Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-2   DD (5/2/4)-(2/6/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-9 $31.20 $7.20 30%
PEN-3   DD (2/6/9/5)-(9/1/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-1 $39.80 $7.80 24%
PEN-4   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $23.80 $11.80 98%
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4-7 $32.40 $26.40 440%
    DD (9/1/7/8)-(4/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $30.20 $6.20 26%
    PK3 (2/6/9/5)-(9/1/7/8)-(4/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-1-6 $41.55 $17.55 73%
    PK4 (5/2/4)-(2/6/9/5)-(9/1/7/8)-(4/7/6) 144 $0.50 $72.00  3/5/7-9-1-6 $130.45 $58.45 81%
PEN-5   EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-4 $8.80 $4.80 120%
    DD (4/7/6)-(2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2 $14.00 $2.00 17%
    PK3 (9/1/7/8)-(4/7/6)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-6-2/3 $13.55 $1.55 13%
PEN-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $71.60 $59.60 497%
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5-2 $90.40 $84.40 1407%
    DD (2/4)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $42.20 $30.20 252%
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(2/4)-(5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-2/3-1 $29.70 $20.70 230%
    PK5 (2/6/9/5)-(9/1/7/8)-(4/7/6)-(2/4)-(5/2/1) 288 $1.00 $288  9-1-6-2/3-1 $1486 $1198 416%
PEN-7   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $26.60 $14.60 122%
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3-1 $36.70 $30.70 512%
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-5 $71.40 $53.40 297%
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/2/1)-(3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2/3-1-5 $51.85 $42.85 476%
    PK4 (4/7/6)-(2/4)-(5/2/1)-(3/5/1) 54 $0.50 $27.00  6-2/3-1-5 $170.35 $143.35 531%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURT AND SPARK   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 42% 1.40 1.30 W
BRIT'S CANDYMAN   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 3.80  
CASH IN A FLASH   (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 19% 4.20 2.70 S
SPEEDY MOONLITE   (albright amy)CORA D 120 10.00 11% 8.20 10.70  
STANHOPE   (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 4.70  
NAUTICAL NATURE   (ippolito ma)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 30.00 47.90  
KING ECLIPTICAL   (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 15.00 41.70  
SCR  BOURBON AND ICE   (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
SCR  UBIQUITOUS   (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERCE AND STRONG   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 14% 6.30 3.20 W
SUPER ROCKER   (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 12.00 44.40  
U KANT WHIP IT   (breen j)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 39% 1.50 6.00 S
SHORTY MAC   (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 6.00 6.40  
DECLARATION TIME   (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.00 1.30  
WHERESTHEPASSION   (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 15.00 61.10  
POWER AGENDA   (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 120 8.00 18% 4.50 4.70  
GALILEE   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
MIZZEN MONEY   (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00 39.10  
 
PEN-3   08/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 19% 4.40 2.30 W
MELITZA   (pessanha ne)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 3.80  
AFRICAN ANGEL   (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 2.50 41% 1.40 1.90 DQ↓7
KEYSTONE WARRIOR   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00 23.50  
DESI'S REWARD   (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 43.60  
THAT'STONY'SSISTER   (bedard alan)RAMOS C 120 20.00 12.70  
MY MASTERPIECE   (flores-coba f)RIVERA D 120 8.00 18% 4.70 19.30  
10  SWEET MESA   (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 5.00 8.40  
BABKA   (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 32.30  
12  SHEA D SECRET   (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 118 12.00 22.80  
SCR  DALLAS   (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 30.00    
SCR  OUR GAILYNN B   (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
 
PEN-4   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR IN CHIEF   (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 6% 16.00 2.70 W
C C'S WARRIOR   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 46% 1.20 1.90 P
SUPER DUDE   (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 3.50 20% 4.00 2.40 S
LAKE NAKURU   (ferreira )RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 7.10  
AMOUNT   (castillo mich)RIVERA D 122 8.00 11.50  
DIGGERS DIAMOND   (geist w)BAKER J 122 30.00 66.30  
HASHTAG WINNING   (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 9.20  
 
PEN-5   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAMATED MOON   (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.50 55% 0.80 0.70 W
NICK THE CARDSHARK   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 17% 5.00 3.60 P
VIOLENT PASS   (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 6.00 11.70  
TOMATER GATOR   (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 7.70  
FIRE DOWN BELOW   (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 3.70  
SCR  SPIKES SHIRL   (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 3.00    
 
PEN-6   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE TITOS   (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 11% 8.10 6.10 W
SUNSHINE HARRY   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 51% 1.00 3.70 P
HEXAGON (IRE)   (barboza v)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 12% 7.30 2.40 S
ON THE RIM   (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 6.50  
MILLBANK MAN   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 8.00  
BOSS HOLIDAY   (albright amy)CORA D 120 2.00 2.10  
 
PEN-7   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LOYALTY   (pattershall)RAMOS C 124 4.50 32% 2.20 3.10 W
SERENE WARRIOR   (albright amy)CORA D 124 1.50 33% 2.00 1.70 P
LONDONDERRY   (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 7% 13.80 3.80 S
CHAMPAGNE SISTER   (russo victor)IORIO MELISSA 117 1.80 2.40  
HIT A HOMER HONEY   (miller marl)INIRIO J 117 10.00 20.60  
HALLIGIRL   (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 8.00 16.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.