Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-5 $30.40 $12.40 69%
LS-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-1 $23.60 $5.60 31%
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-1-3 $14.30 $5.30 59%
LS-3   TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-4-5 $5.90 $4.10 228%
LS-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $6.60 $2.60 65%
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/9/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7 $113.40 $101.40 845%
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/9/2)-(4/7/9/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00  4-7-9 $102.10 $96.10 1602%
    SFT (4/7)-(4/7/9/2)-(4/7/9/2)-(4/7/9/2) 12 $0.10 $1.20  4-7-9-2 $105.71 $104.51 8709%
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(7/3/5)-(4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-7-4 $18.60 $9.60 107%
LS-5   WIN (6/7/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $14.80 $4.80 48%
    EXA (6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-3 $59.80 $19.80 50%
    TRI (6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-3-10 $94.80 $64.80 216%
    SFT (6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-3-10-7 $106.64 $94.64 789%
LS-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $7.00 $3.00 75%
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $16.40 $4.40 37%
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  4-6-3 $7.65 $1.65 28%
    SFT (4/6)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $0.10 $1.20  4-6-3-1 $5.64 $4.44 370%
LS-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    DD (4/6)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $29.80 $17.80 148%
    PK3 (6/7/5/10/3)-(4/6)-(2/5/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00  5-4-1 $37.00 $22.00 147%
    PK4 (4/7)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(4/6)-(2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-5-4-1 $57.55 $27.55 92%
    PK5 (7/3/5)-(4/7)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(4/6)-(2/5/1) 180 $0.50 $90.00  7-4-5-4-1 $181.50 $91.50 102%
Simulator Race results
 
LS-1   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WAGON TRAIN 3 2 1½ 1nk   14 12 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.80 37% 1.70 2.10 W
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DEVILISH LADY by TEXAS CITY)
5  MIAMI MOONLIGHT 4 4 44½ 46   24 22 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 31% 2.20 3.40 P
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GOODNESS PREVAILS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER 2 5 55 57½   59 39¾ (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 12.00 11.70  
  (by CONNECT out of MINING FOR MERCURY by THE FACTOR)
1  WITHOUT A SONG 1 3 31½ 32   35½ 49¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 ★ 1.70  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SERENA'S CAT by STORM CAT)
7  BOMBER COMMAND 6 1 2½ 2nk   46 510½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 4.20  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of THE BLONDE PEQUE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  MILLCREEK ROAD 5 6 67½ 611½   619 626¾ (northrop debra)SANCHEZ M 119 20.00 19.20  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MAURA by DEHERE)
SCR  AMOS MOSES HART               (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of CREATIVE SPIRIT by SMARTY JONES)
 
LS-2   05/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DEAR BEAU (IRE) 4 6 610½ 610½ 65 5¾ 1nk (crumley jevo)FUENTES A 123 4.00 16% 5.20 3.20 W
  (by MEHMAS out of GRETA D'ARGENT (IRE) by GREAT COMMOTION)
1  OIL N CANDY 1 5 45½ 49½ 54 3½ 2nk (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00 52% 0.90 1.80 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ECHO WARRIOR by TIZNOW)
3  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL 3 4 35½ 37½ 32½ 2nk 31 (cruz eduardo)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 10% 8.60 4.20 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I AM IRON WOMAN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
6  GLORY O 6 1 1½ 21½ 21 1nk 42¼ (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 15.10  
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
5  CHARMING LEAH 5 2 58½ 510½ 44 4¾ 52½ (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00 9.70  
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
8  OCCURRENCE 8 8 812½ 815 87½ 63¾ 63¾ (cappellucci )ALVAREZ L 118 12.00 10.10  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BETH'S AURORA by TRAPPE SHOT)
7  TIZ A KNOCKOUT 7 7 711 712 76 87¾ 78¼ (jacks e)DIEGO V 118 8.00 ★ 7.10  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
2  WISE MEMORIES 2 3 2½ 11½ 11 75¾ 811¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 12.00 13.80  
  (by TAPIT out of WICKEDLY WISE by TACTICAL CAT)
 
LS-3   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN 6 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 13½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00 49% 1.00 1.00 W
4  IMA SKY TRAVELER 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 23½ (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 ★ 3.50 P
5  TURN ON THE BLING 5 4 3½ 31   32½ 35¼ (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 12% 7.50 5.90 S
1  BEBOP BABY 1 3 52¼ 53   42¾ 48¼ (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00 21.80  
2  TOOTIE 2 7 62¾ 63¼   52¾ 58¼ (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00 7.00  
3  PROUD VALENTINE 3 6 42 41½   63 69 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 4.50 15% 5.80 6.20  
8  MRS. KRINKLES 7 5 74¼ 73¾   74½ 710¾ (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 20.00 15.70  
SCR  RUBIANA               (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
 
LS-4   05/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:59
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14 1:26   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RUN WITT RUN 4 8 65½ 43½ 42 32½ 11¼ (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 40% 1.50 2.30 W
7  MISSINGYOUCRAZY 7 2 12 12 11 12½ 21¼ (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 118 12.00 31% 2.30 20.00 P
9  XTRA SPICY 8 1 22 22 21 22½ 32¼ (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00 ★ 3.00 S
2  WICKED SONG 2 4 34 33 31½ 43 42¾ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 10.00 ★ 6.30  
6  GOVERNOR ANN 6 6 77½ 76½ 64 55 56½ (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 12.00 9.40  
3  TEXAS TWINKIES 3 3 55 54 53 65½ 67 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 116 3.50 3.80  
5  KAUSE I'M DEVINE 5 7 89 88 75½ 76 77 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 121 4.00 8.50  
1  TRANQUILITY 1 5 45 66 86 87 88¾ (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 10.00 12.00  
SCR  HIGH DEF RIDGE               (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 121 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF BEERS               (pish danny)SANCHEZ M 118 8.00    
 
LS-5   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY 5 1 33 23   11½ 13¾ (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 12% 7.10 6.40 W
3  DEVITO 3 7 44½ 45   41¾ 23¾ (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20 P
10  EAGLEFORD 9 2 913½ 67   31½ 34¼ (pish )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 4.50 6% 14.50 4.90 S
7  ZIPSTER 7 3 56 78   63¼ 44¾ (dunaway k)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 6.00 21% 3.80 3.20  
6  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO 6 6 811½ 89½   73½ 55¼ (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.20  
4  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR 4 5 12 13   21½ 69¾ (swift dale )BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00 20.10  
1  HOLIDAY RUN 1 9 66½ 55   84 711 (g)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 19.90  
8  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN 8 4 79½ 910   97 813 (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 119 15.00 25.00  
2  PUNTO RAFFA VOLO 2 8 22 34   53¼ 914 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 119 12.00 11.60  
SCR  LITTLE JOHN HENRY               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00    
 
LS-6   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:214 :451       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOOD SCOUT 3 2 1½     2½ 1nk (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 50% 1.00 2.50 W
6  IMA BLING CAT 5 1 2½     1½ 2nk (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 18% 4.60 1.60 P
3  COLTONS DREAM 2 3 32½     33½ 31¼ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 ★ 4.10 S
1  SWEET RIVER BAINES 1 4 68½     58½ 42½ (cappellucci )FUENTES A 122 10.00 ★ 5.70  
5  POMEROY HAZE 4 6 710     611½ 54 (b)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 9.30  
9  SIDETOWN 7 7 44½     48 68 (hewitt mic)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 20.20  
10  SHE'S AN ANGEL 8 8 56½     716½ 718¼ (gomez)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 112 30.00 19.50  
8  REACH THE CIRCLE 6 5 813     819½ 823¾ (gomez j)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00 34.00  
SCR  PICKENS               (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  SILVER WINGS               (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50    
 
LS-7   05/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:121 1:244   1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASKET CASE 1 3 11½ 11½   1½ 12½ (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
2  JAZZY LASSIE 2 2 43 53½   3½ 22½ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 1.60 41% 1.40 1.40 P
8  GOLD MAKIN GIRL 8 10 914½ 79   4¾ 33¾ (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 20.00 32.40  
10  VA VOOM 10 4 54 43   2½ 44¼ (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 119 4.50 ★ 7.40  
4  MUCHO MAMA MIA 4 8 65 66½   64¼ 59½ (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 123 6.00 5.80  
9  BOBBIE O 9 5 76½ 810½   75¼ 612½ (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00 ★ 16.20  
7  HOT COOKIE 7 7 811½ 912½   98¼ 713¾ (herreros stepha)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00 23.00  
3  BERING'S SPECIAL 3 1 21½ 32   52¼ 815 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 123 20.00 34.50  
6  TRICKY CARLA 6 9 1019½ 1020½   1011¼ 919¾ (castellanos )ALVAREZ L 119 20.00 22.70  
5  POWER TO PLAY 5 6 32½ 21½   88¼ 1024¾ (ashford h )ASMUSSEN J 123 5.00 33% 2.00 8.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.