Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lone Star Park
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-5 $30.40 $12.40 69%
LS-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-1 $23.60 $5.60 31%
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-1-3 $14.30 $5.30 59%
LS-3   TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-4-5 $5.90 $4.10 228%
LS-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $6.60 $2.60 65%
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/9/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7 $113.40 $101.40 845%
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/9/2)-(4/7/9/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00  4-7-9 $102.10 $96.10 1602%
    SFT (4/7)-(4/7/9/2)-(4/7/9/2)-(4/7/9/2) 12 $0.10 $1.20  4-7-9-2 $105.71 $104.51 8709%
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(7/3/5)-(4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-7-4 $18.60 $9.60 107%
LS-5   WIN (6/7/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $14.80 $4.80 48%
    EXA (6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-3 $59.80 $19.80 50%
    TRI (6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-3-10 $94.80 $64.80 216%
    SFT (6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-3-10-7 $106.64 $94.64 789%
LS-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $7.00 $3.00 75%
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $16.40 $4.40 37%
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  4-6-3 $7.65 $1.65 28%
    SFT (4/6)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $0.10 $1.20  4-6-3-1 $5.64 $4.44 370%
LS-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    DD (4/6)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $29.80 $17.80 148%
    PK3 (6/7/5/10/3)-(4/6)-(2/5/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00  5-4-1 $37.00 $22.00 147%
    PK4 (4/7)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(4/6)-(2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-5-4-1 $57.55 $27.55 92%
    PK5 (7/3/5)-(4/7)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(4/6)-(2/5/1) 180 $0.50 $90.00  7-4-5-4-1 $181.50 $91.50 102%

Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAGON TRAIN   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.80 37% 1.70 2.10 W
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DEVILISH LADY by TEXAS CITY)
MIAMI MOONLIGHT   (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 31% 2.20 3.40 P
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GOODNESS PREVAILS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER   (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 12.00 11.70  
  (by CONNECT out of MINING FOR MERCURY by THE FACTOR)
WITHOUT A SONG   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 1.70  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SERENA'S CAT by STORM CAT)
BOMBER COMMAND   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 4.20  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of THE BLONDE PEQUE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MILLCREEK ROAD   (northrop debra)SANCHEZ M 119 20.00 19.20  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MAURA by DEHERE)
SCR  AMOS MOSES HART   (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of CREATIVE SPIRIT by SMARTY JONES)
 
LS-2   05/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAR BEAU (IRE)   (crumley jevo)FUENTES A 123 4.00 16% 5.20 3.20 W
  (by MEHMAS out of GRETA D'ARGENT (IRE) by GREAT COMMOTION)
OIL N CANDY   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00 52% 0.90 1.80 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ECHO WARRIOR by TIZNOW)
MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL   (cruz eduardo)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 10% 8.60 4.20 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I AM IRON WOMAN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
GLORY O   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 15.10  
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
CHARMING LEAH   (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00 9.70  
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
OCCURRENCE   (cappellucci )ALVAREZ L 118 12.00 10.10  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BETH'S AURORA by TRAPPE SHOT)
TIZ A KNOCKOUT   (jacks e)DIEGO V 118 8.00 7.10  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
WISE MEMORIES   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 12.00 13.80  
  (by TAPIT out of WICKEDLY WISE by TACTICAL CAT)
 
LS-3   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00 49% 1.00 1.00 W
IMA SKY TRAVELER   (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 3.50 P
TURN ON THE BLING   (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 12% 7.50 5.90 S
BEBOP BABY   (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00 21.80  
TOOTIE   (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00 7.00  
PROUD VALENTINE   (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 4.50 15% 5.80 6.20  
MRS. KRINKLES   (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 20.00 15.70  
SCR  RUBIANA   (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
 
LS-4   05/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:59
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN WITT RUN   (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 40% 1.50 2.30 W
MISSINGYOUCRAZY   (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 118 12.00 31% 2.30 20.00 P
XTRA SPICY   (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00 3.00 S
WICKED SONG   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 10.00 6.30  
GOVERNOR ANN   (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 12.00 9.40  
TEXAS TWINKIES   (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 116 3.50 3.80  
KAUSE I'M DEVINE   (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 121 4.00 8.50  
TRANQUILITY   (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 10.00 12.00  
SCR  HIGH DEF RIDGE   (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 121 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF BEERS   (pish danny)SANCHEZ M 118 8.00    
 
LS-5   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTA LAVISTA HONEY   (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 12% 7.10 6.40 W
DEVITO   (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20 P
10  EAGLEFORD   (pish )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 4.50 6% 14.50 4.90 S
ZIPSTER   (dunaway k)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 6.00 21% 3.80 3.20  
JOHN LOUIS' BEVO   (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.20  
WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR   (swift dale )BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00 20.10  
HOLIDAY RUN   (g)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 19.90  
WITT SWEET SIXTEEN   (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 119 15.00 25.00  
PUNTO RAFFA VOLO   (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 119 12.00 11.60  
SCR  LITTLE JOHN HENRY   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00    
 
LS-6   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SCOUT   (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 50% 1.00 2.50 W
IMA BLING CAT   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 18% 4.60 1.60 P
COLTONS DREAM   (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 4.10 S
SWEET RIVER BAINES   (cappellucci )FUENTES A 122 10.00 5.70  
POMEROY HAZE   (b)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 9.30  
SIDETOWN   (hewitt mic)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 20.20  
10  SHE'S AN ANGEL   (gomez)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 112 30.00 19.50  
REACH THE CIRCLE   (gomez j)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00 34.00  
SCR  PICKENS   (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  SILVER WINGS   (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50    
 
LS-7   05/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BASKET CASE   (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
JAZZY LASSIE   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 1.60 41% 1.40 1.40 P
GOLD MAKIN GIRL   (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 20.00 32.40  
10  VA VOOM   (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 119 4.50 7.40  
MUCHO MAMA MIA   (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 123 6.00 5.80  
BOBBIE O   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00 16.20  
HOT COOKIE   (herreros stepha)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00 23.00  
BERING'S SPECIAL   (davidson s)ERAMIA E 123 20.00 34.50  
TRICKY CARLA   (castellanos )ALVAREZ L 119 20.00 22.70  
POWER TO PLAY   (ashford h )ASMUSSEN J 123 5.00 33% 2.00 8.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.