Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/8)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/8)-(4/3/6)-(3/1/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/1/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/1/6/10)-(4/3/1/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(3/1/4/9)-(5/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/9)-(3/1/4/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/9)-(3/1/4/7/9)-(3/1/4/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/4/9)-(5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/9)-(5/7/3)-(4/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(4/6/1)-(10/5/8/1/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(10/5/8/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(10/5/8/1/4)-(7/5/8/4/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PEN-6   WIN (10/5/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/8/1/4)-(10/5/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/8/1/4)-(10/5/8/1/4)-(10/5/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/8/1/4)-(7/5/8/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/5/8/1/4)-(7/5/8/4/3)-(6/8/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PEN-7   WIN (7/5/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/4/3)-(7/5/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/4/3)-(7/5/8/4/3)-(7/5/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/8/4/3)-(6/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-8   WIN (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/2)-(6/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/2)-(6/8/2)-(6/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr27 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
2  YES IT'S ROO Jul27 Jul12 May17 Apr19 Mar22 (albright amy)CORA D 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
3  JOKER BOY May20 Apr08 Mar12 Feb17 Jan15 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50    
4  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Jun18 May14 Apr13 Mar18 Feb04 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 22% 3.60    
5  JOHNNY RITT Jul06 Jun07 May09 Apr05 Mar20 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  KHAKI JACK Jun21 May31 May10 Apr27 Mar15 (kulp brando)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
7  CRITICAL THINKING Jul27 Jul05 Jun01 May04 Dec28 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
8  NOBLE GASTON Jun26 May02 Apr13 Feb25 Feb04 (caban carlos )ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00 10% 9.40    
 
PEN-2   08/16/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY MARTINI Aug09 Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 Jun16 (beattie san)INIRIO J 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  CAR LADY Aug09 Jun29 May24 Apr14 Mar23 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
3  FILLMORE EAST Aug09 Jul21 Nov22 Sep21 Aug31 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  COMPLETE Jul14 Jun21 May31 Apr24 Mar11 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  DRIVEN BY SPEED Jun21 Jun16 May31 May14 Oct19 (milian carlos )ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
6  LADY BREXIT Jul14 Jun21 May31 Feb06 Jan11 (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MACRELLETTA May29 May15 Dec07 Oct25 Oct19 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
8  HIDDEN SPRINGS Jul14 May31 May04 Mar15 Feb10 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
9  GINETTES ON FIRE Jul21 Jun02 Apr12 Mar03 Feb08 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
10  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jul13 Jun28 Jun16 Jun01 May12 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 111 15.00 ★    
SCR  TEACHER DRAMA Jul21 Jun16 May24 May04 Mar17 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
 
PEN-3   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS JAVONCIA May11 Nov06 Oct21 Sep14 Aug04 (hendriks mclan)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
2  I CAME TO DANCE Jul18 Jun28 Jun01 May24 May11 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 118 15.00    
3  DETERMINED LILLY Jul13 May24 May04 Dec30 Oct28 (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Jul26 Mar22 Feb09 Sep28 Sep06 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
5  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE Jun22 Oct17 Sep23 Aug26 Aug05 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
6  BECKON Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 Jun03 May11 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
7  CAIRONI Jun03 Apr08 Jan28 Jan07 Nov18 (miceli mi)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  PAGEANT PRINCESS Aug10 Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 Jul09 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00    
9  AMEN SYLVIA Aug08 Jul14 Jun02 May05 Jan19 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HEYBACKATCHA Jul05 Nov08 Sep22 Aug26 Jul28 (bennett juanita)CORA D 120 15.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST Jul26 Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May06 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
SCR  BRUSHING Jul27 Jun07 Apr15 Jan22 Nov20 (dunham bernar)ROJAS MARTINA 113 6.00    
 
PEN-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REFUND RIGLER Jul28 Jul11 Jun30 Jun13 May31 (guerrero me)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 8.00    
2  MINISTER QUINN Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 May27 Apr29 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00    
3  JUST A THOUGHT Aug03 Jul11 Jun20 Jun10 May20 (pattershall ma)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEALY'S HOPE Jul19 Jul11 May24 May17 Apr26 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00 ★    
5  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Jul12 Jun20 May31 Apr27 Mar10 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
6  ACT OF VALOR Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May17 Mar23 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
7  AGAINST THE ODDS Jul28 Jun28 Jun20 May17 Apr19 (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
8  COFFEE WITH ALEX Jul19 Jun29 May01 Apr05 Apr23 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.60    
 
PEN-5   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TILTED TIARA Jun22 May31 Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Jul21 Jun28 Apr27 Mar30 Mar18 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
3  QUEEN'S DREAM Jul14 Jun21 May25 Mar22 Mar01 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
4  BETWEEN DREAMS Jun14         (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  LET'S BE HONEST Jul22 Jul13 Jun14 May24 Apr21 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 2.50    
6  MI CLEOPATRA AND I Jul19 Jun29 Jun17 May31 May12 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
PEN-6   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY THE KID Jul20 May28 May13 Apr15 Apr06 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  POINTER Aug04 Jun12 May01 Apr19 Apr11 (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 117 15.00    
3  E T'S SUPER STAR Jul19 Jun28 Jun20 May24 Apr19 (fields kevin)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00    
4  BERHANU Jul19 Jun28 Jun16 May17 Apr19 (albright r)FLORES E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEFFNER Jul26 Jun30 May20 May05 Apr19 (bravo-est)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 21% 3.90    
6  SHIELD OF FAITH Jul19 Jun28 Jun11 Jun03 May15 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
7  COAST TO COAST Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 May26 Apr28 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50    
8  HELLO'NDUBAI Sep21 Aug25 Aug10     (smith thoma)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 13% 6.90    
9  THERISASTORMBREWIN Aug04 Jul19 Jul03 Jun13 May23 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
10  ROCKET BLAST Jul12 Jun21 May06 Mar16 Feb24 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-7   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVERY Jul28 Jun20 Jun02 May20 May13 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
2  GUSHING OIL Jul13 Jun20 May26 Mar29 Mar06 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
3  POCOPSON STATION Jul13 May24 May05 Apr21 Mar17 (ippolito mar)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Jul28 Nov08 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 (salinas jose)SMITH WILLIAM 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHARGING LION Jul14 Jun21 May26 May06 Mar17 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
6  SUNNY SAINT Aug05 Jul19 Jul12 Jun13 May17 (padilla hugo )RANGEL JOEZER 124 6.00    
7  SUPER DUDE Aug04 Jul18 Jul05 Jun26 May30 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 54% 0.80    
8  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 Jun20 May30 (santaella-calde)BOWMAN ADAM 124 8.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  CARTE BLANCHE Jun24 Jun03 Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.00    
SCR  OPEN LENGTHS Jun27 Apr12 Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 (betanc)GONZALEZ JR 124 10.00    
 
PEN-8   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S HIS NAME Jul19 Jun29 Jun16     (crane clovis)CORA D 122 30.00    
2  WINNING CANDY Jun22 May26       (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 5% 18.10    
3  RYE WHISKEY Jul15 May27 Mar01 Jan31 Jan03 (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
4  ABBY'S SPIRIT Jul13 Jun22 May05     (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
5  BACK EAST Jul11 May24 Feb08     (catalano )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
6  JUST DIVINE Jul11 Jun12 May30 Jun17 Apr13 (catalano )HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  SIR STEELE Jul28 Jul19 Jun28 May26 May05 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  PRACTICALLYMINE Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 May20 Apr26 (truehart je)RAMOS C 122 4.00 7% 14.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.