Handicappers' Race Results
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Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CNL-1   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
CNL-2   Win (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $7.80  
CNL-3   Win (9/2/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.80 $9.80  
CNL-4   Win (8/7/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
CNL-5   Win (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $22.00 $22.00 14.00
CNL-6   Win (7/3/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $4.60  
CNL-7   Win (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $8.80  
CNL-8   Win (10/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $11.20  
CNL-9   Win (6/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:22 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TWO ITEM SAVER 6 5 2½ 21   1½ 11¼ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.40 W
3  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 3 3 42½ 31   2½ 21¼ (casse mark)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 17% 5.10 2.30 P
2  P J'S RIDER 2 2 1½ 11   32½ 314 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50 25% 3.00 2.90 S
5  APPLE EVER AFTER 5 4 31 42½   46 415¾ (leitch dani)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 10.60  
4  WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR 4 6 63½ 57½   513 523 (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00 5.60  
1  PRINCESS DAMIAH 1 1 53 68   617 636½ (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 41.30  
SCR  DANCINONTHEBEACH               (mcmahon i)ROCCO S 119 10.00    
 
CNL-2   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:222 :463 :581     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AIR RECRUIT 5 3 43½ 33   2½ 11¼ (delacour arna)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00 2.90  
7  SHARDS 6 2 22 22½   1½ 21¼ (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 26% 2.90 0.80 P
3  CIGALE 3 6 76½ 74¼   52¾ 33¾ (romero raf)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00 15% 5.50 20.40 S
8  ST JAMES THE GREAT 7 4 54 53½   42½ 44½ (brion keri)CARRASCO R 119 2.50 21% 3.80 5.10  
1  MAINTAIN 1 1 12 12½   32½ 56¼ (mccutchen jason)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00 42.40  
2  SHAM'S PRIDE 2 5 33½ 43   76¾ 610 (beckman whitwo)ROCCO S 119 3.50 17% 4.80 10.70  
9  AGAPEE MOU 8 7 65 63¾   65¾ 710 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 10.10  
4  AURORA KUMA 4 8 88½ 86¼   88¾ 813 (wasiluk jr)CASTANON L 119 30.00 59.70  
SCR  TECH DUINN               (venham lyn )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 8.00    
 
CNL-3   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:133 1:253   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MASSIF 9 4 63½ 72¾ 41½ 12 17¼ (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 38% 1.70 3.90 W
10  SAISIR LE JOUR 10 6 74 62¼ 62¼ 46 27¼ (romero rafa)CARRASCO R 119 6.00 20.50  
4  KINGDOM FORCE 4 2 31½ 41¼ 1nk 22 39 (ginter j)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 19% 4.40 17.20 S
2  UNCLE KENNY 2 1 11 11 2nk 34 410 (potts g)ALLEN D 119 3.50 22% 3.60 2.90  
5  GRAND KINGDOM 5 9 86 84¼ 83¾ 612 516¾ (munoz carl)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 30.30  
3  CHACHACHING 3 8 41½ 31 3½ 59 617½ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00 14.40  
7  BIG TAP 7 10 97½ 96¼ 95¾ 712 719 (asmussen steven )ROCCO S 119 8.00 11.30  
1  WHERE'S CHARLIE 1 7 1010½ 106¼ 106 817 823¾ (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
8  WEEKEND CONCERTO 8 5 52 51¾ 52 920 931½ (maker j)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 3.20  
6  DISCO PREACHER 6 3 21 21 73¾ 1021 1038¼ (bailes robert)BOYCE FOREST 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
 
CNL-4   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FUTURE IS NOW 7 5 1nk 2nk   11 11¼ (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 114 3.00 45% 1.20 2.80 W
1  RENNIE 1 9 86 62¼   31 21¼ (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00 28.40  
7  CHEATIN SONG 6 8 51¾ 51¾   41½ 34 (aguirre anthony)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00 27% 2.80 4.80 S
6  BAND LEADER 5 6 2nk 1nk   21 44½ (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 13.70  
9  CECIL THE GREAT 8 7 75 84¾   63¼ 55¼ (clement roland)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 12.50  
3  KAMIKAZE FOX 2 1 64¾ 72¾   73¾ 66¾ (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
4  THEOLOVESAWINNER 3 2 911 96¾   94¾ 77½ (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 8.10  
5  LOTHARIO 4 3 31½ 41¾   51¾ 87½ (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
10  GAMERUN 9 4 41¾ 31½   84¼ 99 (klesaris ste)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
SCR  BEN'S HERO               (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 119 2.00    
 
CNL-5   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:214 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OLYMPIC RUNNER 5 2 62¾ 62¼   31½ 13½ (casse mark)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 52% 0.90 10.00 W
3  DETERMINED KINGDOM 3 4 21½ 2½   2nk 23½ (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 125 4.00 2.80  
8  GO BEARS GO (IRE) 8 7 73¼ 73¼   55½ 34 (ward a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.50 0.70  
1  GRATEFUL BRED 1 3 31½ 4¾   42½ 44¾ (meyers madis)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00 12.70  
6  ZYRAMID 6 1 11½ 1½   1nk 55 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 14% 6.10 6.40  
2  BOLDOR 2 8 87¼ 85¼   78½ 68¼ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.50 12.20  
7  BLESSED ARION 7 6 52¼ 51¼   67½ 79 (rawlings co)AVILES YAN 123 30.00 5% 19.00 81.70  
4  BLACK CANDY 4 5 41¾ 3½   811½ 819 (tomczak mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 30.00 5% 19.00 58.70  
 
CNL-6   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Keswick Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:224 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CARMELINA 8 4 31 3½   3½ 1½ (reid robert )SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 1.30  
1  BEACHFRONT BREEZE 1 2 1½ 1½   2nk 2½ (simoff andrew)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 10% 9.40 7.10 P
3  REMEMBER ME 2 1 2½ 2½   1nk 3½ (robb j)BETANCOURT R 120 12.00 25% 3.00 32.00 S
7  RAN OUT OF TRAINER 5 5 42½ 41   42½ 44¾ (farrior anthony)KARAMANOS A 120 3.50 26% 2.90 3.80  
8  LOW MILEAGE 6 9 74 74¾   53 55 (salzman e)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 16% 5.40 3.60  
6  BUCKIN' GREAT 4 7 84¼ 84¾   63¼ 66¼ (robb j)CARRASCO R 120 8.00 18.20  
9  KELLAN 7 6 52½ 53   85¾ 710 (russell brittany)ROCCO S 120 15.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
4  TROUBLED DREAMS 3 3 63½ 63¼   74¾ 810½ (russell bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 18.20  
11  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT 9 8 96¼ 99¼   98¾ 911½ (saville ni)GALLARDO A 120 30.00 29.70  
SCR  HIDDEN VASE               (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
SCR  THURSDAY GIRL               (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
 
CNL-7   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hickory Tree Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:22 :444       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOING UP 3 1 1½ 1nk   12½ 16¾ (potts g)ALLEN D 120 1.80 3.40  
5  JUBAWITHATWIST 5 7 65 62   35½ 26¾ (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 5.00 17% 4.80 8.00 P
1  KING KONTIE 1 2 2½ 2nk   22½ 37¼ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.50 50% 1.00 2.10 S
2  TWO BRONZE STARS 2 3 75¼ 41¾   46½ 412 (brion keri)CARRASCO R 120 30.00 43.20  
6  IRISH BANDIT 6 5 43 51¾   57 513¼ (robb j)BETANCOURT R 120 10.00 12.10  
8  STREET TOUGH 8 4 31 31½   67 614 (salzman john)SANCHEZ J 120 30.00 8.30  
4  SURFBOARD 4 6 87¼ 87   712 717¾ (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 9% 9.80 5.60  
7  WILD WEST JUSTICE 7 8 55 75   816 820½ (caramori caio)ROCCO S 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
 
CNL-8   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:223 :454 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GIRLS HOUSE 3 6 42 41   3.2 1½ (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 15.00 4.60  
10  MOMENTOUS MISS 6 3 2½ 2½   1nk 2½ (payne beale)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 38% 1.70 1.90 P
2  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME 1 4 64½ 62¾   51¼ 3½ (tomlinson micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 4.00  
7  MEETMEATTHEBEACH 5 1 1½ 1½   2nk 42½ (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 25% 3.10 1.90  
4  LUNA WEST 2 2 31½ 31   61¾ 55¼ (rodriguez an)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
6  LITA 4 5 53 52½   4¼ 65½ (klesaris ste)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 5% 17.50 6.90  
SCR  ACE UP HER SLEEVE               (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 10.00    
SCR  BABY LUCK               (ochoa gera)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 5.00    
SCR  GIRVINIZED               (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00    
SCR  TATOR MADE               (rideout m)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:112 1:371   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAKE 'EM TAP 4 5 53½ 55 43 11 12½ (cazares la)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 30% 2.40 2.80 W
1  MALIBU RUMBLE 1 3 32½ 33 31½ 21 22½ (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 118 3.50 10% 8.60 1.40 P
9  BALI ROLLING TIDE 7 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 32½ 34¾ (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 58.30  
10  B G LEE 8 6 78 78¾ 58 47½ 45½ (zook w)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 18% 4.60 5.10  
3  PAY THE SQUID 2 4 43 43½ 78¼ 57½ 59¼ (nuesch patrick)ROCCO S 118 20.00 16.10  
7  NANGA PARBAT (GB) 5 7 67 68½ 68¼ 69½ 612¼ (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.00 20% 4.00 4.60  
8  ICETECA 6 8 812 813¾ 818¼ 818¾ 719¼ (hunt d)RIQUELME J 118 30.00 52.20  
5  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 3 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 79¾ 820¾ (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 15.00 6.90  
SCR  SMOKIN SMITTY               (rideout m)PELTROCHE F 118 30.00    
SCR  WILL'S MUSIC               (allen ferr)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.