Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/3)-(7/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/3)-(7/2/5/6)-(2/5/9/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/6)-(2/5/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/6)-(2/5/9/7)-(1/2/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/5/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/7)-(2/5/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/7)-(2/5/9/7)-(2/5/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/9/7)-(1/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/9/7)-(1/2/7/8)-(1/2/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/3/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/8)-(1/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/8)-(1/3/2/7)-(7/3/4/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/7)-(7/3/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/7)-(7/3/4/9/5)-(1/2/10/7/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (7/3/4/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/9/5)-(7/3/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/9/5)-(7/3/4/9/5)-(7/3/4/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/4/9/5)-(1/2/10/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/2/10/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/7/6)-(1/2/10/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/7/6)-(1/2/10/7/6)-(1/2/10/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILLBILLY ROCK Jun09 May26 Apr07 Mar18 Feb23 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 110 10.00    
2  OFFICER STONE Jun09 May19 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MONKEY WRENCH Jun09 May26 Apr27 Apr13 Mar11 (barahona is)RAMGEET R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  IN HIGH GEAR Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr28 Apr06 (mcdonald timothy)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
5  DE'S CASTLE Jun24 Jun03 Apr27 Apr13 Mar24 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
6  NEVERPOPTHECORK Jun03 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb16 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
7  RED HOT TODDY May26 Apr07 Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 36% 1.70    
 
CT-2   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jul01 May25 May11 Apr08 Mar18 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
2  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Jun24 Jun03 Jan11 Oct26 Sep29 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  SILVER RULES Jun24 Jun03 Nov11 Oct20 Sep10 (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
4  POLISH THE DIAMOND Jul01 Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar31 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
5  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jun24 Jun03 May18 Feb24 Feb08 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 116 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  OUR GREAT NOTION Jun24 Jun03 May19 Apr20 Mar31 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 6% 15.30    
7  LA MADDALENA Jun24 Jun03 May18 Apr29 Apr01 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 116 1.20 27% 2.70    
 
CT-3   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT GOOGLYMOOGLY Jul01 Jun05 May04 Mar31   (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
2  THE CLOWN Jul01 May19 Apr08 Jul22 Jun05 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
3  TRICKY STRONG Jun24 Jun03 Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
4  RYE WHISKEY May27 Mar01 Jan31 Jan03   (iannotti th)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
5  BASHDAFLASH Jul06 Jun09 Apr21 Mar25 Mar11 (jones mich)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  PERSONAL FINANCE Jul01 May06 Apr29 Mar29 Mar18 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
7  MO EH HENNESSY Jun24 Jun01 Dec07 Nov04 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOO TOO Jun23 May26 May06 Apr13 Mar10 (boggs joa)BOCACHICA J 112 12.00    
9  FLASH OF DAY Jun24 Jun03 May05 Apr14 Mar23 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 2.50 9% 9.70    
 
CT-4   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK DADDY May13 May07 Mar30 Mar05 Feb11 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 45% 1.20    
2  MOSS BOSS Jun09 May13 Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
3  CHARITABLY GIFTED May21 Apr15 Mar16 Feb18 Jan19 (harrison n)CECIL Y 122 12.00    
4  TWEET THIS Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Jan27 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
SCR  BIG HAMBONE Jun18 May13 Apr28 Apr07 Mar30 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 8.00    
6  GOT FLOFFY May18 May06 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 (adorno jean)ESQUILIN J 122 12.00    
7  BELIEVEINROCKNROLL Jun28 Apr21 Mar25 Mar05 Jan27 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
8  SCOTTSDALE Aug18 Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 (tobin l)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIZZY GAL Jul07 May04 Feb26 Jan15 Dec03 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 62% 0.60    
2  HOLY DELITE Jun16 Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 Nov19 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.60 12% 7.40    
3  LONDON GOLD Jun04 Apr06 Mar12 Feb12 Jan29 (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 112 4.00    
4  SISTER SPIRIT Jun17 May27 May06 Feb25 Feb12 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  I B NASTY Jul07 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
SCR  WEST VIRGINIA PAM May14 May05 Jan05 Dec03 Nov10 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE BREEZE Jul07 Jun15 May06 Apr15 Mar30 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
8  WATERLOO ROSE Jul07 Jun15 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Jun16 Jun05 May04 Mar11 Feb19 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 4.50    
 
CT-6   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNCAN IDAHO Jun09 May20 Apr22     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 35% 1.90    
2  XCELLENT START Feb01 Jan07 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 111 8.00 13% 7.00    
3  GEORGE Jun10 May13       (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  DONNIE B Jun03 May13 Mar30 Mar10 Feb15 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
5  ABENDEGO Jun03 Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Jun30 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
6  CATS DIAMOND BOY Jun24 May13 Apr28 Mar30 Feb15 (rangel ri)BOCACHICA J 110 15.00    
7  DR RENDEZVOUS Jul01 Jun03 May11 Apr20 Mar31 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 7% 13.70    
8  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr29 Apr06 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 116 6.00    
 
CT-7   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCAPTURED KING Jul01 Jun02 May20 May13 Apr22 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
2  GREAT DAYS AHEAD Jun23 May14 Apr20 Apr06 Jan20 (parram )BRICENO GREGOR 116 10.00    
3  NEVER COMPROMISE Jun24 May27 Apr01 Mar11 Feb24 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Jun23 Jun09 Nov13 Feb20 Jan22 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 7% 13.80    
5  ROYAL PAIN Jun23 Jun03 Apr22 Mar31 Feb22 (johnson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jun24 Jun03 May12 Apr27 Apr01 (spriggs tosch)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
7  AUBURN MILL Jun24 May27 May13 Apr22 Apr01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
8  FIELDSTONE May26 Apr23 Mar22 Feb26 Jan08 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 6.00    
9  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Jun23 May27 Apr13 Jul18 Jun25 (magee kie)BOCACHICA J 110 4.50 6% 15.30    
10  MY MIRACLE MAN Jun15 May18 Apr14 Mar11 Feb09 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
11  KRUG Jun18 May12 Mar19 Jul23 Jun24 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
 
CT-8   07/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST COAST WILDCAT Jun10 Apr16       (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
2  ICY STARE Jun15 May18 Apr29 Apr19 Feb15 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  PRINCESS MIA ROSE May12 May06 Apr20 Mar25 Mar09 (aylor natasha)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
4  MY BEST GIRL May27 May12 Apr20 Mar09 Feb15 (hamlin ka)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00    
5  MOON WALKIN Jun24 May12       (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
6  ESTILO AMOROSO Jun23 Jun15 May12 Apr08 Mar17 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOLY HIP Jun24 Mar25 Mar09 Feb24 Feb15 (johnson d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Apr20 Mar04 Feb09 Dec08 Aug20 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
9  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Jun24 May12 Apr20 Mar30   (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00    
10  TALENTED CORINNA Jun23 May25 May04 Apr15 Feb17 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.