The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Penn National
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $9.20 -4.00
    Exacta (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-4 2 0 $53.00 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 1-4-7 3 0 $113.00 0.00
PEN-2   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $12.00 -4.00
    Exacta (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2-4 2 0 $27.80 -4.00
    Daily Double (5/7)-(4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-2 2 0 $116.00 -8.00
    Daily Double (5/7)-(4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-6 2 0 $11.20 -8.00
PEN-3   Win (9/7/10/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 4.80
    Exacta (9/7/10/1/3)-(9/7/10/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 7-6 2 0 $76.80 -40.00
    Trifecta (9/7/10/1/3)-(9/7/10/1/3)-(9/7/10/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 7-6-10 3 0 $203.60 -60.00
    Daily Double (4/1)-(9/7/10/1/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 2-7 2 0 $93.00 -20.00
    Pick Three (5/7)-(4/1)-(9/7/10/1/3) 20 $0.50 $10.00 1-2-7 3 0 $171.90 -10.00
PEN-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
    Exacta (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2 2 0 $82.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-2-1 3 0 $277.80 -6.00
    Daily Double (9/7/10/1/3)-(6/3/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 7-4 2 1 $84.00 $84.00 54.00
    Pick Three (4/1)-(9/7/10/1/3)-(6/3/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 2-7-4 3 0 $231.15 -15.00
PEN-5   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
    Exacta (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-6 2 0 $13.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-6-2 3 0 $53.50 -6.00
    Daily Double (6/3/4)-(7/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 4-7 2 1 $28.00 $28.00 10.00
    Pick Three (9/7/10/1/3)-(6/3/4)-(7/1/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 7-4-7 3 1 $41.60 $41.60 19.10
PEN-6   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.80 -6.00
    Exacta (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-1 2 0 $88.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-1-6 3 0 $175.60 -6.00
    Daily Double (7/1/5)-(3/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 7-5 2 0 $23.40 -18.00
    Pick Three (6/3/4)-(7/1/5)-(3/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 4-7-5 3 0 $35.80 -13.50
PEN-7   Win (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
    Exacta (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-2 2 0 $40.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-2-1 3 0 $125.60 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/7/6)-(7/8/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-7 2 0 $38.20 -24.00
    Pick Three (7/1/5)-(3/7/6)-(7/8/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 7-5-7 3 0 $13.90 -18.00
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:221 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWSDLEY 1 2 11½ 11   12 1¾ (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00 3.60  
4  SUGAR SMILE 3 4 45 44   32 2¾ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 3.70  
7  SEA ART 5 1 21½ 21   22 32 (carrascojr )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 25% 3.10 3.10 S
3  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 2 3 33 31   42½ 45¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 118 3.00 4.00  
5  NAIL POLISH 4 5 513 510   56½ 55½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 31% 2.20 1.90  
SCR  CHEM MAJOR               (carrascojr victo)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00    
SCR  WILL OR WON'T               (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/31/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 6:29
:233 :481       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONTEMPTUOUS MISS 2 1 32½ 32½   22 11¼ (albright)SMITH DANIEL 108 6.00 5.00  
4  BERNIE'S DREAMING 3 2 21 12   12 21¼ (bailes w )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 2.50 55% 0.80 1.00 P
5  MARIA SAYS SO 4 3 43½ 43   35½ 36¼ (aristone t)CASTILLO A 118 10.00 3.00  
1  TWIN E 1 4 11 22   47 421¼ (crane clovis)INIRIO J 118 3.50 23% 3.40 2.40  
SCR  BELLA CARMELINA               (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 111 3.00    
SCR  WILD CREATION               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 118 3.00    
 
PEN-3   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:222 :46 1:093 1:22   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LUCKY RUNNING CAT 7 4 43 43½ 33½ 31 12¾ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.50 6.40 W
6  MISCHIEF WARRIOR 6 8 55 33½ 22½ 21 22¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 2.50  
10  GETTIN'DOWNONIT 10 6 11½ 11½ 12½ 11 34 (beecher mark)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00 10% 9.30 7.20 S
1  MACHO HONCHO 1 1 89½ 66¾ 74¾ 42½ 44½ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
9  ROAN FOR THE ROSE 9 5 32½ 53¾ 54 52¾ 56 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 50% 1.00 2.30  
8  RIVERBOAT BANDIT 8 9 66½ 87¼ 85¾ 73¼ 68¼ (cifarelli fran)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00 98.50  
4  THE MAN TO SEE 4 7 78 77¼ 64¼ 95¼ 78½ (dowling willi)INIRIO J 122 4.00 6.80  
5  RED DEVOLUTION 5 3 21½ 21½ 43½ 83¾ 813¾ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 35.50  
2  OMERTA CODE 2 10 1018 1013½ 1014¼ 106¾ 915 (arce josue)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00 27.00  
3  WICKED IRISHMAN 3 2 910 97½ 911¾ 63¼ 1022¼ (wolfe jr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 40.40  
 
PEN-4   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UNION FOLLY 4 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 1¾ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 W
2  KAZ MUSIC 2 5 64½ 42   3½ 2¾ (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 5.30  
1  LET'S GO MO 1 7 710½ 77½   73¾ 35 (miller marlin)INIRIO J 115 50.00 30.70  
3  MADI'S TUNE 3 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 46¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 27% 2.70 4.90  
6  HAPPY RIDE 6 6 52 52½   53 59 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.80  
7  UPTOWN SERAPHINA 7 1 41 31   42½ 69¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 10.20  
5  MIGHTY GIN GIN 5 4 3½ 63½   63½ 716¼ (carrascojr )HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 10.40  
 
PEN-5   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:241 :481 1:132 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WILL TAKE ROSES 6 3 21½ 22½ 2½ 1nk 11¼ (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40 65% 0.50 0.40 W
6  HIDDEN SPRINGS 5 2 11½ 12½ 1½ 2nk 21¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 6.20  
2  MANI PEDI 2 1 34½ 34½ 34½ 33½ 34½ (castillo michel)RIVERA D 122 8.00 26.70  
5  TONALA 4 6 615 515 515 56 45¼ (santaella-calde)OCASIO M 120 6.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
1  MIKEY'S JEWEL 1 5 57 46 45 44 55½ (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 6.00 8% 11.30 8.50  
4  FAVORITE DOLL 3 4 47 6100 6100 6100 6100 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 6.00 5.30  
SCR  CREME CARAMEL               (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00    
 
PEN-6   08/31/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:231 :471 1:121 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COOL COMEDIAN 5 3 31½ 52 31½ 1nk 14¾ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 4.40  
1  CAERUS 1 2 53 41½ 41¾ 4¾ 24¾ (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 120 5.00 5.70  
6  COLONEL MOORHEAD 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 35¼ (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 9% 10.20 6.70 S
4  SHANGHAI CANDY 4 5 75 74 64¼ 63¼ 49 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 4.50 3.90  
3  REBEL RULER 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 59¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 34% 2.00 4.40  
7  MY REDEMPTION 7 7 64½ 62½ 52¾ 52¾ 612½ (sullivan elliott)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00 21% 3.80 3.30  
2  FORECLOSURE 2 6 42 31½ 75¼ 73¾ 718½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 6.80  
 
PEN-7   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PAYNT BY NUMBER 7 6 22 1½   11 13 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.70 W
2  HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 7 711½ 68½   43 23 (miller m)SMITH DANIEL 113 12.00 8.00  
1  JUSTICE OR APPEAL 1 2 12 2½   21 33½ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 5.10  
4  SCOREBOARD LILY 4 4 56½ 57½   33 44½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 7% 13.00 4.20  
3  ESTA CHUCK 3 8 812 710   76½ 510¼ (jacavone john )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00 59.40  
6  HOP TO A DECISION 6 5 69½ 811½   88½ 612½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 10.00 10.10  
8  ROSE VALLEY 8 1 43 44   53½ 713 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 17% 4.70 4.30  
5  BOUND BY TRUTH 5 3 33 34   64½ 819¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00 7% 13.10 9.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.