Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (2/8/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-5   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-7   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE FORCE Aug08 Jul14 Jun28 Jun02 May12 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 20.00    
MS. MALEVOLENCE Jul12 Jun26 Jun06 May29 May08 (moore m)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00    
SHATTER ME Jul14 May17 Apr21 Mar31 Mar09 (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 13% 6.80    
KATY THE CAT Jul27 Jun24 May25 Apr28 Mar31 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
BILLIEANNE Jul27 Jun30 May31 May05 Apr24 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 1.40    
QUEEN ROSEMARY Jul27 Jun22 Jan19 Dec20 Nov25 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.50 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-2   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLIND SIGHT Aug05 Jul15 Jul05 Jun17 Jun02 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
OUR FANTASY Jul15 Jun21 May31 Apr26 Apr08 (arriagada ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Jul26 Jun30 Jun14 May25 Apr26 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILL TAKE ROSES Jun16 May26 May06 Mar31 Feb23 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
CUENCA Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 Jun02 Apr28 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.40    
TERPEYE Jul27 Jul05 Jun28 May25 Apr28 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-3   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S. MUFFIN Jul21 Jun02 May19 Jun26 May29 (russell t)ROSE J 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
COMEDY TOWN Jul28 Jun01 Apr13 Sep24 Aug27 (miceli mich)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
MT SURIBACHI Jul07 May28 Nov06 Oct08 Oct03 (smylie timothy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
SHOSHANAH Jul05 May19 Nov05 Sep28 Jul28 (horlacher kyle)ROJAS MARTINA 108 10.00    
MOBEER Jul07 Jun02 May06 Mar29 Mar02 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
LUCCI Jul16 May28 May07 Feb23 Jan14 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
LIVE FIRE Aug03 Jul03 May25 Nov30 Oct04 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOSS IS A PAL Aug10 Jul09 Jun11 May29 Oct21 (stettinius )HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
PAPAL LAW Jul09 Jun18 May29 Oct30 Oct16 (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Jul20 Jun30 Jun21 May26 May12 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
CALCULATED THINKIN Jul28 Jul12 Jun20 May31 Apr28 (lucas bonnie)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 33% 2.10    
LAST MINUTE MARIO Jul28 Jun09 May10 Apr19 Jan12 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
MYSTIC POINT Jul28 Jun20 May18 Apr26 Mar24 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
WILD CARAMELO Aug04 Jun20 May31 May06 Jan18 (fields kevin)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 8% 11.50    
LONGTAIL Jun20 May17 Apr28 Mar17 Mar03 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 7% 13.40    
CATCH MY VIBE Jul10 Jun20 Mar20 Mar08 Feb14 (thompson mar)HENRY JR 122 10.00    
TURNPIKE BOB Jul28 Jul20 Apr19 Mar31 Mar10 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
TRUE GOLD Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 May17 Apr19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMBATING Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 May25 May10 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
WHISKIED UP Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May26 Apr19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
SOUTHERN RUNNER Jul04 Jun10 May31 May10 Dec20 (vega richard)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00    
EL POLICIA Aug04 Jul06 Apr01 Feb17 Feb03 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
MIDNIGHT STRIKES Aug04 Jul19 Jun14 Oct21 Oct07 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
WICKED IRISHMAN Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 Oct14 Sep16 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Jul06 Jun21 Jun09 May25 May06 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A null      
 
PEN-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSES FROM HEAVEN Jul21 Jun14 May31 Apr27 Mar09 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80    
SCR  JACK'S LILLY Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 3.00    
HELLO GRACIE Jul21 Jun22 May31 May17 Apr28 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May07 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
SOUPSTER Jul13 Nov08 Oct12 Sep24 Sep16 (sillaman richard)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 8% 12.20    
FIELD LETTERS Aug04 Jul23 Jul05 Jun16 May31 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00    
 
PEN-7   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT BY NUMBER Jul26 Mar15 Feb09 Jan11 Dec02 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
PRAIRIE TALES Aug02 Jul01 Nov23 Oct26 Sep20 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
BOUND BY TRUTH Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Apr26 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
SURCHARGE Aug02 Jul18 Jan29 Dec17 Oct29 (catalano m )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  DESI'S REWARD Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 Jun20 Jun01 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
SCR  CREATIVE CADENCE Jun30 Jun02 May18 Nov07 Oct19 (pecoraro antho)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 8.00    
TRUE QUEEN Jul28 Jun29 Jun20 May19 Mar17 (rose orlando)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
BINOCHE Jul28 Jul12 May27 Mar01 Jan04 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.