Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(7/3/5)-(4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/9/2)-(4/7/9/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LS-5   WIN (6/7/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3)-(6/7/5/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/10/3)-(4/6)-(2/5/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LS-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/10/9)-(2/5/1/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT A SONG Apr07 Feb10 Jan15 Dec17 Nov19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SERENA'S CAT by STORM CAT)
SCR  AMOS MOSES HART         (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of CREATIVE SPIRIT by SMARTY JONES)
3  FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER May06 Feb10 Jan15     (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of MINING FOR MERCURY by THE FACTOR)
4  WAGON TRAIN Apr29 Apr07 Mar04     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DEVILISH LADY by TEXAS CITY)
5  MIAMI MOONLIGHT May06         (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GOODNESS PREVAILS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  MILLCREEK ROAD         (northrop deb)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MAURA by DEHERE)
7  BOMBER COMMAND Apr07         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of THE BLONDE PEQUE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
LS-2   05/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OIL N CANDY Apr14 Mar17 Jan27     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ECHO WARRIOR by TIZNOW)
2  WISE MEMORIES Mar31 Jan21 Dec30 Nov27   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of WICKEDLY WISE by TACTICAL CAT)
3  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL Apr16 Mar31 Feb26 Feb11 Jan16 (cruz eduardo)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 10% 8.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I AM IRON WOMAN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
4  DEAR BEAU (IRE) Apr16 Mar30 Feb24 Jan26 Dec30 (crumley jevo)FUENTES A 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
  (by MEHMAS out of GRETA D'ARGENT (IRE) by GREAT COMMOTION)
5  CHARMING LEAH Apr16 Mar26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
6  GLORY O Apr30 Mar25 May28 Apr30 Mar24 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
7  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Apr14 Mar31 Feb17 Jan27   (jacks e)DIEGO V 118 8.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
8  OCCURRENCE Apr14 Mar21 Oct24 Oct11   (cappellucci )ALVAREZ L 118 12.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BETH'S AURORA by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
LS-3   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEBOP BABY Mar10 Feb20 Feb04 Jan16 Nov30 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
2  TOOTIE Apr21 Mar25 Feb18 Feb04 Jan16 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
3  PROUD VALENTINE Mar25 Feb12 Dec15 Sep30 Sep02 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
4  IMA SKY TRAVELER Apr29 Mar05 Feb04 Jan13 Aug19 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 ★    
5  TURN ON THE BLING Mar25 Jun05 May22 May07 Apr08 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  RUBIANA Mar10 Jan01 Nov27     (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
7  TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN Apr15 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
8  MRS. KRINKLES Apr23 Apr01 Mar05 Feb18 Feb03 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 20.00    
 
LS-4   05/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANQUILITY Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 Feb10 Jan21 (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 10.00    
2  WICKED SONG Apr23 Mar10 Feb10 Jul09 Jun19 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 10.00 ★    
3  TEXAS TWINKIES Apr21 Apr02 Feb11 Jan28 Jan08 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 116 3.50    
4  RUN WITT RUN May06 Apr21 Apr08 Mar19 Feb25 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 121 4.00    
6  GOVERNOR ANN Apr27 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 12.00    
7  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Feb18 Jan27 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 118 12.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  QUEEN OF BEERS May06 Apr21 Mar19 Feb25 Jan13 (pish danny)SANCHEZ M 118 8.00    
9  XTRA SPICY Apr13 Mar26 Mar10 Feb26 Jan27 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  HIGH DEF RIDGE Apr23 Apr08 Feb24 Feb12 Jan21 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 121 20.00    
 
LS-5   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY RUN Apr07 Feb26 Jul08     (g)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
2  PUNTO RAFFA VOLO Apr29 Apr16 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 119 12.00    
3  DEVITO Apr23 Apr16 Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR Apr27 Apr16 Feb23 Feb09 Jan20 (swift dale )BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00    
5  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY May07 Apr23 Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
6  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Apr23 Apr08 Mar24 Mar12 Mar03 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
7  ZIPSTER Jun25 May22       (dunaway k)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Apr23 Apr13 Mar31     (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 119 15.00    
SCR  LITTLE JOHN HENRY Apr23 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00    
10  EAGLEFORD Apr23 Apr07 Mar11 Feb20 Jan27 (pish )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 4.50 6% 14.50    
 
LS-6   05/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET RIVER BAINES Mar12 Jan31 Jan01 Nov22 Oct31 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  SILVER WINGS Apr30 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Dec16 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50    
3  COLTONS DREAM Apr29 Mar26 Mar09 Feb03 Jan15 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 ★    
4  GOOD SCOUT Apr30 Mar18 Feb24 Jan16 Jan06 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  POMEROY HAZE May06 Feb05 Jan12 Dec03 Nov02 (b)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
6  IMA BLING CAT May06 Nov02 Oct15 Sep22 Sep10 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  PICKENS Apr30 Feb22 Feb04 Dec10 Nov24 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
8  REACH THE CIRCLE Apr29 Mar27 Mar13 Feb11 Dec15 (gomez j)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00    
9  SIDETOWN Apr30 Apr07 Mar09 Feb20 Jan20 (hewitt mic)ERAMIA E 124 15.00    
10  SHE'S AN ANGEL Apr29 Feb10 Dec15 Nov19 Oct27 (gomez)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 112 30.00    
 
LS-7   05/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASKET CASE Apr07 Feb18 Jan14     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  JAZZY LASSIE Apr27 Feb26 Jan16     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 1.60 41% 1.40    
3  BERING'S SPECIAL Apr07 Mar03 Jan29 Jan06   (davidson s)ERAMIA E 123 20.00    
4  MUCHO MAMA MIA Apr27 Feb26 Oct08 Sep04 Aug12 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 123 6.00    
5  POWER TO PLAY Apr22 Dec10 Oct26 Jul10   (ashford h )ASMUSSEN J 123 5.00 33% 2.00    
6  TRICKY CARLA Apr30 Apr07 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 (castellanos )ALVAREZ L 119 20.00    
7  HOT COOKIE Jul02 Jun09       (herreros stepha)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00    
8  GOLD MAKIN GIRL Apr27 Apr14 Mar03 Nov11 Sep23 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 20.00    
9  BOBBIE O Apr30 Apr07 Mar17 Jul09   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00 ★    
10  VA VOOM Apr30 Apr07 Oct22 Oct07   (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 119 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.