Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (2/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-4   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-6   Win (6/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (10/6/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (1/8/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (9/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-11   Win (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNT CRAIG Jul14 May02 Mar23 Mar02 Feb04 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
GAME KEEPER Jul21 Jun02 May02 Mar11 Feb25 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 113 10.00    
HERO'S MEDAL Jul14 Jun25 May02 Mar26   (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 8% 11.30    
MOORE'S LAW Jul14 Mar25 Feb11     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
BREES Jul21         (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
BRAGGADOCIOUS Jun22 May02 Apr15     (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING DAYLIGHT Jun23 May19 Apr13 Jun24   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
TIMELY CONQUEST Jun16         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
BIG HAZEL Jul26 Jun25 Jun16 May27 May05 (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Jul09 Jun15 May22 Apr25 Sep05 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
RANTING Jul08 Aug20 Jul04 Jun05   (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
LAVON Jun15 Apr23 Mar17 Feb24 Jan19 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Mar11 Feb09 Jan06 Dec01 Nov12 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
MISSING FORTUNE Jul12 Jun21 May31 Sep14 Aug23 (saul dana)COA J 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
SAR-3   08/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY SKY (IRE) Nov25 Oct02 Aug25 Aug03 May30 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  LADY ROCKSTAR (GB) Jul01 May05 Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
POCA MUCHA Jul13 Jun15 Oct21 Sep14 Aug03 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  PARNAC (FR) Jul01 Jun11 May07 Nov13 Oct29 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) Jul13 May28 Mar11 Nov25 Sep24 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
CANISY Jul22 Jun16 May19 Apr21 Oct15 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
SCR  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE Jul08 May27 Apr21 Jan16 Nov25 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 1.80    
SCR  FAVOR Jul19 Dec09 Jul14 May20 Mar26 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.20    
 
SAR-4   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Union Avenue Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BETSY BLUE Aug09 Jun25 Feb12 Jan21 Dec10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
GRANNYS CONNECTION Jun25 May28 Mar19 Feb25 Jan15 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 1.20 56% 0.80    
TEMPERMENTAL Aug03 Jun16 May29 Apr28 Mar26 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 116 15.00    
VALLELUJAH Jul07 Feb05 Jan08 Dec11 Nov20 (davis robb)DAVIS A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
KANT HURRY LOVE Jun25 May12 Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
BANK ON ANNA Jun25 May12 Dec04 Oct06 Aug12 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 
SAR-5   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLITTER UP Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 Feb08 Jan15 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
BOWL OF CHERRIES Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (jacobson dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.00    
GAL IN A RUSH Jul01 Jun03 Apr16 Nov17 Oct14 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
LADY MILAGRO Jul15 Jun16 May12 Apr16 Mar25 (martin carlos )TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  REPEALING Dec17 Nov20 Aug21 Jul23 Jun18 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
BREEZE EASY (GB) Jul15 Jun16 May18 Nov27 Oct15 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  GET THE CANDY Jun24 May27 Apr22 Oct15 Sep15 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY Jul14 Jun18 May05 Mar11 Feb11 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
 
SAR-6   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL BOWMAN Jul23 May27 May13 Apr28 Apr07 (jacobson dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.50    
1A  CLEM LABINE May13 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 Jan15 (jacobson d)SANTANA JR 122 4.50    
DOT'S DOLLAR Jul08 Jun09 Apr28 Apr21 Oct08 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
NIGHT TIME Mar23 Mar11 Feb04 Jan18 Dec16 (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TODAY'S FLAVOR Jun10 Apr30 Apr08 Feb18 Jan07 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
PROVOCATEUR Oct22 Sep24 Aug06 Jun11 May15 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
MARSALIS Jul01 Nov23 Nov04 Sep22 Mar26 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
ROTKNEE Jun09 May19 Apr21 Mar04 Jun29 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
SAR-7   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRAWBERRY KWIK         (torelli stacy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
DRINKING SOLO         (falcone robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANIGETALOAN         (englehart jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
PERLIANO Jul07         (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
BLUE EIGHTY FIVE Jun23         (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
TRUST FUND         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
INONIT         (lugovich lisa )TORRES A 114 30.00    
CATALINA CRUSH         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
MAD BANKER         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
10  VETTRIANO (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 34% 2.00    
SCR  STORMY'S DREAMING         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  MAMA'S MIDDIE Jul16         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  DOROTHYS HAPPINESS         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 20.00    
SCR  LOVE THAT BIRD Jul28         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 20.00    
SCR  TALL PAUL Jul23         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00    
SCR  GUCCI MAN         (rivelli larry)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
 
SAR-8   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC13 GOOD National Museum Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN LOOKS Jul07 Jun17 Apr28 Mar31 Feb19 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
CARL SPACKLER (IRE) May06 Feb25 Jan21     (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 16% 5.30    
BEHIND ENEMY LINES (GB) Jun02 May06 Apr01     (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
OCEAN VISION (IRE)         (donworth tim)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
APPRAISE (IRE) Jul08 Sep17 Aug19 Jul22   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MYSTERIOUS NIGHT (IRE) Sep17         (appleby charl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 8% 11.30    
MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL Jun17         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
GENERAL JIM Jun10 May06 Feb04 Jan01 Nov26 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
BAT FLIP Nov26 Oct23 Sep24 Aug20 Jul24 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
 
SAR-9   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Evan Shipman Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICANREVOLUTION Sep03 Jul02 Jun04     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 126 1.00 52% 0.90    
DR ARDITO May29 May05 Feb20 Jan19 May15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  LOBSTA Jul24 May29 May20 Apr30 Feb20 (sells rachel)COA J 116 30.00    
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Jul07 Jun11 May28 Apr14 Mar18 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
BANKIT May29 Apr15 Feb20 Jan08 Dec04 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
BARESE Jul01 May29 May06 Dec17 Nov27 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
SHERIFF BIANCO Jul16 Jul01 May29 Apr30 Apr23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK Jul01 May29 Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 (englehart je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNILOQUENT Apr22 Jan15 Jul14 Apr22 Feb16 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
SERENADE SOLDIER Dec31 Nov19 Jan01     (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jul13 Jul02 May18 Apr28 Nov17 (arenas marc)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
DIAMOND COLLECTOR Mar18 Feb09 Jan13 Dec31 Nov13 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  MICHELE M. Jul07 Jun03 Nov05 Oct05   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
QUICK POWER NAP Jul08 Jun17 May20 Apr29 Oct07 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
THREE UNIONS Apr22 Nov20 Oct28 Sep22 Aug12 (duggan p)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 15% 5.80    
KREESA LA WROTE Jul08 Jun20 May15     (dixon k)TORRES A 117 30.00    
LINARITE Jul13 Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr10 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SARATOGA GAZE Jul13 May28 Apr22 Mar26 Oct23 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
SCR  CANDY MONET Jul08 Jun17 Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 (persaud eddie)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00    
SCR  NOW SHOWING Jul19 Jun02 Apr19 Mar18 Jan29 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 
SAR-11   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Jul13 Jun17 Apr28 Apr08 Nov19 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
HUNTRESS MOON Apr19 Apr07 Jul29 Jun12 May06 (lerman s)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL Jul22 Jun01 May11 Apr22 Mar30 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 56% 0.80    
SICILIAN GRANDMA May20 Mar03 Jan26 Dec18 Sep26 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
ANILEATE Jul27 Jun11 May18 Apr28 Mar12 (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT Dec02 Oct21 Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
SCR  RED HOT CHICK Jun25 May06 Apr08 Sep17 Aug17 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SWEETEST PRINCESS Jul15 May29 Apr08 Mar17 Feb19 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  MISCREANT Jul13 May11 Mar31 Mar01 Oct14 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
SCR  YOGI Jul16 May19 Mar12 Dec29 Nov26 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.