Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-2   EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-7 $12.50 $0.50 4%
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-7-4 $18.15 $6.15 51%
    SFT (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-7-4-3 $20.41 $18.01 750%
MTH-3   EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-4 $16.90 $10.90 182%
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-4-3 $19.45 $16.45 548%
MTH-4   EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5 $32.10 $20.10 168%
MTH-5   EXA (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-9 $26.20 $14.20 118%
    TRI (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-9-8 $58.50 $46.50 388%
MTH-6   WIN (1/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $18.00 $10.00 125%
    EXA (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $28.10 $16.10 134%
    PK3 (1/2/5/6)-(9/4/5/8)-(1/6/9/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00  2-5-6 $48.45 $16.45 51%

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:212 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEL PENSIERO 1 5 4 3   3 1 (margotta antho)MOYA F 115 3.50 52% 0.90 1.60 W
AMAZING GRACES JOY 4 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 2 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 4.50 7.60  
ROB THE TREASURE 7 4 7 7   5 3 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 27.30  
DELIGHTFUL AVA 2 7 5 5   44 4 (frange)MARAGH RAMSAY 115 6.00 21.10  
FIXED ODDS 3 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 54 (simoff andre)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 3.00 25% 3.10 1.90  
SHERRY ORIENTAL 5 8 8 8   8 6 (paterno robert)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
POLITELY CROWNED 6 6 6 64   7 75 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.00 7.80  
SEA MAIDEN 8 3 31 42   6 8 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 115 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
 
MTH-2   07/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:222 :462 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTONISHING ANABEL 6 1 21 2nk   1nk 1¼ (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 14% 5.90 2.50 W
WHEELINGNDEALING 7 2 32 31   3½ 2¼ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50 27% 2.70 2.20 P
BELMAR SUMMER 4 6 54 42   2nk 3¼ (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 2.50 34% 2.00 3.60 S
BOSS LIKE BETH 3 3 64 5   5 4½ (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 117 12.00 5% 19.00 32.30  
LONDON LADY 5 5 43 6   6 55 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 13.30  
GUN OF GOLD 1 4 11 1nk   42 68 (ward dan)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 15.40  
COAL MINE 2 7 7 7   7 710 (skelton )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 3.00  
 
MTH-3   07/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
1:454         1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY STORM 6 5 5 5 5 21 1 (schultz linds)IORIO MELISSA 117 4.00 19% 4.40 1.60 W
HONOR THE FLEET 3 3 1 1 1 11 2 (d'angelo j)RIVERA R 117 8.00 11% 8.40 6.00 P
CORKMAN 2 1 3 4 2 3 3 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 124 2.50 41% 1.50 2.20 S
THE JONES BOY 1 2 4 3 43 55 4 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 124 3.50 4.70  
INDIAN BUZZ 5 4 2 2 3 4 511½ (torres pablo)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50 5.00  
THE METHOD 4 6 610¾ 612½ 610¼ 611 620 (simon linda)COTTO L 124 12.00 20.70  
SCR  SEANOW               (magee kie)VARGAS A 124 3.00    
 
MTH-4   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRENA'S STAR 2 5 11 1   1 1¼ (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.50 24% 3.30 1.90 W
SOUPER FLY OVER 5 2 6 56   4 2¼ (collazo dan)FERRER C 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
SNEAKINESS 7 1 21 2   2 3½ (flores-co)VARGAS A 124 5.00 4.30  
PUDDING 1 6 5 66   3 4 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 4.00 53% 0.90 2.20  
DIZZY GILLESPIE 6 3 4 4   6 57 (flores-co)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
SMALL REASON 4 4 31 3   57 6 (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.50 3.50  
JOHNNY OIL 3 7 7 714   713½ 712¼ (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 117 20.00 35.10  
SCR  MAJESTIC TIGER               (gonzalez cla)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
 
MTH-5   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:21 :434       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THAT MAGIC 4 4 1 12   14 16 (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.50 19% 4.20 2.30 W
MUSICAL DESIGN 8 3 2 32   24 26 (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 30% 2.40 6.60 P
MISS SAKAMOTO 7 2 53 4   45 3 (sweezey ken)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 10% 8.70 7.70 S
WORLD TRAVELER 6 1 7 6   56 4 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 3.30  
QUEEN KARIMA 3 7 4 5   6 5 (perez carlos)ARROYO S 115 3.00 19% 4.10 5.50  
SADIE BABY 2 8 8 88   7 6 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 122 12.00 17.70  
ATHENA'S WISDOM 1 5 3 22   3 711 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00 12.40  
EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE 5 6 64 76   8 812 (dini mike)FERRER C 119 6.00 5.80  
SCR  EUPHIMA (ARG)               (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
SCR  FAST LANI               (mcmahon hugh )SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
 
MTH-6   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOVIAL 5 8 8 64   1½ 1 (king cla)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.50 17% 4.90 8.00 W
MUST BE LOVE 4 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00 8% 12.20 1.90 P
FORTY STRIPES 2 6 7 8   7 3 (foglia ant)RIVERA R 116 10.00 7.40  
PRACTICAL WAY 6 2 6 53   4 4 (avila jua)VARGAS A 121 12.00 3.90  
RECKLESS PLACE 1 7 31 42   3 58 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 42% 1.40 5.70  
10  SOUPER ROYAL MOON 8 1 5 3   5 6 (perez car)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 11.40  
AWESOMEBROTHERBILL 3 5 42 78   8 712¼ (wilson tony)COTTO L 119 8.00 13.90  
BAYOU SHACK 7 4 1nk 1nk   6 814 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 5.00 8% 11.80 6.30  
SCR  SHEA ON THE LAM               (forde jason)BAILEY O 116 20.00    
SCR  SUPER QUALITY               (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00    
 
MTH-7   07/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:102 1:354   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST ANTHONY 2 2 31 3 22 1 1 (drysdale nei)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 1.40  
OFFALY COOL 5 7 4 44 4 2 2 (solis jacint)LAPRIDA JEREMY 117 6.00 8% 11.00 9.90 P
BE HERE 3 8 8 8 7 65 3 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 3.20  
OCEANS MAP 6 4 6 6 66 5 43 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 18% 4.60 8.20  
SOUPER ENERGIZER 7 3 5 56 5 4 5 (pantaleo josep)LUZZI J 124 8.00 13% 6.90 10.40  
NIGHT JUMPER 1 6 1nk 1 12 32 69 (dobles eliza)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 7.50  
MEGACITY 4 5 2nk 2 33 78 713¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 33% 2.10 6.70  
IRISH EXIT 8 1 7 7 811½ 817 835 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00 35.30  
SCR  NO SALT               (volk scott)FERRER C 124 4.50    
 
MTH-8   07/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE STEP 5 2 4 3½   13 1 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00 5.10  
STEPHANIE MY LOVE 1 6 55 5   23 2 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 4.00 17% 4.80 4.20 P
BINOCHE 6 1 2nk 2nk   35 313½ (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 4.60  
ANGELIC GAL 4 4 3½ 4   47 416¾ (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 117 3.00 36% 1.80 2.40  
COMODA 3 3 68 6   512 523 (skelton )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 25.20  
CUPIDS PAYDAY 2 5 1nk 1nk   6100 6100 (came)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 2.50 12% 7.10 1.80  
SCR  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS               (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 15.00    
SCR  PEACH BE WITH Q               (soto- martinez)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.