The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Charles Town
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
    Exacta (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-5 2 1 $17.40 $17.40 5.40
    Trifecta (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-5-2 3 1 $60.40 $60.40 36.40
CT-2   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $11.40 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2 2 0 $13.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2-1 3 0 $69.10 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/5/6/7)-(1/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-3 2 0 $53.80 -24.00
CT-3   Win (3/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -0.20
    Exacta (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 0 $24.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-2-1 3 0 $312.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-7 2 0 $43.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/5/6/7)-(1/2/5)-(3/4/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 7-3-7 3 0 $156.20 -48.00
CT-4   Win (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
    Exacta (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-7 2 1 $2.90 $2.90 -9.10
    Trifecta (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-7-2 3 1 $11.90 $11.90 -12.10
    Daily Double (3/4/7/8)-(2/5/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 7-6 2 1 $16.00 $16.00 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(3/4/7/8)-(2/5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 3-7-6 3 0 $41.70 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(3/4/7/8)-(2/5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 3-7-3 3 0 $20.40 -48.00
CT-5   Win (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
    Exacta (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-1 2 1 $13.20 $13.20 1.20
    Trifecta (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-1-8 3 1 $24.70 $24.70 0.70
    Daily Double (2/5/6/7)-(1/6/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 6-6 2 1 $7.80 $7.80 -24.20
    Pick Three (3/4/7/8)-(2/5/6/7)-(1/6/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 7-6-6 3 1 $21.90 $21.90 -42.10
CT-6   Win (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
    Exacta (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-3 2 1 $20.60 $20.60 8.60
    Trifecta (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-3-5 3 1 $93.70 $93.70 69.70
    Daily Double (1/6/7/8)-(1/3/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 6-1 2 1 $43.40 $43.40 11.40
    Pick Three (2/5/6/7)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/3/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 6-6-1 3 1 $22.20 $22.20 -41.80
CT-7   Win (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -5.80
    Exacta (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $10.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-1-6 3 0 $48.50 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5/7)-(2/3/4/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-4 2 1 $17.00 $17.00 -15.00
    Pick Three (1/6/7/8)-(1/3/5/7)-(2/3/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 6-1-4 3 1 $24.50 $24.50 -39.50
CT-8   Win (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $10.60 -8.00
    Exacta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-7 2 0 $13.10 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-7-8 3 0 $50.50 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4/6)-(3/6/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-5 2 0 $24.20 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5/7)-(2/3/4/6)-(3/6/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 1-4-5 3 0 $51.20 -64.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
:221 :461       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FESSIN UP 6 1 4     31¼ (comi w)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 13% 6.70 4.60 W
CORA'S CHOICE 4 3 22     22¼ (sanchez-)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 12% 7.40 2.00 P
DEVIN ON EARTH 1 4 12     13(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.80 S
HOLY HIP 5 2 57     54(johnson d)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 16% 5.40 7.20  
LATE NIGHT SPIRIT 2 5 3     46 5(mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5.10  
FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR 3 6 6     66(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 12.20  
SCR  ARMY BEAUTY               (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
 
CT-2   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
:22 :462       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCIN IN DUBAI 3 5 58     23 1nk (brown kelton)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 4.70  
BUBBA G 2 6 3     34 2nk (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 62% 0.60 1.40 P
PERSONAL FINANCE 1 4 1½     13 3¾ (adorno l)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
BODYSLAM 6 2 47     54(pickett g)BOCACHICA O 118 1.40 1.20  
MOTIVATED SPEAKER 5 3 6     65(covello a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
TANELEER 4 1 2½     44 6(raymond donovan)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00 31.90  
SCR  D TACHYON               (davis billy)BOCACHICA J 112 5.00    
 
CT-3   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
:242 :481 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR PARDO 7 8 42 21   114 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 20% 3.90 2.90 W
COLONIAL ROAD 2 3 55 5   524 (campbell t)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 7.50  
BAND TOUR 1 1 6 7   63(mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 30.20  
ASTRAYAL 8 5 31 4   346 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 53% 0.90 3.20  
LAST PARTY 5 2 1nk 11   25(armstrong busanda)BOCACHICA O 124 3.00 1.90  
KING OF LUCK 6 7 2nk 3   4611 (ramos mig)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 11.90  
ALL ROADS TO DENIS 3 4 7 65   7711¼ (jackson angel)ESQUILIN J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
GETTIN SPICY 4 6 811¾ 816½   814¾ 818¾ (grams c)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
 
CT-4   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
:212 :451       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE REASON 5 1 12     11 1nk (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 41% 1.40 0.50 W
COACH RUBE 6 2 22     21 2nk (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 27% 2.70 2.50 P
CASTLE LIGHTS 2 5 34     33(brown ron)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 9% 10.40 8.90 S
SECRET CASTLE 1 6 5     547 (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00 10.80  
JUBA'S HOUSE 4 3 46     45(boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
GOT YOUR NUMBER 3 4 67     611½ 613½ (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00 40.50  
SCR  AT THE HALF               (davis russe)BOCACHICA J 110 20.00    
 
CT-5   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
:234 :474 1:132     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE FLIRT 5 4 11 11   15 1(lewis r)LARROSA G 122 5.00 16% 5.10 1.50 W
IHEARTRAINACOMN 1 1 53 7   42(dollinger-sthr )ADAMS L 115 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
OUR GREAT NOTION 7 6 21 31   338 (grams c)ARAUJO DENIS 118 2.50 57% 0.80 1.50 S
DEREKA'S BLUFF 4 5 63 21   25 4(venham d)BATISTA C 120 15.00 35.50  
AMELIA'S DREAM 2 2 42 42   59 514½ (jones michael)ESQUILIN J 116 10.00 19.80  
PRINCESS HALO 3 3 7 5   614½ 621¾ (craig lew)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 11.70  
PATTI BLUE EYES 6 7 3 6   716 732½ (farrior )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
SCR  FRENCHIES GOLD               (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00    
 
CT-6   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
:241 :48 1:133     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY MAYS CASTLE 1 2 52 1nk   11¾ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.00 6% 16.50 4.80 W
HERETODAYGONMANANA 6 5 2½ 2nk   22¾ (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 DQ↓4
TENNIS TAP 3 6 63 4¼   331 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 33% 2.00 2.30 P
BLUE MOUNTAIN 4 3 1½ 3.2   44 44 (adorno l)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 30% 2.30 10.10 S
REAL APPEAL 5 4 31 5   55 5(joy j)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 12.00  
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 2 1 4 6   66(brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 1.00  
SCR  WAGER WORTHY               (carlisle c)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
:221 :471 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE'S GIRL 4 3 13 1   15 1(grams c)MONTANO JOSE 118 0.60 39% 1.60 0.10 W
JUBA BABY 1 1 33 2   25 2(keller christoph)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 34.90  
NO DENYING DENIS 6 6 44 3   3311¼ (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 10.00 5% 19.00 19.60 S
EX RATED 7 7 714½ 722½   615½ 415¼ (jackson ang)BOCACHICA J 110 30.00 45.80  
STRONG WILLED 2 2 23 44   414 517¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 8.00 16% 5.20 7.50  
LOVE OF GRACE 3 4 58 618½   721 620½ (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 24% 3.20 6.30  
LONG LEGS LOUISE 5 5 69 515   515 721½ (lewis r)CECIL Y 120 15.00 48.10  
 
CT-8   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
:213 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY AT HEART 5 3 4     31¾ (grams ti)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 4.30  
GOLDEN G 7 4 5     62¾ (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 2.50 9% 10.70 1.40 P
MONTAUK DADDY 8 1 68     53¾ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50 S
MR TINGLES 2 6 11     14(dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 120 3.50 7.60  
DAY THE MUSIC DIED 6 2 21     252 (ginter raym)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 62% 0.60 3.80  
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 4 7 7     76(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00 14.50  
STEVETHEVANDRIVER 3 5 31     479 (brown keith )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 33.30  
GAMING JACK 1 8 821¼     817¾ 812¼ (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 120 50.00 72.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.