Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/4)-(3/9)-(2/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/9)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/9)-(2/5/3)-(1/8/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/8/5/2)-(7/6/2/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/7/2)-(1/8/5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/5/2)-(7/6/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/2)-(7/6/2/9/5)-(6/3/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/6/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5)-(7/6/2/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/2/9/5)-(6/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/9/5)-(6/3/7/8)-(7/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/8)-(7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/8)-(7/8/3)-(7/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/3)-(7/8/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/3)-(7/8/5/3)-(7/8/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/3)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6/1)-(7/5/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOO TOO Jun23 May26 May06 Apr13 Mar10 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
2  JUBAY Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr27 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 110 1.60    
3  TO THE TOP Aug03 Jul21 Jun01 Nov02 Oct06 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOTHETRAINSTATION Jun02 May27 May06 Apr27 Apr08 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENZA STRIKE Jun16 Jun01 Apr27     (stehr josep)ESQUILIN J 120 20.00    
6  METALLIC CAT Aug03         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.40 55% 0.80    
7  GETTIN SPICY Jul28 Jul01 Jan06 Dec17   (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 8% 11.70    
8  CHARTERED COURSE Apr14 Mar31 Mar10 Jan26 Jan11 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
 
CT-2   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENVISION SUCCESS Jul14 Aug18 Jul28 May26 Mar24 (hummer richa)MARRERO CARLOS 122 50.00    
SCR  CAYENNE CREEK Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Dec14 (davis e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 19% 4.30    
3  NO FOOLING DUDE Jul20 Jul07 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 May11 Apr07 (shanley tim)ESQUILIN J 124 20.00    
5  FORT FORTITUDE Aug05 Jun15 Jun02 May13 Apr22 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 112 6.00    
6  CLOSE THE CASE Jul25 Jun15 Apr22 Mar11 Feb22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
7  GAMING JACK Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 May19 Apr28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00    
SCR  MOON OVER MONTANA May06 Apr15 Mar01 Jan19 Dec04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80    
9  SUPERHIGHWAY Aug05 May09 Mar16     (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
CT-3   08/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIDSHIPS May19 Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 Feb02 (runco )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00    
2  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Jul19 Aug26 Aug06 May14 Mar11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  BRISTOL CHANNEL Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr21 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DEE'S WISEGUY Jun26 Jun12 May09 Apr24 Mar11 (ferraro anth)COA J 116 4.00    
5  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Aug04 Jul01       (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.50 28% 2.50    
6  SUPER JORDAN Jun22 May29 May11 Feb23 Feb02 (carson laur)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
7  JEFFERSON NATIVE Jul08 Jun22 Jun02 May11 Nov03 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00 ★    
8  BALI'S SHADE Jul12 Jun28 Jun02 May13 Apr16 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
 
CT-4   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENIZETTI Dec14 Nov02 Oct12 Sep24   (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
2  KING OF LUCK Jul28 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 May18 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Jun23 May06 Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
4  BANK CARD Aug07 Jul14 Jun01 May20 Apr20 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 119 15.00    
5  COLONIAL ROAD Jul28 Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun02 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50 8% 11.60    
6  JUBA'S MOCHA Jul21 Jul13       (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00    
7  CURB THAT TIGER Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr27 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 110 6.00 ★    
8  ASTRAYAL Jul28 Jun30 Jan06 Dec17   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 32% 2.20    
9  I SEE NOTHING Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 Apr27   (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   08/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELL EQUIPPED Jun23 Apr27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
2  PERSONABLE Aug04 Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 Jan06 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
3  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Jul19 Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Feb08 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
4  NEVERPOPTHECORK Jul15 Jun03 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
5  ROAD SLEW Aug04 Sep17 Aug26 Aug11 Jul16 (perez ernesto)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Jun16 May25 Mar31 Feb16 Jan07 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 5.00 12% 7.30    
7  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Jun22 May11 Apr27 Mar31 Feb24 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80 43% 1.30    
8  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Aug05 Jul21 May11 Apr22 Mar31 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 116 10.00    
9  ORANGEBURG Jun22 May11 Apr20 Apr07 Mar02 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Aug03 Jul07 Jun16 May26 May06 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
 
CT-6   08/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESPRESSO         (brown keith)ESQUILIN J 120 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
2  B. J. MOOSE Jul22 May20 Apr29 Mar16 Jan28 (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00    
  (by RULER KING out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  CALYPSO JOHN         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of CALYPSA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  DOG TOWN ALLEN Jul29         (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of ALLEN'S SONG by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  ALL ROADS TO DENIS Jul28 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
6  GOLD FIBER Jul06 Dec17 Nov26     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MRS. STROUD by GRAND SLAM)
7  KARMA BUS Jul22 Jul01 Jun03     (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 12% 7.60    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of AD MUSTER by DIXIE UNION)
8  EL PACHO Mar10 Feb17       (reyes d)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of I'VEGOTADATE by KOKAND)
9  RAISE A RUCKUS Aug03 Jul22 Jul06 Jun10 Nov26 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
 
CT-7   08/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERTRAM FLIGHT Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 May13 Apr27 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
SCR  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Aug04 Jul21 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 116 15.00    
3  ELEANORS JACK Jun23 Apr14       (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  COLT ROCK Jul21 May13 Apr27 Apr14 Mar10 (contreras j)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 8.00    
5  TEACHINTHERELEASE Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Oct08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  JEFFERSON SECURITY May20 Apr22 Apr06 Mar02 Jan11 (grams t)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
7  DUNCAN IDAHO Jul15 Jun09 May20 Apr22   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.00 42% 1.40    
8  JUBA BOUND Aug04 Jul21 Jun16 Jun02 Mar10 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
9  EL LUCERITO Jul21 Jun02 May13 Apr14 Mar30 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00    
 
CT-8   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  URBAN BANDIT Jul02 Jun02 Apr21 Apr06 Feb17 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 4.50 ★    
2  DANNY'S WINKSTER Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 May04 Apr28 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
3  VOICE OF NOW Jul27 Jul08 Jun09 May05 Mar23 (lucas antho)ESQUILIN J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  COUNTRY CHARLIE Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 May04 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00    
5  HERE AND NOFURTHER Jul13 Jul02 Jun16 May26 May06 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 22% 3.40    
6  SUMMER ASH Jul20 Jun30 May17 May04 Mar17 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★    
7  POWER AGENDA Jul24 Jun11 May05     (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 115 4.00 53% 0.90    
8  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Jul28 Jul14 Apr14 Feb16 Jan25 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
9  SPARKLING SHIRE Jul21 May05 Mar09 Feb15 Jan04 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE REMI Aug03 Jul14 Jul09 Jun19 Jun09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
SCR  HE ROLLS Jul23 Jul13 Jul02 Jun16 May26 (dove k)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.