO LIME 5 7 53 3.2 3 7 98 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
10  MARBLE MOON 10 5 7 76 8 108 1013 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 20.00 53.25  
SCR  COX'S LEDGE               (miller-saul)CAMILO D 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.