Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.00 $6.00 100%
MTH-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $10.80 $4.80 80%
MTH-4   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $13.20 $5.20 65%
MTH-6   EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $18.70 $6.70 56%
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-2 $19.65 $7.65 64%
MTH-8   EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $15.80 $9.80 163%

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIPPY ZINNY   (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.00 27% 2.70 5.00 W
LIPARI   (hernande)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 2.50  
NANASQUAN   (spina char)RIVERA R 113 10.00 19% 4.20 5.90 S
HURRY UP DEAR   (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 10.00 11.90  
DERWIN'S PAYNTER   (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 2.50 27% 2.70 1.40  
DUSTED   (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 123 5.00 6.70  
SCR  FOOLS COLLIDE   (huston k)FERRER C 123 12.00    
SCR  LA DE PELUCHE   (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 5.00    
 
MTH-2   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WASABI BOY   (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 27% 2.70 4.40 W
QUICKENING   (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.00 6.90  
SMOOTH RICO   (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 6.00 8.90  
AWESOMEBROTHERBILL   (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 2.40  
Z'S SO GOOD   (delg)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 6.00 5.80  
COUNTRY MILES   (huston ro)VARGAS A 121 2.50 17.10  
BODONTKNOW   (nunn douglas)OLVER MADISON 113 4.00 39% 1.50 5.80  
DART   (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 10% 9.20 5.20  
 
MTH-3   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BEAT THE ODDS   (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 45% 1.20 0.60 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of BELLA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
FLYING LIAM   (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 10.00 18.40  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FLY ME TO DUBAI by INTO MISCHIEF)
AQUARIUS MOON   (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 8.00 15.20  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of REMEMBER THE KEG by TAPIT)
AIRBORNE ELITE   (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 4.00 5.30  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LUCKY DANCER   (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 17.50  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGE OF ANGELS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
RANSEUR   (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 56.80  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
MAD MAXEY   (carang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SCATTER by SHADEED)
PAPPY PROBLEMS   (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 3.00 22% 3.50 3.60  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CORAL SUN by A.P. INDY)
SCR  THE LAST ARROGATE   (caban carlos )TORRES WESLEY 118 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MTH-4   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLITE WALKER   (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 5.00 26% 2.90 5.60 W
BAYOU SHACK   (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00 2.10  
PRACTICAL WAY   (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 3.00 27% 2.70 3.50 S
SOUPER ROYAL MOON   (perez car)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50 16.30  
DORSODURO   (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 6% 15.90 5.60  
HEREBY   (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 14% 6.00 2.80  
DADASHEV   (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 121 8.00 39.20  
MERCHANTS OF COOL   (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 37.30  
 
MTH-5   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC PERFORMER   (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.50 16% 5.40 4.30 DQ↓2
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
POET'S WOODS   (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 16% 5.30 1.30 W
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of CELESTIAL WOODS by FORESTRY)
JERSEY JOYCE   (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 123 5.00 4.70  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of PINK DIAMOND by MINESHAFT)
GET LOADED   (sacco d)FERRER C 118 4.00 8.10  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of AWESOME ZIP by GHOSTZAPPER)
PARTY IS OVER   (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50 43% 1.30 3.00  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of NO MORE PARTIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SPATIAL REALITY   (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 44.10  
  (by DESTIN out of SHE'S OFFLEE GOOD by OFFLEE WILD)
DIXIE LARK   (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 116 15.00 61.30  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of DIXIE SUNSET by CASTLE GUARD)
S K MOON   (pantaleo jose)KAY R 118 10.00 58.30  
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of HOMEFIRE by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
SCR  GOING THE DISTANCE   (shirer a)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
 
MTH-6   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH ADAMS   (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50 55% 0.80 0.90 W
FORMAL ORDER   (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00 5% 19.00 15.80 P
FAST BREAK   (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 113 3.50 15% 5.70 2.50 S
WE READY   (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 16.90  
SPACE ODESSEY   (gonzalez claud)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50 4.60  
DARK STORM   (skelton dawn)COTTO L 120 20.00 44.30  
CORKMAN   (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 18.80  
FIERCE WARRIOR   (harris keith )IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
SCR  THE TWINS SNEAKERS   (castillo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00    
 
MTH-7   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE ME NOT   (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50 7% 12.60 1.40 W
CRAFTY KING   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 33.20  
TAP THE GAVEL   (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 41% 1.50 2.10 S
FACE ABARRIO   (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 19% 4.30 4.30  
NAGA'S BOY   (dini mike)FERRER C 117 12.00 25.80  
SAL N LOUIE   (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 10.00 34.40  
PROVISION   (atras rob)VARGAS A 117 5.00 9% 10.10 8.60  
SAMARITANO   (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
12  CHICO CHARLIE   (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 117 12.00 20.10  
SCR  AFFABLE MONARCH   (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.50    
SCR  BOBBY'S CANDY   (soto c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  THREETHIRTYTHREE   (hernandez jose)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
 
MTH-8   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE ELEGANCE   (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.00 18% 4.60 1.80 W
SHEA ON A MISSION   (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50 17% 5.00 6.30 P
CHAMPAGNE SISTER   (russo victor)IORIO MELISSA 117 20.00 12.50  
CINNAMON DREAM   (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00 17.80  
CANOOCHEE   (farro patr)RIVERA R 119 8.00 6.00  
MINING CHROME   (abrams jack)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.20  
SCR  SCOTT ALAIA   (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 117 2.50    
SCR  TIZ A SHARPIE   (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.