Handicappers' Racing Form

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Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-2   Win (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-3   Win (9/2/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-4   Win (8/7/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-5   Win (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-6   Win (7/3/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-7   Win (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-8   Win (10/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-9   Win (6/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CNL-1   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS DAMIAH         (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
P J'S RIDER Jun02         (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
SOUPER EXPLOSIVE Jan21 Dec23 Nov26 Oct30 Sep18 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 17% 5.10    
WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR         (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00    
APPLE EVER AFTER Nov10 Oct06       (leitch dani)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
TWO ITEM SAVER Sep25         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  DANCINONTHEBEACH         (mcmahon i)ROCCO S 119 10.00    
 
CNL-2   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAINTAIN         (mccutchen jason)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
SHAM'S PRIDE         (beckman whitwo)ROCCO S 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
CIGALE Jul19 Jun19       (romero raf)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
AURORA KUMA         (wasiluk jr)CASTANON L 119 30.00    
SCR  TECH DUINN Jul14 Jun16 May12     (venham lyn )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 8.00    
AIR RECRUIT         (delacour arna)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00    
SHARDS Jun10         (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
ST JAMES THE GREAT         (brion keri)CARRASCO R 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
AGAPEE MOU         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
 
CNL-3   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S CHARLIE         (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE KENNY Jul18 May31       (potts g)ALLEN D 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
CHACHACHING Jul27         (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00    
KINGDOM FORCE Jul27 Jul16 Jun30     (ginter j)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 19% 4.40    
GRAND KINGDOM Jul27         (munoz carl)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
DISCO PREACHER Jul07         (bailes robert)BOYCE FOREST 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG TAP         (asmussen steven )ROCCO S 119 8.00    
WEEKEND CONCERTO         (maker j)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00    
MASSIF Jul14         (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
10  SAISIR LE JOUR Jul15         (romero rafa)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
 
CNL-4   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENNIE Jul22 Oct30 Oct02 Sep17   (godsey kare)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
SCR  BEN'S HERO Jun17 Jun01 Apr09 Jan26   (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 119 2.00    
KAMIKAZE FOX Jul22 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18   (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
THEOLOVESAWINNER Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 Jun09 May19 (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
LOTHARIO         (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BAND LEADER Sep07         (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
CHEATIN SONG Jul22 Jul15       (aguirre anthony)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00 27% 2.80    
FUTURE IS NOW         (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 114 3.00 45% 1.20    
CECIL THE GREAT         (clement roland)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
10  GAMERUN         (klesaris ste)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-5   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRATEFUL BRED Jul01 Jun16 Oct22 Sep24 Sep07 (meyers madi)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00    
BOLDOR Jul15 Jan21 Dec10 Oct28 Sep07 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.50    
DETERMINED KINGDOM Jul15 Jun16 May20 Sep07 Aug14 (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 125 4.00    
BLACK CANDY Jul20 Jun21 May26 May11 Apr28 (tomczak mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
OLYMPIC RUNNER Apr29 Mar04 Jan20 Jul23 Jul02 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
ZYRAMID Jun16 May25 May05 Sep23 Sep02 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
BLESSED ARION Sep29 Sep06 Jul27 Jul03 Jun11 (rawlings co)AVILES YAN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
GO BEARS GO (IRE) Jun10 May06 Nov05     (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50    
 
CNL-6   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Keswick Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACHFRONT BREEZE Jun30         (simoff andrew)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  THURSDAY GIRL         (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
REMEMBER ME Jul22 Jul01       (robb j)BETANCOURT R 120 12.00 25% 3.00    
TROUBLED DREAMS Jul13 Jun03 May01     (russell bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00    
SCR  HIDDEN VASE         (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
BUCKIN' GREAT Jul14 Jun25 May25 May05   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00    
RAN OUT OF TRAINER Jul06         (farrior anthony)KARAMANOS A 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
LOW MILEAGE Jul14 May05       (salzman e)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
KELLAN Jun25 May25       (russell brittany)ROCCO S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  CARMELINA Jul13 Jun18       (reid robert )SANCHEZ J 120 2.50    
11  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Jun22         (saville ni)GALLARDO A 120 30.00    
 
CNL-7   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hickory Tree Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING KONTIE Jul14         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.50 50% 1.00    
TWO BRONZE STARS Jul14         (brion keri)CARRASCO R 120 30.00    
GOING UP Jul16 May31       (potts g)ALLEN D 120 1.80    
SURFBOARD Jul14 Jun22       (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 9% 9.80    
JUBAWITHATWIST Jun30         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
IRISH BANDIT Jul16 Jun15       (robb j)BETANCOURT R 120 10.00    
WILD WEST JUSTICE         (caramori caio)ROCCO S 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
STREET TOUGH Jul14 May26       (salzman john)SANCHEZ J 120 30.00    
 
CNL-8   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIRVINIZED Jun30         (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00    
YOU'RE AVOIDING ME Jul14 May20 Mar16 Feb23 Dec30 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  BABY LUCK Jul14 Apr19 Mar10 Aug10 Jul27 (ochoa gera)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 5.00    
LUNA WEST Jul07 Jun17 Apr07     (rodriguez an)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
GIRLS HOUSE Jul13 May02 Mar18 Feb25 Feb15 (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 15.00    
LITA Jul14 May27 Jan05 Sep17   (klesaris ste)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 5% 17.50    
MEETMEATTHEBEACH Jul02 Jun03 Apr09 Mar16 Feb15 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  TATOR MADE Jul07         (rideout m)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
SCR  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Jul14 Jun03 May04 Mar31 Mar02 (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 10.00    
10  MOMENTOUS MISS Jul14         (payne beale)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
 
CNL-9   08/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU RUMBLE Jul11 Jun17 May13 Sep03 Aug12 (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 118 3.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  SMOKIN SMITTY Jul08 Jun22       (rideout m)PELTROCHE F 118 30.00    
PAY THE SQUID Jul07 Jun18 Oct23 Sep07 Aug22 (nuesch patrick)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
SCR  WILL'S MUSIC Jul23 Jul08 Jun09 May04   (allen ferr)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jul03 Jun14 May29 Sep08 Aug25 (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 15.00    
MAKE 'EM TAP Jul20 Jun09 May20 Feb02 Jan07 (cazares la)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
NANGA PARBAT (GB) Jul13 Jul07 Jun16 May25 Mar25 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
ICETECA Jul21 Jul13 Jun25 May19 Feb26 (hunt d)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
BALI ROLLING TIDE Jul20 Jun15 May25 Apr16 Sep17 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
10  B G LEE Jul13 Jun21 Jun04 Jan05 Dec07 (zook w)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.