The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Penn National
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
    Exacta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-5 2 1 $15.60 $15.60 -8.40
    Trifecta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-5-7 3 1 $19.10 $19.10 -4.90
PEN-2   Win (9/6/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -5.40
    Exacta (9/6/11/7)-(9/6/1/11/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 9-1 2 1 $5.60 $5.60 -26.40
    Trifecta (9/6/11/7)-(9/6/1/11/7)-(9/6/1/11/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 9-1-4 3 0 $10.40 -48.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/7)-(9/6/11/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 3-9 2 1 $5.60 $5.60 -26.40
PEN-3   Win (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $19.40 $19.40 15.40
    Exacta (6/8)-(6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8-9 2 0 $181.20 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 8-9-6 3 0 $355.70 0.00
    Daily Double (9/6/11/7)-(6/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 9-8 2 1 $57.80 $57.80 41.80
    Daily Double (9/6/11/7)-(6/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 9-4/10/11 2 0 $2.60 -16.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5/7)-(9/6/11/7)-(6/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 3/8/9-9-ALL 3 1 $1.25 $1.25 -14.75
PEN-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $9.20 -4.00
    Exacta (1/5)-(1/2/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-1 2 0 $28.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-1-2 3 0 $17.70 -12.00
    Daily Double (6/8)-(1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8-7 2 0 $127.60 -8.00
    Pick Three (9/6/11/7)-(6/8)-(1/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 9-ALL-7 3 0 $3.20 -8.00
PEN-5   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $3.80 -4.00
    Exacta (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4-6 2 0 $5.40 -4.00
    Daily Double (1/5)-(6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7-4 2 0 $21.60 -8.00
    Pick Three (6/8)-(1/5)-(6/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 8-7-4 3 0 $38.90 -4.00
PEN-6   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
    Exacta (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 1 $13.40 $13.40 1.40
    Trifecta (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5-3 3 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
    Daily Double (6/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2 2 0 $26.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/5)-(6/2)-(3/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 7-4-2 3 0 $21.50 -6.00
PEN-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
    Exacta (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 0 $65.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5-6 3 0 $121.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/5/2)-(1/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-2 2 1 $26.00 $26.00 8.00
    Pick Three (6/2)-(3/5/2)-(1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 3/4-2-2 3 0 $26.85 -9.00
PEN-8   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $25.00 $25.00 19.00
    Exacta (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 1 $114.00 $114.00 102.00
    Trifecta (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5-1 3 0 $336.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-6 2 1 $132.40 $132.40 114.40
    Pick Three (3/5/2)-(1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 2-2-6 3 1 $68.55 $68.55 55.05
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:23 :462       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DECLARATION TIME 3 6 31 31   11 13¾ (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 47% 1.10 0.50 W
5  CHIEF REIDER 5 3 2½ 1½   21 23¾ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 7% 13.10 10.10 P
7  RUNAHOLIC 7 1 41 41   32 33¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
2  VINDICATO 2 5 73¾ 73¾   43½ 45 (pessanha ney)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00 10.90  
6  URMIZZENTHEPOINT 6 4 51¼ 52   63¾ 56½ (servis c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.00 9.50  
1  UNION REWARD 1 7 62¾ 63½   74¼ 68 (hawthorne bobbi)ROJAS MARTINA 113 15.00 28.20  
4  ALMOND CIDER 4 2 1½ 2½   53½ 710 (perez a)CASTILLO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80 17.50  
SCR  LITTLE J P               (padilla hug)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION               (mccaslin john)MOYA F 122 12.00    
 
PEN-2   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Lebanon Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:23 :463 1:112 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  YOU MUST CHILL 8 7 53½ 32½ 2nk 11 11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 57% 0.70 0.30 W
1  CRISPER 1 8 86 66 43 31½ 21 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 5.00 ★ 4.30 P
4  LACCO AMENO 3 9 97½ 98½ 78¼ 63½ 32¼ (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 27.60  
3  WILL E SUTTON 2 4 64 76½ 55 53 42½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 20.00 38.30  
6  P H FACTOR 5 1 1nk 12 1nk 21 56½ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 17% 5.00 17.80  
11  ROBBY'S RANSOM 9 5 32 22 32 42½ 612¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 32.10  
8  STRAWBERRY TREAT 7 3 42½ 55½ 65¼ 76½ 732¼ (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 30.00 79.00  
5  FAMISHED 4 2 2nk 44½ 9100 9100 8100 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 6.50  
7  TRUE SUCCESS 6 6 75 88 8100 8100 9100 (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 91.40  
SCR  LIGHTNING RIDGE               (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT HAULER               (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00    
SCR  WE DONT NEED ROADS               (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00    
 
PEN-3   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Fort Indiantown Gap Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:241 :483 1:132 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PERFECT HIDEAWAY 6 1 1½ 11 11 1nk 1½ (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00 7% 14.10 8.70 W
9  WINGS OF A SONG 7 6 2½ 21 21 2nk 2½ (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00 14.90  
6  FOXY JUNIOR 4 3 31½ 32 32 3.2 31 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 8.00 13% 6.60 2.80 S
3  ONE MORE KELLY 3 2 53 53 55 42¼ 46¾ (kulp brandon )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 12.00 1.40  
1  SIDESWIPED 1 5 63½ 42½ 43½ 52¾ 511¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00 6.40  
2  GAMESTONKS 2 4 75½ 74 65½ 63¾ 612 (sanchez-salom)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 20.00 4.70  
7  ELEGANT TASTE 5 7 43 63½ 717½ 728¾ 762¾ (smith lawrenc)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 15.00 13.60  
SCR  ANOINT               (brion keri)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOCTOR ABBIE               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
SCR  KLAYTON'S KANDY               (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  ON THE SHORTLIST               (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  SHE'S DANCING               (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:232 :464 1:11 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEE JAY 7 3 21 21 21½ 2½ 11¼ (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 ★ 3.60  
1  DR. STEVE 1 1 11 11 11½ 1½ 21¼ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 70% 0.40 1.20 P
2  SALTO DE TIGRE 2 7 74½ 64¾ 55 32 32 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 ★ 2.60 S
4  MIDNIGHT ACT 4 5 64 74¾ 45 52½ 42¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 37.20  
6  EAGLES CRY 6 4 53½ 33 33 42½ 57½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 12.40  
5  RUBY BLEU 5 6 33 53¼ 66½ 67½ 624½ (synnefias panagio)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
3  MAKE IT BIG 3 2 43 43 77½ 79½ 735½ (sacco gregory)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 6.70  
 
PEN-5   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Fabulous Strike Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:222 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ONE MORE SCOOP 3 2 22½ 23½   22 1½ (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 6.00 0.90  
6  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 4 1 12½ 13½   12 2½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.20 P
2  TRENDING UP 2 3 34 37½   36 38½ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 32% 2.20 5.60 S
1  TUCKERTON BAY 1 4 44 49½   48½ 413¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 11.30  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.20    
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO               (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
 
PEN-6   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Penn Ladies Dash Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:223 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SIMPLY STATED 1 2 31½ 2½   1nk 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 22% 3.60 3.40 W
5  EMPIRE PASS 3 1 11½ 1½   2nk 2¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 24% 3.30 0.40 P
3  KNICKERSINATWIST 2 3 42 33½   31½ 33½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 35% 1.90 4.50 S
6  BELLA PRIMA 4 5 21½ 45½   45½ 411¾ (rodriguez franklin)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 11.90  
7  EARLY FROST 5 4 57 511½   511½ 517¾ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 34.70  
SCR  BOWL OF CHERRIES               (jacobson david)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.60    
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:23 :464 1:113 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EGOT A POKER FACE 2 2 2nk 2nk 1½ 1½ 1¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 9% 10.70 3.80 W
5  PREDOMINATE 4 4 53½ 53½ 42½ 31 2¼ (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 15.10  
6  THISTLE 5 3 31 31 2½ 2½ 31¾ (catalano m )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70 1.80 S
3  SKIMBLE SHANKS 3 5 42½ 42½ 53½ 43 412¾ (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 13.80  
1  MR JACK 1 1 1nk 1nk 31 55 524¼ (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 48% 1.10 0.90  
SCR  GRAND MACALLAN               (barboza victor)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
 
PEN-8   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
:243 :49 1:142 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUSTIN TIME 5 6 63¾ 64¾ 32 1nk 11 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 11.50 W
5  SERENE WARRIOR 4 2 3½ 21 2½ 2nk 21 (jacklin s)CORA D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
1  WICKED T 1 3 1nk 52¾ 65 3½ 33¼ (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 2.40  
2  PECAN PATTIE 2 5 42 42½ 43 52½ 49 (pattershall ma)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 2.00 67% 0.50 1.70  
4  SUGAR STREAK 3 4 2nk 11 1½ 42 513¾ (hogan william)RAMOS C 124 3.00 3.90  
7  ARCTICA 6 1 52¼ 32½ 53½ 64½ 624¼ (flores l)FLORES E 124 12.00 21.60  
SCR  FAVORITE DOLL               (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.