Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(2/7/6/3)-(5/8/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/3)-(5/8/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/3)-(5/8/4/2)-(1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/2)-(1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/2)-(1/7/6)-(8/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(8/1/3)-(3/6/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/3)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/4/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/8)-(3/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(10/4/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/8)-(10/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/2)-(10/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/2)-(10/4/5/2)-(10/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN LADY Jul01 Jun01 May11 Apr07 Mar17 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
2  VIESTE Jul08 Jun23 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (schiano-dicola )BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
3  SWISS HORIZON May04 Apr13 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00    
4  PLAYING FOR TWO Jan06         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.40 45% 1.20    
5  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Jul08 Jun17 May25 Apr13 Mar23 (bowman d)ADAMS L 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIREYA         (reyes )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIL BOUGIE Jul01 Jun01       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
CT-2   07/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA TONY Jun22 Mar23 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00    
2  HEY CONGRATS Jun22 Jan21 Dec17 Nov05 Oct21 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  GRAND FIBER Jun22 May27 Apr28 Mar09 Feb08 (mangual mano)MORALES KELVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  STRETCH THE TRUTH Jun22 May19 Mar10 Jan25 Dec17 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
5  PROTA Jul21 Jun24 Apr14 Mar10 Feb18 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
6  KUKULKAN (MEX) Jun27 May26 May13 Mar30 Feb11 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
7  LOADED SNIPER Jun22 May26 May06 Mar31 Feb16 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
CT-3   07/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUTUPN'KISSME Apr29 Mar23 Feb11 Jan25 Dec07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.50    
2  CEDAR'S WISH Jul06 May27 Apr29 Mar23 Feb18 (grams timot)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SISTER JOANN Jul14 May27 May12 Apr29 Mar30 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 10.00    
4  EMBERLY Jul01 Jun15 May27 May12 Apr28 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 10% 8.90    
5  RUNNING FREE Jul08 Jun16 May04 Mar23 Feb24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  NAUGHTY NAN Jul02 May29 May07 Apr02 Mar03 (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.00    
SCR  HEARDITALL Jun17 May07 Apr20 Apr01 Feb05 (shanley mar)ESQUILIN J 116 30.00    
8  RIVER REWARDS RVF Jul06 Jun01 May20 Mar09 Feb18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-4   07/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRYDA Jul06 Jun03 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  AIM'S JUBILEE Jul07 Mar09 Feb08 Jan06 Dec14 (reggetts stephe)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
3  JACKS SISTER JILL Jul01 Jun15 May13 Mar31 Feb18 (clement r)BOCACHICA J 114 5.00    
4  SENTELLA Jul07 Jun15       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 10.00    
SCR  FANCY HER UP Jul07 Jun15 May27 Nov11 Oct22 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 2.50    
6  SNOWY JUBA CAT Jul07 May27 Dec08 Nov11 Oct20 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 11% 8.50    
7  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Jun19 Jun03 May13 Nov19 Oct13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 19% 4.10    
 
CT-5   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDICULOUS Jul06 Jun24 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  TEXTPECTATION Jul14 Jun03 May13 Apr29 Apr15 (morzan javier )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
3  FEARNOUGHT Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr20 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  YABBA DABBA DUDE Dec14 Nov03 Oct13 Oct01 Sep14 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 4.00    
5  SARGENT KOBE Jun24 May27 May13 May05 Apr22 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
SCR  JAYJAYDEE Jul06 May20 May05 Apr08 Mar22 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
SCR  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Jul06 Jun03 Mar31 Mar05 Feb20 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
8  HAGLER Jul06 Jun24 Jun14 Jun05 May17 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
CT-6   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANNY'S WINKSTER Jul08 Jun22 May04 Apr28 Mar02 (jones micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 17% 4.90    
2  STRONG CURLIN Jul07         (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
3  A THOUSAND IDOLS Jul07 Jun22 May26 May06 Mar23 (harting chris)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  FLASH OF DAY Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May05 Apr14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 6.00    
SCR  NET WORTH Jun22 Jun10 May25 Apr22 Apr10 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 1.60    
6  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Jul08 Jun22 May27 Apr14 Mar11 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  MORNING ARTIE Nov26 Nov04 Oct15 Feb25 Feb10 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 50.00    
8  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Jun30 Jun10 Apr22 Feb18 Jan28 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 15.00 11% 8.50    
 
CT-7   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jul06 Jun16 Dec16 Dec04 Nov16 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
2  REMYS SHOWTIME Jul19 Jun15 May27 May19 Apr27 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
3  JUBA'S HAT TRICK Jun09 May13 Apr22     (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  EPIC TIME Jul08 Jun15 Dec16 Nov11 Oct05 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 31% 2.30    
5  MINISTRY OF MAGIC May27 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50    
6  PENGUIN PARADE Jul06 May27 Apr22 Mar18 Feb22 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 18% 4.60    
7  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Jun16 May19 Apr14 Mar31 Dec01 (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
8  BOSS E BOOGS Jul06 May27 May13 Mar18 Feb24 (wilhelm t)BOCACHICA J 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   07/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BET ON BITZ Jul07 Jun15 May25 May04 Apr13 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CINCO LINKO Oct25 Oct12 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 (rofe jean)BOCACHICA J 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANVIL Jul07 Jun24 Apr28 Mar03 Jan20 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00    
4  BLISS THIS Jun24 Oct01 Sep10 Sep03 Aug06 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 25% 3.00    
5  VOICE OF NOW Jul08 Jun09 May05 Mar23 Dec10 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 6% 14.70    
6  COUNTRY CHARLIE Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 May04 Apr14 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00    
7  MUD BUG Jun10 May25 Feb09 Jan08 Oct22 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
8  MISS YOU AJAX Jul13 Jun22 May26 May04 Apr04 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00    
9  BOSEY Jun22 Jun03       (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
10  SEAN THE HAMMER Jul21 Jun18 Apr21 Mar01 Feb15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SHEER ELEMENT Jul07 Jun24 May26 May05 Jan21 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.