Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-2   WIN (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $31.10 $19.10 159%
CT-5   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $49.20 $43.20 720%
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $55.60 $49.60 827%
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1-8 $104.30 $98.30 1638%
    DD (1/7/6)-(8/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-3 $102.40 $84.40 469%
CT-6   EXA (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-6 $15.70 $3.70 31%
    DD (8/1/3)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-1 $240.00 $216.00 900%
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(8/1/3)-(3/6/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-3-1 $272.10 $236.10 656%
CT-7   PK3 (8/1/3)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/4/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00  3-1-3 $521.90 $473.90 987%
CT-8   PK4 (8/1/3)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(10/4/5/1/2) 240 $1.00 $240  3-1-3-4 $2498 $2258 941%
    PK5 (1/7/6)-(8/1/3)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(10/4/5/1/2) 720 $1.00 $720  1/5-3-1-3-4 $5553 $4833 671%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL BOUGIE 6 1 11     1 1 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 30% 2.40 1.70 W
SMOKIN LADY 1 4 43     3 2 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 1.80  
SWISS HORIZON 3 6 55     4 310¼ (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00 35.20  
VIESTE 2 5 6     6 411 (schiano-dicola )BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 25.60  
PLAYING FOR TWO 4 3 21     2 511 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.40 45% 1.20 1.90  
BOWMANS LAZY GIRL 5 2 31     5 615 (bowman d)ADAMS L 115 6.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  MIREYA               (reyes )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   07/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:22 :46       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY CONGRATS 2 6 1nk     1nk 12 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 34% 1.90 5.20 W
KUKULKAN (MEX) 6 2 32     35 22 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 15% 5.80 5.50 P
PROTA 5 5 5     4 32 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 10.50  
LOADED SNIPER 7 1 2nk     2nk 4 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.30  
PAPA TONY 1 7 7     7 54 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00 2.70  
GRAND FIBER 3 3 6     6 6 (mangual mano)MORALES KELVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 21.40  
STRETCH THE TRUTH 4 4 4     5 77 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 6.00 14.60  
 
CT-3   07/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:22 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUTUPN'KISSME 1 3 12     1 1 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.50 7.50  
RIVER REWARDS RVF 7 1 3     2 2 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 12% 7.50 4.70 P
RUNNING FREE 5 4 4     45 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 53% 0.90 1.10 S
NAUGHTY NAN 6 2 22     3 4 (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.00 4.90  
EMBERLY 4 5 68     6 56 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 10% 8.90 6.30  
SISTER JOANN 3 6 5     5 6 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 10.00 28.00  
CEDAR'S WISH 2 7 726     746½ 771½ (grams timot)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
SCR  HEARDITALL               (shanley mar)ESQUILIN J 116 30.00    
 
CT-4   07/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:213 :451       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRYDA 1 4 11     1 1 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 48% 1.10 0.80 W
MACKENZIE'S MUSIC 6 1 32     3 2 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 19% 4.10 2.00 P
SENTELLA 4 3 69     511¼ 3 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 10.00 8.50  
SNOWY JUBA CAT 5 2 21     2 4 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 11% 8.50 13.50  
AIM'S JUBILEE 2 5 48     411 56 (reggetts stephe)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 20.50  
JACKS SISTER JILL 3 6 59     611¾ 68 (clement r)BOCACHICA J 114 5.00 8.20  
SCR  FANCY HER UP               (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 2.50    
 
CT-5   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:131     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARNOUGHT 3 2 14 1   1½ 1¼ (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.60 W
RIDICULOUS 1 1 24 3   2½ 2¼ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 31% 2.20 1.10 P
HAGLER 6 5 45 2   31 3½ (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 3.00 44% 1.30 1.40 S
SARGENT KOBE 5 6 56 4   43 4 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 20.00 5.60  
YABBA DABBA DUDE 4 3 35 5   5 512¼ (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 4.00 9.50  
TEXTPECTATION 2 4 614 616½   617½ 619½ (morzan javier )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 20.00  
SCR  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND               (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  JAYJAYDEE               (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
 
CT-6   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:154     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY'S WINKSTER 1 1 4 31   3 1nk (jones micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 17% 4.90 3.10 W
MIMS SECOND CHANCE 5 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 2nk (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 21% 3.70 3.80 P
FLASH OF DAY 4 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 6.00 4.00  
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME 6 6 54 5   4 45 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 15.00 11% 8.50 19.80  
A THOUSAND IDOLS 3 5 31 4   5 5 (harting chris)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00 28% 2.60 1.20  
STRONG CURLIN 2 2 612 620½   619¾ 619¼ (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 13.50  
SCR  MORNING ARTIE               (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 50.00    
SCR  NET WORTH               (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 1.60    
 
CT-7   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:24 :471       1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S HAT TRICK 3 4 5 5   31 1¾ (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40 W
REMYS SHOWTIME 2 2 1nk 11   11 2¾ (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00 31.20  
MINISTRY OF MAGIC 5 8 7 7   4 3 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 7.00  
BOSS E BOOGS 8 7 3 21   21 4 (wilhelm t)BOCACHICA J 110 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
CHANGE YOUR LUCK 1 1 8 812   8 57 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 7.50  
PENGUIN PARADE 6 5 4 4   5 6 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 18% 4.60 1.90  
MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE 7 6 6 65   7 711¾ (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 43.50  
EPIC TIME 4 3 2nk 31   6 816½ (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 31% 2.30 5.70  
 
CT-8   07/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:144     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLISS THIS 3 3 44 22   1½ 1¾ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 25% 3.00 4.00 W
MISS YOU AJAX 7 8 9 8   3 2¾ (knoblauch-perez m)LARROSA G 118 8.00 6.70  
VOICE OF NOW 4 4 1½ 12   2½ 3 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 6% 14.70 9.60 S
MUD BUG 6 9 77 5   4 4 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 7.60  
10  SEAN THE HAMMER 9 6 3½ 3   55 56 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 47% 1.10 0.90  
COUNTRY CHARLIE 5 5 8 912¼   7 6 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00 16.60  
ANVIL 2 1 66 7   6 713¾ (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 15.50  
BOSEY 8 7 55 69   8 817¾ (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 60.10  
CINCO LINKO 1 2 2½ 4   916¼ 935¾ (rofe jean)BOCACHICA J 112 10.00 5% 19.00 35.10  
SCR  BET ON BITZ               (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEER ELEMENT               (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.