Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (9/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-6   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   08/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTICAL NATURE Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 Mar23 Mar02 (ippolito mark)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 30.00    
CASH IN A FLASH Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  UBIQUITOUS Aug05 Jun03 Apr08 Feb18 Jan22 (barboza victor)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
SPEEDY MOONLITE Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 May12 Mar29 (albright amy)CORA D 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
COURT AND SPARK Jul03 Jun05 May15 Sep21 Aug24 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
STANHOPE Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
SCR  BOURBON AND ICE Aug06 Jul22 May28 May20 Apr16 (magee ki)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
KING ECLIPTICAL Aug23 Aug14 Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 15.00    
BRIT'S CANDYMAN Aug08 Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 Apr07 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
 
PEN-2   08/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER ROCKER Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May14 Apr23 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 12.00    
U KANT WHIP IT Jul30 Jun09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul04 (breen j)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
DECLARATION TIME Aug18 Jul02 May31 Sep23 Aug18 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.00    
MIZZEN MONEY Jun09 May18 Apr28 Mar30 Feb16 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00    
GALILEE Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Aug24 Aug10 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
POWER AGENDA Aug17 Jul24 Jun11 May05   (penaloza miguel)MARTIN MATTIE 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
WHERESTHEPASSION Aug02 Jun19 May30 May10 Apr25 (mercedes pedro)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 15.00    
SHORTY MAC Aug03 Jun16 Aug17     (rogers ronald )VILLEGAS JERRY 119 6.00    
FIERCE AND STRONG Aug10 Jul19 Jul07 May26 May11 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
PEN-3   08/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Aug03 Jul14 Jun20 Jun04 May18 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
BABKA Aug09 Jul28 Jul13 Jun15 May24 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
THAT'STONY'SSISTER Jul26 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 Apr12 (bedard alan)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
MELITZA Aug04 Jul13 Jun07 Sep27 Sep09 (pessanha ney)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00    
SCR  DALLAS Aug05 Jul29 Jul14 Jun16 Mar18 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 30.00    
KEYSTONE WARRIOR Aug03 Dec28 Dec02 Sep20 Aug31 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00    
MY MASTERPIECE Aug03 Jul13 Jun19 May31 May23 (flores-coba feli)CORREA JULIO 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
DESI'S REWARD Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 Jun20 Jun01 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
AFRICAN ANGEL Aug09 Jul14 Jun20 May15 Apr12 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
10  SWEET MESA Jul12 Jun30 Apr20 Mar10 Apr29 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 5.00    
SCR  OUR GAILYNN B Aug04 Jun22 Jul27     (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
12  SHEA D SECRET Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 May18 Apr23 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 118 12.00    
 
PEN-4   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGGERS DIAMOND Aug08 Jul13 Jun16 May24 May05 (geist w)BAKER J 122 30.00    
LAKE NAKURU Jul26 Jul05 Jun09 May12 May04 (ferreira fe)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
AMOUNT Jul13 Jun28 Jun12 Jun03 May17 (castillo michel)RIVERA D 122 8.00    
C C'S WARRIOR Aug08 Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 May12 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
HASHTAG WINNING Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 May31 May06 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
WARRIOR IN CHIEF Jun16 May11 Apr06 Mar05 Feb19 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 6% 16.00    
SUPER DUDE Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 Jul05 Jun26 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
PEN-5   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT PASS Aug04 Jul12 Jun21 May28 Apr15 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
ANNAMATED MOON Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May18 Apr26 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  SPIKES SHIRL Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 May17 Apr26 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 3.00    
NICK THE CARDSHARK Aug08 Jul17 Jun21 Jun06 May10 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
FIRE DOWN BELOW Mar11 Jan27 Dec27 Dec13 Nov23 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00    
TOMATER GATOR Aug04 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 Apr25 (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE TITOS Aug10 Aug03 Jul14 Jun30 May24 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
HEXAGON (IRE) Jul27 May14 Mar05 Nov20   (barboza vic)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
BOSS HOLIDAY Aug06 Jul14 Jun23 May21 Apr23 (albright amy)CORA D 120 2.00    
ON THE RIM May26 Apr28 Mar17 Feb23 Jan19 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00    
SUNSHINE HARRY Aug10 Jul06 Jun15     (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
MILLBANK MAN Aug09 Jul13 May19 Apr28 Apr21 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
 
PEN-7   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONDONDERRY Aug04 Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 May31 (rodriguez m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 7% 13.80    
HIT A HOMER HONEY Aug04 Jul14 Jul05 Jun16 May25 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
SERENE WARRIOR Aug18 Jun28 Jun14 May17 May04 (albright amy)CORA D 124 1.50 33% 2.00    
CHAMPAGNE SISTER Aug18 Jul23 Jun24 May27 Nov01 (russo victor)IORIO MELISSA 117 1.80    
MISS LOYALTY Aug05 Jul11 Jun28 Jun12 May09 (pattershall m)RAMOS C 124 4.50 32% 2.20    
HALLIGIRL Aug04 Jul05 Jun20 Apr26 Apr19 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.