Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TDN-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
TDN-3   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $4.60  
TDN-4   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-5   Win (2/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-6   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-7   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
TDN-8   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 6.60

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNCHATTHELIZARD 3 2 1½ 1½   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 1.60 53% 0.90 0.10 W
TURBO POWER 6 1 2½ 2½   2 2 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 6.60  
AFLEET O ME 1 6 45 3   3 3 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 15% 5.70 9.50 S
ORLEANS STORM 4 5 5 56   4 4 (tumblin andrew)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00 23.00  
HAPPY TAKEOVER 5 3 67 6   5 5 (campbell anthony)DIAZ I 119 15.00 29.60  
OXBOW'S RIDE 2 4 34 45   6 610¾ (patton luk)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
SCR  FAST AS FAST CAN B               (guidry terranc)HALDAR J 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 1:011       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 3 2 23 2   22 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 11% 8.40 4.00 W
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 2 6 5 58   34 2 (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 10% 8.70 7.40 P
NIKAO 5 5 67 69   5 3 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 2.00 15.30  
COUNCIL OF FOUR 6 1 4 47   4 4 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 12.00 12.60  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 1 4 13 1   12 5 (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 55% 0.80 0.50  
MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 4 3 3 37   66 68 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 114 8.00 8.00  
SCR  FIERCELY BRAVE               (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KETTLE KISS 3 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 1.30  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.00 57% 0.70 0.70 P
BEAUTIFUL LASS 4 1 4 31   34 3 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 121 8.00 14% 5.90 5.20 S
CHILLVILLE 2 3 3.2 4   4 413¼ (lopez jacinto)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 12.00 11.00  
SCR  GO GIRL               (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 112 3.00    
SCR  VILLAGE CAT               (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-4   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR MABEE 5 1 32 31   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.80 53% 0.90 0.80 W
CHLOES ANGEL 2 4 1nk 1nk   2 2 (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 10.40  
APPEALING SENORITA 4 5 2nk 2nk   3 3 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 5.00 3.60  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 1 3 4 44   4 4 (skeens jeremy)BRACHO A 119 4.00 19% 4.10 7.10  
LADY ABRIL 3 2 55 5   5 5 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 5% 17.40 2.70  
SCR  A SMILE A DAY               (hobs)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-5   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCITEMENT 1 4 3 22   2½ 1 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 112 2.50 22% 3.60 1.40 W
OKLAHOMA JOE 6 1 1 12   1½ 2 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 115 6.00 7.90  
SMOOCHER 7 8 714¼ 614   57 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 13.20  
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 2 5 4 46   4 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 45% 1.20 3.30  
OUR BUCKWHEAT 8 2 2 32   3 59 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 117 3.00 10% 9.00 2.60  
ANIMO ROBERTO 5 3 6 5   67 610¼ (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
SEASONS END 3 7 814¾ 716½   710½ 716 (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 114 20.00 68.10  
LONE BOY 4 6 5 818½   816½ 825 (book)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 14.60  
 
TDN-6   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:142     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE MI 2 5 1 12 13 18 113¼ (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 44% 1.30 0.40 W
KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF 1 6 3 22 23 28 213¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 1.60 15% 5.60 4.10 P
DRINKSONTHEBEACH 3 4 2 3 3 310½ 315½ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 8.00 27.30  
PRIVATE CONNIE 5 1 43 5 4 411½ 417¾ (johnson gary)RIVERA R 114 2.00 17% 4.80 4.90  
DOMI 4 3 53 4 58 514 518 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 115 6.00 8.00  
KRAZY HAWK 6 2 6 64 610½ 618 623½ (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 43.70  
 
TDN-7   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEW IT WITH STYLE 2 4 1 11   12 13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 30% 2.30 2.80 W
KISS VALENTINA 5 3 43 32   32 23 (castro a)BRACHO A 117 8.00 10.00  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 1 5 2 21   22 3 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 15.00 6.70  
FABULOUS CLOWN 3 1 5 4   45 4 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 115 5.00 6% 14.60 3.90  
EXPRESS FASHION 4 2 33 55   56 5 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00 39% 1.60 0.80  
SCR  BETTER HALF               (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.50    
SCR  SECRETS UNTOLD               (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 114 2.00    
 
TDN-8   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT VISION 4 2 1nk 1½   1 1¼ (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 12% 7.40 5.30 W
CHAI TEA 3 4 5 3   3 2¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 38% 1.70 2.30 P
TYRONA 5 3 2nk 2½   2 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 20% 4.00 1.20 S
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 6 1 3 43   45 4 (suarez javie)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5.00  
PURDY PUMKIN 2 6 6 6   5 5 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 14.70  
MS. THE LAW 1 5 42 53   69 618¼ (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 117 6.00 9.90  
SCR  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS               (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.