Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(7/8/2/3)-(9/2/4/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-2   WIN (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/3)-(9/2/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/3)-(9/2/4/1/6)-(8/7/10/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-3   WIN (9/2/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/1/6)-(9/2/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/1/6)-(9/2/4/1/6)-(9/2/4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/4/1/6)-(8/7/10/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/1/6)-(8/7/10/3/5)-(5/6/4/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-4   WIN (8/7/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/10/3/5)-(8/7/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/10/3/5)-(8/7/10/3/5)-(8/7/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/10/3/5)-(5/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/10/3/5)-(5/6/4/7)-(7/3/8/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-5   WIN (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/7)-(7/3/8/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/7)-(7/3/8/1/9)-(1/5/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (7/3/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/1/9)-(7/3/8/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/1/9)-(7/3/8/1/9)-(7/3/8/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/8/1/9)-(1/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/1/9)-(1/5/4/7)-(10/7/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-7   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(10/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/7)-(10/7/6/4)-(6/7/10/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-8   WIN (10/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/4)-(10/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/4)-(10/7/6/4)-(10/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/6/4)-(6/7/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-9   WIN (6/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/10/1)-(6/7/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/10/1)-(6/7/10/1)-(6/7/10/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS DAMIAH         (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of GLORY BLAZE by FORESTRY)
2  P J'S RIDER Jun02         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of TORCHED CHERRY by SILVER DEPUTY)
3  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE Jan21 Dec23 Nov26 Oct30 Sep18 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 17% 5.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INDIAN SAFARI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLOCKSTRUCKTWELVE by MALIBU MOON)
5  APPLE EVER AFTER Nov10 Oct06       (leitch da)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MY MCINTOSH by PULPIT)
6  TWO ITEM SAVER Sep25         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of TWO ITEM LIMIT by TWINING)
SCR  DANCINONTHEBEACH         (mcmahon i)ROCCO S 119 10.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of DIXIE DANCER by UNION RAGS)
 
CNL-2   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAINTAIN         (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RELAX by SMART STRIKE)
2  SHAM'S PRIDE         (beckman whit)ROCCO S 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TWISTED KITTY by TWIRLING CANDY)
3  CIGALE Jul19 Jun19       (romero r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PART OF THE CHARM by TAPIT)
4  AURORA KUMA         (wasiluk peter )CASTANON L 119 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RUMBAUA by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  TECH DUINN Jul14 Jun16 May12     (venham ly)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 8.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
6  AIR RECRUIT         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
7  SHARDS Jun10         (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CYNTHIA'S FURY by UTOPIA (JPN))
8  ST JAMES THE GREAT         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of THAT'S A LADY by CITY ZIP)
9  AGAPEE MOU         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
  (by CUPID out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CNL-3   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'S CHARLIE         (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of MISS PAGET by GALILEO)
2  UNCLE KENNY Jul18 May31       (potts g)ALLEN D 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PHYLLIS ANN by PUT IT BACK)
3  CHACHACHING Jul27         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
4  KINGDOM FORCE Jul27 Jul16 Jun30     (ginter raymond)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 19% 4.40    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of UNION ET FORCE by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
5  GRAND KINGDOM Jul27         (munoz ca)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
6  DISCO PREACHER Jul07         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  BIG TAP         (asmussen steve)ROCCO S 119 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of ONDINE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  WEEKEND CONCERTO         (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WEEKEND FANTASY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
9  MASSIF Jul14         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by SKY MESA out of SOCIETY'S SONG by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
10  SAISIR LE JOUR Jul15         (romero ra)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of HIGH STYLE by KING PELLINORE)
 
CNL-4   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENNIE Jul22 Oct30 Oct02 Sep17   (godsey ka)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of CAPE COD BAY by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  BEN'S HERO Jun17 Jun01 Apr09 Jan26   (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 119 2.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of APRIL ROSE by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  KAMIKAZE FOX Jul22 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18   (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SANTOSHA by COLONEL JOHN)
4  THEOLOVESAWINNER Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 Jun09 May19 (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of KOKAND COUSIN by KOKAND)
5  LOTHARIO         (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of UBU by SILVER TRAIN)
6  BAND LEADER Sep07         (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of APONI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  CHEATIN SONG Jul22 Jul15       (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TAPIZAR out of IF NOT FOR LUST by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  FUTURE IS NOW         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 114 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
9  CECIL THE GREAT         (clement rola)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PRACTICAL IDEAS by PROSPECT BAY)
10  GAMERUN         (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of KELWYNNE by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
CNL-5   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRATEFUL BRED Jul01 Jun16 Oct22 Sep24 Sep07 (meyers ma)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00    
2  BOLDOR Jul15 Jan21 Dec10 Oct28 Sep07 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.50    
3  DETERMINED KINGDOM Jul15 Jun16 May20 Sep07 Aug14 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 125 4.00    
4  BLACK CANDY Jul20 Jun21 May26 May11 Apr28 (tomczak mar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  OLYMPIC RUNNER Apr29 Mar04 Jan20 Jul23 Jul02 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
6  ZYRAMID Jun16 May25 May05 Sep23 Sep02 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
7  BLESSED ARION Sep29 Sep06 Jul27 Jul03 Jun11 (rawlings amanda )AVILES YAN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  GO BEARS GO (IRE) Jun10 May06 Nov05     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50    
 
CNL-6   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Keswick Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHFRONT BREEZE Jun30         (simoff andr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
  (by COAL FRONT out of QUICK BREEZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  THURSDAY GIRL         (delacour )CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SOUPER MISS by ALPHABET SOUP)
3  REMEMBER ME Jul22 Jul01       (robb john)BETANCOURT R 120 12.00 25% 3.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of OUTWITHBIGDADDY by OUTFLANKER)
4  TROUBLED DREAMS Jul13 Jun03 May01     (russell b)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CARPE CASANOVA by CARPE DIEM (FR))
SCR  HIDDEN VASE         (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ELUSIVELY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  BUCKIN' GREAT Jul14 Jun25 May25 May05   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of NASEEM by POINT GIVEN)
7  RAN OUT OF TRAINER Jul06         (farrior antho)KARAMANOS A 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by TONALIST out of MY GIRL TRICKSY by HAT TRICK)
8  LOW MILEAGE Jul14 May05       (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MINESHAFT out of CHABESO by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  KELLAN Jun25 May25       (russell britta)ROCCO S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of DIRIGO by NOON PROSPECT)
10  CARMELINA Jul13 Jun18       (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
11  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Jun22         (saville )GALLARDO A 120 30.00    
  (by ASTERN out of MY VICTORIA ROSE by GIROLAMO)
 
CNL-7   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hickory Tree Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING KONTIE Jul14         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.50 50% 1.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of JUMELLE SPRINGS by MORE THAN READY)
2  TWO BRONZE STARS Jul14         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 120 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MOUNTAINEER CAT by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  GOING UP Jul16 May31       (potts g)ALLEN D 120 1.80    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
4  SURFBOARD Jul14 Jun22       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 9% 9.80    
  (by INCLUDE out of SUBURB by CITY ZIP)
5  JUBAWITHATWIST Jun30         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
6  IRISH BANDIT Jul16 Jun15       (robb john)BETANCOURT R 120 10.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of GRACIES BANDIT by DURING)
7  WILD WEST JUSTICE         (caramori caio)ROCCO S 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WALK OFF WINNER by GRAND SLAM)
8  STREET TOUGH Jul14 May26       (salzman jo)SANCHEZ J 120 30.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of BRIAR MOJO by CIRCULAR QUAY)
 
CNL-8   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIRVINIZED Jun30         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00    
2  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME Jul14 May20 Mar16 Feb23 Dec30 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  BABY LUCK Jul14 Apr19 Mar10 Aug10 Jul27 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 5.00    
4  LUNA WEST Jul07 Jun17 Apr07     (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  GIRLS HOUSE Jul13 May02 Mar18 Feb25 Feb15 (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 15.00    
6  LITA Jul14 May27 Jan05 Sep17   (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 5% 17.50    
7  MEETMEATTHEBEACH Jul02 Jun03 Apr09 Mar16 Feb15 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  TATOR MADE Jul07         (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
SCR  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Jul14 Jun03 May04 Mar31 Mar02 (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 10.00    
10  MOMENTOUS MISS Jul14         (payne beale)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
 
CNL-9   08/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU RUMBLE Jul11 Jun17 May13 Sep03 Aug12 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 118 3.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  SMOKIN SMITTY Jul08 Jun22       (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 118 30.00    
3  PAY THE SQUID Jul07 Jun18 Oct23 Sep07 Aug22 (nuesch patrick)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
SCR  WILL'S MUSIC Jul23 Jul08 Jun09 May04   (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
5  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jul03 Jun14 May29 Sep08 Aug25 (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 15.00    
6  MAKE 'EM TAP Jul20 Jun09 May20 Feb02 Jan07 (cazares )GALLARDO A 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
7  NANGA PARBAT (GB) Jul13 Jul07 Jun16 May25 Mar25 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
8  ICETECA Jul21 Jul13 Jun25 May19 Feb26 (hunt d)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
9  BALI ROLLING TIDE Jul20 Jun15 May25 Apr16 Sep17 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
10  B G LEE Jul13 Jun21 Jun04 Jan05 Dec07 (zook w)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.