Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $20.10 $14.10 235%
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.60 $1.60 27%
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $20.80 $14.80 247%
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4-6 $43.80 $37.80 630%
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-5 $39.40 $30.40 338%
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/3/4)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00  2-3-5 $43.90 $16.90 63%
    PK4 (2/1/8/5)-(2/5/1)-(5/3/4)-(4/6/5) 108 $0.50 $54.00  1-2-3-5 $71.25 $17.25 32%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUNCHATTHELIZARD 3 2 1½ 1½   11½ 11¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 1.60 53% 0.90 0.10 W
7  TURBO POWER 6 1 2½ 2½   21½ 21¾ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 6.60  
1  AFLEET O ME 1 6 45 33½   33½ 32¼ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 15% 5.70 9.50 S
4  ORLEANS STORM 4 5 56½ 56   43½ 42½ (tumblin andr)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00 23.00  
6  HAPPY TAKEOVER 5 3 67 66½   55½ 56¾ (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 15.00 29.60  
2  OXBOW'S RIDE 2 4 34 45   66½ 610¾ (patton l)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
SCR  FAST AS FAST CAN B               (guidry terra)HALDAR J 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 1:011       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 3 2 23 24½   22 11¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 11% 8.40 4.00 W
2  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 2 6 56½ 58   34 21¼ (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 10% 8.70 7.40 P
5  NIKAO 5 5 67 69   54½ 32¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 2.00 15.30  
7  COUNCIL OF FOUR 6 1 45½ 47   44½ 45¾ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 12.00 12.60  
1  BAD BOY BOOGIE 1 4 13 14½   12 55¾ (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 55% 0.80 0.50  
4  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 4 3 34½ 37   66 68 (radosevich)RIVERA R 114 8.00 8.00  
SCR  FIERCELY BRAVE               (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KETTLE KISS 3 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 11¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 1.30  
2  IN TROUBLED WATERS 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 21¾ (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.00 57% 0.70 0.70 P
6  BEAUTIFUL LASS 4 1 41¼ 31   34 37¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 8.00 14% 5.90 5.20 S
3  CHILLVILLE 2 3 3.2 43½   48½ 413¼ (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 12.00 11.00  
SCR  GO GIRL               (hamm timot)RIVERA R 112 3.00    
SCR  VILLAGE CAT               (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-4   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STAR MABEE 5 1 32 31   11½ 14¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.80 53% 0.90 0.80 W
3  CHLOES ANGEL 2 4 1nk 1nk   21½ 24¼ (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 10.40  
5  APPEALING SENORITA 4 5 2nk 2nk   31½ 35¼ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 5.00 3.60  
2  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 1 3 42½ 44   45½ 46¼ (skeens jeremy)BRACHO A 119 4.00 19% 4.10 7.10  
4  LADY ABRIL 3 2 55 54¼   55¾ 58¾ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 5% 17.40 2.70  
SCR  A SMILE A DAY               (ho)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-5   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCITEMENT 1 4 33½ 22   2½ 14½ (hamm timot)RIVERA R 112 2.50 22% 3.60 1.40 W
6  OKLAHOMA JOE 6 1 13½ 12   1½ 24½ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 115 6.00 7.90  
7  SMOOCHER 7 8 714¼ 614   57 38¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 13.20  
2  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 2 5 45½ 46   45½ 48¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 45% 1.20 3.30  
8  OUR BUCKWHEAT 8 2 23½ 32   33½ 59 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 117 3.00 10% 9.00 2.60  
5  ANIMO ROBERTO 5 3 69¾ 59½   67 610¼ (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
3  SEASONS END 3 7 814¾ 716½   710½ 716 (mavec kat)GONZALES J 114 20.00 68.10  
4  LONE BOY 4 6 59½ 818½   816½ 825 (bo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 14.60  
 
TDN-6   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:142     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CAPTURE MI 2 5 11½ 12 13 18 113¼ (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 44% 1.30 0.40 W
1  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF 1 6 32½ 22 23 28 213¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 1.60 15% 5.60 4.10 P
3  DRINKSONTHEBEACH 3 4 21½ 32½ 33½ 310½ 315½ (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 8.00 27.30  
5  PRIVATE CONNIE 5 1 43 53½ 46½ 411½ 417¾ (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 2.00 17% 4.80 4.90  
4  DOMI 4 3 53 42½ 58 514 518 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 115 6.00 8.00  
6  KRAZY HAWK 6 2 63½ 64 610½ 618 623½ (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 43.70  
 
TDN-7   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DEW IT WITH STYLE 2 4 11½ 11   12 13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 30% 2.30 2.80 W
6  KISS VALENTINA 5 3 43 32   32 23 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 117 8.00 10.00  
2  KERRI'S MIRACLE 1 5 21½ 21   22 33¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 15.00 6.70  
4  FABULOUS CLOWN 3 1 53¼ 43½   45 46¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 5.00 6% 14.60 3.90  
5  EXPRESS FASHION 4 2 33 55   56 56¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00 39% 1.60 0.80  
SCR  BETTER HALF               (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.50    
SCR  SECRETS UNTOLD               (hamm timot)RIVERA R 114 2.00    
 
TDN-8   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWILIGHT VISION 4 2 1nk 1½   12½ 1¼ (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 12% 7.40 5.30 W
4  CHAI TEA 3 4 52¼ 32½   33½ 2¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 38% 1.70 2.30 P
6  TYRONA 5 3 2nk 2½   22½ 33½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 20% 4.00 1.20 S
7  DATTTSAFANCYFOX 6 1 31½ 43   45 44¼ (suarez jav)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5.00  
3  PURDY PUMKIN 2 6 63¾ 66½   58½ 58½ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 14.70  
2  MS. THE LAW 1 5 42 53   69 618¼ (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 117 6.00 9.90  
SCR  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS               (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.