Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-5   EXA (7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-6 $21.40 $1.40 7%
    TRI (7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  2-6-5 $258.10 $198.10 330%
    SFT (7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5) 120 $1.00 $120  2-6-5-7 $848.80 $728.80 607%
CT-6   DD (7/6/2/9/5)-(6/3/7/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-6 $42.20 $2.20 6%
CT-8   EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $28.10 $16.10 134%
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6/1)-(7/5/3/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00  7-3-5 $68.80 $32.80 91%
    SFT (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6/1)-(7/5/3/6/1)-(7/5/3/6/1) 72 $1.00 $72.00  7-3-5-1 $167.30 $95.30 132%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   08/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUBAY 2 7 32     31½ 12 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 110 1.60 2.30  
1  BOO TOO 1 5 11     11 22 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 3.30  
6  METALLIC CAT 5 2 21     21 32¾ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.40 55% 0.80 1.10 S
8  CHARTERED COURSE 7 4 78½     79 49¾ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 20.80  
7  GETTIN SPICY 6 1 42     45½ 59¾ (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 8% 11.70 7.20  
3  TO THE TOP 3 6 67½     68 610 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
4  TOTHETRAINSTATION 4 3 53½     57½ 712½ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 43.20  
SCR  SENZA STRIKE               (stehr josep)ESQUILIN J 120 20.00    
 
CT-2   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:154     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLOSE THE CASE 3 3 11 11   12½ 13¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 2.10  
3  NO FOOLING DUDE 1 1 21 31   22½ 23¼ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 31% 2.30 1.20 P
5  FORT FORTITUDE 2 2 41¼ 53   45 34½ (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 112 6.00 7.40  
9  SUPERHIGHWAY 5 5 51¼ 21   32½ 47¼ (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 19% 4.30 2.50  
7  GAMING JACK 4 4 31 42   59½ 519¼ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00 22.30  
SCR  CAYENNE CREEK               (davis e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE               (shanley tim)ESQUILIN J 124 20.00    
SCR  ENVISION SUCCESS               (hummer richa)MARRERO CARLOS 122 50.00    
SCR  MOON OVER MONTANA               (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80    
 
CT-3   08/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIDSHIPS 1 8 1nk     11 1½ (runco )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 2.10  
7  JEFFERSON NATIVE 7 1 3.2     31 2½ (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00 ★ 7.60 P
5  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE 5 4 2nk     21 3½ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.50 28% 2.50 1.70 S
2  RIVER CROSROAD RVF 2 7 75¾     45 44 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 45% 1.20 4.40  
3  BRISTOL CHANNEL 3 5 64¾     66¾ 55 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 116 20.00 5% 19.00 33.20  
6  SUPER JORDAN 6 3 52¼     56½ 66¾ (carson laur)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 25.90  
8  BALI'S SHADE 8 2 87¾     812¾ 710 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 32.50  
4  DEE'S WISEGUY 4 6 41¼     710¾ 821¾ (ferraro a)CARRASCO CARLOS 116 4.00 6.50  
 
CT-4   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:153     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CURB THAT TIGER 7 6 810½ 67¾   5¾ 11¼ (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 110 6.00 ★ 8.80  
1  DENIZETTI 1 2 32½ 21½   2nk 21¼ (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 1.20 38% 1.60 0.40 P
5  COLONIAL ROAD 5 7 65½ 34½   4¾ 32 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50 8% 11.60 8.90 S
2  KING OF LUCK 2 1 11½ 11½   1nk 42¾ (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 18.00 DQ↓5
8  ASTRAYAL 8 5 53½ 54¾   3.2 56½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 32% 2.20 3.90  
9  I SEE NOTHING 9 9 78½ 77¾   65¼ 613 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 12.00 39.00  
6  JUBA'S MOCHA 6 4 43 44½   76¾ 718¼ (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00 52.80  
3  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 3 3 21½ 88¼   812¾ 830¼ (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 71.20  
4  BANK CARD 4 8 919½ 926¼   922¾ 931¾ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 119 15.00 40.20  
 
CT-5   08/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:134     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PERSONABLE 2 3 2nk 2nk   12½ 14 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 12% 7.30 4.10 W
6  NO LOVE FOR JUBA 6 4 52¾ 51¾   22½ 24 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 5.00 12% 7.30 4.00 P
5  ROAD SLEW 5 8 98¼ 85¼   44 34½ (perez ernesto)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60 S
7  MR CHANCE ROMANCE 7 6 64¾ 64¼   56 49¼ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80 43% 1.30 1.50  
3  MODERN DAY ROMANCE 3 2 31 41¼   33½ 59½ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 20.30  
4  NEVERPOPTHECORK 4 5 85¼ 96¼   912 616¾ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 6.70  
9  ORANGEBURG 9 9 41¼ 31   66 717 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 11% 8.10 11.30  
1  WELL EQUIPPED 1 1 74¾ 75¼   79 818¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00 10.10  
8  CHARITABLE WINDSOR 8 7 1nk 1nk   89½ 928½ (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 116 10.00 23.90  
SCR  S S SPARTAN ENERGY               (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
 
CT-6   08/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:22 :462       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOLD FIBER 5 7 55¼     41¾ 1½ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 35% 1.90 1.90 W
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MRS. STROUD by GRAND SLAM)
2  B. J. MOOSE 1 4 1nk     11½ 2½ (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00 2.30  
  (by RULER KING out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
7  KARMA BUS 6 3 34     31½ 31½ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 12% 7.60 4.70 S
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of AD MUSTER by DIXIE UNION)
3  CALYPSO JOHN 2 8 66¼     55¾ 43 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 30% 2.30 3.60  
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of CALYPSA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  EL PACHO 7 2 2nk     21½ 53¾ (reyes d)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of I'VEGOTADATE by KOKAND)
9  RAISE A RUCKUS 8 1 76¼     77¾ 610¼ (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00 27.00  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
5  ALL ROADS TO DENIS 4 6 89¼     89¾ 711¾ (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 54.30  
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
4  DOG TOWN ALLEN 3 5 44¼     67¾ 815 (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00 26.00  
  (by JUBA out of ALLEN'S SONG by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  ESPRESSO               (brown keith)ESQUILIN J 120 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-7   08/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:214 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DUNCAN IDAHO 5 3 1½     12 13¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.00 42% 1.40 1.10 W
5  TEACHINTHERELEASE 4 5 41½     22 23¼ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 3.00 ★ 2.30 P
9  EL LUCERITO 7 1 2½     32 34 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00 7.60  
4  COLT ROCK 3 4 31½     42½ 44¾ (contreras j)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 8.00 8.80  
1  BERTRAM FLIGHT 1 6 66     64¾ 56½ (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 20.00 26.00  
8  JUBA BOUND 6 2 53½     54½ 66¾ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 28% 2.60 6.10  
3  ELEANORS JACK 2 7 77     710¼ 712¾ (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SCR  JEFFERSON SECURITY               (grams t)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
SCR  STROLLINGINTHEWIND               (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 116 15.00    
 
CT-8   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:132     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POWER AGENDA 7 4 1½ 1½   15 17 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 115 4.00 53% 0.90 2.10 W
3  VOICE OF NOW 3 3 31½ 41½   39½ 27 (lucas antho)ESQUILIN J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40 P
5  HERE AND NOFURTHER 5 5 41½ 2½   25 37¼ (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 22% 3.40 1.80 S
1  URBAN BANDIT 1 1 74½ 64   410½ 410¾ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 4.50 ★ 4.80  
6  SUMMER ASH 6 8 96½ 96½   616 512¼ (lucas bonnie)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 ★ 7.80  
4  COUNTRY CHARLIE 4 6 85½ 86   917¼ 621½ (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00 24.10  
9  SPARKLING SHIRE 9 9 52½ 52   516 722¼ (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 12.20  
2  DANNY'S WINKSTER 2 2 63 74½   717 822¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 27.60  
8  MOTIVATED SPEAKER 8 7 2½ 31   817¼ 925¼ (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 52.50  
SCR  HE ROLLS               (dove k)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE REMI               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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