Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/8)-(1/7/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-3   WIN (7/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/4)-(7/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/4)-(7/5/9/4)-(7/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/1/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6/8)-(3/1/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6/8)-(3/1/7/6/8)-(3/1/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERWIN'S PAYNTER Jul21 May28 May12 Apr14 Feb18 (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  FOOLS COLLIDE Jul23 Jul07       (huston k)FERRER C 123 12.00    
3  DUSTED Jul30 Jul21 Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 123 5.00    
4  ZIPPY ZINNY Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 May27 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  LA DE PELUCHE Jul07 May28 Sep10     (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 5.00    
6  HURRY UP DEAR Jul21 Jun25 Jun17 May27 Apr15 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 10.00    
7  LIPARI Jun27 Jun10 Feb10 Jan05 Dec15 (hernande)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
8  NANASQUAN Jul07 Jun25 May28 Mar08 Feb10 (spina char)RIVERA R 113 10.00 19% 4.20    
 
MTH-2   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODONTKNOW Jul29 Jul01 Jun02 May11   (nunn douglas)OLVER MADISON 113 4.00 39% 1.50    
2  DART Aug04 Jul08 Jun10 May27 May05 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 10% 9.20    
3  COUNTRY MILES Jul14 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May14 (huston ro)VARGAS A 121 2.50    
4  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
5  SMOOTH RICO Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun24 Jun10 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 6.00    
6  QUICKENING Sep18 Aug01 May20     (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.00    
7  WASABI BOY Aug06 Jul16 Jun11 May14 Jul24 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 27% 2.70    
8  Z'S SO GOOD Jul08 Jun10 May14 May06 Mar01 (delg)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 6.00 ★    
 
MTH-3   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DANCER         (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGE OF ANGELS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  THE LAST ARROGATE         (caban carlos )TORRES WESLEY 118 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  AQUARIUS MOON Jul02         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of REMEMBER THE KEG by TAPIT)
4  RANSEUR May20 Apr29 Mar11 Feb19 Dec23 (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
5  PAPPY PROBLEMS         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CORAL SUN by A.P. INDY)
6  AIRBORNE ELITE         (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 4.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  JUST BEAT THE ODDS Jul22 Jul02 Jun11     (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BELLA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  FLYING LIAM Jul14         (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FLY ME TO DUBAI by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  MAD MAXEY         (carang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SCATTER by SHADEED)
 
MTH-4   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLITE WALKER Aug03 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 Dec01 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
2  PRACTICAL WAY Jul28 Jun24 Jun10 May10 Apr28 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  MERCHANTS OF COOL Jul16 Jun18 May28 Oct23 Oct13 (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
4  DADASHEV Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 Jun12 May30 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 121 8.00    
5  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Jul28 Apr21 Apr08 Mar18 Feb15 (perez car)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50    
6  DORSODURO Jul02 Jun17 May28 Apr29 Apr16 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 6% 15.90    
7  BAYOU SHACK Jul28 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May28 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00    
8  HEREBY Jul16 May29 May15 Apr22 Apr02 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
MTH-5   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POET'S WOODS Jul09 Apr30 Sep24 Sep02   (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of CELESTIAL WOODS by FORESTRY)
2  S K MOON         (pantaleo jose)KAY R 118 10.00    
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of HOMEFIRE by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
3  CLASSIC PERFORMER Jul08 Jun11 May27     (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
4  PARTY IS OVER Jul08 May27       (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of NO MORE PARTIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  GET LOADED Aug05         (sacco d)FERRER C 118 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of AWESOME ZIP by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  DIXIE LARK Oct07 Sep10 Aug28     (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 116 15.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of DIXIE SUNSET by CASTLE GUARD)
7  JERSEY JOYCE Jul07         (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of PINK DIAMOND by MINESHAFT)
8  SPATIAL REALITY Jun30 Jun01 Apr06 Mar12   (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SHE'S OFFLEE GOOD by OFFLEE WILD)
SCR  GOING THE DISTANCE Mar26 Mar01       (shirer a)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
 
MTH-6   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COACH ADAMS Jul22 Jun18 May27 Apr08 Feb19 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
2  FAST BREAK May20 Jul26 Apr29 Mar26 Feb11 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 113 3.50 15% 5.70    
3  FORMAL ORDER Jul22 Jun24 May30 May15 Apr26 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  WE READY Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May29 Apr25 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00    
5  FIERCE WARRIOR Apr22 Mar26 Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 (harris keith )IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DARK STORM Jul22 Jun24 Jun18 May04 Apr14 (skelton dawn)COTTO L 120 20.00    
7  SPACE ODESSEY Jun09 May27 Apr14 Mar24 Feb19 (gonzalez claud)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50    
8  CORKMAN Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 May27 Apr29 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
SCR  THE TWINS SNEAKERS Jun02 Mar18 Feb22 Jan25 Dec29 (castillo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00    
 
MTH-7   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACE ABARRIO Jul23 Jun30 Jun11 Apr16 Oct08 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  AFFABLE MONARCH Jul22 Jun10 May18 Nov27 Nov08 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.50    
3  TAP THE GAVEL Jul02 May22 Mar26 Feb05 Jan08 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 41% 1.50    
4  CRAFTY KING Jul23 Jun04 May06 Apr21 Mar04 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00    
5  NAGA'S BOY Jul23 Apr21 Mar11 Jan28 Jan07 (dini mike)FERRER C 117 12.00    
6  LOVE ME NOT Jul15 Jun02 Mar24 Feb04 Jan08 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50 7% 12.60    
7  PROVISION Jul02 Jun15 Mar31 Mar24 Dec30 (atras rob)VARGAS A 117 5.00 9% 10.10    
8  SAMARITANO Jul14 Jun11 May21     (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  SAL N LOUIE Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 Jun04 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  THREETHIRTYTHREE Jul22 Jul01 Mar29 Feb25 Jan29 (hernandez jose)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
SCR  BOBBY'S CANDY Jul04 Jun03 May05 Mar29 Mar15 (soto c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00    
12  CHICO CHARLIE Jul23 Jun11 Mar15     (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
 
MTH-8   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE ELEGANCE Jun04 Apr14 Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  CINNAMON DREAM Jul26 Jun27 May24 May09 Apr25 (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
3  CHAMPAGNE SISTER Jul23 Jun24 May27 Nov01 Oct11 (russo victor)IORIO MELISSA 117 20.00    
SCR  SCOTT ALAIA Jul09 May11 Apr20 Jun03 May01 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 117 2.50    
SCR  TIZ A SHARPIE Jun28 May09 Apr04 Feb13 Jan17 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00    
6  SHEA ON A MISSION Jul09 Jun09 May20 Apr23 Mar24 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
7  CANOOCHEE Jul09 Jun09 May27 Apr10 Mar13 (farro patr)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
8  MINING CHROME Aug05 Oct04 Aug26 Aug01 Jul07 (abrams jack)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.