Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
SAR-2   Win (2/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.70 $5.70  
SAR-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 6.80
SAR-4   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.90 $2.90  
SAR-5   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 2.00
SAR-6   Win (6/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
SAR-7   Win (10/6/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $8.50 $8.50  
SAR-8   Win (1/8/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $6.70 $6.70  
SAR-9   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $15.20  
SAR-10   Win (9/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.70 $5.70  
SAR-11   Win (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.00  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:12 1:381   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOORE'S LAW 4 5 64 64½ 65¼ 33½ 11¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 29% 2.40 0.90 W
1  MOUNT CRAIG 1 2 11 11 1nk 1nk 21¾ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.85 P
3  HERO'S MEDAL 3 3 21 21 2nk 2nk 31¾ (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 8% 11.30 5.30 S
2  GAME KEEPER 2 6 41½ 42 33½ 49 412¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 113 10.00 22.40  
6  BRAGGADOCIOUS 6 1 52½ 53 43¾ 513 517¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 7.50  
5  BREES 5 4 31½ 31½ 54¾ 616 623¼ (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9.00  
 
SAR-2   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIMELY CONQUEST 2 3 1½ 1nk   12½ 17 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 27% 2.60 1.85 W
8  MISSING FORTUNE 8 2 31 3.2   22½ 27 (saul dana)COA J 124 4.00 18% 4.70 4.30 P
4  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 4 1 2½ 2nk   32½ 38¾ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 13% 6.60 7.20 S
7  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE 7 5 62½ 53¾   44½ 49½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 20% 4.10 5.60  
1  CHASING DAYLIGHT 1 6 42 76   67½ 510¾ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 5.60  
5  RANTING 5 8 85½ 89½   56½ 615 (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 10.30  
6  LAVON 6 4 73 43¾   77¾ 720½ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 20.00 36.00  
3  BIG HAZEL 3 7 52½ 65¾   812¾ 842¾ (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 7.40  
 
SAR-3   08/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:13 1:37   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) 3 3 43 42½ 42½ 23 1¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 26% 2.80 4.40 W
1  ROCKY SKY (IRE) 1 1 11½ 11 11½ 13 2¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.70 P
3  POCA MUCHA 2 4 21½ 31½ 32½ 46 35¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 3.50  
6  CANISY 4 2 31½ 21 21½ 35 410 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 3.85  
SCR  FAVOR               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.20    
SCR  LADY ROCKSTAR (GB)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  PARNAC (FR)               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE               (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 1.80    
 
SAR-4   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Union Avenue Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:214 :444 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRANNYS CONNECTION 1 3 11½ 11½   12½ 11½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 1.20 56% 0.80 0.45 W
5  KANT HURRY LOVE 4 1 21½ 21½   22½ 21½ (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.35 P
6  BANK ON ANNA 5 2 32 33   34 34 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 9.30  
4  VALLELUJAH 3 4 58½ 48   46½ 45¾ (davis robb)DAVIS A 117 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
3  TEMPERMENTAL 2 5 45½ 59   59 510¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 116 15.00 23.60  
SCR  BETSY BLUE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
 
SAR-5   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:213 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GAL IN A RUSH 2 3 48 46   1nk 12½ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 49% 1.00 2.00 W
4  LADY MILAGRO 3 1 12½ 11½   2nk 22½ (martin carlos )TORRES A 119 6.00 4.90  
2  BOWL OF CHERRIES 1 2 22½ 21½   3½ 32¾ (jacobson dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.00 2.30  
6  BREEZE EASY (GB) 4 4 35 33½   41 44¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 20% 4.00 1.50  
SCR  GET THE CANDY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
SCR  GLITTER UP               (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
SCR  REPEALING               (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
 
SAR-6   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:213 :443 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MARSALIS 6 3 31 1½   11½ 11¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 50% 1.00 2.75 W
1  COLONEL BOWMAN 5 8 711 710½   55 21¼ (jacobson dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.50 5.90  
5  PROVOCATEUR 4 1 2½ 41½   21½ 31¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 12.80  
3  NIGHT TIME 2 7 68½ 68   65 44¼ (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
4  TODAY'S FLAVOR 3 5 1½ 2½   43½ 55¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00 3.85  
7  ROTKNEE 8 4 42 31½   33 66¾ (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 22% 3.50 1.85  
1A  CLEM LABINE 7 6 813 817½   813 79¼ (jacobson d)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 5.90  
2  DOT'S DOLLAR 1 2 55 57½   78 810¾ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
 
SAR-7   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRUST FUND 5 2 2nk 1½   11½ 12¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 27% 2.70 3.25 W
3  CANIGETALOAN 2 6 31 41   31½ 22¼ (englehart jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80 P
8  CATALINA CRUSH 7 7 53¼ 51¼   21½ 32¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.70  
10  VETTRIANO (IRE) 9 5 41¼ 3½   42½ 46 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 34% 2.00 1.10  
4  PERLIANO 3 3 1nk 2½   53½ 57¾ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 17% 4.80 14.60  
5  BLUE EIGHTY FIVE 4 8 812¾ 77¾   610 68 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 23.50  
7  INONIT 6 9 712¼ 67¾   710½ 79¼ (lugovich lisa )TORRES A 114 30.00 45.75  
2  DRINKING SOLO 1 4 65¼ 88¼   815½ 818¼ (falcone robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
9  MAD BANKER 8 1 915¾ 915¼   925½ 929¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 25.50  
SCR  DOROTHYS HAPPINESS               (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 20.00    
SCR  GUCCI MAN               (rivelli larry)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  LOVE THAT BIRD               (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 20.00    
SCR  MAMA'S MIDDIE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  STORMY'S DREAMING               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  STRAWBERRY KWIK               (torelli stacy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
SCR  TALL PAUL               (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00    
 
SAR-8   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC13 GOOD National Museum Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:114 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CARL SPACKLER (IRE) 2 6 76½ 66 52 2½ 12¼ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 16% 5.30 2.35 W
5  APPRAISE (IRE) 5 1 1½ 21 2½ 1½ 22¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80 P
1  MORE THAN LOOKS 1 9 87 87 73 52 32¼ (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50 34% 2.00 3.10 S
4  OCEAN VISION (IRE) 4 3 97½ 98½ 62½ 62 44¼ (donworth tim)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 18.20  
3  BEHIND ENEMY LINES (GB) 3 2 52 54 41 41½ 55½ (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 7.90  
7  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL 7 5 66 76½ 83½ 73 65¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 16.60  
6  MYSTERIOUS NIGHT (IRE) 6 8 2½ 11 1½ 31 77½ (appleby charl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 8% 11.30 5.70  
9  BAT FLIP 9 7 41 44 93¾ 98 815 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 23.80  
8  GENERAL JIM 8 4 31 32½ 31 84½ 915½ (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 17% 5.00 6.50  
 
SAR-9   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Evan Shipman Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:113 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DR ARDITO 2 2 55½ 55 31½ 23 11¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 6.60  
7  SHERIFF BIANCO 5 4 1½ 11 1½ 13 21¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 6% 15.50 8.30 P
5  BANKIT 3 1 31 42½ 53 44½ 35¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 20% 4.00 3.45 S
1  AMERICANREVOLUTION 1 5 45 32½ 2½ 33½ 47¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 126 1.00 52% 0.90 0.45  
6  BARESE 4 3 2½ 21 42 56 58½ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 16.80  
SCR  LOBSTA               (sells rachel)COA J 116 30.00    
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK               (englehart je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNILOQUENT 1 1 13 17   18 16¾ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 23% 3.30 1.85 W
9  LINARITE 7 7 712½ 716½   511 26¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 26% 2.80 3.25 P
4  DIAMOND COLLECTOR 3 3 35 48½   48½ 39¼ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 10% 9.10 2.60 S
6  QUICK POWER NAP 4 4 45½ 38   28 49¾ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 7.50  
2  SERENADE SOLDIER 2 2 23 27   38½ 514½ (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 18.00  
7  THREE UNIONS 5 6 57½ 510½   611¼ 617¾ (duggan p)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 15% 5.80 5.90  
8  KREESA LA WROTE 6 5 610½ 613½   713¼ 718 (dixon k)TORRES A 117 30.00 49.75  
SCR  CANDY MONET               (persaud eddie)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00    
SCR  MICHELE M.               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
SCR  NOW SHOWING               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES               (arenas marc)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
SCR  SARATOGA GAZE               (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
 
SAR-11   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
See original race card.
:243 :473 1:124 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SICILIAN GRANDMA 3 3 2nk 2½ 2½ 1½ 12½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5.00  
8  SWEETEST PRINCESS 5 4 31 31½ 1½ 2½ 22½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 11% 7.90 1.75 P
3  GHOSTLY GIRL 2 2 1nk 1½ 31½ 34 37¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 56% 0.80 1.00 S
5  ANILEATE 4 5 55¼ 45 46½ 410½ 416¼ (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 10% 8.90 9.00  
2  HUNTRESS MOON 1 1 45 510 514½ 525½ 541¾ (lerman s)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 13.30  
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT               (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
SCR  MISCREANT               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
SCR  RED HOT CHICK               (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  YOGI               (chichakly amir)TORRES A 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.