Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-3   WIN (4/11/6/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $19.40 $9.40 94%
    DD (9/6/11/7)-(4/11/6/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-8 $57.80 $17.80 45%
PEN-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $13.40 $1.40 12%
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-5-3 $10.20 $4.20 70%
PEN-7   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.60 $3.60 60%
    DD (3/5/2)-(1/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-2 $26.00 $8.00 44%
PEN-8   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $25.00 $19.00 317%
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $114.00 $102.00 850%
    DD (1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-6 $132.40 $114.40 636%
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50  2-2-6 $68.55 $55.05 408%
    PK4 (6/2)-(3/5/2)-(1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 54 $0.50 $27.00  ALL-2-2-6 $699.90 $672.90 2492%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :462       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DECLARATION TIME 3 6 31 31   11 13¾ (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 47% 1.10 0.50 W
5  CHIEF REIDER 5 3 2½ 1½   21 23¾ (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 7% 13.10 10.10 P
7  RUNAHOLIC 7 1 41 41   32 33¾ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
2  VINDICATO 2 5 73¾ 73¾   43½ 45 (pessanha ne)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00 10.90  
6  URMIZZENTHEPOINT 6 4 51¼ 52   63¾ 56½ (servis john )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.00 9.50  
1  UNION REWARD 1 7 62¾ 63½   74¼ 68 (hawthorne bob)ROJAS MARTINA 113 15.00 28.20  
4  ALMOND CIDER 4 2 1½ 2½   53½ 710 (perez a)CASTILLO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80 17.50  
SCR  LITTLE J P               (padilla h)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION               (mccaslin john)MOYA F 122 12.00    
 
PEN-2   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Lebanon Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:112 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  YOU MUST CHILL 8 7 53½ 32½ 2nk 11 11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 57% 0.70 0.30 W
  (by WINCHILL out of ONLY ME by RUNAWAY GROOM)
1  CRISPER 1 8 86 66 43 31½ 21 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 5.00 ★ 4.30 P
  (by TAPITURE out of JE SUIS ENCHANTEE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
4  LACCO AMENO 3 9 97½ 98½ 78¼ 63½ 32¼ (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 27.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHARP AS A FOX by SHARP VICTOR)
3  WILL E SUTTON 2 4 64 76½ 55 53 42½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 20.00 38.30  
  (by CURLIN out of YES LIZ by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  P H FACTOR 5 1 1nk 12 1nk 21 56½ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 17% 5.00 17.80  
  (by THE FACTOR out of TAZARINE by CAT THIEF)
11  ROBBY'S RANSOM 9 5 32 22 32 42½ 612¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 32.10  
  (by RED VINE out of FIVE KARAT DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
8  STRAWBERRY TREAT 7 3 42½ 55½ 65¼ 76½ 732¼ (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 30.00 79.00  
  (by WELL SPELLED out of FISH BOWL by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  FAMISHED 4 2 2nk 44½ 9100 9100 8100 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 6.50  
  (by UNCLE MO out of RAVENIST by SURVIVALIST)
7  TRUE SUCCESS 6 6 75 88 8100 8100 9100 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 91.40  
  (by TRUE TO THE MOON out of SOLIDAIRE by POMEROY)
SCR  LIGHTNING RIDGE               (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of FAREENA by POINT GIVEN)
SCR  MIDNIGHT HAULER               (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00    
  (by SEVILLE (GER) out of SAVAGE BEAUTY by JOYEUX DANSEUR)
SCR  WE DONT NEED ROADS               (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DULCIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
PEN-3   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fort Indiantown Gap Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:132 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PERFECT HIDEAWAY 6 1 1½ 11 11 1nk 1½ (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00 7% 14.10 8.70 W
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of PERFECT LANDING by FROST GIANT)
9  WINGS OF A SONG 7 6 2½ 21 21 2nk 2½ (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00 14.90  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GRAND PRIX by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  FOXY JUNIOR 4 3 31½ 32 32 3.2 31 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 8.00 13% 6.60 2.80 S
  (by CUBA out of FOXY DRUMMER by FLATTER)
3  ONE MORE KELLY 3 2 53 53 55 42¼ 46¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 12.00 1.40  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of KELLY MAC by THUNDER GULCH)
1  SIDESWIPED 1 5 63½ 42½ 43½ 52¾ 511¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00 6.40  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
2  GAMESTONKS 2 4 75½ 74 65½ 63¾ 612 (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 20.00 4.70  
  (by BLOFELD out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
7  ELEGANT TASTE 5 7 43 63½ 717½ 728¾ 762¾ (smith lawre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 15.00 13.60  
  (by OXBOW out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
SCR  ANOINT               (brion ker)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of WARM GLOW by SKY CLASSIC)
SCR  DOCTOR ABBIE               (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LA ESTRELLITA by CRYPTO STAR)
SCR  KLAYTON'S KANDY               (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RAVIONETTA by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  ON THE SHORTLIST               (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
SCR  SHE'S DANCING               (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STERLING MADAME by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
 
PEN-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEE JAY 7 3 21 21 21½ 2½ 11¼ (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 ★ 3.60  
1  DR. STEVE 1 1 11 11 11½ 1½ 21¼ (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 70% 0.40 1.20 P
2  SALTO DE TIGRE 2 7 74½ 64¾ 55 32 32 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 ★ 2.60 S
4  MIDNIGHT ACT 4 5 64 74¾ 45 52½ 42¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 37.20  
6  EAGLES CRY 6 4 53½ 33 33 42½ 57½ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 12.40  
5  RUBY BLEU 5 6 33 53¼ 66½ 67½ 624½ (synnefias panag)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
3  MAKE IT BIG 3 2 43 43 77½ 79½ 735½ (sacco grego)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 6.70  
 
PEN-5   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fabulous Strike Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ONE MORE SCOOP 3 2 22½ 23½   22 1½ (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 6.00 0.90  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SINGLE SCOOP by SCRIMSHAW)
6  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 4 1 12½ 13½   12 2½ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.20 P
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TORCHWOOD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  TRENDING UP 2 3 34 37½   36 38½ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 32% 2.20 5.60 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of SKY MYSTIC by SKY MESA)
1  TUCKERTON BAY 1 4 44 49½   48½ 413¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 11.30  
  (by BULLSBAY out of MYSTIC ISLAND by BUCK ISLAND)
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.20    
  (by CURLIN out of DUBAI ESCAPADE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO               (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
 
PEN-6   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Penn Ladies Dash Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SIMPLY STATED 1 2 31½ 2½   1nk 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 22% 3.60 3.40 W
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SHARP AND SASSY by SHARP FROSTY)
5  EMPIRE PASS 3 1 11½ 1½   2nk 2¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 24% 3.30 0.40 P
  (by HONOR CODE out of HEYWARDS PARK by TIZNOW)
3  KNICKERSINATWIST 2 3 42 33½   31½ 33½ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 35% 1.90 4.50 S
  (by SKY MESA out of SINGMEALOVESONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  BELLA PRIMA 4 5 21½ 45½   45½ 411¾ (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 11.90  
  (by KEEN ICE out of NOISY FEET by TAPIT)
7  EARLY FROST 5 4 57 511½   511½ 517¾ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 34.70  
  (by FROST GIANT out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  BOWL OF CHERRIES               (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of STAR WHITE by NAEVUS)
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS               (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
 
PEN-7   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:113 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EGOT A POKER FACE 2 2 2nk 2nk 1½ 1½ 1¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 9% 10.70 3.80 W
5  PREDOMINATE 4 4 53½ 53½ 42½ 31 2¼ (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 15.10  
6  THISTLE 5 3 31 31 2½ 2½ 31¾ (catalano )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70 1.80 S
3  SKIMBLE SHANKS 3 5 42½ 42½ 53½ 43 412¾ (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 13.80  
1  MR JACK 1 1 1nk 1nk 31 55 524¼ (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 48% 1.10 0.90  
SCR  GRAND MACALLAN               (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
 
PEN-8   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:142 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUSTIN TIME 5 6 63¾ 64¾ 32 1nk 11 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 11.50 W
5  SERENE WARRIOR 4 2 3½ 21 2½ 2nk 21 (jacklin s)CORA D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
1  WICKED T 1 3 1nk 52¾ 65 3½ 33¼ (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 2.40  
2  PECAN PATTIE 2 5 42 42½ 43 52½ 49 (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 124 2.00 67% 0.50 1.70  
4  SUGAR STREAK 3 4 2nk 11 1½ 42 513¾ (hogan willi)RAMOS C 124 3.00 3.90  
7  ARCTICA 6 1 52¼ 32½ 53½ 64½ 624¼ (flores l)FLORES E 124 12.00 21.60  
SCR  FAVORITE DOLL               (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.