Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-3 $6.10 $3.10 103%
SAR-2   EXA (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-8 $16.40 $4.40 37%
    TRI (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-8-4 $37.87 $25.87 216%
    SFT (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-8-4-7 $23.77 $21.37 890%
SAR-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $10.80 $6.80 170%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-1 $9.40 $7.40 370%
    DD (2/7/8/4)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-5 $19.80 $11.80 148%
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(2/7/8/4)-(1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-2-5 $48.50 $24.50 102%
SAR-4   DD (1/5)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $8.90 $2.90 48%
    PK3 (2/7/8/4)-(1/5)-(2/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-5-2 $25.00 $1.00 4%
SAR-5   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.00 $2.00 50%
    PK3 (1/5)-(2/5/4)-(3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2-3 $18.00 $6.00 50%
    PK4 (2/7/8/4)-(1/5)-(2/5/4)-(3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-5-1/2-3 $48.87 $24.87 104%
    PK5 (1/4/3)-(2/7/8/4)-(1/5)-(2/5/4)-(3/6) 144 $0.50 $72.00  4-2-5-1/2-3 $166.25 $94.25 131%
SAR-6   DD (3/6)-(6/7/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-6 $13.20 $5.20 65%
SAR-7   PK3 (3/6)-(6/7/3/2)-(10/6/4/3/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00  3-6-6 $46.75 $6.75 17%
SAR-10   EXA (9/1/7/4)-(9/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-9 $14.00 $2.00 17%
    TRI (9/1/7/4)-(9/1/7/4)-(9/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-9-4 $21.37 $9.37 78%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:12 1:381   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOORE'S LAW 4 5 64 6 6 3 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 29% 2.40 0.90 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLA'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MOUNT CRAIG 1 2 11 11 1nk 1nk 2 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.85 P
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
HERO'S MEDAL 3 3 21 21 2nk 2nk 3 (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 8% 11.30 5.30 S
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
GAME KEEPER 2 6 4 42 3 49 412¼ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 113 10.00 22.40  
  (by HONOR CODE out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BRAGGADOCIOUS 6 1 5 53 4 513 517¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 7.50  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIZ O' GOLD by CEE'S TIZZY)
BREES 5 4 3 3 5 616 623¼ (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9.00  
  (by FLATTER out of SPEEDY WAR by WAR FRONT)
 
SAR-2   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELY CONQUEST 2 3 1½ 1nk   1 17 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 27% 2.60 1.85 W
MISSING FORTUNE 8 2 31 3.2   2 27 (saul dana)COA J 124 4.00 18% 4.70 4.30 P
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 4 1 2½ 2nk   3 3 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 13% 6.60 7.20 S
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE 7 5 6 5   4 4 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 20% 4.10 5.60  
CHASING DAYLIGHT 1 6 42 76   6 510¾ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 5.60  
RANTING 5 8 8 8   5 615 (de h)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 10.30  
LAVON 6 4 73 4   7 720½ (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 20.00 36.00  
BIG HAZEL 3 7 5 6   812¾ 842¾ (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 7.40  
 
SAR-3   08/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:13 1:37   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) 3 3 43 4 4 23 1¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 26% 2.80 4.40 W
ROCKY SKY (IRE) 1 1 1 11 1 13 2¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.70 P
POCA MUCHA 2 4 2 3 3 46 3 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 3.50  
CANISY 4 2 3 21 2 35 410 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 3.85  
SCR  FAVOR               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.20    
SCR  LADY ROCKSTAR (GB)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  PARNAC (FR)               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE               (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 1.80    
 
SAR-4   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Union Avenue Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:214 :444 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANNYS CONNECTION 1 3 1 1   1 1 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 1.20 56% 0.80 0.45 W
  (by CONNECT out of GRANNY'S DRINK by OLD FASHIONED)
KANT HURRY LOVE 4 1 2 2   2 2 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.35 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
BANK ON ANNA 5 2 32 33   34 34 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 9.30  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
VALLELUJAH 3 4 5 48   4 4 (davis ro)DAVIS A 117 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of AVE RAVINA by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
TEMPERMENTAL 2 5 4 59   59 510¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 116 15.00 23.60  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UNICORN KID by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  BETSY BLUE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
 
SAR-5   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:213 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAL IN A RUSH 2 3 48 46   1nk 1 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 49% 1.00 2.00 W
LADY MILAGRO 3 1 1 1   2nk 2 (martin carlo)TORRES A 119 6.00 4.90  
BOWL OF CHERRIES 1 2 2 2   3½ 3 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.00 2.30  
BREEZE EASY (GB) 4 4 35 3   41 4 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 20% 4.00 1.50  
SCR  GET THE CANDY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
SCR  GLITTER UP               (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
SCR  REPEALING               (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
 
SAR-6   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:213 :443 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARSALIS 6 3 31 1½   1 1 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 50% 1.00 2.75 W
COLONEL BOWMAN 5 8 711 710½   55 2 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.50 5.90  
PROVOCATEUR 4 1 2½ 4   2 3 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 12.80  
NIGHT TIME 2 7 6 68   65 4 (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
TODAY'S FLAVOR 3 5 1½ 2½   4 5 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00 3.85  
ROTKNEE 8 4 42 3   33 6 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 22% 3.50 1.85  
1A  CLEM LABINE 7 6 813 817½   813 7 (jacobson)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 5.90  
DOT'S DOLLAR 1 2 55 5   78 810¾ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
 
SAR-7   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST FUND 5 2 2nk 1½   1 1 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 27% 2.70 3.25 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MO SAVINGS by UNCLE MO)
CANIGETALOAN 2 6 31 41   3 2 (englehart jere)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80 P
  (by LEOFRIC out of DIVA'S DELIGHT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
CATALINA CRUSH 7 7 5 5   2 3 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.70  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KIBOSH by DISCREET CAT)
10  VETTRIANO (IRE) 9 5 4 3½   4 46 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 34% 2.00 1.10  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DARBY BLUSH by DARBY CREEK ROAD)
PERLIANO 3 3 1nk 2½   5 5 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 17% 4.80 14.60  
  (by MITOLE out of IWASREADYYESTERDAY by MORE THAN READY)
BLUE EIGHTY FIVE 4 8 812¾ 7   610 68 (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 23.50  
  (by AUDIBLE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
INONIT 6 9 712¼ 6   710½ 7 (lugovich lis)TORRES A 114 30.00 45.75  
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
DRINKING SOLO 1 4 6 8   815½ 818¼ (falcone ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
  (by SOLOMINI out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
MAD BANKER 8 1 915¾ 915¼   925½ 929¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 25.50  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MIZ SHUGINA by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  DOROTHYS HAPPINESS               (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FINDING AURUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  GUCCI MAN               (rivelli lar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of FASHION COMMANDS by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  LOVE THAT BIRD               (ferraro anth)COA J 119 20.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of ASPREE by FREUD)
SCR  MAMA'S MIDDIE               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
SCR  STORMY'S DREAMING               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of STORMY'S SMILE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  STRAWBERRY KWIK               (torelli sta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of BUTCH'S MANGO by GIANT GIZMO)
SCR  TALL PAUL               (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ANANDA by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
 
SAR-8   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC13 GOOD National Museum Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:114 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARL SPACKLER (IRE) 2 6 7 66 52 2½ 1 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 16% 5.30 2.35 W
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of ZINDAYA by MORE THAN READY)
APPRAISE (IRE) 5 1 1½ 21 2½ 1½ 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of CHAMPAGNE OR WATER by CAPTAIN RIO)
MORE THAN LOOKS 1 9 87 87 73 52 3 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50 34% 2.00 3.10 S
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LADIES' PRIVILEGE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
OCEAN VISION (IRE) 4 3 9 9 6 62 4 (donworth ti)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 18.20  
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of BALAAGHA by MR. GREELEY)
BEHIND ENEMY LINES (GB) 3 2 52 54 41 4 5 (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 7.90  
  (by SIOUX NATION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL 7 5 66 7 8 73 6 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 16.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SABRINA'S ANGEL by SCAT DADDY)
MYSTERIOUS NIGHT (IRE) 6 8 2½ 11 1½ 31 7 (appleby cha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 8% 11.30 5.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MISTRUSTING by SHAMARDAL)
BAT FLIP 9 7 41 44 9 98 815 (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 23.80  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of KRAZY KATHY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
GENERAL JIM 8 4 31 3 31 8 915½ (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 17% 5.00 6.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of INSPIRED BY GRACE by CURLIN)
 
SAR-9   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Evan Shipman Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:113 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR ARDITO 2 2 5 55 3 23 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 6.60  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
SHERIFF BIANCO 5 4 1½ 11 1½ 13 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 6% 15.50 8.30 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUMMER RULES by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
BANKIT 3 1 31 4 53 4 3 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 20% 4.00 3.45 S
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
AMERICANREVOLUTION 1 5 45 3 2½ 3 4 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 126 1.00 52% 0.90 0.45  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POLLY FREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
BARESE 4 3 2½ 21 42 56 5 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 16.80  
  (by LAOBAN out of RIGHT PREVAILS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  LOBSTA               (sells rachel)COA J 116 30.00    
  (by EMCEE out of SALTY LITTLE SIS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of CUELLO DE LUNA by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK               (englehart )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
 
SAR-10   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNILOQUENT 1 1 13 17   18 1 (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 23% 3.30 1.85 W
LINARITE 7 7 712½ 716½   511 2 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 26% 2.80 3.25 P
DIAMOND COLLECTOR 3 3 35 4   4 3 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 10% 9.10 2.60 S
QUICK POWER NAP 4 4 4 38   28 4 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 7.50  
SERENADE SOLDIER 2 2 23 27   3 514½ (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 18.00  
THREE UNIONS 5 6 5 510½   611¼ 617¾ (duggan david)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 15% 5.80 5.90  
KREESA LA WROTE 6 5 610½ 613½   713¼ 718 (dixon linda )TORRES A 117 30.00 49.75  
SCR  CANDY MONET               (persaud edd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00    
SCR  MICHELE M.               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
SCR  NOW SHOWING               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES               (arenas ma)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
SCR  SARATOGA GAZE               (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
 
SAR-11   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
See original race card.
:243 :473 1:124 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIAN GRANDMA 3 3 2nk 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5.00  
SWEETEST PRINCESS 5 4 31 3 1½ 2½ 2 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 11% 7.90 1.75 P
GHOSTLY GIRL 2 2 1nk 1½ 3 34 3 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 56% 0.80 1.00 S
ANILEATE 4 5 5 45 4 410½ 416¼ (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 10% 8.90 9.00  
HUNTRESS MOON 1 1 45 510 514½ 525½ 541¾ (lerman s)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 13.30  
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT               (reynolds patric)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
SCR  MISCREANT               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
SCR  RED HOT CHICK               (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY               (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  YOGI               (chichakly am)TORRES A 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.

 

 
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