Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-4   WIN (1/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.40 $2.40 30%
    EXA (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $14.10 $2.10 18%
CT-5   DD (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-2 $33.80 $1.80 6%
CT-8   EXA (1/2/10/7/6)-(1/2/10/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-7 $22.50 $2.50 13%
    SFT (1/2/10/7/6)-(1/2/10/7/6)-(1/2/10/7/6)-(1/2/10/7/6) 120 $1.00 $120  2-7-10-1 $148.30 $28.30 24%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:141     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVERPOPTHECORK 6 7 6 4¼   1 1 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 2.40  
OFFICER STONE 2 1 41 6   3 2 (figgins l)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
RED HOT TODDY 7 6 31 1nk   2 3 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 36% 1.70 2.10 DQ↓5
DE'S CASTLE 5 4 2½ 2nk   4 411 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 3.00 32% 2.20 3.10 S
IN HIGH GEAR 4 5 5 5   518½ 541½ (mcdonal)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 30.80  
HILLBILLY ROCK 1 2 7 710   6100 6100 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 110 10.00 12.50  
MONKEY WRENCH 3 3 1½ 3.2   7100 7100 (barahona is)RAMGEET R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
 
CT-2   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:222 :454       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT 2 4 1     13 1 (bass curtis)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90 W
SILVER RULES 3 5 4     33 2 (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 21.70  
SPARKLEINYOUREYE 5 3 53     4 3 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 116 6.00 23% 3.40 6.40 S
LA MADDALENA 7 1 2     23 4 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 116 1.20 27% 2.70 0.90  
OUR GREAT NOTION 6 2 3     5 57 (grams timot)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 5.00 6% 15.30 8.30  
POLISH THE DIAMOND 4 6 6     6 6 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 18.00  
IHEARTRAINACOMN 1 7 7     7 7 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00 40.40  
 
CT-3   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:221 :47       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERSONAL FINANCE 6 3 3     2nk 1nk (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 7.80  
MO EH HENNESSY 7 1 2     3.2 2nk (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90 P
THE CLOWN 2 5 43     4 3½ (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 124 5.00 40% 1.50 2.80 S
GREAT GOOGLYMOOGLY 1 7 1     1nk 4 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 3.70  
BASHDAFLASH 5 8 8     7 5 (jones mich)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 25% 3.00 4.50  
FLASH OF DAY 8 2 7     8 6 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 2.50 9% 9.70 2.90  
RYE WHISKEY 4 6 6     6 7 (iannotti th)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00 10.40  
TRICKY STRONG 3 4 5     5 8 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 29.20  
SCR  BOO TOO               (boggs joa)BOCACHICA J 112 12.00    
 
CT-4   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELIEVEINROCKNROLL 6 2 1     12 1¼ (frock charl)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.00 10% 8.90 4.20 W
MONTAUK DADDY 1 6 43     33 2¼ (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 45% 1.20 0.60 P
MOSS BOSS 2 7 7     7 3¾ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 23% 3.30 2.90 S
CHARITABLY GIFTED 3 5 2     22 4 (harrison n)CECIL Y 122 12.00 20.80  
GOT FLOFFY 5 3 53     5 53 (adorno jean)ESQUILIN J 122 12.00 50.40  
TWEET THIS 4 4 64     4 64 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 23.80  
SCOTTSDALE 7 1 32     6 7 (tobin l)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
SCR  BIG HAMBONE               (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 8.00    
 
CT-5   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY DELITE 2 2 1½ 11   12 1 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.60 12% 7.40 1.00 W
BIZZY GAL 1 1 2½ 21   22 2 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 62% 0.60 1.30 P
SISTER SPIRIT 4 4 4 44   3 34 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
I B NASTY 5 5 611½ 69   48 4 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00 31.90  
LONDON GOLD 3 3 3 34   511 517 (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 112 4.00 10.70  
WATERLOO ROSE 6 6 55 57   612 621½ (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 50.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
SCR  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY               (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 4.50    
SCR  ULTIMATE BREEZE               (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
SCR  WEST VIRGINIA PAM               (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
 
CT-6   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:214 :454       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNCAN IDAHO 1 6 11     12 14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 35% 1.90 1.00 W
XCELLENT START 2 8 713¾     6 24 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 111 8.00 13% 7.00 6.10 P
CATS DIAMOND BOY 6 2 21     22 35 (rangel ri)BOCACHICA J 110 15.00 9.60  
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE 8 1 610¼     7 4 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 116 6.00 7.50  
DR RENDEZVOUS 7 3 5     5 57 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 7% 13.70 10.30  
DONNIE B 4 7 815¼     8 610¼ (barber donald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 74.60  
ABENDEGO 5 4 48     46 710¾ (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 48.90  
GEORGE 3 5 31     36 815¼ (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.50 24% 3.20 3.00  
 
CT-7   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER COMPROMISE 2 1 4 32   1nk 11 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 28% 2.60 2.80 W
WHAT DOES IT TAKE 8 6 1nk 1   2nk 21 (magee kie)BOCACHICA J 110 4.50 6% 15.30 2.80 P
FIELDSTONE 7 10 1012½ 1013   7 3 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 6.00 12.60  
NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) 3 4 63 5   34 4 (cash norman)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 7% 13.80 6.50  
GREAT DAYS AHEAD 1 5 85 7   45 5 (parram )BRICENO GREGOR 116 10.00 4.90  
11  KRUG 10 9 74 96   86 6 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00 16.80  
10  MY MIRACLE MAN 9 8 31 43   6 710¼ (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00 35.50  
AUBURN MILL 6 2 2nk 2   5 810¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 28% 2.60 8.20  
ROYAL PAIN 4 7 96 86   96 912½ (johnson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
SUBJECT TO CHANGE 5 3 5 65   109 1017 (spriggs tosch)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 33.90  
SCR  UNCAPTURED KING               (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:221 :462       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY STARE 2 5 1     16 15 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 4.00 23% 3.30 2.20 W
HOLY HIP 7 3 45     4 25 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 5% 19.00 7.80 P
10  TALENTED CORINNA 10 1 3     3 3 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 11% 8.00 2.00 S
WEST COAST WILDCAT 1 10 2     26 4 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 41% 1.40 2.80  
DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS 8 2 6     5 5 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 42.50  
FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR 9 9 7     6 67 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00 9.00  
MY BEST GIRL 4 8 10     1011¼ 710¼ (hamlin ka)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00 66.30  
MOON WALKIN 5 7 8     811 811¼ (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 59.60  
PRINCESS MIA ROSE 3 6 9     911¼ 912¾ (aylor natasha)ADAMS L 115 20.00 46.00  
ESTILO AMOROSO 6 4 5     710½ 1016 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00 57.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.