Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/6/3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/6/3/1)-(3/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/1)-(3/5/4)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(2/3)-(8/7/9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(8/7/9/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(8/7/9/3)-(2/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (8/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/3)-(8/7/9/3/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/3)-(8/7/9/3/4)-(8/7/9/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/9/3)-(2/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/3)-(2/5/1)-(4/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(1/10/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/10/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (1/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/8)-(1/10/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/10/6/8)-(1/10/6/8)-(1/10/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Aug10 Aug02 Jul17 Jun05 May15 (walsh d)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00    
2  CHAOS THEORY May27 Apr09 Mar12 Jan22 Nov26 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  HAIG POINT Aug26 Jul22 Jun25 May30 Mar25 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
4  STRANGE ARRANGE Aug09 Jul17 Jun20 Jun07 May16 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
5  DANEFIELD Aug28 Aug02 Jul05 Jun02 May16 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
 
PID-2   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIO'S MY DAD Aug09 Jul26 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  REAL GOOD VYBZ Aug30 Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 May30 (williams oman)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00    
3  WOW LADY         (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
4  SHE'D RATHER DANCE Aug15 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 (vitali marcu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00    
5  KAGERO Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 Jun06 May24 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  SOUL OF THE BEAST Aug15         (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  REINA DEL BALI Aug27 Aug01 Jul09 Jun08 May26 (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
8  GOLDEN PHASE Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 Feb17 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 8.00    
 
PID-3   09/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPUS Aug29 Aug08 Jul15 May23 Oct13 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
2  CHIC N WILBUR Aug23 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun20 (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 5.00    
3  FLAWLESS BOURBON Aug29 Jul31 Jul18 Jun21 Nov23 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
4  GIANT PAYDAY Aug18 Aug10 Jun26 May22 Mar12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  YADI Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 May24 Oct25 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50    
 
PID-4   09/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEGAN'S NOEL Aug11 Jul11 Jun06 May08 Feb11 (grubbs jamie )MORALES PABLO 122 2.00    
2  VACCINA Aug30 Aug01 Jun20 May29 May16 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
3  PATH TO VICTORY Aug16 Aug07 Jul17 Jul11 Jun21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  WARRIOR'S MISS Aug29 Jul24 Jun22 May25 May12 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
SCR  EMALTHA Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Nov25 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 118 12.00    
6  MO NIGHEAN DONN Jul26 Jun20 May15 Nov21 Nov01 (tasso mark)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
7  WORLDLY BEAUTY Jul03 Jun13 May24 Mar22 Feb10 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 113 5.00    
 
PID-5   09/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLE CREEK Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
2  REGAL SPEAKER Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun12 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
3  TEXAS GANO Aug29 Aug15 Jul19 Jun27 May25 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FUEL THE BERN Aug30 Aug08 Jul19 Jun20 Jun07 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 4.50 ★    
5  TALK TO TOKEY Jul28 Jun29 May25 Apr26 Mar12 (deville carl)ALENCAR WALBER 118 15.00    
6  INNUENDO (IRE) Aug24 Aug08 Jul19 Jun29 Jun09 (antus lawrence)ALLEN M 124 15.00    
7  AULT Aug17 Jul18 Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
8  CEDUNA Aug28 Jul24 Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 10.00 39% 1.50    
9  LONG RAP SHEET Aug23 Aug15 Jul25 Jul07 Jun18 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 8% 11.00    
10  ADIOS BOBBY Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 May03 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 2.50    
 
PID-6   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSH PLAYDAY Jun26 Mar24 Jan14 Oct06 Sep14 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HALF BIRTHDAY Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun06 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  SERENADE A KITTEN Sep05 Aug21 Apr21 Apr09 Mar09 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
SCR  WATERLOO SUNSET Aug21 Aug02 Jul12 Jun07 May17 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
5  VILLAGE QUEEN Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 Dec17 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
6  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 (amaya joan)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00    
SCR  HOT BODE Jul12 Feb15 Jan25 Dec29 Dec01 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
8  CHEROKEE CHATTER Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   09/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY INVASION Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 May31 (lecesse micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
2  SHORTLIST Aug11 Jun25 Jun02 Apr16 Mar16 (van thom)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
3  ALABAMA SLAMMER Aug17 Aug02 Jun26 Jun06 May17 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
4  MASON MANIA Aug02 Jun11 May05 Apr06 Mar10 (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 32% 2.20    
5  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Aug22 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 Mar09 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
6  PAYNTED WARRIOR Aug22 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Aug22 Jul19 Jun17 May27 Apr07 (diodoro robertin)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
 
PID-8   09/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B G LEE Sep04 Aug25 Aug05 Jul13 Jun21 (zook jef)GALLARDO A 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  HUNTIN' THE RUT Sep04 Aug07 Jul25 Jul17 Jul05 (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00    
3  GAMBLING MAN Aug21 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 Aug17 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
SCR  UP FOR THE CHANCE Sep06 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 3.50    
5  DRINKSONTHEBEACH Aug10 Jul11 May24 May17 Aug09 (winters mic)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00    
6  SAVVY ON BLANC Jul10 Jun14 May23 Apr01 Mar17 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 118 10.00 9% 9.90    
7  RAPA NUI Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
8  DAD'S LIL SPARK Sep06 Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Aug28 Aug07 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 10.00    
10  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.