Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-2   Win (9/6/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-6   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-8   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION REWARD Jun05 May22 Apr18 Mar29 Mar21 (hawthorne a)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
VINDICATO Aug02 Jul17 Jun12 Apr29 Apr02 (pessanha ney)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00    
DECLARATION TIME Jul02 May31 Sep23 Aug18 Jul08 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
ALMOND CIDER Jul20 Jul09 Jun29 Jun05 May17 (perez a)CASTILLO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
CHIEF REIDER Jul19 Jun09 Sep24 Jul29 Jul09 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 7% 13.10    
URMIZZENTHEPOINT Jun14 May22 Nov22 Oct19 Aug25 (servis c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.00    
RUNAHOLIC Jul12 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr13 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION Jul12 Jun28 Jun12 Apr26 Apr10 (mccaslin john)MOYA F 122 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE J P Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 May06 Sep27 (padilla hug)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Lebanon Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRISPER Jul25 Jun21 Jun02 Dec13 Nov04 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 5.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT HAULER Jun02 Oct22 Sep24 Aug19 Jul21 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00    
WILL E SUTTON Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 Apr21 Mar25 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 20.00    
LACCO AMENO Aug04 Jun21 Jun02 May05 Jul27 (woolley tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
FAMISHED Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May17 Mar30 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
P H FACTOR Jul27 Jul12 Jul02 May14 Apr21 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 17% 5.00    
TRUE SUCCESS Jun28 May31 May10 Nov23 Oct28 (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
STRAWBERRY TREAT Jul20 Jun16 Apr26 Mar29 Nov29 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 30.00    
YOU MUST CHILL Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 May19 Apr29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  LIGHTNING RIDGE Jul21 Jun21 May26 Feb01 Jan03 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
11  ROBBY'S RANSOM Jul26 Jul03 May17 Oct25 Oct11 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WE DONT NEED ROADS Jul26 Feb18 Jan21 Nov04 Oct01 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00    
 
PEN-3   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fort Indiantown Gap Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIDESWIPED Jul27 Jul05 Jun10 May14 Mar25 (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 122 15.00    
GAMESTONKS Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 May06 Mar18 (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
ONE MORE KELLY Jul24 Jun30 Jun18 Jun02 May18 (kulp l)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 12.00    
SCR  ON THE SHORTLIST Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 Nov30 Nov08 (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  DOCTOR ABBIE Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 May26 Apr28 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
FOXY JUNIOR Jul26 Jun15 May06 Dec21 Nov30 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
ELEGANT TASTE Aug03 Jul21 Jun30 Jun14 May18 (smith lawrenc)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 15.00    
PERFECT HIDEAWAY Jul21 Jun30 May25 Apr27 Mar24 (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00 7% 14.10    
WINGS OF A SONG Jul17 May29 May12 Apr16 Sep20 (schoenthal phil)MONTERREY R 122 15.00    
SCR  ANOINT Jul11 Jun20 May24 Jan27 Dec28 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KLAYTON'S KANDY Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Jun16 May27 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  SHE'S DANCING Aug04 Jul21 Jul05 May22 Oct26 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. STEVE Jun28 Jun01 Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 70% 0.40    
SALTO DE TIGRE Aug02 Jul20 Jun18 Jun09 May27 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
MAKE IT BIG Oct14 Jul29 Feb12     (sacco gregory)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00    
MIDNIGHT ACT Aug02 Jul14 Jun28 Jun01 May17 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
RUBY BLEU Jul26 Jul03 May24 May09 Apr03 (synnefias panagio)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
EAGLES CRY Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 May17 Apr11 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
DEE JAY Aug05 Jul20 Jun29 Jun02 May10 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
 
PEN-5   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fabulous Strike Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUCKERTON BAY Aug09 Jul06 Jun28 Jun02 May11 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
TRENDING UP Jul26 Jun29 Jun02 May17 Apr20 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Aug11 Jul23 May27 May13 Apr28 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.20    
ONE MORE SCOOP Aug02 Jun06 May10 Mar28 Mar01 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 6.00    
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO Jul22 Jun21 Jun11 May21 May12 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr27 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-6   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Penn Ladies Dash Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOWL OF CHERRIES Aug11 Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 May12 (jacobson david)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.60    
SIMPLY STATED Aug08 Jun22 Jun02 May06 Aug11 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
KNICKERSINATWIST Jul14 Jun21 May25 May06 Apr21 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jul21 Jul13 Jun02 May11 Apr20 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
EMPIRE PASS May31 Mar05 Jan29 Dec09 Oct08 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 24% 3.30    
BELLA PRIMA Jul14 Jun21 May06 Aug19 Aug03 (rodriguez franklin)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
EARLY FROST Jul26 Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May06 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
 
PEN-7   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR JACK Jul27 Jul12 Jun02 Mar03 Dec10 (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
EGOT A POKER FACE Jun09 May19 Apr26 Mar31 Mar10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 9% 10.70    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
SCR  GRAND MACALLAN Aug03 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr26 (barboza victor)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
PREDOMINATE Jul19 Jun28 May22 Apr05 Mar06 (krebs stev)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
THISTLE Jan17 Nov09 Oct11 Sep06 Jun18 (catalano m )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-8   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED T Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 May25 May04 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50    
PECAN PATTIE Jul25 Sep15 Aug31 Jun25 May20 (pattershall ma)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 2.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  FAVORITE DOLL Jun16 May19 Apr28 Mar31 Mar23 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
SUGAR STREAK Jul26 Jul17 Jun28 Jun13 May15 (hogan wi)GONZALEZ JR 124 3.00    
SERENE WARRIOR Jun28 Jun14 May17 May04 Mar31 (jacklin s)CORA D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTIN TIME Jul14 Jun28 May25 May04 Mar22 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
ARCTICA Jul14 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr19 (flores l)FLORES E 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.