Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-3 $15.40 $11.40 285%
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $14.80 $2.80 23%
PID-8   WIN (1/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $17.60 $9.60 120%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DANEFIELD 5 1 31 3.2   11 11¾ (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.40 42% 1.40 0.80 W
3  HAIG POINT 3 4 52¼ 41¾   42 21¾ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 9.00  
2  CHAOS THEORY 2 5 42 52¼   32 32½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 21% 3.80 1.70 S
1  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 1 3 2nk 1nk   21 43½ (walsh d)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 6.50  
4  STRANGE ARRANGE 4 2 1nk 2nk   52½ 56¼ (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 12.00  
 
PID-2   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOUL OF THE BEAST 6 4 11½ 12   11 1¾ (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 3.00 26% 2.80 1.10 W
2  REAL GOOD VYBZ 2 5 43½ 22   21 2¾ (williams oman)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00 2.90  
3  WOW LADY 3 8 88¼ 88¼   65¾ 38¾ (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 11% 8.00 5.50 S
5  KAGERO 5 6 33 43½   34 411 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 124 2.50 40% 1.50 5.00  
1  GIO'S MY DAD 1 7 76¼ 78   55½ 512 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00 5% 19.00 37.30  
4  SHE'D RATHER DANCE 4 3 21½ 33½   44 613¼ (vitali marcu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00 10.40  
8  GOLDEN PHASE 8 2 66 56   76¼ 715½ (stites w)STANLEY O 124 8.00 43.20  
7  REINA DEL BALI 7 1 56 67   88¼ 817½ (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 31.30  
 
PID-3   09/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:13 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLAWLESS BOURBON 3 4 2nk 1½ 11½ 11 1½ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 34% 2.00 1.30 W
1  TEMPUS 1 6 44 46½ 33½ 21 2½ (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00 6.70  
5  YADI 5 5 65 68 64¾ 32½ 34 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 3.00 32% 2.10 3.00 S
6  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT 6 3 54½ 57½ 53¾ 54 45¼ (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 3.00  
4  GIANT PAYDAY 4 2 33 36 43½ 44 55½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.80  
2  CHIC N WILBUR 2 1 1nk 2½ 21½ 65 610½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 5.00 7.70  
 
PID-4   09/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VACCINA 1 1 11½ 12½ 12 14 15 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 33% 2.10 1.90 W
3  PATH TO VICTORY 2 5 58 58½ 56½ 34 25 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00 21% 3.70 3.00 P
7  WORLDLY BEAUTY 5 4 47 47½ 34½ 24 36¼ (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 113 5.00 2.50  
4  WARRIOR'S MISS 3 2 35½ 37 45 56 411¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 8.30  
6  MO NIGHEAN DONN 4 3 21½ 22½ 22 44½ 512 (tasso mark)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 3.40  
SCR  EMALTHA               (fennessy john)WALES GARY 118 12.00    
SCR  MEGAN'S NOEL               (grubbs jamie )MORALES PABLO 122 2.00    
 
PID-5   09/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:133 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FUEL THE BERN 4 2 11 11 1½ 11½ 12½ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 4.50 ★ 5.00  
7  AULT 7 1 33 31½ 41½ 21½ 22½ (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 31% 2.20 9.20 P
1  BATTLE CREEK 1 3 64¾ 62¾ 63 63¾ 33 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5.80  
8  CEDUNA 8 6 54½ 52½ 52 53¼ 43½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 10.00 39% 1.50 7.60  
2  REGAL SPEAKER 2 4 98¾ 96¾ 75 33 55¼ (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 21.90  
3  TEXAS GANO 3 9 109¾ 85¾ 85½ 74¼ 66¼ (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 1.60  
10  ADIOS BOBBY 10 10 43 41½ 3½ 43 76¾ (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 2.50 8.30  
9  LONG RAP SHEET 9 7 21 21 2½ 88¼ 814 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 8% 11.00 8.10  
5  TALK TO TOKEY 5 5 76¼ 74¼ 95¾ 914¼ 920¼ (deville carl)ALENCAR WALBER 118 15.00 30.40  
6  INNUENDO (IRE) 6 8 88¼ 106¾ 108¼ 1016¼ 1022¼ (antus lawrence)ALLEN M 124 15.00 64.60  
 
PID-6   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SERENADE A KITTEN 3 4 53½ 63¼   62¼ 1¾ (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 8.80  
5  VILLAGE QUEEN 4 3 42 42   41½ 2¾ (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.50 18% 4.40 3.70 P
6  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) 5 2 21 21   1nk 31 (amaya joan)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00 5.40  
2  HALF BIRTHDAY 2 6 63¾ 53   52 41¾ (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 50% 1.00 0.60  
1  POSH PLAYDAY 1 5 31 32   3½ 52 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
8  CHEROKEE CHATTER 6 1 11 11   2nk 64¼ (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 21.00  
SCR  HOT BODE               (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
SCR  WATERLOO SUNSET               (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   09/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:123 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PAYNTED WARRIOR 6 3 12 11 11 11 1hd (girten t)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00 12.80  
5  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE 5 4 43½ 44 52½ 41¼ 2hd (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 16% 5.10 1.00 P
4  MASON MANIA 4 6 54½ 65½ 63½ 63¼ 31¼ (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 32% 2.20 3.30 S
3  ALABAMA SLAMMER 3 2 22 31½ 31½ 21 43 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 4.50 5.50  
2  SHORTLIST 2 5 64¾ 55½ 42½ 31 53¾ (van thom)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 5.20  
1  GREY INVASION 1 1 32 21 21 52¼ 64½ (lecesse micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 15% 5.60 9.20  
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS               (diodoro robertin)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
 
PID-8   09/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:37   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DAD'S LIL SPARK 7 4 12 11½ 1nk 1nk 14¼ (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80 W
9  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND 8 3 33½ 32 31 31½ 24¼ (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 10.00 10.20  
3  GAMBLING MAN 3 6 44½ 43½ 52½ 43 34¼ (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 54.10  
2  HUNTIN' THE RUT 2 1 22 21½ 2nk 2nk 45¼ (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00 2.10  
1  B G LEE 1 9 99½ 98 73¾ 54½ 55¾ (zook jef)GALLARDO A 124 3.50 46% 1.20 2.30  
10  NATHANIEL'S HOPE 9 7 65½ 64½ 63½ 75¼ 68¼ (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 18% 4.70 3.90  
5  DRINKSONTHEBEACH 4 5 76½ 75½ 84¾ 64¾ 710½ (winters mic)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00 45.10  
7  RAPA NUI 6 2 54½ 53½ 41½ 86¼ 810¾ (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 12.00 16.10  
6  SAVVY ON BLANC 5 8 88 87 96¼ 910¾ 919½ (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 118 10.00 9% 9.90 10.50  
SCR  UP FOR THE CHANCE               (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.