Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/2)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(2/1/5)-(5/1/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/1/4/6)-(1/4/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/6)-(1/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/6)-(1/4/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/7)-(11/5/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-7   WIN (11/5/9/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/9/2/7)-(11/5/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/9/2/7)-(11/5/9/2/7)-(11/5/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/5/9/2/7)-(6/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/5/9/2/7)-(6/2/4/5)-(9/8/1/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
FL-8   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/5)-(9/8/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-9   WIN (9/8/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/5/7)-(9/8/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/5/7)-(9/8/1/5/7)-(9/8/1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CRAZY BLUES Jun27 Jun13 May30 May17 May02 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 4.50    
2  GRIT AND GLORY Jul03 Jun19 May29 May09 Nov14 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PARADE FIELD Jun28 Jun14 Nov07 Oct24 Oct12 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  SNEADS Jul03 Jun19 Nov22 Nov14 Nov02 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 8% 11.00    
5  FLAT BILL Jul03 Jun19 May23 May02 Dec14 (gutterson ka)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 5.00    
6  YOU'VE GOT MALE Jun20 May30 May16 May02 Oct24 (lopez arcad)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 12.00    
7  KHOZANDO Jul03 Jun19 Apr16 Mar31 Mar12 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
FL-2   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINTER SIREN Jul05 Jun27 Jun12 May24 May08 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
2  HOLMDEL PARK Jun21 May24 May08 Jan11 Dec16 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
3  INOUAINTALKINTOME Jul04 Jun19 May31 May17 May02 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 124 2.50    
4  LA CAFETERA Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May24 Oct11 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 6.00    
5  BETTY RUBBLE Jul04 Jun06 May22 May09 Nov23 (bond br)NAVARRO J 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  SMART BROAD Jun21 May31 May17 Nov02 Oct19 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
FL-3   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER WALSH Jun21 Jun05 May22 Apr24 Mar30 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 10% 8.90    
2  GRAYWING May02 Mar30 Mar13 Jan17 Jan02 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 1.80 65% 0.50    
3  INTERSTATE Jun28 Jun12 May29 May08 Nov16 (cabrera a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
4  TRAPPE THE DREAM Jun27 Jun05 Nov01 Sep28 Sep12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
5  DEVIL OR ANGEL Jun28 May29 Nov22 Oct18 Sep26 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  INVALUABLE WILL Jul03 Jun14 Jun05 May22 May09 (breed a)ROHENA JR 122 8.00    
 
FL-4   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GET THE BAG Jun12 May15 Apr24 Mar30   (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 2.00    
  (by TOURIST out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
1A  PENTANGELI Jun28 Jun05 May08     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
2  SUPPORT THE CAT Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 May15 Nov27 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 4.50    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
3  THE LAST SHEEK Jun28         (progno christophe)PEREZ E 120 12.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SATIN SHEEKS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  IRON HORIZON Jun19 May14 Apr20 Mar30 Feb26 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  WAR SMOKE         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 54% 0.90    
  (by WAR DANCER out of HOLY SMOKIE by HOLY BULL)
6  HONOR MR. BABY Jun28         (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of THEKRAA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  CENTRAL STATION Jun12 May14 Apr23 Mar17 Mar04 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FLOMAR by TWO PUNCH)
 
FL-5   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEATHER ADVISORY Jul05 Jun13 May30 May15 May02 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
2  EMPRESS PALPATINE Jul05 Jun13 Nov08 Oct17 Oct03 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RATTLEME Jun20 May24 Apr05 Mar20 Mar01 (smith troy)COA J 124 2.00    
4  ONE JOURNEY Jun26 May30 May15 Nov08 Oct25 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  TINA BURNER Jun26 May30 May15 May02 Oct25 (sells rachel)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 10.00    
6  SUBTLE GIANT Jul05 Jun26 Jun13 May31 May17 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
7  SMOKIN ZIVA Jun28 Jun13 May23 May02 Nov08 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUEBEE Jun28 Jun13 May30 May17 Apr25 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
2  ALBANY YATES Jun26 Jun13 May23 May08 Apr24 (sells rachel)COA J 124 4.50 8% 12.20    
3  EVER GRACEFUL Jun21 May20 Apr16     (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  FRANKIE KNOWS BEST Jun26 May30 May17 Apr25 Jan27 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
5  BOXED IN AND BORED Jul05 Jun20 May16 Apr25 Jan01 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
6  ONE TICKED LADY Jun13 May30 May15 Sep13 Aug30 (breed a)PEREZ E 124 12.00    
7  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT Jun20 May12 Mar29 Feb09 Jan15 (rub)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  ROSEBUD RYDE Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 Nov26 Nov05 (chamberlin tina)FRATES D 124 8.00    
 
FL-7   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO MAMA MIA May18 Apr27 Feb26 Oct08 Sep04 (englehart jer)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of STRIKE PLEASURE by TENPINS)
2  GOING HOME NOW Nov22 Oct24       (turetsky e)PEREZ E 124 10.00 18% 4.50    
  (by TEXAS RED out of MISS DRAGON LADY by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  HAPPY TIME Jun26 May29 Dec29 Dec04   (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 120 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
SCR  SCOUTING PARTY Jun26 May29       (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 25.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of I AIN'T SHY by INDYGO SHINER)
5  THE HONORABLE EYE Jun26 May29       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
  (by HONOR CODE out of AINSLEY by OFFICER)
SCR  TINTAGEL Jun13 May31 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 (smith julie)GOMEZ O 124 15.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of OLYMPIC MEDALLIST by MEDALLIST)
7  SWEET DESANTIS Jul05 Feb08 Jan07 Dec23 Nov08 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESERT PARTY out of SWEET REPENT by REPENT)
8  BABI DREAMS Jun26 May22 May02 Mar31   (sells rachel)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 15.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
9  JANIS JOPLIN Jun11 May12 Apr23 Sep29 Sep03 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 18% 4.40    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
10  SHOOPTHEREITIS Jun13 May16       (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
11  VROOM VROOM Jun26 Jun05 May22 May08   (acquilan)DAVIS A 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by TAPIZAR out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
 
FL-8   07/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Derby Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TACONY ROAD Jun28         (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 118 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
2  ALLURE OF MONEY Jun28 Jun12 Oct25 Oct17 Sep21 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ALANA'S ALLURE by SHACKLEFORD)
3  MO TRUMP Jun27 Jun12 May24 Oct25 Oct17 (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of OBJECTIVE COMPLETE by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
4  FREUDMEIN May20 Apr27 Apr01     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 118 3.00 9% 10.10    
  (by FREUD out of COLORMEIN by MR. GREELEY)
5  TIZ LUCKY Jul04 Jun19 May30 May08 Oct17 (miller-saul be)COA J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TIZ MARIAND by TIZNOW)
6  MAKER'S CANDY May29 Mar25 Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 1.00 38% 1.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PURPLE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  WYNN GIANT Jun27 May22 Mar26 Jan28 Jan06 (englehart je)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
  (by FREUD out of ELROSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
FL-9   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KODIAK BROWN Jun19 Nov15 Oct19 Sep07 Aug23 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MANDATORY PAYOUT Jun19 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 Sep07 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00    
3  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Jun19 May29 Apr29 Apr14 Mar12 (ferraro )DAVIS A 124 8.00    
4  BELLAGIO Jun27 Nov23 Nov07 Oct19 Sep06 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 5.00    
5  NO LIME May15 Apr25 Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DUCK POND ROAD Jul03 Jun19 May22 May09 Nov16 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 124 15.00    
7  STARINTHEMAKING Jul05 Jun19 Sep14 Aug23 May18 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  KINGFISH Jul04 Nov16 Oct31 Sep26 Sep07 (grabowski john)COA J 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
9  EASY SHOT Jun14 May29 Aug22 Aug03 Jul08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 59% 0.70    
10  MARBLE MOON Jun19 May23 Oct04 Sep19 Sep07 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 20.00    
SCR  COX'S LEDGE Jun19 Nov07 Oct04 Sep07 Aug22 (miller-saul)CAMILO D 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.