Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.00 $3.00 50%
FL-4   EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $33.60 $21.60 180%
FL-5   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7 $89.00 $77.00 642%
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-7-2 $43.37 $40.37 1346%
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-4 $46.60 $28.60 159%
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(5/3/6)-(2/7/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50  3-5-4 $34.25 $20.75 154%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M. A. S. SCRUVES 4 4 3 42   4¾ 1½ (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 2.00 27% 2.80 3.50 W
BETTING ON A STONE 6 1 2½ 2   1½ 2½ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 4.00 1.20  
INDYAN PENNY 1 5 5 32   2½ 3 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 120 5.00 18.80  
ROSEINTHESKY 3 2 1½ 1   3½ 46 (englehart jeff)COA J 120 3.00 33% 2.10 2.35  
SARAH'S PRIDE 5 3 4 57   514¾ 524½ (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 6.00 5.70  
SHAMBALA 2 6 628½ 632   664¾ 6119¼ (lecesse micha)IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00 18% 4.60 19.20  
SCR  INDE SYMPHONY               (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 120 3.00    
 
FL-2   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUCH THAT HURT 3 2 2nk 11   11 11 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 22% 3.60 0.95 W
MAKEAJOYFULNOISE 6 5 3 31   21 21 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 3.00 44% 1.30 1.55 P
CLIFDEN PUNCH 4 4 57 5   5 39 (ashley julius)GOMEZ O 124 3.50 13% 6.70 8.30 S
CALL ME CARMELITA 2 3 4 4   4 412¼ (cabrera )DAVIS A 122 5.00 8.00  
INVESTMENT GRADE 5 1 1nk 21   37 513 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 4.50 11.10  
DISCO PARTY 1 6 610 617½   619½ 623 (progno christo)VENTURA JOSE 122 12.00 41.00  
 
FL-3   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH BAHE 3 2 32 3 3 32 1¼ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00 21% 3.70 1.70 W
HONORABLE AVENUE 4 1 21 2½ 1½ 1 2¼ (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50 3.10  
THIS CAT CAN FLY 5 5 56 57 4 4 3 (englehart jef)IORIO MELISSA 117 4.50 4.20  
MASETA 1 6 11 1½ 2½ 2 4 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 118 6.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
OUR MAN MIKE 2 4 46 4 5 56 5 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 51% 1.00 2.20  
RINGGOOD 6 3 6 67 613½ 616 621¼ (bond brent)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 41.00  
 
FL-4   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:253 :512 1:153 1:421   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY MANNY 4 4 4 3½ 1nk 1 1 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 3.50 34% 1.90 2.15 W
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 5 5 5 5 5 3 2 (grusmark karl)PEREZ E 120 10.00 13% 6.70 6.10 P
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 6 3 21 2½ 3.2 4 33 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 122 5.00 12.10  
KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN 2 2 3 4¾ 2nk 2 45 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 4.00 21% 3.80 7.40  
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 1 6 6 6 6 5 5 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 1.10  
DR. CERFOLIO 3 1 11 1½ 4 611¾ 625¾ (acquilano jame)COA J 124 4.50 9.70  
SCR  UNCLE VIC               (dean victor )BARBOSA CARLOS 112 8.00    
 
FL-5   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:134 1:404   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA KISSES 4 3 3 31 1nk 18 114¾ (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00 10% 8.70 5.90 W
KEEPMYEYEONTHEBOYS 5 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 28 214¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 6.00 30% 2.40 4.10 P
SILENT INVASION 2 2 1nk 1nk 3½ 39 315½ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.00 37% 1.70 0.45 S
R GIRL FAITH 1 4 42 4 4 412 420½ (thompson ma)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 8.00 5.10  
QUIET HORIZON 3 5 56 5 5 512 523¾ (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 30.00  
SCR  CROSS ISLAND               (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.00    
SCR  RAFFINITY               (huertas )DAVIS A 122 5.00    
 
FL-6   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRAL LOVE 6 4 2nk 11   1 14 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 1.80 63% 0.60 0.35 W
NOAH'S DESTINY 1 3 31 21   2 24 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 4.60  
M. C. DOUBLE R 7 5 54 43   35 3 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 10.00 6.80  
FREUDEREISS 2 7 7 713   511 410½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
GREEK EASTER 3 1 1nk 32   47 510½ (lecesse michae)COA J 124 4.50 18.30  
EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE 5 2 43 57   612 617½ (cook robert )HARKIE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
YOUR MAN WILL 4 6 6 68   716 722¼ (breed ronal)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 6.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
SCR  FOOT TRAFFIC               (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 8.00    
 
FL-7   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE NEW MIAMI 1 7 5 5   3.2 11 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 121 10.00 59.25  
REMOANE 4 5 4 4   2nk 21 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 121 4.50 14% 6.30 4.90 P
MIND OF GOLD 6 6 7 6   5 3 (oyola david)DAVILA A 121 6.00 10% 8.80 12.30 S
TRIVIA 2 2 1½ 1nk   4¼ 4 (breed a)GOMEZ O 124 3.50 11% 8.10 9.30  
BANKERS DAUGHTER 3 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 5 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 35% 1.80 5.40  
ALLURE FORTUNE 7 1 3½ 31   6 6 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 0.45  
SHE'S GOT GAME 5 3 6 7   7 78 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 121 12.00 45.00  
 
FL-8   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CIRCULAR GAL 6 1 12 1   1 1 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 6.00 1.70  
PALS ALLY 1 9 5 2   2 2 (gutierrez l)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 8.00 17.70  
YES YOUR HONOR 2 3 6 5   3 3 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 19.90  
CENTRAL CAPITAL 3 6 9 7   5 47 (riv)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
DARE TO BE GREAT 8 4 43 43   4 5 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 3.50 20% 3.90 3.00  
10  LUCKY LONG LEGS 9 7 8 9   8 612¾ (chamberlin tina)FRATES D 122 15.00 9% 9.80 39.00  
ALL ABOUT BELLA 5 2 22 3   6 713¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 37% 1.70 3.40  
WINE TRAIL 4 5 7 8   7 813¾ (progno micha)HARKIE K 124 12.00 18.10  
SCARF 7 8 33 6   915¼ 940¼ (clarke dylan)GOMEZ O 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MAGS               (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.