The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
    Exacta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-4 2 1 $69.60 $69.60 45.60
    Trifecta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-4-8 3 1 $120.80 $120.80 96.80
PEN-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-3 2 1 $13.60 $13.60 -10.40
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/10)-(1/3/4/6/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 4-3-5 3 0 $39.60 -36.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/8)-(3/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-4 2 1 $19.00 $19.00 -5.00
PEN-3   Win (1/3/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40
    Exacta (1/3/4/9)-(1/3/4/7/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-5 2 0 $30.20 -32.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/9)-(1/3/4/7/9)-(1/3/4/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 1-5-9 3 0 $401.70 -48.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6)-(1/3/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-1 2 1 $24.60 $24.60 0.60
    Pick Three (2/4/5/8)-(3/4/6)-(1/3/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1/5-4-1 3 1 $20.65 $20.65 -3.35
PEN-4   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $3.00 -6.00
    Exacta (3/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 8-7 2 0 $17.20 -18.00
    Trifecta (3/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 8-7-6 3 0 $92.20 -18.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/9)-(3/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-8 2 0 $15.80 -24.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(1/3/4/9)-(3/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 4-1-8 3 0 $11.85 -18.00
PEN-5   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $25.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-3-1 3 0 $52.90 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/5/7)-(1/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 8-5 2 0 $11.80 -18.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4/9)-(3/5/7)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-8-5 3 0 $17.60 -18.00
PEN-6   Win (1/4/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $22.80 $22.80 12.80
    Exacta (1/4/5/8/10)-(1/4/5/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 8-5 2 1 $181.00 $181.00 141.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5/8/10)-(1/4/5/8/10)-(1/4/5/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 8-5-9 3 0 $370.10 -60.00
    Daily Double (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/8/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 5-8 2 0 $74.20 -30.00
    Pick Three (3/5/7)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/5/8/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 8-5-8 3 0 $69.65 -22.50
PEN-7   Win (3/4/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -5.60
    Exacta (3/4/5/7/8)-(3/4/5/7/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 7-6 2 0 $16.80 -40.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5/7/8)-(3/4/5/7/8)-(3/4/5/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 7-6-5 3 0 $13.70 -60.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5/8/10)-(3/4/5/7/8) 25 $2.00 $50.00 8-7 2 1 $116.00 $116.00 66.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5/8/10)-(3/4/5/7/8) 25 $2.00 $50.00 8-10 2 0 $36.00 -50.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/8/10)-(3/4/5/7/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 5-8-7/9/10 3 0 $80.60 -37.50
PEN-8   Win (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-8 2 1 $15.80 $15.80 3.80
    Trifecta (2/6/8)-(2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-8-2 3 1 $48.60 $48.60 42.60
    Daily Double (3/4/5/7/8)-(2/6/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 7-6 2 1 $14.60 $14.60 -15.40
    Daily Double (3/4/5/7/8)-(2/6/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 7-7 2 0 $5.20 -30.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5/8/10)-(3/4/5/7/8)-(2/6/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 8-7/9/10-6/7 3 1 $51.15 $51.15 13.65

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:22 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY RITT 4 2 34 3   2nk 13 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.00 33% 2.00 1.30 W
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 3 5 57 4   423 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 22% 3.60 20.30 P
NOBLE GASTON 7 1 12 11   1nk 3(caban carlos )VASQUEZ WILFRED 113 12.00 10% 9.40 4.10 S
JOKER BOY 2 4 47 54   34(jacobson david)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 1.70  
YES IT'S ROO 1 7 6 6   65(albright amy)CORA D 120 8.00 10% 9.40 23.00  
KHAKI JACK 5 3 22 21   56(kulp brandon )INIRIO J 122 6.00 9.80  
CRITICAL THINKING 6 6 710 7   7711 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 23.90  
SCR  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN               (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
 
PEN-2   08/16/2023 5490ft TURF YIELDING Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:232 :471 1:123 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLETE 3 2 5 5 4¾ 11½ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 46% 1.20 2.20 W
FILLMORE EAST 2 3 8 9 84 42½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 21% 3.80 0.90 P
DRIVEN BY SPEED 4 7 98 8 7 53(milian j)RUIZ ELISEO 120 6.00 17.00  
SASSY MARTINI 1 5 31 32 2½ 34(beattie sande)INIRIO J 120 4.50 5.30  
LADY BREXIT 5 4 4 44 6 858 (pattershall mary)CORREA JULIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
10  HIGHWAY QUEEN 9 8 64 6 5 76(miller a)CORA D 111 15.00 62.90  
HIDDEN SPRINGS 7 1 1nk 1nk 1½ 2710½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 38.40  
MACRELLETTA 6 6 2nk 2nk 3½ 6812¼ (montford leslie)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00 89.60  
GINETTES ON FIRE 8 9 76 7 94 9925¼ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 10.20  
SCR  CAR LADY               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
SCR  TEACHER DRAMA               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
 
PEN-3   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF YIELDING Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:233 1:114 1:242     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS JAVONCIA 1 5 5 3 3½ 111 (hendriks mclane)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 17% 4.80 2.80 W
LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE 5 1 76 64 5 32 21 (matz michae)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 2.40  
AMEN SYLVIA 8 7 33 4 2½ 23(shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 48.60 S
DETERMINED LILLY 3 3 1 1½ 1½ 44(schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 118 3.50 43% 1.30 2.90  
I CAME TO DANCE 2 4 44 5 6 56 5(zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 118 15.00 53.80  
CAIRONI 7 8 89 87 8 8610 (miceli mich)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 3.40  
ISTHATYOURHARLEY 4 9 910 9 9 7713 (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 15% 5.80 18.60  
BECKON 6 2 2 2½ 4¾ 68 815½ (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 11.70  
10  HEYBACKATCHA 9 6 66 76 7 99 919½ (bennett juanita)CORA D 120 15.00 66.00  
SCR  BRUSHING               (dunham bernard )ROJAS MARTINA 113 6.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
SCR  PAGEANT PRINCESS               (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00    
 
PEN-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:222 :58       1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COFFEE WITH ALEX 8 1 1nk 1½   112 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.60 0.50  
AGAINST THE ODDS 7 6 43 2½   222 (zalalas michael)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 15% 5.80 17.20 P
ACT OF VALOR 6 7 5 5   43(murtough step)INIRIO J 120 15.00 62.50  
HEALY'S HOPE 4 5 87 8   64(diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00 5.60  
JUST A THOUGHT 3 4 6 7   75(pattershall ma)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
REFUND RIGLER 1 2 2nk 4   33 6(guerrero mele)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 8.00 69.30  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 5 3 32 31   54 7(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 53% 0.90 3.70  
MINISTER QUINN 2 8 76 6   8818½ (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 9.90  
 
PEN-5   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:222 :452 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S BE HONEST 5 1 2nk 12   11(moysey chel)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 2.10  
QUEEN'S DREAM 3 4 6 4   22(beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 4.60  
TILTED TIARA 1 5 3 32   35 38 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90 S
MI CLEOPATRA AND I 6 3 1nk 22   44(kreiser c)CORA D 124 3.50 29% 2.50 2.90  
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE 2 6 4 6   5513¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 7.80  
BETWEEN DREAMS 4 2 5 54   6617¾ (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 46% 1.20 2.90  
 
PEN-6   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:222 :451 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO'NDUBAI 8 1 11 12   12 1¾ (smith thomas )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 13% 6.90 10.40 W
HEFFNER 5 9 5 5   42¾ (bravo-estra)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 21% 3.90 2.40 P
THERISASTORMBREWIN 9 3 31 22   32 32 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00 2.60  
COAST TO COAST 7 4 21 32   22 4(sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 5.70  
JIMMY THE KID 1 2 4 43   54 56 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
E T'S SUPER STAR 3 8 9 98   78 6(fields kevin)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 31.90  
POINTER 2 7 8 8   6711¼ (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 117 15.00 32.30  
10  ROCKET BLAST 10 5 6 7   810 812 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 37% 1.70 5.70  
BERHANU 4 10 10 1010   1012½ 916½ (albright r)FLORES E 124 15.00 5% 19.00 69.80  
SHIELD OF FAITH 6 6 7 6   911 1019 (graci kimberl)INIRIO J 124 8.00 45.60  
 
PEN-7   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:24 :481 1:123 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER DUDE 7 5 32 3½ 2nk 11 1(moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 54% 0.80 1.20 W
SUNNY SAINT 6 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 2(padilla o)RANGEL JOEZER 124 6.00 3.70  
CHARGING LION 5 1 2½ 2½ 3½ 35 311 (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 13% 6.80 2.00 S
POCOPSON STATION 3 7 710½ 6 5 59 411½ (ippolito mark)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 30.00 5% 19.00 46.10  
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 8 6 4 4 4 49 512½ (santaella-cal)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 8.00 7% 13.50 11.00  
LAVERY 1 4 5 56 68 613 618¼ (graci kimberl)INIRIO J 124 15.00 13.40  
SHOWER THE PEOPLE 4 3 6 710½ 711 717 724¼ (salinas )SMITH DANIEL 114 20.00 5% 19.00 25.20  
GUSHING OIL 2 8 811 812 812 818 824¾ (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 52.00  
SCR  CARTE BLANCHE               (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.00    
SCR  OPEN LENGTHS               (betancou)GONZALEZ JR 124 10.00    
 
PEN-8   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
:231 :472 1:13 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST DIVINE 6 3 1½ 11 1nk 2nk 1(catalano m )HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 W
PRACTICALLYMINE 7 5 2½ 21 2nk 1nk 2(truehart jennife)CORREA JULIO 122 4.00 7% 14.20 4.50 P
WINNING CANDY 2 2 31 3 4 338 (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 5% 18.10 10.90 S
WHAT'S HIS NAME 1 7 79 711½ 6 511 4(crane clovis)CORA D 122 30.00 30.10  
ABBY'S SPIRIT 4 1 4 4 33 410½ 516 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 10.00 18.10  
BACK EAST 5 4 5 5 5 613 619½ (catalano m )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 1.70  
RYE WHISKEY 3 6 67 6 710¼ 743 796½ (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 16.00  
SCR  SIR STEELE               (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.