Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.00 $6.00 100%
MTH-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $10.80 $4.80 80%
MTH-4   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $13.20 $5.20 65%
MTH-6   EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $18.70 $6.70 56%
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-2 $19.65 $7.65 64%
MTH-8   EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $15.80 $9.80 163%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:142 1:413   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZIPPY ZINNY 3 1 1½ 11 11½ 11½ 12¼ (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.00 27% 2.70 5.00 W
7  LIPARI 5 5 31 21 21½ 21½ 22¼ (hernande)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 2.50  
8  NANASQUAN 6 4 65 69½ 57 34 36 (spina char)RIVERA R 113 10.00 19% 4.20 5.90 S
6  HURRY UP DEAR 4 3 43½ 43½ 46 59½ 413 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 10.00 11.90  
1  DERWIN'S PAYNTER 1 6 54½ 56 69 611½ 517 (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 2.50 27% 2.70 1.40  
3  DUSTED 2 2 2½ 31½ 33½ 49 617½ (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 123 5.00 6.70  
SCR  FOOLS COLLIDE               (huston k)FERRER C 123 12.00    
SCR  LA DE PELUCHE               (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 5.00    
 
MTH-2   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WASABI BOY 7 3 3.2 1nk   1½ 12 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 27% 2.70 4.40 W
6  QUICKENING 6 1 2nk 41½   32½ 22 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.00 6.90  
5  SMOOTH RICO 5 2 72½ 2nk   2½ 32½ (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 6.00 8.90  
4  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL 4 5 1nk 52½   63¾ 43¼ (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 2.40  
8  Z'S SO GOOD 8 4 4¼ 3½   42½ 55¼ (delg)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 6.00 ★ 5.80  
3  COUNTRY MILES 3 8 83½ 73¼   53½ 66½ (huston ro)VARGAS A 121 2.50 17.10  
1  BODONTKNOW 1 6 51¼ 84¼   85¾ 78¾ (nunn douglas)OLVER MADISON 113 4.00 39% 1.50 5.80  
2  DART 2 7 61½ 62¾   74¾ 89¼ (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 10% 9.20 5.20  
 
MTH-3   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUST BEAT THE ODDS 6 1 2½ 1nk   12½ 18½ (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 45% 1.20 0.60 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of BELLA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  FLYING LIAM 7 6 34½ 32½   35½ 28½ (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 10.00 18.40  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FLY ME TO DUBAI by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  AQUARIUS MOON 2 3 1½ 2nk   22½ 38¾ (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 8.00 15.20  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of REMEMBER THE KEG by TAPIT)
6  AIRBORNE ELITE 5 7 57 58   48½ 49½ (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 4.00 5.30  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  LUCKY DANCER 1 8 67½ 68¼   610½ 515¾ (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 17.50  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGE OF ANGELS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  RANSEUR 3 4 44½ 47½   510½ 615¾ (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 56.80  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
9  MAD MAXEY 8 2 713½ 715¼   722½ 731¾ (carang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SCATTER by SHADEED)
5  PAPPY PROBLEMS 4 5 814½ 830¼   842½ 859¾ (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 3.00 22% 3.50 3.60  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CORAL SUN by A.P. INDY)
SCR  THE LAST ARROGATE               (caban carlos )TORRES WESLEY 118 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MTH-4   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLITE WALKER 1 4 1nk 11   11 1¼ (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 5.00 26% 2.90 5.60 W
7  BAYOU SHACK 7 2 31 21   21 2¼ (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00 2.10  
2  PRACTICAL WAY 2 3 2nk 31½   35 39 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 3.00 27% 2.70 3.50 S
5  SOUPER ROYAL MOON 5 7 63¼ 46   47 49 (perez car)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50 16.30  
6  DORSODURO 6 6 75¼ 77½   612 513¼ (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 6% 15.90 5.60  
8  HEREBY 8 1 53¼ 56½   511 614½ (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 14% 6.00 2.80  
4  DADASHEV 4 5 43 67   713 716 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 121 8.00 39.20  
3  MERCHANTS OF COOL 3 8 85½ 88½   814 817¾ (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 37.30  
 
MTH-5   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:213 :452       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLASSIC PERFORMER 3 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.50 16% 5.40 4.30 DQ↓2
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
1  POET'S WOODS 1 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 16% 5.30 1.30 W
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of CELESTIAL WOODS by FORESTRY)
7  JERSEY JOYCE 7 3 67¼ 68   67 32¼ (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 123 5.00 4.70  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of PINK DIAMOND by MINESHAFT)
5  GET LOADED 5 5 42¾ 44   45½ 43¼ (sacco d)FERRER C 118 4.00 8.10  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of AWESOME ZIP by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  PARTY IS OVER 4 7 32½ 33   33 54¼ (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50 43% 1.30 3.00  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of NO MORE PARTIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  SPATIAL REALITY 8 4 54¾ 57   56 64¼ (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 44.10  
  (by DESTIN out of SHE'S OFFLEE GOOD by OFFLEE WILD)
6  DIXIE LARK 6 6 714¼ 716   715 711½ (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 116 15.00 61.30  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of DIXIE SUNSET by CASTLE GUARD)
2  S K MOON 2 8 822¼ 826   835 839 (pantaleo jose)KAY R 118 10.00 58.30  
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of HOMEFIRE by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
SCR  GOING THE DISTANCE               (shirer a)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
 
MTH-6   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113 1:381   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COACH ADAMS 1 3 1nk 1½ 14 17 113¾ (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50 55% 0.80 0.90 W
3  FORMAL ORDER 3 8 86¾ 810¼ 69 48½ 213¾ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00 5% 19.00 15.80 P
2  FAST BREAK 2 4 2nk 3½ 24 27 314¾ (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 113 3.50 15% 5.70 2.50 S
4  WE READY 4 1 3.2 2½ 34½ 37 414¾ (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 16.90  
7  SPACE ODESSEY 7 6 42¾ 43 45½ 610¾ 519¾ (gonzalez claud)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50 4.60  
6  DARK STORM 6 5 52¾ 53¼ 57½ 510½ 620 (skelton dawn)COTTO L 120 20.00 44.30  
8  CORKMAN 8 7 75¾ 76¼ 812 816¾ 727 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 18.80  
5  FIERCE WARRIOR 5 2 64¾ 65¼ 711 714¾ 827 (harris keith )IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
SCR  THE TWINS SNEAKERS               (castillo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00    
 
MTH-7   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:13 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOVE ME NOT 5 7 53¼ 42¾ 1nk 12½ 14¼ (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50 7% 12.60 1.40 W
4  CRAFTY KING 3 9 95¾ 85 41½ 22½ 24¼ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 33.20  
3  TAP THE GAVEL 2 2 74¼ 74¾ 73 36½ 310¾ (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 41% 1.50 2.10 S
1  FACE ABARRIO 1 3 42¼ 53¾ 62½ 57½ 411¾ (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 19% 4.30 4.30  
5  NAGA'S BOY 4 1 63¾ 97 95½ 78¾ 516 (dini mike)FERRER C 117 12.00 25.80  
9  SAL N LOUIE 8 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 47½ 617¾ (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 10.00 34.40  
7  PROVISION 6 8 84¾ 64¾ 85 911¼ 720¾ (atras rob)VARGAS A 117 5.00 9% 10.10 8.60  
8  SAMARITANO 7 6 2nk 2nk 52 68½ 823¼ (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
12  CHICO CHARLIE 9 5 3.2 32½ 3½ 810¾ 924 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 117 12.00 20.10  
SCR  AFFABLE MONARCH               (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.50    
SCR  BOBBY'S CANDY               (soto c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  THREETHIRTYTHREE               (hernandez jose)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
 
MTH-8   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:134 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE ELEGANCE 1 2 31 31 12 14 17¾ (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.00 18% 4.60 1.80 W
6  SHEA ON A MISSION 4 4 21 2nk 22 24 27¾ (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50 17% 5.00 6.30 P
3  CHAMPAGNE SISTER 3 3 11 1nk 36½ 35 39¾ (russo victor)IORIO MELISSA 117 20.00 12.50  
2  CINNAMON DREAM 2 1 41½ 56 49½ 47½ 49¾ (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00 17.80  
7  CANOOCHEE 5 5 51¾ 43 510½ 510½ 518 (farro patr)RIVERA R 119 8.00 6.00  
8  MINING CHROME 6 6 62¼ 611 625½ 625½ 647½ (abrams jack)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.20  
SCR  SCOTT ALAIA               (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 117 2.50    
SCR  TIZ A SHARPIE               (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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