Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/7)-(9/6/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(9/6/11/7)-(6/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
PEN-2   WIN (9/6/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/11/7)-(9/6/1/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/11/7)-(9/6/1/11/7)-(9/6/1/11/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/11/7)-(6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/6/11/7)-(6/8)-(1/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/8)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(1/5)-(6/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/5)-(6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(6/2)-(3/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(3/5/2)-(1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-7   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION REWARD Jun05 May22 Apr18 Mar29 Mar21 (hawthorne bobbi)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
2  VINDICATO Aug02 Jul17 Jun12 Apr29 Apr02 (pessanha ne)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00    
3  DECLARATION TIME Jul02 May31 Sep23 Aug18 Jul08 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  ALMOND CIDER Jul20 Jul09 Jun29 Jun05 May17 (perez a)CASTILLO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  CHIEF REIDER Jul19 Jun09 Sep24 Jul29 Jul09 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 7% 13.10    
6  URMIZZENTHEPOINT Jun14 May22 Nov22 Oct19 Aug25 (servis john )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.00    
7  RUNAHOLIC Jul12 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr13 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION Jul12 Jun28 Jun12 Apr26 Apr10 (mccaslin john)MOYA F 122 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE J P Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 May06 Sep27 (padilla h)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Lebanon Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRISPER Jul25 Jun21 Jun02 Dec13 Nov04 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 5.00 ★    
  (by TAPITURE out of JE SUIS ENCHANTEE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  MIDNIGHT HAULER Jun02 Oct22 Sep24 Aug19 Jul21 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00    
  (by SEVILLE (GER) out of SAVAGE BEAUTY by JOYEUX DANSEUR)
3  WILL E SUTTON Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 Apr21 Mar25 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of YES LIZ by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  LACCO AMENO Aug04 Jun21 Jun02 May05 Jul27 (woolley t)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHARP AS A FOX by SHARP VICTOR)
5  FAMISHED Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May17 Mar30 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RAVENIST by SURVIVALIST)
6  P H FACTOR Jul27 Jul12 Jul02 May14 Apr21 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 17% 5.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TAZARINE by CAT THIEF)
7  TRUE SUCCESS Jun28 May31 May10 Nov23 Oct28 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TRUE TO THE MOON out of SOLIDAIRE by POMEROY)
8  STRAWBERRY TREAT Jul20 Jun16 Apr26 Mar29 Nov29 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 30.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of FISH BOWL by NORTHERN AFLEET)
9  YOU MUST CHILL Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 May19 Apr29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 57% 0.70    
  (by WINCHILL out of ONLY ME by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR  LIGHTNING RIDGE Jul21 Jun21 May26 Feb01 Jan03 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of FAREENA by POINT GIVEN)
11  ROBBY'S RANSOM Jul26 Jul03 May17 Oct25 Oct11 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RED VINE out of FIVE KARAT DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
SCR  WE DONT NEED ROADS Jul26 Feb18 Jan21 Nov04 Oct01 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DULCIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
PEN-3   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fort Indiantown Gap Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDESWIPED Jul27 Jul05 Jun10 May14 Mar25 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 122 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
2  GAMESTONKS Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 May06 Mar18 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
3  ONE MORE KELLY Jul24 Jun30 Jun18 Jun02 May18 (kulp brandon)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of KELLY MAC by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  ON THE SHORTLIST Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 Nov30 Nov08 (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
SCR  DOCTOR ABBIE Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 May26 Apr28 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LA ESTRELLITA by CRYPTO STAR)
6  FOXY JUNIOR Jul26 Jun15 May06 Dec21 Nov30 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by CUBA out of FOXY DRUMMER by FLATTER)
7  ELEGANT TASTE Aug03 Jul21 Jun30 Jun14 May18 (smith lawre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 15.00    
  (by OXBOW out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
8  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Jul21 Jun30 May25 Apr27 Mar24 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00 7% 14.10    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of PERFECT LANDING by FROST GIANT)
9  WINGS OF A SONG Jul17 May29 May12 Apr16 Sep20 (schoenthal phil)MONTERREY R 122 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GRAND PRIX by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  ANOINT Jul11 Jun20 May24 Jan27 Dec28 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of WARM GLOW by SKY CLASSIC)
SCR  KLAYTON'S KANDY Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Jun16 May27 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RAVIONETTA by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  SHE'S DANCING Aug04 Jul21 Jul05 May22 Oct26 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STERLING MADAME by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
 
PEN-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. STEVE Jun28 Jun01 Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 70% 0.40    
2  SALTO DE TIGRE Aug02 Jul20 Jun18 Jun09 May27 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 ★    
3  MAKE IT BIG Oct14 Jul29 Feb12     (sacco grego)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00    
4  MIDNIGHT ACT Aug02 Jul14 Jun28 Jun01 May17 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
5  RUBY BLEU Jul26 Jul03 May24 May09 Apr03 (synnefias panag)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  EAGLES CRY Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 May17 Apr11 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
7  DEE JAY Aug05 Jul20 Jun29 Jun02 May10 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fabulous Strike Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUCKERTON BAY Aug09 Jul06 Jun28 Jun02 May11 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MYSTIC ISLAND by BUCK ISLAND)
2  TRENDING UP Jul26 Jun29 Jun02 May17 Apr20 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 32% 2.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SKY MYSTIC by SKY MESA)
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Aug11 Jul23 May27 May13 Apr28 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.20    
  (by CURLIN out of DUBAI ESCAPADE by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  ONE MORE SCOOP Aug02 Jun06 May10 Mar28 Mar01 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 6.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SINGLE SCOOP by SCRIMSHAW)
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO Jul22 Jun21 Jun11 May21 May12 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
6  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr27 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TORCHWOOD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
PEN-6   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Penn Ladies Dash Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOWL OF CHERRIES Aug11 Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 May12 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of STAR WHITE by NAEVUS)
2  SIMPLY STATED Aug08 Jun22 Jun02 May06 Aug11 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SHARP AND SASSY by SHARP FROSTY)
3  KNICKERSINATWIST Jul14 Jun21 May25 May06 Apr21 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by SKY MESA out of SINGMEALOVESONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jul21 Jul13 Jun02 May11 Apr20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
5  EMPIRE PASS May31 Mar05 Jan29 Dec09 Oct08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 24% 3.30    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HEYWARDS PARK by TIZNOW)
6  BELLA PRIMA Jul14 Jun21 May06 Aug19 Aug03 (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of NOISY FEET by TAPIT)
7  EARLY FROST Jul26 Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May06 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
PEN-7   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR JACK Jul27 Jul12 Jun02 Mar03 Dec10 (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  EGOT A POKER FACE Jun09 May19 Apr26 Mar31 Mar10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 9% 10.70    
3  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
SCR  GRAND MACALLAN Aug03 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr26 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
5  PREDOMINATE Jul19 Jun28 May22 Apr05 Mar06 (krebs st)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
6  THISTLE Jan17 Nov09 Oct11 Sep06 Jun18 (catalano )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-8   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED T Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 May25 May04 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50    
2  PECAN PATTIE Jul25 Sep15 Aug31 Jun25 May20 (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 124 2.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  FAVORITE DOLL Jun16 May19 Apr28 Mar31 Mar23 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
4  SUGAR STREAK Jul26 Jul17 Jun28 Jun13 May15 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 3.00    
5  SERENE WARRIOR Jun28 Jun14 May17 May04 Mar31 (jacklin s)CORA D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUSTIN TIME Jul14 Jun28 May25 May04 Mar22 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ARCTICA Jul14 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr19 (flores l)FLORES E 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.