Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $17.40 $5.40 45%
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-5-2 $60.40 $36.40 152%
    SFT (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-5-2-6 $162.10 $138.10 575%
CT-5   EXA (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $13.20 $1.20 10%
    TRI (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-1-8 $24.70 $0.70 3%
CT-6   WIN (3/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    EXA (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $20.60 $8.60 72%
    TRI (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-3-5 $93.70 $69.70 290%
    SFT (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-3-5-7 $285.40 $261.40 1089%
    DD (8/6/7/1)-(3/5/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-1 $43.40 $11.40 36%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :461       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FESSIN UP 6 1 4     3 1¼ (comi ralph )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 13% 6.70 4.60 W
CORA'S CHOICE 4 3 22     2 2¼ (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 12% 7.40 2.00 P
DEVIN ON EARTH 1 4 12     1 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.80 S
HOLY HIP 5 2 57     5 4 (johnson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 16% 5.40 7.20  
LATE NIGHT SPIRIT 2 5 3     46 5 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5.10  
FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR 3 6 6     6 6 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 12.20  
SCR  ARMY BEAUTY               (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
 
CT-2   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:22 :462       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCIN IN DUBAI 3 5 58     23 1nk (brown kelt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 4.70  
BUBBA G 2 6 3     34 2nk (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 62% 0.60 1.40 P
PERSONAL FINANCE 1 4 1½     13 3¾ (adorno l)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
BODYSLAM 6 2 47     5 4 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 1.40 1.20  
MOTIVATED SPEAKER 5 3 6     6 5 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
TANELEER 4 1 2½     44 6 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00 31.90  
SCR  D TACHYON               (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 112 5.00    
 
CT-3   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR PARDO 7 8 42 21   1 14 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 20% 3.90 2.90 W
COLONIAL ROAD 2 3 55 5   5 24 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 7.50  
BAND TOUR 1 1 6 7   6 3 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 30.20  
ASTRAYAL 8 5 31 4   3 46 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 53% 0.90 3.20  
LAST PARTY 5 2 1nk 11   2 5 (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 3.00 1.90  
KING OF LUCK 6 7 2nk 3   4 611 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 11.90  
ALL ROADS TO DENIS 3 4 7 65   7 711¼ (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
GETTIN SPICY 4 6 811¾ 816½   814¾ 818¾ (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
 
CT-4   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:212 :451       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE REASON 5 1 12     11 1nk (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 41% 1.40 0.50 W
COACH RUBE 6 2 22     21 2nk (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 27% 2.70 2.50 P
CASTLE LIGHTS 2 5 34     3 3 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 9% 10.40 8.90 S
SECRET CASTLE 1 6 5     5 47 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00 10.80  
JUBA'S HOUSE 4 3 46     4 5 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
GOT YOUR NUMBER 3 4 67     611½ 613½ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00 40.50  
SCR  AT THE HALF               (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 110 20.00    
 
CT-5   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:132     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE FLIRT 5 4 11 11   15 1 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 5.00 16% 5.10 1.50 W
IHEARTRAINACOMN 1 1 53 7   4 2 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
OUR GREAT NOTION 7 6 21 31   3 38 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 118 2.50 57% 0.80 1.50 S
DEREKA'S BLUFF 4 5 63 21   25 4 (venham d)BATISTA C 120 15.00 35.50  
AMELIA'S DREAM 2 2 42 42   59 514½ (jones micha)ESQUILIN J 116 10.00 19.80  
PRINCESS HALO 3 3 7 5   614½ 621¾ (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 11.70  
PATTI BLUE EYES 6 7 3 6   716 732½ (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
SCR  FRENCHIES GOLD               (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00    
 
CT-6   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:133     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY MAYS CASTLE 1 2 52 1nk   1 1¾ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.00 6% 16.50 4.80 W
HERETODAYGONMANANA 6 5 2½ 2nk   2 2¾ (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 DQ↓4
TENNIS TAP 3 6 63 4¼   3 31 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 33% 2.00 2.30 P
BLUE MOUNTAIN 4 3 1½ 3.2   44 44 (adorno l)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 30% 2.30 10.10 S
REAL APPEAL (GER) 5 4 31 5   55 5 (joy kevin )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 12.00  
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 2 1 4 6   6 6 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 1.00  
SCR  WAGER WORTHY               (carlisle john )ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
See original race card.
:221 :471 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE'S GIRL 4 3 13 1   15 1 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 118 0.60 39% 1.60 0.10 W
JUBA BABY 1 1 33 2   25 2 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 34.90  
NO DENYING DENIS 6 6 44 3   3 311¼ (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 10.00 5% 19.00 19.60 S
EX RATED 7 7 714½ 722½   615½ 415¼ (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 110 30.00 45.80  
STRONG WILLED 2 2 23 44   414 517¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 8.00 16% 5.20 7.50  
LOVE OF GRACE 3 4 58 618½   721 620½ (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 24% 3.20 6.30  
LONG LEGS LOUISE 5 5 69 515   515 721½ (lewis r)CECIL Y 120 15.00 48.10  
 
CT-8   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:213 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY AT HEART 5 3 4     3 1¾ (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 4.30  
GOLDEN G 7 4 5     6 2¾ (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 2.50 9% 10.70 1.40 P
MONTAUK DADDY 8 1 68     5 3¾ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50 S
MR TINGLES 2 6 11     1 4 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 3.50 7.60  
DAY THE MUSIC DIED 6 2 21     2 52 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 62% 0.60 3.80  
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 4 7 7     7 6 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00 14.50  
STEVETHEVANDRIVER 3 5 31     4 79 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 33.30  
GAMING JACK 1 8 821¼     817¾ 812¼ (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 120 50.00 72.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.