Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $32.60  
PEN-2   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.80  
PEN-3   Win (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $26.60  
PEN-4   Win (2/8/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
PEN-5   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $8.60  
PEN-6   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.00  
PEN-7   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $22.20  
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:22 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSITIVE FORCE 1 2 13 11½   1½ 1¼ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 20.00 15.30  
6  QUEEN ROSEMARY 6 1 23 21½   2½ 2¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.50 43% 1.30 2.90 P
2  MS. MALEVOLENCE 2 4 57 57   52¼ 33¾ (moore m)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00 10.10  
5  BILLIEANNE 5 6 45 33½   32 47 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 1.40 1.50  
4  KATY THE CAT 4 3 69 68   63¼ 59¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 8% 10.90 12.70  
3  SHATTER ME 3 5 33½ 44   42 614½ (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 13% 6.80 1.90  
 
PEN-2   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:243 :473 1:121 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CUENCA 5 2 11 11½ 11½ 11½ 14 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.40 2.90  
2  OUR FANTASY 2 6 66¾ 66½ 44½ 32½ 24 (arriagada ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 2.00 58% 0.70 0.70 P
4  WILL TAKE ROSES 4 3 31 32 21½ 21½ 37¾ (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 14% 6.40 4.50 S
3  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL 3 5 55¼ 56 55½ 53½ 410¾ (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
6  TERPEYE 6 4 21 21½ 33½ 43 512¼ (moreno tito)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 37.40  
1  BLIND SIGHT 1 1 41¼ 44 66 64 612¼ (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 12.00  
 
PEN-3   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:22 :443       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHOSHANAH 4 4 11½ 11½   11 1¼ (horlacher kyle)OLVER MADISON 108 10.00 12.30  
6  LUCCI 6 3 21½ 31½   21 2¼ (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 5.00 25% 3.00 6.30 P
7  LIVE FIRE 7 1 53½ 42½   42 3¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 4.30 S
9  PAPAL LAW 8 2 65 65   63½ 42½ (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 25.90  
2  COMEDY TOWN 2 6 43 53   52½ 53 (miceli mich)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 30% 2.30 1.50  
3  MT SURIBACHI 3 7 86½ 87¾   85 63¼ (smylie j)BOWMAN ADAM 120 6.00 10.10  
1  S. MUFFIN 1 8 32 21½   31½ 77¾ (russell t)ROSE J 120 3.50 21% 3.80 2.80  
5  MOBEER 5 5 75 77½   74½ 810¼ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 30.00  
SCR  BOSS IS A PAL               (stettinius )HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TURNPIKE BOB 8 3 12 11½   1½ 13¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 29% 2.40 2.40 W
6  LONGTAIL 6 5 42½ 21½   2½ 23¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 7% 13.40 7.20 P
4  MYSTIC POINT 4 7 73¼ 54   31 34 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00 10.10  
5  WILD CARAMELO 5 6 32½ 43½   41½ 45¾ (fields kevin)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 8% 11.50 3.80  
9  TRUE GOLD 9 1 52¾ 32½   52 58¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
2  CALCULATED THINKIN 2 8 87¼ 87   84½ 610¾ (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50 33% 2.10 8.20  
3  LAST MINUTE MARIO 3 4 22 76½   64 711¼ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 5.30  
1  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA 1 9 97¾ 97½   95 813 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 12.00 6.60  
7  CATCH MY VIBE 7 2 63¼ 66   74½ 913¾ (thompson mar)HENRY JR 122 10.00 61.60  
 
PEN-5   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MIDNIGHT STRIKES 5 3 43 43 41¼ 2nk 11¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 3.30  
5  EL POLICIA 4 5 32½ 31½ 51¾ 41¼ 21¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 21% 3.80 1.80 P
7  WICKED IRISHMAN 6 4 55 54 1nk 1nk 31½ (wolfe jr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 11% 7.80 5.10 S
4  SOUTHERN RUNNER 3 2 21½ 21 2nk 3.2 43 (vega richard)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00 3.80  
1  COMBATING 1 6 620 619 611¾ 615¼ 518½ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 17.80  
3  WHISKIED UP 2 1 11½ 11 31 59¼ 619¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 30% 2.40 4.00  
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR)               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A null      
 
PEN-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES FROM HEAVEN 1 1 1nk 21   21 12 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 1.00  
5  SOUPSTER 3 2 2nk 11   11 22 (sillaman richard)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 8% 12.20 2.20 P
3  HELLO GRACIE 2 3 42 42   32 33½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 30% 2.30 3.10 S
6  FIELD LETTERS 4 4 31½ 32   43 46¾ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 4.60  
SCR  HAPPY TAPPY TIM               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  JACK'S LILLY               (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 3.00    
 
PEN-7   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRUE QUEEN 5 2 1nk 12   11½ 1½ (rose orlando)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00 10.10  
8  BINOCHE 6 1 51¼ 22   21½ 2½ (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 20% 4.10 2.40 P
1  PAYNT BY NUMBER 1 6 41¼ 43½   32½ 35¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 4.50  
4  SURCHARGE 4 5 66¼ 66½   52¾ 46 (catalano m )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.60  
2  PRAIRIE TALES 2 4 2nk 32½   42½ 57 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 11.20  
3  BOUND BY TRUTH 3 3 31 54½   67¾ 619½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 3.50 26% 2.90 4.60  
SCR  CREATIVE CADENCE               (pecoraro antho)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 8.00    
SCR  DESI'S REWARD               (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.