Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (1/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/8)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/7)-(1/2/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(1/2/5/6)-(4/5/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/6)-(4/5/8/9)-(1/5/6/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
MTH-5   WIN (9/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/9)-(1/5/6/9)-(4/6/7/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/9)-(4/6/7/8/9)-(1/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEL PENSIERO Jul15 Jun23 Jan07 Dec10 Oct03 (margotta antho)MOYA F 115 3.50 52% 0.90    
2  DELIGHTFUL AVA Jun18 Jun09 May20 Oct08 Sep23 (frange)MARAGH RAMSAY 115 6.00    
3  FIXED ODDS Jun23 May20 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 (simoff andre)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  AMAZING GRACES JOY Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 May13 Sep18 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 4.50    
5  SHERRY ORIENTAL Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 Sep18 (paterno robert)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  POLITELY CROWNED Jul09 Jun23 Jun17 Apr30 Mar17 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.00    
7  ROB THE TREASURE Jun30 Jun17 Sep23 Aug28 Aug15 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
8  SEA MAIDEN Jul15 Jun17 Jun02 May13 Sep11 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-2   07/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN OF GOLD Dec16 Oct21 Sep23 Aug20 Jul24 (ward dan)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
2  COAL MINE Jul14 Jun30 May29 May13 Apr07 (skelton )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
3  BOSS LIKE BETH Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May31 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BELMAR SUMMER Jul09 Jun18 May20 Apr22 Mar22 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  LONDON LADY Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 May28 May05 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00    
6  ASTONISHING ANABEL Jul09 Jun10 Feb10 Jan04 Dec17 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 14% 5.90    
7  WHEELINGNDEALING Jun30 Jun18 Feb08 Jan18 Dec10 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
MTH-3   07/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEANOW Jul20 Jul06 May27 May04 Jul04 (magee kie)VARGAS A 124 3.00    
2  THE JONES BOY Jul05 Jun13 Oct25 Sep24 Aug25 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 124 3.50    
3  CORKMAN Jul07 Jun16 May27 Apr29 Apr14 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  HONOR THE FLEET Jun19 May29 May04 Apr15 Mar03 (d'angelo j)RIVERA R 117 8.00 11% 8.40    
5  THE METHOD Jul16 Jun16 May27 Mar27 Mar01 (simon linda)COTTO L 124 12.00    
6  INDIAN BUZZ Jul02 Jun09 Apr21 Apr05 Feb19 (torres pablo)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50    
7  ICY STORM Jul02 Jun16 Jun02 Apr14 Mar25 (schultz linds)IORIO MELISSA 117 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
MTH-4   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUDDING Jul08 Jun06 Oct02 Sep09 Aug13 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 4.00 53% 0.90    
2  DRENA'S STAR Jul08 Jun11 Mar16 Feb20 Jan22 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.50 24% 3.30    
3  JOHNNY OIL Aug22 Jul24 Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 117 20.00    
4  SMALL REASON Jul14 Jun10 May13 Apr21 Mar24 (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.50    
5  SOUPER FLY OVER Jun27 Jun20 Jun03 May09 Apr18 (collazo dan)FERRER C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIZZY GILLESPIE Jul14 Jul08 May29 May24 May01 (flores-co)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SNEAKINESS Jul08 Jun18 May21 May13 Apr19 (flores-co)VARGAS A 124 5.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC TIGER May26 May06 Apr01 Mar10 Jan26 (gonzalez cla)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
 
MTH-5   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENA'S WISDOM Jun25 Jun04 May05 Apr19   (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  FAST LANI Jun25 May27 Oct28 Sep17 Aug25 (mcmahon hugh )SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
3  SADIE BABY Jun23 Jun02 May13 Sep10 Aug28 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 122 12.00    
4  QUEEN KARIMA Jun17 May12 Apr02 Jan27   (perez carlos)ARROYO S 115 3.00 19% 4.10    
5  ALL THAT MAGIC Jun28 Jun09 May02 Mar21 Jan13 (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Jul14 Jun04 May20 Apr15 Mar22 (dini mike)FERRER C 119 6.00    
7  WORLD TRAVELER Jul02 Jun09 May27 Jun19 May15 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
8  MISS SAKAMOTO Jun04 Mar15 Feb15 Nov20 Oct08 (sweezey ken)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 10% 8.70    
9  MUSICAL DESIGN May07 Apr09 Feb02 Jan05 May21 (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  EUPHIMA (ARG)         (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
 
MTH-6   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS PLACE Jul08 Jun18 May29 Apr09 Aug22 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 42% 1.40    
2  FORTY STRIPES Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr08 Feb21 (foglia ant)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
3  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Mar15 (wilson tony)COTTO L 119 8.00    
SCR  SHEA ON THE LAM Jul16 Jun24 Jun02 May21 Apr07 (forde jason)BAILEY O 116 20.00    
5  MUST BE LOVE Jun21 Jun05 May01 Apr05 Jan31 (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00 8% 12.20    
6  JOVIAL Jun28 Jun19 May20 May10 Apr25 (king cla)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
7  PRACTICAL WAY Jun24 Jun10 May10 Apr28 Mar28 (avila jua)VARGAS A 121 12.00    
SCR  SUPER QUALITY Jun18 Apr28 Apr15 Mar10 Mar05 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00    
9  BAYOU SHACK Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May28 May14 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 5.00 8% 11.80    
10  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Apr21 Apr08 Mar18 Feb15 Jan05 (perez car)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
 
MTH-7   07/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT JUMPER Jun17 May27 Apr16 Mar31 Dec26 (dobles eliza)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
2  ST ANTHONY Jul04 May11 Dec03 Nov11 Oct22 (drysdale nei)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50    
3  BE HERE Jun17 May27 Mar30 Mar16 Feb04 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
4  MEGACITY Jul07 May04 Mar31 Feb26 Jan20 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
5  OFFALY COOL Jun26 Jun07 May13 Apr18 Feb17 (solis jacint)LAPRIDA JEREMY 117 6.00 8% 11.00    
6  OCEANS MAP Jun17 Jan18 Dec17 Oct15 Sep10 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
7  SOUPER ENERGIZER Jul01 Jun11 Apr02 Mar15 Feb26 (pantaleo josep)LUZZI J 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
8  IRISH EXIT Jul17 Jun17 May02 Apr11 Mar13 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00    
SCR  NO SALT Jul02 Feb01 Jan03 Dec11 Nov12 (volk scott)FERRER C 124 4.50    
 
MTH-8   07/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Jul09 Jun25 Mar03 Feb08 Dec30 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  CUPIDS PAYDAY Jun18 May29 May13 Apr08 Feb23 (came)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 2.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  PEACH BE WITH Q Jul04 Jun07 May06 Apr05 Mar17 (soto- martinez)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50    
4  COMODA Jul16 Jun18 Sep11 Jul31 Jul01 (skelton )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
5  ANGELIC GAL May05 Mar11 Feb05 Jan18 Dec10 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  DANCE STEP Jul09 Jun18 Apr15 Mar18 Jan22 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
SCR  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Jun18 May27 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 15.00    
8  BINOCHE Jul12 May27 Mar01 Jan04 Dec28 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.