Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/5)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/5)-(2/1/5)-(8/7/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(8/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(8/7/3/4)-(6/7/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/4)-(8/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/4)-(8/7/3/4)-(8/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/4)-(6/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/4)-(6/7/2/5)-(8/6/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/5)-(8/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/5)-(8/6/7/1)-(3/5/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/1)-(3/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/1)-(3/5/1/7)-(4/3/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/7)-(4/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/7)-(4/3/2/6)-(6/7/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(6/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARMY BEAUTY Jul07 Jul22       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
2  DEVIN ON EARTH Jul07 May18 Apr29 Sep16 Sep02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  LATE NIGHT SPIRIT Jun15         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
4  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Jul15 Jun24 May12 Apr20 Mar30 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
5  CORA'S CHOICE Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 May14 Apr30 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
6  HOLY HIP Jul15 Jun24 Mar25 Mar09 Feb24 (johnson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
7  FESSIN UP Jul17 Jun24 Jun09 May12 Mar30 (comi ralph )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
CT-2   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERSONAL FINANCE Jul15 Jul01 May06 Apr29 Mar29 (adorno l)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BUBBA G Jun15 May25 May04 Apr20 Mar16 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 62% 0.60    
3  DANCIN IN DUBAI Jul14 Jun20 May05 Apr21 Apr14 (brown kelt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
4  TANELEER May19 May05 Apr14 Apr07 Oct14 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
5  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Jul14 Apr14 Feb16 Jan25 Jan05 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  D TACHYON Jun17 May05 Apr14 Feb10 Jan21 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 112 5.00    
7  BODYSLAM Jun30 Jun22 May29 Apr27 Apr08 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 1.40    
 
CT-3   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAND TOUR Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 Apr13 Sep14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
2  COLONIAL ROAD Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun02 May12 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00    
3  ALL ROADS TO DENIS Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 May20   (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GETTIN SPICY Jul01 Jan06 Dec17     (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LAST PARTY Jul20 Jul01 May18 Apr29 Apr06 (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 3.00    
6  KING OF LUCK Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 May18 Apr29 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
7  DOCTOR PARDO Jul06         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 20% 3.90    
8  ASTRAYAL Jun30 Jan06 Dec17     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
CT-4   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET CASTLE Jun17 May25 Apr13 Mar30 Feb24 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00    
2  CASTLE LIGHTS Jun02 May13 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  AT THE HALF Jul06 Jun15 May04 Apr13 Mar16 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 110 20.00    
4  GOT YOUR NUMBER Jun15 May25 Feb10 Jan28 Jan07 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00    
5  JUBA'S HOUSE Jul01 May27 May12 Apr29 Apr06 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIZ THE REASON Jul14 Jun03 Apr20 Mar24 Mar01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 41% 1.40    
7  COACH RUBE Jul01 Jun20 Jun03 May13 May02 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
CT-5   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jul15 Jul01 May25 May11 Apr08 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  AMELIA'S DREAM Jun30 May25 Apr29 Mar17 Jan18 (jones micha)ESQUILIN J 116 10.00    
SCR  FRENCHIES GOLD Jun10 May25 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00    
4  PRINCESS HALO Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 Jun24 May14 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
5  DEREKA'S BLUFF Jun30 May26 Apr21 Apr07 Nov11 (venham d)BATISTA C 120 15.00    
6  TRUE FLIRT Jul01 Jun03 May25 May18 Jan11 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
7  PATTI BLUE EYES Jun24 May25 Mar31 Mar09 Nov11 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  OUR GREAT NOTION Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May19 Apr20 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 118 2.50 57% 0.80    
 
CT-6   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY MAYS CASTLE Jun16 Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 Jan20 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.00 6% 16.50    
2  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Jun30 May26 May11 Apr08 Mar04 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50    
3  TENNIS TAP Jun16 May05 Apr21 Feb08 Jan06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  WAGER WORTHY Jun16 May26 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 (carlisle john )ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
5  BLUE MOUNTAIN Jul06 Jun17 May18 Apr15 Mar11 (adorno l)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
6  REAL APPEAL (GER) Jul20 May28 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (joy kevin )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
7  HERETODAYGONMANANA Jul20 Jun16 Jun02 May05 Apr13 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA BABY Jun30 Jun02 May11 Apr29 Mar18 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
2  STRONG WILLED Jun30 May25 Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 8.00 16% 5.20    
3  LOVE OF GRACE Jul01 Jun10 May25 Apr29 Apr07 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  MAGGIE'S GIRL Jun24 Jun01       (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 118 0.60 39% 1.60    
5  LONG LEGS LOUISE Nov30 Nov02 Oct13 Sep30 Sep07 (lewis r)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
6  NO DENYING DENIS Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr21 Apr08 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  EX RATED Jul01 Jun16 May12 Apr21 Apr13 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 110 30.00    
 
CT-8   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMING JACK Jul07 Jun02 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 120 50.00    
2  MR TINGLES May26 Apr06 Mar09 Feb02 Jan21 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 3.50    
3  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Jun09 May13 Apr21 Mar30 Jan21 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN May26 May11 Apr28 Apr07 Feb22 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00    
5  COWBOY AT HEART Jul07 Jun24 Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
6  DAY THE MUSIC DIED Jun30 May19 Apr27 May15 May07 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
7  GOLDEN G Jul13 May19 Apr27 Apr06 Feb23 (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 2.50 9% 10.70    
8  MONTAUK DADDY Jul15 May13 May07 Mar30 Mar05 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.